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Sierra Bancorp (BSRR)
NASDAQ:BSRR
US Market

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) AI Stock Analysis

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BSRR

Sierra Bancorp

(NASDAQ:BSRR)

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Neutral 64 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$38.00
▲(3.88% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/28/26
The score is driven primarily by solid underlying profitability and improving 2025 revenue momentum, tempered by increased/volatile leverage and a notable 2025 cash-flow step-down. Valuation is supportive (low-teens P/E plus ~2.8% yield), while technicals are mixed with neutral momentum and slight near-term weakness. A recent dividend increase is a modest positive corporate signal.
Positive Factors
Consistent profitability
Sierra Bancorp has delivered steady net margins (~20–24%) and mid‑teens ROE stability (~10–12%), providing durable earnings power. That consistency supports internal capital generation, dividend coverage, and resilience to normal loan cycle volatility over the next several months.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage
Leverage has increased and become more volatile, reducing balance‑sheet flexibility. Higher debt‑to‑equity raises funding and credit risk, constrains capital buffers, and could amplify stress if loan losses or funding costs rise, weighing on strategic options over coming months.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Consistent profitability
Sierra Bancorp has delivered steady net margins (~20–24%) and mid‑teens ROE stability (~10–12%), providing durable earnings power. That consistency supports internal capital generation, dividend coverage, and resilience to normal loan cycle volatility over the next several months.
Read all positive factors

Sierra Bancorp (BSRR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sierra Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sierra Bancorp operates as the bank holding company for Bank of the Sierra that provides retail and commercial banking services to individuals and businesses in California. The company accepts various deposit products, such as checking accounts, s...
How the Company Makes Money
Sierra Bancorp generates revenue primarily through the interest income earned on loans, which includes commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. Additionally, the company earns interest from investment securities. Another signif...

Sierra Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Profitable and fairly consistent earnings (net margin generally ~20–24%) with revenue re-accelerating in 2025 (~+6.7%). Offsetting this, balance-sheet leverage has become elevated/volatile (debt-to-equity ~1.42 in 2025 vs. ~0.77 in 2024) and 2025 operating/free cash flow stepped down materially, reducing financial flexibility.
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
62
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue201.98M191.14M168.93M142.49M131.43M
Gross Profit149.18M134.03M114.48M119.68M131.03M
EBITDA56.40M56.75M49.70M48.45M61.47M
Net Income42.33M40.56M34.84M33.66M43.01M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.83B3.61B3.73B3.61B3.37B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.05B756.63M1.10B1.01B1.23B
Total Debt519.05M274.09M552.59M412.86M191.38M
Total Liabilities3.46B3.26B3.39B3.31B3.01B
Stockholders Equity364.86M357.30M338.10M303.58M362.49M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow32.17M56.00M51.83M32.30M52.28M
Operating Cash Flow33.70M57.15M53.24M33.57M52.66M
Investing Cash Flow-183.49M141.23M-83.69M-481.00M20.62M
Financing Cash Flow184.75M-176.32M31.92M267.03M112.83M

Sierra Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price36.58
Price Trends
50DMA
35.10
Positive
100DMA
33.83
Positive
200DMA
31.45
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
69.33
Neutral
STOCH
91.89
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BSRR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 36.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.67, above the 50-day MA of 35.10, and above the 200-day MA of 31.45, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 91.89 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BSRR.

Sierra Bancorp Risk Analysis

Sierra Bancorp disclosed 10 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sierra Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sierra Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$648.60M9.599.79%2.12%32.03%170.90%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
67
Neutral
$436.87M9.532.24%3.76%23.93%
65
Neutral
$429.04M9.4110.03%1.41%9.76%4.43%
64
Neutral
$482.36M8.4011.07%3.03%-0.65%14.14%
64
Neutral
$501.17M9.1410.02%2.96%3.49%33.86%
49
Neutral
$386.37M26.693.15%-15.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
36.58
13.05
55.49%
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
27.09
8.05
42.31%
CWBC
Community West Bancshares
24.05
8.59
55.60%
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
24.17
6.30
35.28%
FRBA
First Bank
17.07
4.43
35.04%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
4.23
1.34
46.37%

Sierra Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Sierra Bancorp Leaders to Attend Janney CEO Forum
Neutral
Feb 2, 2026
Sierra Bancorp announced that President and CEO Kevin J. McPhaill and Executive Vice President and CFO Christopher G. Treece will attend the Janney West Coast CEO Forum on February 4–5, 2026, where they plan to meet with current and prospect...
DividendsFinancial Disclosures
Sierra Bancorp boosts quarterly dividend, extends long streak
Positive
Jan 30, 2026
On January 29, 2026, Sierra Bancorp’s board approved a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.26 per share, a 4% increase, or $0.01 per share, over the prior quarter’s payout, following its review of financial performance and capital fo...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 28, 2026