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Edesa Biotech Inc (EDSA)
NASDAQ:EDSA

Edesa Biotech (EDSA) AI Stock Analysis

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EDSA

Edesa Biotech

(NASDAQ:EDSA)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$1.50
▲(1.35% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (near-zero revenue, ongoing losses, and continued cash burn) and bearish technical trends (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting these risks are a stronger balance-sheet profile with minimal debt and a major positive catalyst from the reported Phase 3 results, which lifts the outlook despite valuation being difficult to assess with negative earnings.
Positive Factors
Leadership Change
The appointment of a new CFO with extensive biotech experience is expected to enhance strategic financial management, potentially improving financial decision-making and supporting the advancement of Edesa's drug development pipeline.
Debt-Free Balance Sheet
A debt-free balance sheet provides Edesa Biotech with financial flexibility and reduces the risk of financial distress, allowing the company to focus resources on advancing its clinical-stage drug candidates.
Innovative Drug Pipeline
Edesa's focus on developing innovative treatments for unmet medical needs positions it well in the biotechnology sector, potentially leading to breakthrough therapies that can drive future revenue growth and market differentiation.
Negative Factors
Zero Revenue
The lack of revenue generation is a significant concern, as it indicates an inability to monetize its drug pipeline, which could impact long-term financial sustainability and necessitate continued reliance on external financing.
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow highlights operational inefficiencies and a reliance on external financing, which may limit Edesa's ability to invest in R&D and delay the commercialization of its drug candidates.
Persistent Losses
Ongoing losses and negative margins suggest operational challenges and an inability to achieve profitability, which could hinder Edesa's capacity to sustain its business and invest in future growth opportunities.

Edesa Biotech (EDSA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Edesa Biotech Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEdesa Biotech, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in acquiring, developing, and commercializing clinical-stage drugs for inflammatory and immune-related diseases with clear unmet medical needs. Its lead product candidates are EB05, a monoclonal antibody, which is in Phase 3 clinical study for the treatment of acute respiratory distress syndrome in covid-19 patients; and EB01, a topical treatment that is in Phase 2B clinical study for chronic allergic contact dermatitis. It has a license agreement with NovImmune SA to develop monoclonal antibodies targeting TLR4 and CXCL10. Edesa Biotech, Inc. was founded in 2015 and is headquartered in Markham, Canada.
How the Company Makes MoneyEdesa Biotech generates revenue primarily through the development and commercialization of its proprietary drug candidates. The company earns money by securing funding through public offerings, partnerships, and collaborations with other pharmaceutical and biotechnology firms. These partnerships often involve licensing agreements, where Edesa may receive upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on the commercial success of its products. Additionally, Edesa Biotech may engage in research grants and government funding initiatives as part of its revenue model, leveraging these resources to advance its clinical trials and drug development programs.

Edesa Biotech Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating fundamentals remain weak: revenue is effectively zero, losses persist, and operating/free cash flow are consistently negative with a higher burn in 2025. The balance sheet is a relative positive due to near-zero debt and a sharp equity increase in 2025, reducing near-term leverage risk, but the company remains funding-dependent.
Income Statement
The income statement remains very weak: revenue is effectively zero in recent annual periods (2021–2025), while losses persist each year (net loss of ~$7.2M in 2025 vs. ~$6.2M in 2024). Gross profit is negative in the most recent years, indicating ongoing costs without meaningful commercial revenue. A positive is that losses improved materially from 2021–2022 levels, but the company has not yet demonstrated a durable path to revenue generation or profitability.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet is a relative strength because leverage is minimal (total debt near zero in 2025 and very low in prior years), which lowers financial risk. Equity is positive and increased sharply in 2025 (~$12.5M vs. ~$2.0M in 2024), suggesting a meaningful capital raise or balance sheet recapitalization. The key weakness is that returns on equity have been deeply negative historically due to ongoing losses, and the business remains dependent on funding to sustain operations.
Cash Flow
Cash flow is pressured by consistently negative operating cash flow and free cash flow (about -$7.3M in 2025 vs. -$4.9M in 2024), reflecting continued cash burn typical of development-stage biotech. While free cash flow improved versus the much heavier burn in 2021–2022, the 2025 step-up in cash outflow highlights volatility and continued reliance on external financing until revenue scales.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-119.27K-119.27K-186.05K-183.47K-118.19K-118.79K
EBITDA-7.03M-7.07M-5.98M-8.19M-17.43M-13.22M
Net Income-7.19M-7.19M-6.17M-17.55M-13.34M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.66M13.53M3.81M8.89M11.58M14.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments10.79M10.79M1.04M5.36M7.09M7.84M
Total Debt0.000.0019.87K94.49K18.98K99.32K
Total Liabilities1.21M1.21M1.83M1.84M2.18M1.53M
Stockholders Equity12.45M12.45M1.98M7.05M9.39M13.06M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.32M-7.32M-4.89M-6.64M-12.28M-13.67M
Operating Cash Flow-7.32M-7.32M-4.89M-6.64M-12.28M-13.66M
Investing Cash Flow0.000.000.000.00-5.66K-6.15K
Financing Cash Flow17.31M17.03M592.03K4.83M11.63M14.17M

Edesa Biotech Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.48
Price Trends
50DMA
1.63
Negative
100DMA
2.05
Negative
200DMA
2.11
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Negative
RSI
43.45
Neutral
STOCH
48.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EDSA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.48 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.47, below the 50-day MA of 1.63, and below the 200-day MA of 2.11, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.45 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 48.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EDSA.

Edesa Biotech Risk Analysis

Edesa Biotech disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Edesa Biotech reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Edesa Biotech Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
52
Neutral
$50.13M-10.30-32.92%-44.31%-34.17%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
50
Neutral
$12.33M-1.10-99.57%30.29%
45
Neutral
$15.30M-1.17-94.94%49.10%
39
Underperform
$6.62M-9.5665.45%
38
Underperform
$9.50M-0.14-94.79%84.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EDSA
Edesa Biotech
1.48
-0.27
-15.43%
ERNA
Eterna Therapeutics
1.24
-5.30
-81.04%
LPCN
Lipocine
10.47
5.85
126.62%
XTLB
XTL Biopharmaceuticals Sponsored ADR
1.07
-0.74
-40.88%
COCP
Cocrystal Pharma
1.09
-0.92
-45.77%
BIVI
BioVie
1.27
-20.93
-94.28%

Edesa Biotech Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Edesa Biotech Announces Positive Phase 3 Study Results
Positive
Oct 28, 2025

On October 8, 2025, Edesa Biotech announced positive results from a Phase 3 study of its drug candidate paridiprubart for treating Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS). The study demonstrated that paridiprubart met primary and secondary endpoints with statistical significance, showing a significant reduction in mortality and the need for invasive mechanical ventilation. The drug showed a 13% absolute improvement in survival at 28 days and a 22% relative risk reduction in mortality at 60 days compared to placebo. The results suggest a promising impact on the company’s operations and its positioning in the critical care therapeutics market.

The most recent analyst rating on (EDSA) stock is a Buy with a $5.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Edesa Biotech stock, see the EDSA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025