Savannah Petroleum (SAVE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £174.96M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 0.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 1.5
• Beta (1Y): 0.69
• Revenue Growth: 7.74%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: UK
• Employees: 278
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 2,120,654,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.01
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.02
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.05
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: 7.50p ▼(-3.23% Downside)
• Action: Reiterated Date: 01/09/26
• Date: Action: Reiterated 01/09/26

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong profitability and revenue growth are offset by high leverage and concerning cash flow conversion/free cash flow trends. Technicals are momentum-positive but look overbought (high RSI/Stoch), while valuation is a notable positive due to the very low P/E.

Positive Factors

High reported profitability

Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.

Consistent revenue growth & regional focus

Steady revenue growth and a clear regional development strategy in West Africa point to repeatable production ramp potential. Local partnerships and focus on high‑potential assets can sustain project pipelines and incremental production growth over the medium term.

Solid free cash flow relative to net income

A FCF-to-net-income ratio near 80% suggests the business can translate earnings into distributable cash when production is stable. That structural ability to generate cash supports capital spending, debt service or partner-funded development across the next several quarters.

Negative Factors

High leverage

A high debt-to-equity ratio materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk if oil prices or production dip. Elevated leverage increases interest burden and constrains the company's ability to fund development organically over multiple quarters.

Weak cash conversion trends

Very low OCF-to-net-income and an extreme FCF growth collapse signal volatile cash generation and working capital or capex swings. Poor cash conversion undermines resilience to shocks and can force external financing or asset sales within a 2–6 month horizon.

Concentrated geographic exposure

Concentration in Nigeria and Niger creates persistent political, regulatory and operational risk (permits, security, local content rules). Such country exposure can disrupt production or project timelines and affect medium‑term reserve development plans.

Savannah Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Savannah Energy PLC engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil. It holds license interest in Agadem Rift Basin prospective located in the south east Niger covering an area of approximately 13,655 square kilometers. The company also has an 80% interest in the Uquo field asset; 51% interest in the Stubb Creek oil and gas field; and 80% interest in the Accugas midstream assets located in south east Nigeria. In addition, it is involved in the development of other energy related projects in Africa. The company was formerly known as Savannah Petroleum Plc and changed its name to Savannah Energy PLC in April 2020. Savannah Energy PLC was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Savannah Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's key revenue streams include sales of crude oil and natural gas from its operational fields, along with potential future revenues from gas processing and transportation. The company has established significant partnerships with local and international oil and gas companies, which enhance its operational capabilities and market access. Moreover, Savannah Petroleum's business model is supported by cost-effective drilling and production techniques, allowing it to maximize profitability in a competitive market. The company's strategic focus on high-potential assets and efficient resource management further contributes to its revenue generation.

Savannah Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Income statement strength (78) is supported by revenue growth and strong margins, but balance sheet leverage (debt-to-equity 2.34; balance sheet score 65) and weak cash flow dynamics (cash flow score 55, including a sharp free cash flow growth decline and low operating cash flow to net income) meaningfully increase financial risk.

Income Statement

Savannah Petroleum has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 5.01% increase in the most recent year. The company maintains strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 66.95% and a net profit margin of 13.65%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are exceptionally high at 88.06% and 103.79%, respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated significantly over the years, which could pose a risk.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34, indicating significant leverage, which is common in the oil and gas industry but poses financial risk. The return on equity is moderate at 10.77%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage suggests a lower equity ratio, which could impact financial stability.

Cash Flow

Savannah Petroleum's cash flow statement reveals challenges in free cash flow growth, with a significant decline of -119902.84%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.26, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 80.17%, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	209.44M	227.03M	224.18M	212.50M	185.80M	169.00M
Gross Profit	121.83M	152.01M	146.36M	140.44M	120.79M	96.55M
EBITDA	206.04M	235.63M	58.25M	55.18M	101.91M	118.97M
Net Income	93.76M	31.00M	14.86M	-61.33M	768.00K	-6.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.29B	1.57B	1.52B	1.76B	1.35B	1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	36.77M	32.59M	53.66M	114.47M	49.88M	78.61M
Total Debt	498.72M	673.52M	585.46M	650.87M	531.03M	522.72M
Total Liabilities	966.30M	1.26B	1.25B	1.52B	1.04B	980.27M
Stockholders Equity	304.65M	287.95M	254.50M	233.42M	292.90M	229.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	45.92M	93.58M	20.27M	52.13M	95.60M	104.02M
Operating Cash Flow	61.62M	116.73M	33.22M	75.69M	128.12M	115.57M
Investing Cash Flow	-45.14M	20.02M	109.32M	22.65M	-123.24M	-11.32M
Financing Cash Flow	-27.03M	-113.15M	-116.80M	-22.99M	-25.16M	-76.72M

Savannah Petroleum Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.75
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SAVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.77, above the 50-day MA of 7.50, and above the 200-day MA of 7.01, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.55 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.10 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SAVE.

Savannah Petroleum Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SAVE	69 Neutral	£174.96M	1.48	34.81%	―	7.74%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
CNE	61 Neutral	£185.12M	-11.24	-6.29%	―	-32.66%	72.67%
GENL	55 Neutral	£173.46M	-4.13	-11.54%	―	-0.20%	-25.68%
PANR	44 Neutral	£110.53M	-25.33	―	―	-100.00%	-84.62%
JSE	44 Neutral	£132.83M	8.72	56.01%	―	4.56%	―
KIST	44 Neutral	£195.33M	-5.34	-92.03%	―	-16.87%	21.18%

Savannah Petroleum Corporate Events

Savannah Energy Boosts Cash Collections and Expands African Power and Hydrocarbon Portfolio in 2025

Savannah Energy reported an execution-focused 2025, marked by stronger cash generation and active portfolio expansion despite lower average production and revenue. In Nigeria, the completion of the SIPEC acquisition underpinned an 18‑month expansion programme at the Stubb Creek oil field, lifting 2025 output above 2024 levels, while a new, under-budget compression system at the Uquo gas processing facility is expected to maximise future gas production. The company advanced drilling plans at Uquo, extended a key gas supply contract with CHGC to 2026, and benefited from improving prospects for receivables recovery as Nigeria’s government moves to clear legacy debts to power generators and gas suppliers. Financially, cash collections rose 12% to US$278m even as total revenues eased to US$235m, with modestly higher cash balances and net debt largely held on a non-recourse basis at subsidiaries, and the group refinancing key Accugas debt facilities. Strategically, Savannah pushed further into African power, targeting H1 2026 completion of a deal for interests in three East African hydropower assets that would open five new country markets, while progressing large wind and hybrid hydro-solar projects in Niger and Cameroon and reviewing additional power acquisitions. In Niger, the company is working with the government on a reworked, higher-plateau development plan for the R3 East oil area and is considering new testing and exploration activity from 2026/27, positioning the group for potential production growth and value uplift in the medium term.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £7.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy CEO Consolidates 13.81% Stake Through Internal Share Transfers

Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Chief Executive Officer and Director Andrew Knott has undertaken internal transfers of a total of 135,261,638 ordinary shares between companies he beneficially owns, in order to consolidate his holdings into a single corporate vehicle. The transactions, carried out on 12 January 2026 on AIM at 7.0p per share, do not alter Knott’s overall beneficial stake in Savannah, which remains at 13.81%, and are presented as an administrative restructuring rather than a change in his economic interest, signalling continuity of executive alignment with shareholders and no immediate impact on the company’s capital structure.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Buy with a £10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Finalises Relationship Agreement with NIPCO Plc

Savannah Energy PLC has finalised and entered into a relationship agreement with NIPCO Plc following the completion of regulatory consultation, confirming the terms previously outlined in late December 2025. The conclusion of this agreement formalises Savannah’s strategic association with NIPCO, a step that may influence its future operational and commercial framework, with potential implications for governance, collaboration, and the company’s positioning within its African-focused energy portfolio.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Buy with a £10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Appoints Tennyson Securities as Joint Broker

Savannah Energy PLC, a UK-based independent energy company focused on key energy infrastructure projects in Africa, operates with a strategic emphasis on delivering impactful projects that support regional development and energy access. The company has appointed Tennyson Securities as a joint broker alongside Cavendish Capital Markets Ltd, a move that is expected to broaden its capital markets support and potentially enhance investor outreach and liquidity in its shares, underscoring its ongoing efforts to strengthen market engagement and corporate advisory capabilities.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Buy with a £10.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Non-Executive Director Sells 1.5 Million Shares

Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Non-Executive Director Mark Iannotti sold 1.5 million existing ordinary shares in the company at 8.1p per share on 8 January 2026, in a transaction conducted on the London Stock Exchange’s AIM market. The director dealing, notified under market abuse regulations, signals a notable change in board-level shareholding and will be closely watched by investors for any perceived implications regarding insider confidence and the company’s valuation, although no additional commentary on the rationale or impact of the sale was provided.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Bolsters Board with Appointment of Nigerian Legal Senior Advocate

Savannah Energy PLC has strengthened its board with the appointment of Nigerian legal heavyweight Kehinde Olamide Ogunwumiju as a non-executive director, effective immediately, as the company pursues its growth strategy across Africa. Ogunwumiju, managing partner of leading African law firm Afe Babalola & Co and one of the youngest-ever Senior Advocates of Nigeria, brings extensive experience in high-stakes energy-related litigation and international arbitration, including representing Nigeria’s state oil company and the federal government in major disputes. His appointment is expected to bolster Savannah’s governance, legal risk management and regional credibility as it advances its expansion ambitions on the continent.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Reshapes Shareholder Base as NIPCO and CEO Lift Stakes

Savannah Energy PLC has completed a series of secondary market transactions in its ordinary shares, resulting in Nigerian downstream group NIPCO increasing its stake to about 26.5% of the company’s issued share capital. At the same time, CEO Andrew Knott purchased 25.5 million existing shares, lifting his holding to roughly 292.8 million shares, or 13.8% of the company, and the parties have agreed to terminate a previously announced off‑market share buyback arrangement involving 143.6 million shares to enable these trades. The reshaping of the shareholder base consolidates significant stakes with a strategic investor and the chief executive, signalling confidence in Savannah’s prospects and potentially strengthening governance alignment and support for the company’s long‑term African energy projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Reshapes Capital Plan as NIPCO Lifts Stake and CEO Increases Holding

Savannah Energy plans to enter a formal relationship agreement with its largest shareholder, NIPCO Plc, as NIPCO moves to increase its stake in the company to as much as 26.5% through secondary market share purchases. In tandem, Savannah will terminate its previously approved off-market share buyback agreement, allowing NIPCO to acquire the bulk of the shares that were to be repurchased, while CEO Andrew Knott will purchase the remaining portion, lifting his own holding to about 13.8% of issued capital. The relationship agreement is designed to protect minority investors and preserve Savannah’s operational independence by securing NIPCO’s support for governance resolutions, ruling out hostile takeover attempts and imposing orderly market disposal rules, and the board highlights that halting the buyback preserves roughly £10.05 million in cash and maintains flexibility for future on-market buybacks. The independent directors, advised by Strand Hanson, have deemed these related-party arrangements fair and reasonable for shareholders, framing the larger strategic shareholder stakes and codified governance protections as strengthening the company’s financial position and alignment between management, major investors and minority shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Targets Multi-Country Growth as Cash Collections Rise and Nigerian, East African Projects Advance

Savannah Energy reported an 11-month 2025 operational and financial update showing resilient performance despite lower average gross daily production of 19.1 Kboepd, supported by higher cash collections of US$260.8 million, modestly lower revenues of US$218.1 million, and improved trade receivables, while maintaining access to largely non-recourse debt. The completion of the SIPEC acquisition has driven a 24% increase in Stubb Creek oil output and under-budget completion of a new gas compression system at the Uquo Central Processing Facility is expected to maximise future gas production, as the company pushes ahead with drilling plans at Uquo, considers renewed exploration and development in Niger’s R1234 PSC and R3 East area, and advances a strategic shift in its power division through a proposed entry into five new East African countries via hydropower assets alongside ongoing wind and solar projects, collectively positioning Savannah for expanded multi-country growth and potentially accelerated receivables recovery in Nigeria’s power and gas value chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions

Savannah Energy PLC announced that all resolutions at its recent General Meeting were approved by a significant majority. The resolutions included the approval of a Buyback Agreement and the purchase of the company’s own shares, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives.