Green Dot (GDOT)
NYSE:GDOT
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Green Dot
(NYSE:GDOT)
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Rating:49Neutral
Price Target:
$10.50
▼(-9.01% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/17/26
The score is held down primarily by weakened financial performance (recent losses and margin compression) and bearish technicals (price below key moving averages with negative MACD). More positive earnings-call signals (raised adjusted EBITDA guidance and B2B/BaaS momentum) and a low-leverage balance sheet provide partial offset, but valuation remains pressured due to losses and no stated dividend support.
Positive Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low debt-to-equity (~0.07) and substantial equity (~$890M in 2025) give Green Dot durable financial flexibility. This supports continued BaaS investment, partnership rollouts and absorbing cyclical shocks without forcing dilutive financing, which strengthens long-term strategic optionality.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating profitability
Profitability has deteriorated sharply, with margins compressing and net losses in 2024–2025. Persistent negative returns erode shareholder value and mean Green Dot must either restore higher-margin revenue mix or sustain structural cost reductions to translate top-line growth into durable earnings.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Conservative balance sheet
Very low debt-to-equity (~0.07) and substantial equity (~$890M in 2025) give Green Dot durable financial flexibility. This supports continued BaaS investment, partnership rollouts and absorbing cyclical shocks without forcing dilutive financing, which strengthens long-term strategic optionality.
Read all positive factors
Green Dot (GDOT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$641.25M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)629.67K
Price to Earnings (P/E)―
Beta (1Y)0.73
Revenue Growth23.12%
EPS Growth19.37%
CountryUS
Employees1,150
SectorFinancial
Sector Strength70
IndustryFinancial - Credit Services
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)-0.08
Shares Outstanding55,567,590
10 Day Avg. Volume551,162
30 Day Avg. Volume629,667
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.03
Price to Book (P/B)0.79
Price to Sales (P/S)0.34
P/FCF Ratio10.69
Enterprise Value/Market Cap-1.11
Enterprise Value/Revenue-0.34
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit-1.40
Enterprise Value/Ebitda-5.08
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$14.25Price Target Upside23.48% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering3
EPS Forecast (FY)1.49
Revenue Forecast (FY)$2.30B
Green Dot Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Green Dot Corporation, a financial technology and bank holding company, provides various financial products to consumers and businesses in the United States. It operates through three segments: Consumer Services, Business to Business Services, and...
How the Company Makes Money
Green Dot generates revenue through multiple streams, primarily from fees associated with its prepaid debit card services. These fees include activation fees, monthly service fees, transaction fees, and ATM withdrawal fees. Additionally, the compa...
Green Dot Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Nov 10, 2025
(Q3-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Green Dot reported strong revenue growth driven by new partnerships and the expanding embedded finance market. However, challenges remain in the consumer segment and the Rapid Employer Services channel. The company's strategic initiatives and cost management efforts are showing positive results, but some headwinds persist.Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Adjusted revenue increased by 21% year-over-year, driven by the B2B segment and interest income.
Negative Updates
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA declined by 17%, although this was better than internal projections.
Read all updates
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Strong Revenue Growth
Adjusted revenue increased by 21% year-over-year, driven by the B2B segment and interest income.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
During Green Dot Corporation's third quarter 2025 conference call, the company reported a 21% increase in adjusted revenue and a 17% decline in adjusted EBITDA, which, although expected, was better than internal projections. The B2B segment, particularly the Banking-as-a-Service (BaaS) channel powered by the ARC platform, drove revenue growth, with a significant BaaS partner contributing notably. The company is also focusing on embedded finance, signing partnerships with entities like crypto.com, Stripe, and Workday, and preparing for new product launches with partners such as Credit Sesame and Dole Fintech. For 2025, Green Dot maintains its non-GAAP revenue guidance of $2.0 billion to $2.1 billion, while adjusted EBITDA guidance has been increased to $165 million to $175 million. The company's strategic decisions, including exiting operations in Shanghai, aim to optimize platforms, reduce risks, and position for long-term growth.Green Dot Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
38
Negative
Balance Sheet
63
Positive
Cash Flow
58
Neutral
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 2.08B | 1.72B | 1.50B | 1.45B | 1.43B |
| Gross Profit | 510.15M | 580.08M | 620.54M | 723.91M | 779.08M |
| EBITDA | 140.73M | 77.53M | 102.61M | 174.73M | 151.12M |
| Net Income | -98.87M | -26.70M | 6.72M | 64.21M | 47.48M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 5.99B | 5.43B | 4.82B | 4.79B | 4.73B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.42B | 1.62B | 716.12M | 813.95M | 1.32B |
| Total Debt | 65.47M | 59.58M | 67.06M | 43.41M | 15.13M |
| Total Liabilities | 5.09B | 4.56B | 3.96B | 4.01B | 3.65B |
| Stockholders Equity | 890.25M | 873.59M | 859.35M | 781.48M | 1.07B |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 66.02M | 7.10M | 21.58M | 193.36M | 109.60M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 138.56M | 81.38M | 97.52M | 277.69M | 167.03M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -450.53M | 81.40M | 33.16M | -820.19M | -1.37B |
| Financing Cash Flow | 141.28M | 743.15M | -264.02M | 36.71M | 1.03B |
Green Dot Technical Analysis
Neutral
11.54
Price Trends
11.55
Negative
12.02
Negative
12.14
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.03
Negative
54.88
Neutral
91.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GDOT, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 11.54 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 11.14, below the 50-day MA of 11.55, and below the 200-day MA of 12.14, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GDOT.
Green Dot Risk Analysis
Green Dot disclosed 42 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Green Dot reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Green Dot Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
68 Neutral | $2.78B | 6.09 | 53.92% | 10.18% | -2.51% | 17.47% | |
68 Neutral | $6.56B | 10.25 | 23.40% | 6.07% | 9.51% | 29.38% | |
68 Neutral | $18.00B | 11.42 | 9.92% | 3.81% | 9.73% | 1.22% | |
63 Neutral | $20.68B | 62.56 | 5.87% | ― | 22.40% | 215.81% | |
51 Neutral | $12.71B | 16.52 | 5.74% | 2.58% | -6.89% | -33.20% | |
49 Neutral | $641.25M | -7.14 | -10.77% | ― | 23.12% | 19.37% | |
49 Neutral | $2.67B | 78.35 | 7.29% | ― | 73.29% | ― |
* Financial Sector Average
GDOT
Green Dot
11.54
3.96
52.24%
WU
Western Union
8.88
0.02
0.24%
ALLY
Ally Financial
41.27
10.08
32.30%
OMF
OneMain Holdings
55.96
15.04
36.76%
UPST
Upstart Holdings
27.26
-12.70
-31.78%
SOFI
SoFi
16.22
5.40
49.91%
Green Dot Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Green Dot finalizes executive leadership with permanent appointments
Positive
Jan 7, 2026
On January 7, 2026, Green Dot Corporation reported that the interim leadership roles held since March 2025 by William I. Jacobs and Chris Ruppel were made permanent, marking a formal transition in its executive team. Effective January 6, 2026, the...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.