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Greene County Bancorp (GCBC)
NASDAQ:GCBC
US Market

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) AI Stock Analysis

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GCBC

Greene County Bancorp

(NASDAQ:GCBC)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$26.00
▲(16.85% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/21/26
The score is driven primarily by strong underlying financial performance and an attractive valuation (low P/E), supported by positive recent corporate updates. These strengths are tempered by weaker near-term technical signals (negative MACD and sub-neutral RSI), suggesting limited momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong profitability
Sustained net margins (~26% TTM) and record six‑month net income indicate durable underlying profitability. This level of operating income supports ROE, funds internal investment and dividends, and provides a buffer against credit cycles, underpinning long‑term financial resilience.
Negative Factors
Margin compression vs 2021–2022
Compression of gross and net margins relative to 2021–2022 reduces the earnings cushion and increases sensitivity to NIM shifts or funding cost rises. Sustained margin pressure would require higher revenue growth or efficiency gains to maintain returns and dividend capacity over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong profitability
Sustained net margins (~26% TTM) and record six‑month net income indicate durable underlying profitability. This level of operating income supports ROE, funds internal investment and dividends, and provides a buffer against credit cycles, underpinning long‑term financial resilience.
Read all positive factors

Greene County Bancorp (GCBC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Greene County Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Greene County Bancorp, Inc. operates as a holding company for The Bank of Greene County that provides various financial services in the United States. Its deposit products include savings, NOW accounts, money market accounts, certificates of depos...
How the Company Makes Money
GCBC primarily makes money through its banking subsidiary by generating net interest income: it pays interest on customer deposits and other funding sources and earns interest on loans and interest-earning assets, with the spread between these rat...

Greene County Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong profitability and earnings quality (TTM net margin ~26% and free cash flow ~97% of net income) with solid revenue growth. Offsets include margin compression versus 2021–2022 and historical volatility in leverage and free cash flow growth.
Income Statement
86
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
82
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMJun 2025Jun 2024Jun 2023Jun 2022Jun 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue140.40M132.94M117.57M96.77M75.58M68.00M
Gross Profit82.60M74.04M64.12M74.44M66.86M58.84M
EBITDA42.46M35.73M27.75M36.70M33.73M28.39M
Net Income36.55M31.14M24.77M30.79M27.99M23.94M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.15B3.04B2.83B2.70B2.57B2.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments420.39M504.34M543.23M482.15M481.18M545.22M
Total Debt214.12M128.06M199.14M49.49M173.01M22.64M
Total Liabilities2.89B2.80B2.62B2.52B2.41B2.05B
Stockholders Equity258.27M238.84M206.00M183.28M157.71M149.58M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.93M27.29M23.40M26.57M34.30M26.50M
Operating Cash Flow33.90M27.98M24.91M28.11M35.35M27.75M
Investing Cash Flow-210.18M-210.17M-129.24M661.00K-471.18M-417.14M
Financing Cash Flow133.92M174.87M98.28M98.67M355.06M498.70M

Greene County Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price22.25
Price Trends
50DMA
22.83
Positive
100DMA
22.78
Positive
200DMA
22.97
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.16
Negative
RSI
62.59
Neutral
STOCH
77.32
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GCBC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 22.25 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 22.48, below the 50-day MA of 22.83, and below the 200-day MA of 22.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.59 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.32 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GCBC.

Greene County Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$406.09M9.1915.00%1.63%13.16%37.40%
70
Outperform
$639.16M9.599.79%2.12%32.03%170.90%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$433.16M9.532.24%3.76%23.93%
64
Neutral
$491.43M9.149.73%2.96%3.49%33.86%
64
Neutral
$468.25M8.4011.07%3.03%-0.65%14.14%
49
Neutral
$380.89M26.693.15%-15.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GCBC
Greene County Bancorp
23.85
2.35
10.95%
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
26.86
6.75
33.57%
CWBC
Community West Bancshares
23.70
6.99
41.82%
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
23.70
4.68
24.61%
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
35.51
10.34
41.08%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
4.17
1.17
39.00%

Greene County Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Greene County Bancorp MHC Granted Dividend Waiver Approval
Positive
Mar 20, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Greene County Bancorp, MHC obtained nonobjection from the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia to waive its right to receive up to $0.64 per share in dividends paid by Greene County Bancorp, Inc. over the four quarters ending Ma...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Greene County Bancorp Highlights Strategy and Record Profitability
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
In March 2026, Greene County Bancorp released an investor presentation ahead of first-quarter 2026 meetings with institutional investors to outline its strategy, recent performance and market positioning. The materials highlighted the company&#821...
Business Operations and StrategyDividends
Greene County Bancorp Announces Quarterly Dividend Policy Shift
Neutral
Jan 21, 2026
On January 21, 2026, Greene County Bancorp, Inc. announced that its board approved a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per share on its common stock for the quarter ended December 31, 2025, maintaining an annualized dividend rate of $0.40 per share...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 21, 2026