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Cocrystal Pharma Inc (COCP)
NASDAQ:COCP

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) AI Stock Analysis

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COCP

Cocrystal Pharma

(NASDAQ:COCP)

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Neutral 45 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:45Neutral
Price Target:
$1.00
▼(-8.26% Downside)
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, ongoing losses and cash burn, shrinking equity base). Technicals also remain bearish with the stock below major moving averages, while positive corporate milestones (trial initiation steps, NIH funding, and insider financing) provide partial offset but do not fully mitigate the fundamental funding and execution risks.
Positive Factors
Advancement of Norovirus Antiviral
The advancement of CDI-988 positions Cocrystal Pharma as a significant player in the antiviral market, potentially offering a first-in-class oral solution for norovirus, addressing unmet medical needs and enhancing its competitive edge.
Equity Incentive Plan
The 2025 Equity Incentive Plan aligns key personnel's interests with company growth, potentially enhancing talent retention and motivation, which is crucial for long-term strategic execution and market competitiveness.
Proprietary Drug Discovery Technology
Cocrystal Pharma's proprietary technology provides a competitive advantage in developing novel antiviral therapeutics, potentially leading to successful partnerships and revenue opportunities through unique solutions.
Negative Factors
Zero Revenue
The lack of revenue generation indicates challenges in monetizing its drug pipeline, which could hinder financial sustainability and limit investment in R&D, affecting long-term growth prospects.
Ongoing Operational Losses
Persistent operational losses reflect difficulties in achieving profitability, which may strain resources and necessitate additional funding, impacting financial stability and strategic flexibility.
Declining Total Assets and Equity
A decline in assets and equity suggests weakening financial health, potentially limiting the company's ability to invest in growth initiatives and respond to market opportunities effectively.

Cocrystal Pharma (COCP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Cocrystal Pharma Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCocrystal Pharma, Inc., a biotechnology company, focuses on the discovery and development of antiviral therapeutic treatments for serious and/or chronic viral diseases. It employs structure-based technologies to create antiviral drugs primarily to treat hepatitis C virus (HCV), influenza virus, coronavirus, and norovirus infections. The company develops CC-31244, a HCV non-nucleoside polymerase inhibitor that has completed Phase II a clinical trial to treat HCV infection; and CC-42344, a PB2 inhibitor that is in preclinical development trials for treating influenza infection. It is also involved in identifying and developing non-nucleoside polymerase inhibitors for norovirus infections. Cocrystal Pharma, Inc. has a license and research collaboration agreement with Merck Sharp & Dohme Corp. to discover and develop proprietary influenza A/B antiviral agents; a license agreement with Kansas State University Research Foundation to develop antiviral compounds for the treatment of norovirus and coronavirus infections; and drug discovery collaboration with HitGen and InterX Inc. The company is headquartered in Bothell, Washington.
How the Company Makes MoneyCocrystal Pharma generates revenue primarily through collaborative agreements, licensing deals, and research and development contracts with other pharmaceutical companies. These partnerships often include upfront payments, milestone payments, and royalties based on the successful development and commercialization of targeted antiviral therapies. The company's revenue streams are significantly influenced by its ability to advance its drug candidates through clinical trials and secure strategic partnerships that leverage its proprietary drug discovery technology. Additionally, government grants or funding related to its research areas may also contribute to its financials, although this is less consistent compared to contractual collaborations.

Cocrystal Pharma Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are weak overall: no reported revenue and persistent losses with continued operating/free-cash-flow burn. The balance sheet shows modest leverage (low debt), but equity has shrunk substantially over time, reducing the capital cushion and increasing funding risk despite some improvement in TTM losses/burn versus 2024.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
The income statement remains very weak, with no revenue reported in the latest TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) period and across most recent annual periods. Losses are persistent and sizable (TTM net loss of about $9.7M; 2024 net loss about $17.5M), indicating the business is still in a heavy investment/burn phase without an operating revenue base. A relative positive is that losses narrowed versus 2024 in the TTM period, but overall profitability and margin profile remain deeply negative and volatile.
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
The balance sheet is a relative bright spot due to modest leverage: total debt is low (about $1.6M in TTM) and debt-to-equity remains conservative (~0.21 TTM). However, equity and total assets have declined materially over time (equity down from ~$77.5M in 2021 to ~$7.7M TTM), reflecting cumulative losses and reducing the capital cushion. Returns on equity are sharply negative (about -130% TTM), underscoring that the current capital base is not generating positive earnings.
Cash Flow
18
Very Negative
Cash flow is pressured by ongoing operating burn. TTM operating cash flow is roughly -$9.8M and free cash flow is roughly -$9.8M, and free cash flow deteriorated versus the prior year (TTM free cash flow growth about -26.6%). Cash burn improved compared with 2024 (operating cash flow -$16.5M), but the company is still consistently consuming cash, which can increase future funding risk if not offset by new capital or meaningful progress toward revenue.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.002.01M
Gross Profit-1.42M-12.54M-15.17M-12.39M-8.79M-4.02M
EBITDA-9.68M-17.75M-20.97M-17.95M-14.03M-9.43M
Net Income-9.67M-17.50M-17.98M-38.84M-14.19M-9.65M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.45M13.46M31.26M40.84M79.39M54.24M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.73M9.86M26.35M37.14M58.70M33.01M
Total Debt1.58M1.81M1.85M297.00K534.00K596.00K
Total Liabilities2.78M3.93M4.88M1.27M1.84M1.74M
Stockholders Equity7.67M9.52M26.38M39.57M77.55M52.51M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-9.82M-16.49M-14.78M-21.51M-12.77M-10.07M
Operating Cash Flow-9.80M-16.48M-14.67M-21.43M-12.72M-9.83M
Investing Cash Flow-12.56K-8.00K-118.00K-74.00K-52.00K-240.00K
Financing Cash Flow4.54M0.003.99M-27.00K38.47M35.66M

Cocrystal Pharma Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price1.09
Price Trends
50DMA
1.02
Negative
100DMA
1.09
Negative
200DMA
1.33
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Positive
RSI
36.48
Neutral
STOCH
9.91
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For COCP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 1.09 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.06, above the 50-day MA of 1.02, and below the 200-day MA of 1.33, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.91 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for COCP.

Cocrystal Pharma Risk Analysis

Cocrystal Pharma disclosed 55 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Cocrystal Pharma reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Cocrystal Pharma Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
53
Neutral
$13.36M-0.29-145.42%79.31%
51
Neutral
$7.86B-0.30-43.30%2.27%22.53%-2.21%
51
Neutral
$11.55M-0.43-67.47%9.63%
45
Neutral
$13.51M-1.03-94.94%49.10%
44
Neutral
$10.21M-0.73-207.73%1.70%-111.67%
38
Underperform
$7.80M-1.44-49.00%47.17%26.84%
38
Underperform
$9.35M-0.13-94.79%84.44%
* Healthcare Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
COCP
Cocrystal Pharma
0.96
-1.01
-51.27%
CLRB
Cellectar Biosciences
3.12
-4.68
-60.00%
IMRN
Immuron
0.84
-1.26
-59.95%
BRTX
BioRestorative Therapies
1.10
-1.28
-53.78%
BIVI
BioVie
1.19
-16.21
-93.16%
SNSE
Sensei Biotherapeutics
9.07
-0.53
-5.56%

Cocrystal Pharma Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Cocrystal Pharma Grants Stock Options Under 2025 Incentive Plan
Neutral
Jan 15, 2026

On January 9, 2026, Cocrystal Pharma’s Compensation Committee approved grants of non-qualified stock options to its directors, executive officers and a consultant under the company’s 2025 Equity Incentive Plan, with a 10-year term, an exercise price set at the January 8, 2026 closing price, and a vesting schedule that begins with half the options vesting on January 9, 2027 and the remainder vesting in eight equal quarterly installments starting March 31, 2027, contingent on continued service. The awards allocated varying numbers of options to board members, senior executives and a consultant and included a separate $50,000 cash award to Dr. Roger Kornberg for his role as chairman of the Scientific Advisory Board, underscoring the company’s emphasis on long-term equity-based incentives and recognition of scientific leadership in its governance and compensation strategy.

The most recent analyst rating on (COCP) stock is a Hold with a $1.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cocrystal Pharma stock, see the COCP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyProduct-Related Announcements
Cocrystal Pharma gains IRB approval for norovirus trial
Positive
Dec 18, 2025

On December 18, 2025, Cocrystal Pharma announced that the Institutional Review Board at Emory University School of Medicine approved the initiation of a Phase 1b human challenge study of its oral antiviral candidate CDI-988 for the prevention and treatment of norovirus infections, with subject screening already underway and enrollment planned to begin in the first quarter of 2026. CDI-988, designed as a broad-spectrum inhibitor targeting a conserved region of the norovirus 3CL protease and previously shown in August 2025 to have favorable Phase 1 safety and tolerability data, will be tested in a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of up to 40 healthy adults to assess efficacy in reducing clinical symptoms, viral shedding and disease severity, as well as safety and pharmacokinetics; the program underscores Cocrystal’s bid to address a major unmet medical need in norovirus, where no approved treatments or vaccines exist despite substantial global health and economic burdens.

The most recent analyst rating on (COCP) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cocrystal Pharma stock, see the COCP Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Cocrystal Pharma to Present at Emerging Growth Conference
Positive
Dec 1, 2025

On December 1, 2025, Cocrystal Pharma announced that its CFO and Co-CEO, James Martin, will present a company overview and clinical progress update at the Noble Capital Markets 21st Emerging Growth Equity Conference on December 3, 2025. This presentation could enhance the company’s visibility and provide stakeholders with insights into its strategic direction and progress in antiviral drug development.

The most recent analyst rating on (COCP) stock is a Buy with a $10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Cocrystal Pharma stock, see the COCP Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025