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Green Dot (GDOT)
NYSE:GDOT
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Green Dot (GDOT) AI Stock Analysis

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GDOT

Green Dot

(NYSE:GDOT)

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Neutral 56 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:56Neutral
Price Target:
$13.00
▲(3.42% Upside)
Green Dot's overall stock score reflects moderate financial performance with significant challenges in profitability and efficiency. Technical analysis indicates short-term bullish momentum, but valuation concerns persist due to negative profitability. The earnings call provided some optimism with strong revenue growth and strategic partnerships, but ongoing challenges in certain segments temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth in the B2B segment and interest income indicates robust market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term expansion.
New Partnerships
Strategic partnerships with major companies enhance Green Dot's service offerings and market reach, fostering sustainable growth and competitive advantage.
Balance Sheet Health
A strong balance sheet with low leverage provides financial stability and flexibility, enabling Green Dot to invest in growth opportunities and withstand economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
Profitability Challenges
Ongoing profitability challenges may hinder Green Dot's ability to reinvest in its business and deliver shareholder returns, impacting long-term financial health.
Consumer Segment Challenges
Declining performance in the consumer segment suggests potential market saturation or competitive pressures, which could limit growth and profitability in this area.
Operational Challenges
Low operational margins indicate inefficiencies that could affect Green Dot's ability to scale profitably, necessitating strategic improvements for sustainable growth.

Green Dot (GDOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Green Dot Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionGreen Dot Corporation, a financial technology and bank holding company, provides various financial products to consumers and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Consumer Services, Business to Business Services, and Money Movement Services. The company offers deposit account programs, including consumer and small business checking account products, network-branded reloadable prepaid debit cards and gift cards, and secured credit programs. It also provides money processing services, such as cash transfer services that enable consumers to deposit or pick up cash and pay bills with cash at the point-of-sale at any participating retailer; and simply paid disbursement services, which enable wages and authorized funds disbursement to its deposit account programs and accounts issued by any third-party bank or program manager. In addition, the company offers tax processing services comprising tax refund transfers, which provide the processing technology to facilitate receipt of a taxpayers' refund proceeds; small business lending to independent tax preparation providers that seek small advances; and fast cash advance, a loan that enables tax refund recipients. Green Dot Corporation was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyGreen Dot generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from fees associated with its prepaid debit card services. These fees include activation fees, monthly service fees, transaction fees, and ATM withdrawal fees. Additionally, the company earns money from interest on cash balances held on its cards, as well as from interchange fees charged to merchants when customers use their Green Dot cards for purchases. Significant partnerships with major retailers and financial institutions also contribute to its earnings, as they allow Green Dot to expand its distribution channels and enhance its service offerings. Furthermore, Green Dot has diversified its revenue by providing banking as a service (BaaS) solutions to other companies, enabling them to offer their own financial products backed by Green Dot's infrastructure.

Green Dot Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Green Dot reported strong revenue growth driven by new partnerships and the expanding embedded finance market. However, challenges remain in the consumer segment and the Rapid Employer Services channel. The company's strategic initiatives and cost management efforts are showing positive results, but some headwinds persist.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Adjusted revenue increased by 21% year-over-year, driven by the B2B segment and interest income.
New Partnerships and Launches
Green Dot announced new partnerships with Stripe, Workday, and crypto.com, and launched real-time payments with Dayforce.
Embedded Finance Momentum
The embedded finance market is robust and accelerating, with new signings and a strong pipeline supporting future growth.
Expansion in Financial Service Center Channel
New agreements with AmScot and planned launches with Dole Fintech are expected to drive new account growth.
Increased Interest Income
Corporate segment revenues, primarily interest income, grew sharply year-over-year, due to optimized balance sheet and high-grade floating rate securities.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 17%, although this was better than internal projections.
Challenges in Consumer Segment
The consumer segment faced challenges with declining revenue and active accounts, particularly in the retail and direct channels.
Exit from Shanghai Operations
Green Dot ceased operations in Shanghai to support business needs, resulting in restructuring costs and severance expenses.
Ongoing Staffing Industry Challenges
The Rapid Employer Services channel continues to face challenges due to fewer active accounts and less transaction activity in the staffing industry.
Company Guidance
During Green Dot Corporation's third quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported a 21% increase in adjusted revenue and a 17% decline in adjusted EBITDA, which, although expected, was better than internal projections. The B2B segment, particularly the Banking-as-a-Service (BaaS) channel powered by the ARC platform, drove revenue growth, with a significant BaaS partner contributing notably. The company is also focusing on embedded finance, signing partnerships with entities like crypto.com, Stripe, and Workday, and preparing for new product launches with partners such as Credit Sesame and Dole Fintech. For 2025, Green Dot maintains its non-GAAP revenue guidance of $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion, while adjusted EBITDA guidance has been increased to $165 million to $175 million. The company's strategic decisions, including exiting operations in Shanghai, aim to optimize platforms, reduce risks, and position for long-term growth.

Green Dot Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Green Dot exhibits moderate growth with challenges in profitability and efficiency. The income statement shows a negative net profit margin and low EBIT and EBITDA margins. The balance sheet is stable with low leverage, but the negative return on equity indicates inefficiencies. Cash flow generation has improved, but there are concerns about converting earnings into cash.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Green Dot's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) revenue growth rate of 4.41% indicates moderate growth, but the company is struggling with profitability, as evidenced by a negative net profit margin of -1.24%. The gross profit margin has declined over the years, and the EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively low, suggesting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.08, indicating conservative leverage. However, the return on equity is negative at -5.14%, highlighting inefficiencies in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a strong capital structure.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Cash flow analysis reveals a strong free cash flow growth rate of 42.35% in the TTM, indicating improved cash generation. However, the operating cash flow to net income ratio is low, suggesting potential issues in converting earnings into cash. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.69 indicates a reasonable level of cash flow relative to earnings.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.01B1.72B1.50B1.45B1.43B1.25B
Gross Profit590.28M580.08M620.54M723.91M779.08M726.13M
EBITDA153.62M77.53M102.61M174.73M151.12M115.44M
Net Income-46.94M-26.70M6.72M64.21M47.48M23.13M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets5.77B5.43B4.82B4.79B4.73B4.12B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.64B1.62B716.12M813.95M1.32B1.49B
Total Debt66.55M59.58M67.06M43.41M15.13M24.81M
Total Liabilities4.85B4.56B3.96B4.01B3.65B3.11B
Stockholders Equity913.29M873.59M859.35M781.48M1.07B1.01B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow97.20M7.10M21.58M193.36M109.60M150.14M
Operating Cash Flow178.01M81.38M97.52M277.69M167.03M209.18M
Investing Cash Flow-291.87M81.40M33.16M-820.19M-1.37B-785.83M
Financing Cash Flow297.63M743.15M-264.02M36.71M1.03B1.01B

Green Dot Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price12.57
Price Trends
50DMA
12.47
Positive
100DMA
12.32
Positive
200DMA
10.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.11
Negative
RSI
61.00
Neutral
STOCH
81.88
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GDOT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 12.57 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.49, above the 50-day MA of 12.47, and above the 200-day MA of 10.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of -0.11 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.00 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.88 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GDOT.

Green Dot Risk Analysis

Green Dot disclosed 37 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Green Dot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Green Dot Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$7.30B10.5321.41%6.72%9.51%29.38%
71
Outperform
$35.84B53.898.59%22.40%215.81%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$2.79B3.8297.70%10.69%-2.51%17.47%
56
Neutral
$698.25M-5.09%23.12%19.37%
56
Neutral
$12.72B24.874.25%2.91%-6.89%-33.20%
55
Neutral
$4.37B197.374.81%73.29%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GDOT
Green Dot
12.57
2.29
22.28%
WU
Western Union
8.79
-1.24
-12.36%
ALLY
Ally Financial
41.30
3.35
8.83%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
62.03
9.09
17.17%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
44.96
-22.43
-33.28%
SOFI
SoFi
29.72
13.81
86.80%

Green Dot Corporate Events

Green Dot Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Nov 12, 2025

Green Dot Corp’s recent earnings call painted a picture of robust growth tempered by certain challenges. The overall sentiment was positive, with strong revenue growth driven by new partnerships and the expanding embedded finance market. However, the company acknowledged ongoing challenges in the consumer segment and the Rapid Employer Services channel. Despite these hurdles, strategic initiatives and cost management efforts are yielding positive results, although some headwinds persist.

Green Dot Corporation Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Nov 11, 2025

Green Dot Corporation is a financial technology platform and registered bank holding company that provides banking and payment solutions to consumers and businesses, operating primarily in the fintech sector with a focus on embedded finance and banking-as-a-service (BaaS).

Business Operations and Strategy
Green Dot Announces Exit from China Operations
Negative
Sep 3, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Green Dot Corporation announced its plan to exit operations in China by the end of 2025, impacting approximately 240 employees, or 22% of its global workforce. This strategic move is expected to reduce annual spending by $6 million to $7 million, despite incurring exit costs of $22 million to $24 million, primarily for severance and termination benefits.

The most recent analyst rating on (GDOT) stock is a Buy with a $20.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Green Dot stock, see the GDOT Stock Forecast page.

Green Dot Corp’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth Amid Challenges
Sep 1, 2025

Green Dot Corp’s recent earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment, highlighting both robust financial growth and strategic expansions, particularly in embedded finance. However, challenges were noted in specific areas such as Rapid Employer Services and money processing, which are experiencing slower growth or declines. The company’s new partnerships and product launches are contributing positively to its momentum.

Green Dot Corp Reports Increased Revenues Amid Net Loss
Aug 12, 2025

Green Dot Corporation is a financial technology platform and registered bank holding company that offers a wide range of banking and payment solutions, including debit, checking, credit, prepaid, and payroll cards, as well as money processing services. In its latest earnings report for the quarter ended June 30, 2025, Green Dot Corporation reported a net loss of $47 million, compared to a net loss of $28.7 million in the same quarter of the previous year. Despite the loss, the company saw a significant increase in operating revenues, which rose to $504.2 million from $407.1 million in the prior year period. The increase in revenues was driven by higher card revenues and other fees, which grew to $381.2 million from $286.1 million, and an increase in interest income. However, the company also experienced higher operating expenses, particularly in processing expenses, which contributed to the overall net loss. Looking ahead, Green Dot Corporation remains focused on its strategic initiatives and continues to evaluate opportunities to enhance its product offerings and operational efficiencies, aiming to improve its financial performance in the coming quarters.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 30, 2025