Genel Energy (GENL) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £171.81M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 507.84K
• Price to Earnings (P/E): ―
• Beta (1Y): 1.63
• Revenue Growth: -0.20%
• EPS Growth: -25.68%
• Country: UK
• Employees: 76
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.22
• Shares Outstanding: 279,402,860
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 325,149
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 507,839
• PEG Ratio: -0.11
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.64
• Price to Sales (P/S): 3.05
• P/FCF Ratio: 5.42
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 55 Neutral
• Price Target: 66.00p ▲(14.58% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial performance: ongoing profitability and revenue pressure are balanced by positive operating cash flow, improved free cash flow, and manageable debt. Technicals are largely neutral with a slightly negative MACD, while valuation is constrained by a negative P/E and no dividend yield data.

Positive Factors

Improved free cash flow

The swing to positive and materially improved free cash flow is a durable strength: it increases the company's ability to fund maintenance and development capex, reduce debt, and withstand oil price volatility without immediate equity raises, enhancing long-term financial flexibility.

Decreasing debt / manageable leverage

A falling debt load and manageable leverage reduce refinancing and default risk, lowering interest burden and improving room for project investment. This structural de-leveraging supports sustainable operations and better funding capacity across commodity cycles.

Low-cost, technology-led asset base

Focus on high-quality, low-cost assets and operational technologies gives a lasting competitive edge: lower breakevens and improved recovery rates support margin resilience in downcycles and enable higher returns on capital as projects mature.

Negative Factors

Weak profitability and margin erosion

Sustained negative operating and net results and falling gross margins indicate structural profitability issues. Without durable margin recovery or production improvements, the company may struggle to self-fund growth and sustain returns, pressuring capital allocation.

Sharp top-line and EPS decline

Material multi-year declines in revenue and EPS reflect persistent operational or market headwinds. Continued top-line contraction erodes cash generation capacity, risks higher financing costs or asset disposals, and limits the firm's ability to invest counter-cyclically.

Eroding shareholder equity

A declining equity base weakens the balance sheet's shock absorption, reducing borrowing headroom and increasing vulnerability to commodity shocks or capex needs. Persistent equity erosion may force dilutive raises or costly refinancing, harming long-term stability.

Genel Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Genel Energy plc, through its subsidiaries, operates as an independent oil and gas exploration and production company. It operates through two segments, Production and Pre-production. The Production segment holds a 25% working interest in the Tawke PSC; 44% working interest in the Taq Taq PSC; and 30% working interest in the Sarta PSC located in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI). The Pre-Production segment holds a 40% working interest Qara Dagh PSC located in KRI; 50% working interest in Odewayne and 51% working interest in SL10B13 located in Somaliland; and 75% working interest in Lagzira in Morocco. As of December 31, 2021, the company had 63 millions of barrels (MMbbls) of proven net working interest reserves, and 104 MMbbls of proven plus probable net working interest reserves. Genel Energy plc is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Genel Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas. The company operates by extracting hydrocarbons from its fields and selling them to refineries and other customers. Key revenue streams include revenues from production-sharing contracts and service agreements, which dictate the terms under which Genel operates in its exploration and production activities. Additionally, strategic partnerships with local governments and international oil companies bolster its operational capabilities and market reach. Fluctuations in global oil prices significantly affect its earnings, as the company primarily sells its production in an international market. Furthermore, effective cost management and investment in technology to enhance recovery rates contribute to its profitability.

Genel Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Financial statements are mixed: weak profitability and a sharp revenue decline (income statement score 45) are partly offset by manageable leverage and decreasing debt (balance sheet score 60) plus consistently positive operating cash flow and improved free cash flow in 2024 (cash flow score 70).

Income Statement

The company has struggled with profitability, as evidenced by negative EBIT and net income in recent years. Gross profit margin has declined significantly, and revenue dropped sharply from 2022 to 2024. However, there was a slight recovery in EBITDA margin from 2023 to 2024.

Balance Sheet

The balance sheet shows a stable equity position with a decreasing total debt level, contributing to a manageable debt-to-equity ratio. However, a reduction in stockholders' equity over the years raises concerns about financial resilience.

Cash Flow

Despite operational challenges, the company has consistently generated positive operating cash flow. The free cash flow improved significantly in 2024 compared to a negative figure in 2023, indicating better cash management.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	72.90M	74.70M	84.80M	432.70M	334.90M	159.70M
Gross Profit	-23.70M	5.00M	29.80M	232.50M	116.30M	-26.30M
EBITDA	-8.30M	8.30M	43.20M	300.00M	-106.20M	-212.10M
Net Income	-54.40M	-76.90M	-61.30M	-7.30M	-308.00M	-416.90M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	566.10M	598.90M	795.10M	943.50M	1.02B	1.55B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	225.00M	195.00M	363.40M	494.60M	313.70M	354.50M
Total Debt	90.60M	65.80M	244.20M	269.50M	278.10M	358.10M
Total Liabilities	205.20M	241.60M	361.20M	415.70M	435.30M	620.80M
Stockholders Equity	360.90M	357.30M	433.90M	527.80M	581.10M	929.80M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	29.00M	42.10M	-43.40M	264.20M	115.50M	19.70M
Operating Cash Flow	49.70M	66.90M	55.10M	412.40M	228.10M	129.40M
Investing Cash Flow	-19.90M	-24.80M	-98.50M	-148.20M	-112.60M	-106.70M
Financing Cash Flow	-175.20M	-209.90M	-87.80M	-83.30M	-156.30M	-58.90M

Genel Energy Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 57.60
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Negative
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Neutral
• STOCH: Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:GENL, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 57.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.42, below the 50-day MA of 59.13, and below the 200-day MA of 60.44, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 59.11 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:GENL.

Genel Energy Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SAVE	69 Neutral	£130.76M	1.11	34.81%	―	7.74%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CNE	61 Neutral	£180.93M	-10.98	-6.29%	―	-32.66%	72.67%
ENQ	58 Neutral	£230.77M	-2.69	-26.37%	4.36%	-18.05%	-634.88%
GENL	55 Neutral	£171.81M	-4.09	-11.54%	―	-0.20%	-25.68%
JSE	54 Neutral	£136.90M	8.99	56.01%	―	4.56%	―
KIST	44 Neutral	£194.73M	-5.34	-92.03%	―	-16.87%	21.18%

Genel Energy Corporate Events

Genel Energy Director Sells Over 50,000 Shares

Genel Energy announced that Yetik K. Mert, an Independent Non-Executive Director, sold a total of 50,659 ordinary shares in two transactions on 27 and 28 November 2025. This transaction, disclosed in compliance with EU Market Abuse Regulation, may have implications for investor perceptions and the company’s stock performance.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GENL) stock is a Hold with a £62.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genel Energy stock, see the GB:GENL Stock Forecast page.

Genel Energy Announces Directorate Change Following Chair’s Retirement

Genel Energy has announced a change in its board of directors due to the retirement of David McManus as Chair following a period of ill health. Canan Ediboğlu has been appointed as interim Chair, and Yetik K. Mert as interim Senior Independent Director, until a permanent Chair is found. This leadership transition comes after McManus’s significant contributions during a challenging period, and the company expresses gratitude for his service.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:GENL) stock is a Hold with a £64.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Genel Energy stock, see the GB:GENL Stock Forecast page.