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Capricorn Energy PLC (GB:CNE)
:CNE
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Capricorn Energy PLC (CNE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CNE

Capricorn Energy PLC

(LSE:CNE)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
222.00p
▲(5.71% Upside)
Capricorn Energy PLC's overall stock score is driven by a mixed financial performance and bearish technical indicators. While recent earnings call highlights cost reductions and strategic plans, valuation concerns and operational challenges weigh on the score.
Positive Factors
Cost Reduction
Significant cost reduction efforts enhance operational efficiency and profitability, positioning the company for sustainable financial health.
Debt Management
Effective debt management and shareholder returns reflect strong financial stewardship, improving long-term financial stability and investor confidence.
Production Sharing Contract
Enhanced fiscal terms and extended contract life in Egypt boost production potential and reserve longevity, supporting long-term growth.
Negative Factors
Revenue Volatility
Erratic revenue growth indicates challenges in maintaining consistent income streams, potentially impacting long-term financial planning and stability.
Operational Costs
Rising operational costs due to external factors like currency devaluation can pressure margins, affecting profitability and cash flow sustainability.
Receivables Risk
Receivables risk from fiscal issues in Egypt could strain cash flow, impacting liquidity and operational flexibility over the medium term.

Capricorn Energy PLC (CNE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Capricorn Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapricorn Energy PLC operates as an independent oil and gas exploration, development, and production company. The company holds a portfolio of exploration, development, and production assets in the United Kingdom, Israel, Egypt, Mauritania, Mexico, and Suriname. Its activities focused in North West Europe, North and West Africa, and Latin America. The company was formerly known as Cairn Energy PLC and changed its name to Capricorn Energy PLC in December 2021. Capricorn Energy PLC was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapricorn Energy generates revenue primarily through the exploration and production (E&P) of oil and gas. The company earns money by selling crude oil and natural gas extracted from its operational fields. Key revenue streams include the sale of hydrocarbons produced from its assets, which is influenced by global oil and gas prices. Additionally, the company often engages in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy firms, allowing it to share operational costs and risks while enhancing its production capabilities. Factors contributing to its earnings also include the management of production costs, successful exploration activities that lead to new resource discoveries, and strategic investments in technology that improve extraction efficiency.

Capricorn Energy PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in cost reduction, debt management, and milestone contract approvals in Egypt, which are expected to enhance value and production potential. However, challenges remain with increased operational costs, difficulties in the UK North Sea, and receivables risk, indicating a balanced outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Major Milestone in Egypt
Achieved a major milestone with government approval of consolidated production sharing contract terms in Egypt, enhancing fiscal terms and extending contract life.
Significant Cost Reduction
Reduced General and Administrative (G&A) expenses by approximately 80%, including staffing reductions, effectively rightsizing the organization.
Investment and Debt Management
Returned over $600 million to investors through dividends and share buybacks, and materially paid down debt in Egypt.
Production and Revenue Guidance
Production guidance remains at 17,000 to 21,000 BOE per day, with liquids slightly above forecast at 43% of production.
Improved Collections
Anticipated collection of at least $90 million in the second half of 2025, with improved collections from EGPC.
Negative Updates
Increased Operational Costs
OpEx is trending upwards due to currency devaluation from last year, exacerbated by declining production against a large fixed cost base.
Challenges in UK North Sea
Despite efforts, unable to successfully conclude deals in the UK North Sea, due to being outbid or sellers retaining assets.
Exploration Commitments
Fulfilled legacy exploration commitments with minor overspend, but commerciality of wells yet to be evaluated.
Receivables Risk
Concern over working capital burn due to Egypt's fiscal issues and payment prioritization, affecting cash flow.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Capricorn's management outlined significant progress and future plans with a focus on enhancing shareholder value. Key metrics discussed include a reduction of General and Administrative (G&A) costs by approximately 80% and returning over $600 million to investors through dividends and share buybacks. The company aims to maintain production between 17,000 and 21,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day, with a current liquid production proportion of 43%. Operational efficiencies and fiscal terms improvements from a new production sharing contract in Egypt are expected to boost reserves and production. Additionally, the company is targeting $90 million in collections in the second half of 2025 to offset outstanding debt, while considering further opportunities in the U.K. North Sea and potential synergistic acquisitions to drive future growth.

Capricorn Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Capricorn Energy PLC shows mixed financial performance. While there is a return to modest profitability and improved free cash flow, revenue and profit margins remain volatile. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels, but the inconsistency in financial results poses risks.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Capricorn Energy PLC has shown volatility in its revenue and profit margins over recent years. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly since 2019, and net income has been inconsistent with significant losses in some years. However, the company returned to profitability in 2024 with a modest net profit margin of 5.96%. Revenue growth has been erratic, with a notable decline from 2023 to 2024, indicating potential challenges in sustaining revenue streams.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate level of stability, supported by a declining debt-to-equity ratio over the years, reaching 0.30 by the end of 2024. This indicates a conservative leverage position. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased, showing reduced shareholder equity relative to total assets. Despite this, Capricorn maintains a strong cash position with negative net debt, suggesting a solid liquidity position in the short term.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Capricorn Energy's cash flow statement shows improvement in free cash flow in 2024, turning positive after a negative figure in 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests sufficient cash generation relative to net earnings, yet historical fluctuations in free and operating cash flows highlight potential underlying operational challenges. The company's ability to generate positive free cash flow in recent periods is a positive indicator.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.80M177.90M255.10M229.60M57.10M400.00K
Gross Profit34.00M51.20M75.10M149.20M20.80M-11.70M
EBITDA102.80M116.30M41.70M3.30M950.40M72.60M
Net Income2.30M10.60M-144.00M-67.10M894.50M-393.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets537.20M619.70M667.60M1.53B2.25B1.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.10M123.40M189.50M891.20M400.70M574.80M
Total Debt69.50M105.40M119.20M162.90M180.70M240.00M
Total Liabilities188.60M270.40M261.10M341.40M447.80M509.70M
Stockholders Equity348.60M349.30M406.50M1.12B1.80B1.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.80M44.50M-100.80M-10.40M153.00M-16.20M
Operating Cash Flow44.00M86.10M-39.90M63.50M179.90M257.90M
Investing Cash Flow-26.20M-51.30M120.80M963.90M-296.00M225.60M
Financing Cash Flow-68.70M-97.30M-646.20M-579.60M-147.90M-69.30M

Capricorn Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price210.00
Price Trends
50DMA
211.81
Negative
100DMA
220.86
Negative
200DMA
244.25
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.86
Negative
RSI
51.08
Neutral
STOCH
56.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CNE, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 210 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 208.56, below the 50-day MA of 211.81, and below the 200-day MA of 244.25, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.86 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 51.08 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 56.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:CNE.

Capricorn Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
$192.18M-11.54%-0.20%-25.68%
52
Neutral
£145.31M17.20-6.29%-32.66%72.67%
52
Neutral
£132.57M8.6356.01%4.56%
49
Neutral
£157.64M4.56-32.47%-1490.91%
48
Neutral
£134.24M-92.03%-16.87%21.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CNE
Capricorn Energy PLC
210.00
-5.50
-2.55%
GB:GENL
Genel Energy
68.00
-10.20
-13.04%
GB:SAVE
Savannah Petroleum
7.00
-19.20
-73.28%
GB:TLW
Tullow Oil
11.10
-14.44
-56.54%
GB:JSE
Jadestone Energy Inc
23.75
-5.25
-18.10%
GB:KIST
Kistos PLC
160.00
49.50
44.80%

Capricorn Energy PLC Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capricorn Energy to Present 2025 Interim Results Live
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC announced that CEO Randy Neely will present the company’s Interim Results for 2025 via a live session on Investor Meet Company on September 18, 2025. This presentation is accessible to both current and potential shareholders, allowing them to submit questions ahead of or during the event. This initiative underscores Capricorn’s commitment to transparency and engagement with its investors, potentially enhancing its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Buy with a £360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capricorn Energy PLC Announces Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Aug 29, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC has announced its total voting rights as of August 29, 2025. The company has 70,558,339 ordinary shares in issue, each with voting rights, and holds no shares in treasury. This disclosure is crucial for shareholders to determine their notification requirements under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Buy with a £360.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyLegal Proceedings
Capricorn Energy Faces Challenges in Recovering $29.5 Million from Waldorf
Negative
Aug 19, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC announced that the High Court has refused to sanction Waldorf Production UK Plc’s restructuring plan, which affects the $29.5 million owed to Capricorn from a previous agreement. Despite ongoing discussions with Waldorf, Capricorn anticipates challenges in fully recovering the amount due to Waldorf’s financial difficulties.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Buy with a £290.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capricorn Energy PLC Announces Total Voting Shares
Neutral
Jul 31, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC announced the total number of shares in its capital as of 31 July 2025, which stands at 70,558,339 ordinary shares, each with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders to calculate their interests or changes in interests under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules, impacting how they manage their stakes in the company.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Buy with a £290.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Capricorn Energy Reports Strategic Progress and Operational Updates Ahead of Half-Year Results
Positive
Jul 22, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC has announced significant progress in its strategic priorities, particularly in its Egyptian operations, as it prepares to release its half-year results. The company has secured EGPC board approval for renewed concession terms, marking a pivotal milestone for its Egyptian business. With a payment plan in place with the Egyptian General Petroleum Corporation, Capricorn is set to enhance its investment program, aiming to increase reserves and improve value in its Western Desert assets. The company is also evaluating strategic investment opportunities in the region and the UK North Sea, reflecting its focus on cash flow growth through diversification. In the first half of 2025, Capricorn’s production in the Western Desert averaged 20,000 boepd, slightly above the mid-point of its full-year guidance. The company plans to drill 10 development wells in the second half of 2025, targeting liquids in the Badr El Din area. Capricorn’s reserves auditor is evaluating the expected reserves increment from consolidating its Egyptian concession agreements, with an anticipated conversion of resources to 2P reserves of up to 20 mmboe.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Buy with a £290.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 09, 2025