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Bank Of Marin Bancorp (BMRC)
NASDAQ:BMRC
US Market

Bank Of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) AI Stock Analysis

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BMRC

Bank Of Marin Bancorp

(NASDAQ:BMRC)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$30.00
▲(11.73% Upside)
BMRC scores as moderately attractive primarily due to improving financial performance (profitability recovery, steady cash generation, and a conservative balance sheet) and supportive technicals (price above key moving averages with positive MACD). The score is held back by a rich valuation (high P/E) and earnings-call risks tied to the recent large securities loss and related capital/near-term volatility considerations.
Positive Factors
Strong loan origination growth & pipeline
Sustained, diversified origination expansion increases core earning assets and future net interest income. A materially larger pipeline and heavy commercial mix support durable revenue growth and reduce reliance on volatile secondary income, improving scalability over the next 2–6 months.
Improving asset quality and coverage
Marked reductions in classified and non‑accrual loans and a healthy allowance ratio indicate lower credit stress and fewer future loss provisions. Stronger credit metrics support durable earnings stability, permit modest provision reductions, and free capacity for measured loan growth and capital returns.
Conservative balance sheet and solid cash generation
Consistent operating and free cash flow provides lasting financial flexibility to fund originations, dividends, subordinated debt servicing and targeted investments. A conservative funding profile and stable equity reduce insolvency risk and support capital actions without immediate dilution.
Negative Factors
Large one-time securities loss pressured capital
A sizeable realized securities loss materially reduced reported equity and capital ratios, forcing subordinated debt to replenish capital. That depletion tightens regulatory and strategic flexibility, increasing sensitivity to future shocks and potentially constraining lending or buybacks until capital rebuilds.
Historical earnings and cash-flow volatility
Volatile earnings and cash-flow history reduce predictability of returns and make planning for investment, margin improvement, and dividends harder. This cyclical sensitivity can limit investor confidence and requires sustained execution to prove stability across economic cycles.
Deposit volatility and rate sensitivity
Funding volatility from large accounts and rate-sensitive depositors increases reliance on costly or term funding and compresses net interest margin under stress. Persistent deposit churn demands higher liquidity buffers and active pricing, pressuring long-term margin stability and funding predictability.

Bank Of Marin Bancorp (BMRC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBank of Marin Bancorp operates as the holding company for Bank of Marin that provides a range of financial services primarily to small to medium-sized businesses, professionals, not-for-profit organizations, and individuals in California, the United States. It offers personal and business checking and savings accounts; and individual retirement, health savings, and demand deposit marketplace accounts, as well as time certificates of deposit, certificate of deposit account registry and insured cash sweep services. The company also provides commercial real estate, commercial and industrial, and consumer loans, as well as construction financing and home equity lines of credit. In addition, it offers merchant and payroll, and cash management services; credit cards; fraud detection tools; and mobile deposit, remote deposit capture, automated clearing house, wire transfer, and image lockbox services. Further, the company provides wealth management and trust services comprising customized investment portfolio management, financial planning, trust administration, estate settlement, and custody services, as well as 401(k) plan services; and automated teller machines, and telephone and digital banking services. It operates through 12 branch offices in Marin, southern Sonoma counties, and north of San Francisco, California; and a loan production office in San Francisco. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Novato, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyBank of Marin Bancorp generates revenue primarily through interest income from its loan portfolio and fees from various banking services. The core revenue streams include interest earned on loans to customers, such as commercial loans, residential mortgages, and consumer loans. Additionally, the bank earns non-interest income from service fees associated with deposit accounts, ATM transactions, and wealth management services. Significant partnerships with local businesses and community organizations enhance the bank's reach and customer base, contributing to its overall earnings. Moreover, effective cost management and a strong focus on customer service have allowed Bank of Marin to maintain profitability in a competitive banking environment.

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jan 26, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call described strong underlying operating momentum: robust loan origination (one of the best quarters in a decade), significant year-over-year origination growth (79%), improved asset quality (classified loans down 35% QoQ, non-accruals down 14% QoQ), deposit growth with lower deposit costs, rising net interest income, and a larger pipeline. These operational improvements were offset in the quarter by a large, one-time $69 million securities loss that produced a GAAP net loss of $39.5 million and pressured capital ratios. Management positioned the loss as strategic — completed a balance sheet repositioning that is expected to deliver ~25 bps of NIM lift and ~$0.40 of EPS accretion over 12 months, and replenished capital with subordinated debt to avoid equity dilution. Given the recurring-strength in loans, deposits, margins and reserves versus a single material one-time hit, the overall tone is constructive but tempered by the near-term accounting and capital effects.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Quarterly Loan Originations
Total loan originations of $141 million in Q4 with $106 million funded; over 90% of originations were commercial. Management called this one of the strongest quarters in the past decade.
Material Full-Year Loan Origination Growth
For the full year, originated $374 million in new loans, including $274 million funded, representing a 79% increase versus the prior year.
Improving Asset Quality
Classified loans declined 35% quarter-over-quarter to 1.5% of total loans (from 2.4%); non-accrual loans fell 14% to 1.3% of total loans (from 1.5%); past-due loans decreased to the lowest level since 2023.
Deposit Growth with Lower Cost
Total deposits increased during Q4 while the bank reduced its cost of deposits by 10 basis points; management highlighted account acquisition (~1,000 accounts opened) and ongoing success bringing new commercial relationships.
Balance Sheet Repositioning Expected to Drive Future Earnings and Margin
Completed repositioning of held-to-maturity portfolio to available-for-sale and sold 74% of legacy HTM. Management expects approximately $0.40 of EPS accretion over 12 months and ~25 basis points of net interest margin lift from the action.
Net Interest Income and NIM Expansion
Net interest income increased to $31.2 million in the quarter. Reported adjusted monthly NIM moved from 3.12% (October adjusted) to 3.42% (December), a ~30 basis point expansion during the quarter attributable to restructuring and targeted deposit cuts.
Strong Underwriting, Diversified Production and Pipeline
Originations were more diversified across commercial categories, geographies and property types; pipeline ~30% higher than a year ago. Management highlighted success in growth markets (e.g., Greater Sacramento) and contributions from recent hires.
Solid Reserves and Minor Credit Provision
Allowance for credit losses remains strong at 1.42% of total loans; provision for credit losses was minor in Q4 due to improved credit trends and substantial reserves.
Non-GAAP Profitability Improvements
Excluding securities repositioning loss, non-GAAP net income was $9.4 million ($0.59 per share). Non-GAAP pre-tax, pre-provision income increased 31% sequentially and 51% year-over-year.
Capital Actions and Shareholder Return
Replenished capital using subordinated debt (avoiding equity dilution). Board declared a $0.25 per share cash dividend—the 83rd consecutive quarterly dividend.
Negative Updates
Large One-Time Securities Loss and GAAP Net Loss
Recorded a $69 million loss on securities sales related to the portfolio repositioning, which drove a GAAP net loss of $39.5 million in Q4 (loss of $2.49 per share).
Capital Ratios Impacted
Securities sale losses reduced capital ratios below historical levels; although management replenished capital with subordinated debt and described current ratios as adequate, capital is lower than prior norms.
Quarterly Payoffs Offset Loan Growth
Despite strong originations, total loan growth was partially offset by $50 million of payoffs in the quarter (primarily non-owner occupied CRE and residential real estate), contributing to quarter-to-quarter volatility.
Industry-Specific Credit Pressure — Wine Sector
Management noted a downgrade of a wine industry credit to special mention, citing sector headwinds (declines in sales/visitation). Exposure is limited but this was a negative contributor to special mention increases.
Near-Term Expense and Seasonality Headwinds
Non-interest expense rose modestly ($100,000) in Q4; personnel-related costs are expected to be elevated in Q1 because of seasonal salary/benefit accrual resets, payroll taxes, incentive compensation and charitable giving. Management expects first-half seasonal deposit outflows.
Deposit Volatility from Large Accounts and Rate Sensitivity
Quarterly deposit fluctuations driven by large deposit customers (e.g., real estate transaction proceeds, public/fiduciary accounts) and some customer rate-shopping; management expects some ongoing volatility and potential outflows from rate-sensitive customers.
Realized Loss Reduced Reported EPS Despite Operational Strength
While restructuring is intended to create future benefit (EPS accretion ~$0.40), the immediate realized loss produced reported EPS dilution (GAAP loss $2.49 per share), affecting near-term reported performance metrics.
Company Guidance
Guidance: management expects the Q4 balance‑sheet repositioning to drive roughly $0.40 of EPS accretion and ~25 bps of NIM lift on a 12‑month basis (adjusted NIM moved from ~3.12% to ~3.42% in Q4, a ~30 bp quarterly expansion) and already saw net interest income of $31.2M; they plan targeted deposit cost reductions as markets price in 25–50 bps of Fed easing in 2026 (deposit costs fell ~10 bps in Q4; Dec. interest‑bearing cost ~2.08%, total deposit cost ~1.17%). Loan and deposit growth guidance calls for “solid” loan growth in 2026 (Q4 originations $141M / $106M funded; FY originations $374M / $274M funded, +79% y/y; pipeline ~30% higher y/y) while accepting seasonal H1 outflows, continued deposit growth, and modest provisions given improving credit (classified loans down 35% q/q to 1.5%; non‑accruals down 14% to 1.3%; ACL 1.42% of loans). They noted near‑term expense seasonality (Q1 payroll/benefit accruals and charitable giving), plan selective investments that may push expense above the 4.5% 2025 run‑rate, and will maintain capital and return capital (cash dividend $0.25 declared) after absorbing a $69M securities loss that produced a Q4 GAAP net loss of $39.5M ($2.49/sh) but non‑GAAP net income of $9.4M ($0.59/sh); pre‑tax, pre‑provision income rose 31% q/q and 51% y/y.

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Healthy overall profile with a clear TTM earnings rebound (Income Statement 72), conservative balance sheet and improving ROE (Balance Sheet 78), and solid ongoing/free cash flow generation (Cash Flow 74). The main constraint is meaningful year-to-year volatility, including the 2024 downturn, which lowers confidence in consistency.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Profitability has rebounded sharply in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) with positive operating earnings and a solid net margin after a loss in 2024. Revenue also recovered versus 2024 and margins improved meaningfully. The key weakness is earnings volatility across the period (strong 2021–2022, downturn in 2024, then rebound), which reduces confidence in consistency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet appears conservatively positioned with low leverage (debt modest relative to equity) and improving returns on equity in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) after turning negative in 2024. Equity has been relatively stable while assets have grown versus 2020. The main watch-out is that returns have not been consistently strong year-to-year, reflecting sensitivity in profitability.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Cash generation is solid, with positive operating cash flow and free cash flow across all periods shown, and free cash flow in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) covering most of net income. Free cash flow growth is positive in TTM after a decline in 2024, signaling improving momentum. A weakness is uneven cash flow growth over time, indicating some variability in underlying cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue135.84M116.39M141.70M140.69M118.46M108.19M
Gross Profit92.97M64.46M102.73M138.52M117.50M99.05M
EBITDA16.71M-11.39M29.48M66.84M47.76M43.59M
Net Income9.87M-8.41M19.89M46.59M33.23M30.24M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.87B3.70B3.80B4.15B4.31B2.91B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments272.31M273.04M30.55M46.66M1.52B592.67M
Total Debt19.59M21.66M75.20M251.08M25.85M29.90M
Total Liabilities3.43B3.27B3.36B3.74B3.86B2.55B
Stockholders Equity443.82M435.41M439.06M412.09M450.37M358.25M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow34.31M27.84M33.91M53.01M44.21M39.86M
Operating Cash Flow36.16M28.36M35.66M55.28M45.25M40.84M
Investing Cash Flow-99.70M195.17M334.69M-218.10M-340.67M-173.44M
Financing Cash Flow53.69M-116.69M-385.32M-139.40M442.73M149.53M

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.85
Price Trends
50DMA
26.70
Positive
100DMA
25.61
Positive
200DMA
23.92
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.05
Negative
RSI
51.78
Neutral
STOCH
26.17
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BMRC, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.51, above the 50-day MA of 26.70, and above the 200-day MA of 23.92, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.05 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.78 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 26.17 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for BMRC.

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Risk Analysis

Bank Of Marin Bancorp disclosed 25 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Bank Of Marin Bancorp reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$459.27M11.878.91%2.12%32.03%170.90%
69
Neutral
$432.14M-11.972.24%3.76%23.93%
69
Neutral
$399.11M10.3214.53%1.63%13.16%37.40%
69
Neutral
$477.41M12.0011.07%3.03%-0.65%14.14%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
60
Neutral
$466.02M9.339.73%2.96%3.49%33.86%
48
Neutral
$388.83M40.091.29%-15.07%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
26.85
3.22
13.63%
CWBC
Community West Bancshares
23.97
5.53
29.99%
CIVB
Civista Bancshares
24.13
3.90
19.28%
GCBC
Greene County Bancorp
23.44
-2.45
-9.46%
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
35.41
6.61
22.95%
BRBS
Blue Ridge Bankshares
4.25
1.08
34.07%

Bank Of Marin Bancorp Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
Bank of Marin Posts GAAP Loss but Strong Core Earnings
Negative
Jan 26, 2026

On January 26, 2026, Bank of Marin Bancorp reported that balance sheet repositioning, strong fourth-quarter 2025 loan originations and deposit growth drove higher net interest margin and improved asset quality, even as realized losses on securities sales produced a GAAP net loss of $39.5 million for the quarter and $35.7 million for full-year 2025, both wider than 2024. Excluding securities losses, non-GAAP net income rose 25% sequentially in the fourth quarter to $9.4 million and 82% year over year to $26.5 million for 2025, reflecting better loan yields, lower deposit costs, and tighter credit metrics, while capital ratios remained above well-capitalized thresholds and the board maintained its shareholder return commitment by declaring on January 22, 2026, its 83rd consecutive quarterly cash dividend of $0.25 per share, payable February 12, 2026.

The most recent analyst rating on (BMRC) stock is a Buy with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Marin Bancorp stock, see the BMRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing Changes
Bank of Marin Bancorp Upgrades to Nasdaq Global Select
Positive
Jan 12, 2026

Bank of Marin Bancorp, a banking and financial services company listed on Nasdaq, focuses on serving customers through its publicly traded common stock. The company announced that it received approval to transfer its common stock listing from the Nasdaq Capital Market to the Nasdaq Global Select Market, effective January 13, 2026, a move that signals its compliance with more stringent standards for corporate governance, financial strength, and stock liquidity, potentially enhancing its market standing and investor perception.

The most recent analyst rating on (BMRC) stock is a Hold with a $29.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Marin Bancorp stock, see the BMRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Bank of Marin Executives Join Stephens Bank Trip
Positive
Dec 3, 2025

On December 3, 2025, Bank of Marin Bancorp announced that its President and CEO, Tim Myers, and CFO, David Bonaccorso, will participate in the Stephens West Coast Bank Trip. The company reported a strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in net interest margin and significant deposit growth. The bank also highlighted improvements in credit quality, with a decrease in non-accrual and classified loans. These developments reflect the bank’s strategic focus on enhancing shareholder value through disciplined financial management and community engagement.

The most recent analyst rating on (BMRC) stock is a Hold with a $26.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Marin Bancorp stock, see the BMRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Bank of Marin Completes $45M Subordinated Notes Placement
Neutral
Nov 19, 2025

On November 19, 2025, Bank of Marin Bancorp announced the completion of a $45 million private placement of 6.750% Fixed-to-Floating Rate Subordinated Notes due 2035, rated BBB- by Kroll Bond Rating Agency. The proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, including repositioning its securities portfolio and supporting the growth of Bank of Marin. The strategic initiative is expected to enhance earnings power and shareholder value, despite a $59 million after-tax negative adjustment to equity due to the reclassification of its held-to-maturity securities portfolio. The company anticipates $8.3 million in incremental pre-tax income and an annual earnings per share increase of $0.37.

The most recent analyst rating on (BMRC) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Marin Bancorp stock, see the BMRC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
Bank of Marin Executives to Join Virtual Bank Event
Positive
Nov 18, 2025

Bank of Marin Bancorp announced that its executives, including CEO Tim Myers and CFO David Bonaccorso, will participate in the Keefe Bruyette & Woods Virtual West Coast Bank Field Trip on November 20, 2025. The company reported strong financial performance for the third quarter of 2025, with a notable increase in net interest margin and net income, alongside significant loan originations and deposit growth. The bank’s capital position remains robust, allowing for share repurchases, and its credit quality has improved with a decrease in non-accrual and classified loans. These developments reflect the bank’s strategic focus on long-term shareholder value and operational efficiency.

The most recent analyst rating on (BMRC) stock is a Buy with a $30.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Bank Of Marin Bancorp stock, see the BMRC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 28, 2026