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Capricorn Energy PLC (GB:CNE)
LSE:CNE

Capricorn Energy PLC (CNE) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:CNE

Capricorn Energy PLC

(LSE:CNE)

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Neutral 61 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:61Neutral
Price Target:
273.00p
▲(5.41% Upside)
The score is driven by improving financial stability and cash positioning alongside strong technical uptrend signals, partially offset by historically volatile profitability/revenue and a weak valuation signal (negative P/E). Earnings call messaging supports the outlook via cost cuts and shareholder returns, but receivables and cost/operational risks temper confidence.
Positive Factors
Conservative leverage & strong liquidity
A declining debt-to-equity ratio and negative net debt signal conservative leverage and ample liquidity. This structural balance-sheet strength improves resilience to oil price cycles, supports capital allocation (capex, buybacks, dividends) and reduces refinancing risk over the next 2-6 months.
Free cash flow turned positive
Sustained positive free cash flow is a durable indicator of operational cash generation. It enables self-funding of maintenance capex, debt reduction and shareholder returns, strengthening financial flexibility and lowering reliance on external financing during commodity volatility.
Improved fiscal terms in Egypt
Better fiscal terms and extended contract life materially improve project economics and reserve recovery. This structural improvement increases long-term production visibility, encourages investment in Egypt assets, and can lift margins and reserve longevity versus prior terms.
Negative Factors
Revenue volatility & inconsistent profitability
Erratic revenue growth and historically wide swings in profitability reduce predictability of cash flows and planning. Persistent volatility can limit capital allocation confidence, increase financing needs during downturns, and make sustaining investment or payouts harder.
Rising operating costs amid declining production
Increasing operating costs combined with falling volumes raise unit costs and squeeze margins. With a high fixed-cost base, sustained production declines can structurally erode profitability and free cash flow, pressuring returns and necessitating further cost or portfolio actions.
Receivables & working capital risk in Egypt
Material receivables exposure to EGPC and delayed collections create structural cash-flow uncertainty. Persistent payment delays can force higher short-term financing, constrain reinvestment or shareholder returns, and amplify liquidity risk despite on‑balance-sheet cash.

Capricorn Energy PLC (CNE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

Capricorn Energy PLC Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCapricorn Energy PLC operates as an independent oil and gas exploration, development, and production company. The company holds a portfolio of exploration, development, and production assets in the United Kingdom, Israel, Egypt, Mauritania, Mexico, and Suriname. Its activities focused in North West Europe, North and West Africa, and Latin America. The company was formerly known as Cairn Energy PLC and changed its name to Capricorn Energy PLC in December 2021. Capricorn Energy PLC was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Edinburgh, the United Kingdom.
How the Company Makes MoneyCapricorn Energy makes money primarily through the exploration, production, and sale of oil and natural gas. The company generates revenue by extracting hydrocarbons from its operational assets and selling them in the global energy markets. Key revenue streams include the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company also benefits from cost-effective extraction methods and operational efficiencies that enhance profit margins. Additionally, Capricorn Energy may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other energy companies, which can provide shared resources, reduced financial risks, and enhanced access to new markets. The fluctuating prices of oil and gas commodities, along with strategic asset management, play significant roles in influencing the company's overall financial performance.

Capricorn Energy PLC Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 18, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant achievements in cost reduction, debt management, and milestone contract approvals in Egypt, which are expected to enhance value and production potential. However, challenges remain with increased operational costs, difficulties in the UK North Sea, and receivables risk, indicating a balanced outlook.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Major Milestone in Egypt
Achieved a major milestone with government approval of consolidated production sharing contract terms in Egypt, enhancing fiscal terms and extending contract life.
Significant Cost Reduction
Reduced General and Administrative (G&A) expenses by approximately 80%, including staffing reductions, effectively rightsizing the organization.
Investment and Debt Management
Returned over $600 million to investors through dividends and share buybacks, and materially paid down debt in Egypt.
Production and Revenue Guidance
Production guidance remains at 17,000 to 21,000 BOE per day, with liquids slightly above forecast at 43% of production.
Improved Collections
Anticipated collection of at least $90 million in the second half of 2025, with improved collections from EGPC.
Negative Updates
Increased Operational Costs
OpEx is trending upwards due to currency devaluation from last year, exacerbated by declining production against a large fixed cost base.
Challenges in UK North Sea
Despite efforts, unable to successfully conclude deals in the UK North Sea, due to being outbid or sellers retaining assets.
Exploration Commitments
Fulfilled legacy exploration commitments with minor overspend, but commerciality of wells yet to be evaluated.
Receivables Risk
Concern over working capital burn due to Egypt's fiscal issues and payment prioritization, affecting cash flow.
Company Guidance
In the recent call, Capricorn's management outlined significant progress and future plans with a focus on enhancing shareholder value. Key metrics discussed include a reduction of General and Administrative (G&A) costs by approximately 80% and returning over $600 million to investors through dividends and share buybacks. The company aims to maintain production between 17,000 and 21,000 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day, with a current liquid production proportion of 43%. Operational efficiencies and fiscal terms improvements from a new production sharing contract in Egypt are expected to boost reserves and production. Additionally, the company is targeting $90 million in collections in the second half of 2025 to offset outstanding debt, while considering further opportunities in the U.K. North Sea and potential synergistic acquisitions to drive future growth.

Capricorn Energy PLC Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mixed fundamentals: earnings and margins have been volatile with uneven revenue trends, but 2024 returned to modest profitability. Balance sheet leverage is conservative (debt-to-equity down to ~0.30) with strong liquidity/negative net debt, and free cash flow improved to positive in 2024, though cash generation has fluctuated historically.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Capricorn Energy PLC has shown volatility in its revenue and profit margins over recent years. The gross profit margin has decreased significantly since 2019, and net income has been inconsistent with significant losses in some years. However, the company returned to profitability in 2024 with a modest net profit margin of 5.96%. Revenue growth has been erratic, with a notable decline from 2023 to 2024, indicating potential challenges in sustaining revenue streams.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet reveals a moderate level of stability, supported by a declining debt-to-equity ratio over the years, reaching 0.30 by the end of 2024. This indicates a conservative leverage position. However, the equity ratio has slightly decreased, showing reduced shareholder equity relative to total assets. Despite this, Capricorn maintains a strong cash position with negative net debt, suggesting a solid liquidity position in the short term.
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
Capricorn Energy's cash flow statement shows improvement in free cash flow in 2024, turning positive after a negative figure in 2023. The operating cash flow to net income ratio suggests sufficient cash generation relative to net earnings, yet historical fluctuations in free and operating cash flows highlight potential underlying operational challenges. The company's ability to generate positive free cash flow in recent periods is a positive indicator.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue156.80M177.90M255.10M229.60M57.10M400.00K
Gross Profit34.00M51.20M75.10M149.20M20.80M-11.70M
EBITDA102.80M116.30M41.70M3.30M950.40M72.60M
Net Income2.30M10.60M-144.00M-67.10M894.50M-393.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets537.20M619.70M667.60M1.53B2.25B1.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments84.10M123.40M189.50M891.20M400.70M574.80M
Total Debt69.50M105.40M119.20M162.90M180.70M240.00M
Total Liabilities188.60M270.40M261.10M341.40M447.80M509.70M
Stockholders Equity348.60M349.30M406.50M1.12B1.80B1.13B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-8.80M44.50M-100.80M-10.40M153.00M-16.20M
Operating Cash Flow44.00M86.10M-39.90M63.50M179.90M257.90M
Investing Cash Flow-26.20M-51.30M120.80M963.90M-296.00M225.60M
Financing Cash Flow-68.70M-97.30M-646.20M-579.60M-147.90M-69.30M

Capricorn Energy PLC Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price259.00
Price Trends
50DMA
206.16
Positive
100DMA
204.26
Positive
200DMA
213.94
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
11.16
Negative
RSI
78.06
Negative
STOCH
93.62
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:CNE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 259 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 227.03, above the 50-day MA of 206.16, and above the 200-day MA of 213.94, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 11.16 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.06 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.62 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:CNE.

Capricorn Energy PLC Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
£89.93M22.021.91%6.46%-9.43%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
61
Neutral
£180.93M-10.98-6.29%-32.66%72.67%
58
Neutral
£230.77M-2.69-26.37%4.36%-18.05%-634.88%
56
Neutral
£119.62M-0.76-32.47%-1490.91%
55
Neutral
£171.81M-4.09-11.54%-0.20%-25.68%
44
Neutral
£194.73M-5.34-92.03%-16.87%21.18%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:CNE
Capricorn Energy PLC
259.00
-55.00
-17.52%
GB:GENL
Genel Energy
62.40
-7.60
-10.86%
GB:ENQ
Enquest
12.38
1.15
10.23%
GB:TLW
Tullow Oil
8.11
-9.61
-54.23%
GB:PHAR
Pharos Energy
21.80
-0.45
-2.03%
GB:KIST
Kistos PLC
235.00
108.00
85.04%

Capricorn Energy PLC Corporate Events

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capricorn Energy Confirms Total Voting Rights and Share Capital Structure
Neutral
Jan 30, 2026

Capricorn Energy PLC has confirmed that, as of 30 January 2026, it has 70,558,339 ordinary shares in issue, each carrying one voting right, and that it holds no shares in treasury. The updated total voting rights figure provides the denominator investors must use to assess whether they are required to disclose their holdings or changes in their stake under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules, offering clarity on the company’s capital structure and obligations for significant shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Hold with a £252.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Capricorn Energy Beats 2025 Production Guidance and Strengthens Balance Sheet
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

Capricorn Energy reported that its 2025 working interest production averaged 20,175 boepd, above guidance, with a year-end rate of 21,003 boepd driven by new development wells and a successful waterflood in the Badr El Din field, while promising exploration results in the North Um Baraka and South East Horus licences are paving the way for new development and licence phase progression from 2026 onwards. Financially, the company has sharply reduced Egyptian receivables, fully repaid its Senior Debt Facility, lowered its Junior Debt Facility to $30m, and ended 2025 with an estimated net cash position of about $103m, while also agreeing terms to settle unsecured claims tied to Harbour Energy’s planned acquisition of Waldorf Production and preparing to capitalise on a newly approved integrated concession agreement in Egypt expected to support future production and reserves.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Hold with a £201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capricorn Energy Confirms Share Capital and Voting Rights as of Year-End 2025
Neutral
Dec 31, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC has confirmed that, as of 31 December 2025, it has 70,558,339 ordinary shares in issue, each carrying one voting right, and holds no shares in treasury. This updated share capital figure provides the denominator shareholders must use to assess and report any interests or changes in interests in the company, in line with UK Disclosure and Transparency Rules, ensuring continued compliance and clarity for investors and regulators.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Hold with a £201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

M&A Transactions
Capricorn Energy Supports Waldorf Acquisition by Harbour Energy
Neutral
Dec 12, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC has entered into a lock-up agreement supporting the acquisition of Waldorf Production UK Plc by a subsidiary of Harbour Energy plc. As part of this agreement, Capricorn will receive a payment of approximately $4 million to $5 million in exchange for compromising its unsecured claims against Waldorf, while retaining the right to participate in potential residual claims. The completion of this transaction is contingent upon various regulatory approvals and may necessitate a further restructuring plan.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Hold with a £201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Capricorn Energy PLC Announces Total Voting Rights
Neutral
Nov 28, 2025

Capricorn Energy PLC announced the total number of shares in its capital as of November 28, 2025, which stands at 70,558,339 ordinary shares, each with voting rights. This information is crucial for shareholders as it helps them determine their interests in the company under the Disclosure and Transparency Rules.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:CNE) stock is a Hold with a £201.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Capricorn Energy PLC stock, see the GB:CNE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 31, 2026