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Sierra Bancorp (BSRR)
NASDAQ:BSRR
US Market
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Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) AI Stock Analysis

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BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

(NASDAQ:BSRR)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
▲(7.53% Upside)
Action:DowngradedDate:05/05/26
The score is held back primarily by the sharp TTM cash flow deterioration despite solid revenue/profitability and an acceptable balance sheet. Technicals are supportive with price above key moving averages and moderate momentum, while valuation is a positive tailwind given the low P/E and dividend yield. Corporate events provide incremental support through continued dividend consistency and investor outreach.
Positive Factors
Revenue growth & profitability
Multi-year revenue expansion with TTM growth and stable-to-improving margins points to durable core earnings. For a community bank, consistent loan and deposit growth underpins recurring net interest income and supports profitability resilience across the next several months.
Negative Factors
Deteriorating cash generation
A sharp TTM drop in operating and free cash flow signals weaker cash conversion or elevated balance-sheet usage. Reduced cash generation can constrain loan origination, limit capital flexibility for growth or loss absorption, and pressure dividend sustainability if the trend persists.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Revenue growth & profitability
Multi-year revenue expansion with TTM growth and stable-to-improving margins points to durable core earnings. For a community bank, consistent loan and deposit growth underpins recurring net interest income and supports profitability resilience across the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sierra Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sierra Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses in California. The company accepts various deposit products, such as checking accounts, s...
How the Company Makes Money
Sierra Bancorp primarily earns revenue through its banking subsidiary by: (1) Net interest income: the spread between interest earned on interest-earning assets (primarily loans such as commercial, real estate, agricultural, and consumer loans, an...

Sierra Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (revenue growth and healthy profitability) and an acceptable balance sheet with improving ROE are offset by a major concern: a sharp TTM deterioration in operating and free cash flow versus 2024–2025, signaling weaker cash conversion and/or higher cash usage.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
69
Positive
Cash Flow
38
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue198.51M201.98M191.14M168.93M142.49M131.43M
Gross Profit148.51M149.18M134.03M114.48M119.68M131.03M
EBITDA62.20M56.40M56.75M49.70M48.45M61.47M
Net Income45.75M42.33M40.56M34.84M33.66M43.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.75B3.83B3.61B3.73B3.61B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.06B604.99M756.63M1.10B1.01B1.23B
Total Debt398.38M519.05M274.09M552.59M412.86M191.38M
Total Liabilities3.39B3.46B3.26B3.39B3.31B3.01B
Stockholders Equity363.71M364.86M357.30M338.10M303.58M362.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.23M32.17M56.00M51.83M32.30M52.28M
Operating Cash Flow4.14M33.70M57.15M53.24M33.57M52.66M
Investing Cash Flow-157.74M-183.49M141.23M-83.69M-481.00M20.62M
Financing Cash Flow150.26M184.75M-176.32M31.92M267.03M112.83M

Sierra Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.20
Price Trends
50DMA
35.17
Positive
100DMA
34.28
Positive
200DMA
31.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.58
Negative
RSI
69.01
Neutral
STOCH
75.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BSRR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.67, above the 50-day MA of 35.17, and above the 200-day MA of 31.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.58 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.01 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BSRR.

Sierra Bancorp Risk Analysis

Sierra Bancorp disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sierra Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sierra Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$644.32M9.6610.30%2.12%6.30%234.95%
73
Outperform
$519.34M7.8710.21%2.96%4.52%19.77%
68
Neutral
$478.69M8.8012.67%3.03%0.15%20.73%
68
Neutral
$418.83M11.9911.26%3.76%-30.41%-412.21%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
66
Neutral
$375.01M13.0510.20%1.41%7.99%8.25%
49
Neutral
$312.38M110.963.15%-10.96%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
35.82
9.68
37.02%
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
25.78
5.40
26.50%
CWBC
Community West Bancshares
23.46
5.89
33.49%
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
24.64
2.25
10.06%
FRBA
First Bank
14.58
0.24
1.66%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
3.36
0.52
18.48%

Sierra Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Sierra Bancorp Highlights Investor Outreach at Upcoming Conference
Positive
May 4, 2026
Sierra Bancorp announced that President and CEO Kevin J. McPhaill and Executive Vice President, CFO and COO Christopher G. Treece will attend the D.A. Davidson Financial Institutions Conference in Nashville, Tennessee, scheduled for May 4–6,...
Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Sierra Bancorp Declares 109th Consecutive Quarterly Cash Dividend
Positive
Apr 24, 2026
On April 23, 2026, Sierra Bancorp’s board declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per share, following its review of financial performance and capital for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. The dividend will be paid on May 11, 202...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sierra Bancorp Realigns Leadership, Expands CFO Operational Role
Neutral
Apr 20, 2026
On April 17, 2026, Sierra Bancorp and Bank of the Sierra terminated the employment of Executive Vice President and Chief Operations Officer William J. Wade II as part of an organizational realignment, triggering severance benefits under his July 2...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 05, 2026