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Savannah Petroleum PLC (GB:SAVE)
LSE:SAVE
UK Market

Savannah Petroleum (SAVE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:SAVE

Savannah Petroleum

(LSE:SAVE)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
7.50 p
▼(-3.23% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:01/09/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong profitability and revenue growth are offset by high leverage and concerning cash flow conversion/free cash flow trends. Technicals are momentum-positive but look overbought (high RSI/Stoch), while valuation is a notable positive due to the very low P/E.
Positive Factors
High reported profitability
Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk if oil prices or production dip. Elevated leverage increases interest burden and constrains the company's ability to fund development organically over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High reported profitability
Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.
Read all positive factors

Savannah Petroleum (SAVE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Savannah Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Savannah Energy PLC engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil. It holds license interest in Agadem Rift Basin prospective located in the south east Niger covering an area of approximately 13,655 square ki...
How the Company Makes Money
Savannah Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's key revenue streams include sales of crude oil and natural gas from its operational fields, along with pote...

Savannah Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement strength (78) is supported by revenue growth and strong margins, but balance sheet leverage (debt-to-equity 2.34; balance sheet score 65) and weak cash flow dynamics (cash flow score 55, including a sharp free cash flow growth decline and low operating cash flow to net income) meaningfully increase financial risk.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue209.44M227.03M224.18M212.50M185.80M169.00M
Gross Profit121.83M152.01M146.36M140.44M120.79M96.55M
EBITDA206.04M235.63M58.25M55.18M101.91M118.97M
Net Income93.76M31.00M14.86M-61.33M768.00K-6.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.29B1.57B1.52B1.76B1.35B1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments36.77M32.59M53.66M114.47M49.88M78.61M
Total Debt498.72M673.52M585.46M650.87M531.03M522.72M
Total Liabilities966.30M1.26B1.25B1.52B1.04B980.27M
Stockholders Equity304.65M287.95M254.50M233.42M292.90M229.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow45.92M93.58M20.27M52.13M95.60M104.02M
Operating Cash Flow61.62M116.73M33.22M75.69M128.12M115.57M
Investing Cash Flow-45.14M20.02M109.32M22.65M-123.24M-11.32M
Financing Cash Flow-27.03M-113.15M-116.80M-22.99M-25.16M-76.72M

Savannah Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price7.75
Price Trends
50DMA
8.27
Negative
100DMA
7.41
Positive
200DMA
7.27
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.21
Positive
RSI
40.36
Neutral
STOCH
44.87
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SAVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 8.43, below the 50-day MA of 8.27, and above the 200-day MA of 7.27, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 44.87 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:SAVE.

Savannah Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
£230.53M9.290.66%-32.66%72.67%
69
Neutral
£142.73M0.4531.64%7.74%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
51
Neutral
£165.79M-1.81%-100.00%-84.62%
50
Neutral
£142.90M-24.27-11.54%-0.20%-25.68%
44
Neutral
£149.46M2.3753.68%4.56%
44
Neutral
£203.64M-3.20-136.50%-16.87%21.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:SAVE
Savannah Petroleum
7.75
0.25
3.33%
GB:GENL
Genel Energy
51.90
0.50
0.97%
GB:CNE
Capricorn Energy PLC
330.00
116.00
54.21%
GB:PANR
Pantheon Resources
11.40
-43.60
-79.27%
GB:JSE
Jadestone Energy Inc
27.50
6.50
30.95%
GB:KIST
Kistos PLC
245.00
119.00
94.44%

Savannah Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy Boosts Cash Collections and Expands African Power and Hydrocarbon Portfolio in 2025
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
Savannah Energy reported an execution-focused 2025, marked by stronger cash generation and active portfolio expansion despite lower average production and revenue. In Nigeria, the completion of the SIPEC acquisition underpinned an 18‑month e...
Other
Savannah Energy CEO Consolidates 13.81% Stake Through Internal Share Transfers
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Chief Executive Officer and Director Andrew Knott has undertaken internal transfers of a total of 135,261,638 ordinary shares between companies he beneficially owns, in order to consolidate his holdings into ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Savannah Energy Finalises Relationship Agreement with NIPCO Plc
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has finalised and entered into a relationship agreement with NIPCO Plc following the completion of regulatory consultation, confirming the terms previously outlined in late December 2025. The conclusion of this agreement formal...
Business Operations and Strategy
Savannah Energy Appoints Tennyson Securities as Joint Broker
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC, a UK-based independent energy company focused on key energy infrastructure projects in Africa, operates with a strategic emphasis on delivering impactful projects that support regional development and energy access. The compan...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Savannah Energy Non-Executive Director Sells 1.5 Million Shares
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Non-Executive Director Mark Iannotti sold 1.5 million existing ordinary shares in the company at 8.1p per share on 8 January 2026, in a transaction conducted on the London Stock Exchange’s AIM market. T...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Savannah Energy Bolsters Board with Appointment of Nigerian Legal Senior Advocate
Positive
Jan 2, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has strengthened its board with the appointment of Nigerian legal heavyweight Kehinde Olamide Ogunwumiju as a non-executive director, effective immediately, as the company pursues its growth strategy across Africa. Ogunwumiju, ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Savannah Energy Reshapes Shareholder Base as NIPCO and CEO Lift Stakes
Positive
Dec 30, 2025
Savannah Energy PLC has completed a series of secondary market transactions in its ordinary shares, resulting in Nigerian downstream group NIPCO increasing its stake to about 26.5% of the company’s issued share capital. At the same time, CEO...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy Reshapes Capital Plan as NIPCO Lifts Stake and CEO Increases Holding
Positive
Dec 30, 2025
Savannah Energy plans to enter a formal relationship agreement with its largest shareholder, NIPCO Plc, as NIPCO moves to increase its stake in the company to as much as 26.5% through secondary market share purchases. In tandem, Savannah will term...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Savannah Energy Targets Multi-Country Growth as Cash Collections Rise and Nigerian, East African Projects Advance
Positive
Dec 30, 2025
Savannah Energy reported an 11-month 2025 operational and financial update showing resilient performance despite lower average gross daily production of 19.1 Kboepd, supported by higher cash collections of US$260.8 million, modestly lower revenues...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Savannah Energy Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions
Positive
Nov 28, 2025
Savannah Energy PLC announced that all resolutions at its recent General Meeting were approved by a significant majority. The resolutions included the approval of a Buyback Agreement and the purchase of the company’s own shares, indicating s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026