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Savannah Petroleum
(LSE:SAVE)
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Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
7.50 p
▼(-3.23% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:01/09/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong profitability and revenue growth are offset by high leverage and concerning cash flow conversion/free cash flow trends. Technicals are momentum-positive but look overbought (high RSI/Stoch), while valuation is a notable positive due to the very low P/E.
Positive Factors
High reported profitability
Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk if oil prices or production dip. Elevated leverage increases interest burden and constrains the company's ability to fund development organically over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High reported profitability
Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.
Read all positive factors
Savannah Petroleum (SAVE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£99.71M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.0
Beta (1Y)0.70
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUK
Employees278
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.09
Shares Outstanding2,088,590,600
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.02
P/FCF Ratio0.05
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)<0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)£321.69M
Savannah Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Savannah Energy PLC is an upstream oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of natural gas and crude oil. The company holds a license for the prospective Agadem Rift Basin, an area spanning approximately 13,655 s...
How the Company Makes Money
Savannah Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's key revenue streams include sales of crude oil and natural gas from its operational fields, along with pote...
Savannah Petroleum Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 245.53M | 227.03M | 224.18M | 212.50M | 185.80M | 169.00M |
| Gross Profit | 140.36M | 152.01M | 146.36M | 139.34M | 120.79M | 96.55M |
| EBITDA | 261.06M | 235.63M | 58.25M | 55.18M | 101.91M | 118.97M |
| Net Income | 123.11M | 31.00M | 14.86M | -61.33M | 768.00K | -6.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.77B | 1.57B | 1.52B | 1.76B | 1.35B | 1.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 50.43M | 32.59M | 53.66M | 114.47M | 49.88M | 78.61M |
| Total Debt | 683.95M | 673.52M | 585.46M | 650.87M | 531.03M | 522.72M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.33B | 1.26B | 1.25B | 1.52B | 1.04B | 980.27M |
| Stockholders Equity | 417.80M | 287.95M | 254.50M | 233.42M | 292.90M | 229.67M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 50.72M | 93.58M | 20.27M | 52.13M | 95.60M | 104.02M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 68.82M | 116.73M | 33.22M | 75.69M | 128.12M | 115.57M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -52.31M | 20.02M | 109.32M | 22.65M | -123.24M | -11.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 93.74M | -113.15M | -116.80M | -22.99M | -25.16M | -76.72M |
Savannah Petroleum Technical Analysis
Negative
7.75
Price Trends
6.88
Negative
7.62
Negative
7.20
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.33
Positive
24.89
Positive
9.17
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SAVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 7.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.42, above the 50-day MA of 6.88, and above the 200-day MA of 7.20, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.33 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 24.89 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 9.17 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:SAVE.
Savannah Petroleum Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | £241.71M | 17.35 | 5.30% | ― | -11.74% | ― | |
69 Neutral | £99.71M | 3.01 | 34.89% | ― | ― | ― | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
58 Neutral | £158.03M | 7.92 | 154.72% | ― | 0.42% | -136.04% | |
50 Neutral | £159.42M | -0.55 | -11.54% | ― | -10.76% | 88.89% | |
50 Neutral | £210.52M | -42.53 | -1.85% | ― | ― | 64.58% | |
44 Neutral | £223.59M | -170.05 | -136.50% | ― | -4.86% | 95.89% |
* Energy Sector Average
GB:SAVE
Savannah Petroleum
5.51
-1.69
-23.47%
GB:GENL
Genel Energy
57.90
-10.30
-15.10%
GB:CNE
Capricorn Energy PLC
346.00
117.00
51.09%
GB:PANR
Pantheon Resources
14.44
-6.86
-32.21%
GB:JSE
Jadestone Energy Inc
29.00
8.75
43.21%
GB:KIST
Kistos PLC
269.00
101.50
60.60%
Savannah Petroleum Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy Boosts Cash Collections and Expands African Power and Hydrocarbon Portfolio in 2025
Positive
Feb 4, 2026
Savannah Energy reported an execution-focused 2025, marked by stronger cash generation and active portfolio expansion despite lower average production and revenue. In Nigeria, the completion of the SIPEC acquisition underpinned an 18‑month e...
Other
Savannah Energy CEO Consolidates 13.81% Stake Through Internal Share Transfers
Neutral
Jan 14, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Chief Executive Officer and Director Andrew Knott has undertaken internal transfers of a total of 135,261,638 ordinary shares between companies he beneficially owns, in order to consolidate his holdings into ...
Business Operations and Strategy
Savannah Energy Finalises Relationship Agreement with NIPCO Plc
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has finalised and entered into a relationship agreement with NIPCO Plc following the completion of regulatory consultation, confirming the terms previously outlined in late December 2025. The conclusion of this agreement formal...
Business Operations and Strategy
Savannah Energy Appoints Tennyson Securities as Joint Broker
Positive
Jan 13, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC, a UK-based independent energy company focused on key energy infrastructure projects in Africa, operates with a strategic emphasis on delivering impactful projects that support regional development and energy access. The compan...
Regulatory Filings and Compliance
Savannah Energy Non-Executive Director Sells 1.5 Million Shares
Neutral
Jan 8, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Non-Executive Director Mark Iannotti sold 1.5 million existing ordinary shares in the company at 8.1p per share on 8 January 2026, in a transaction conducted on the London Stock Exchange’s AIM market. T...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Savannah Energy Bolsters Board with Appointment of Nigerian Legal Senior Advocate
Positive
Jan 2, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has strengthened its board with the appointment of Nigerian legal heavyweight Kehinde Olamide Ogunwumiju as a non-executive director, effective immediately, as the company pursues its growth strategy across Africa. Ogunwumiju, ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Savannah Energy Reshapes Shareholder Base as NIPCO and CEO Lift Stakes
Positive
Dec 30, 2025
Savannah Energy PLC has completed a series of secondary market transactions in its ordinary shares, resulting in Nigerian downstream group NIPCO increasing its stake to about 26.5% of the company’s issued share capital. At the same time, CEO...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy Reshapes Capital Plan as NIPCO Lifts Stake and CEO Increases Holding
Positive
Dec 30, 2025
Savannah Energy plans to enter a formal relationship agreement with its largest shareholder, NIPCO Plc, as NIPCO moves to increase its stake in the company to as much as 26.5% through secondary market share purchases. In tandem, Savannah will term...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresM&A Transactions
Savannah Energy Targets Multi-Country Growth as Cash Collections Rise and Nigerian, East African Projects Advance
Positive
Dec 30, 2025
Savannah Energy reported an 11-month 2025 operational and financial update showing resilient performance despite lower average gross daily production of 19.1 Kboepd, supported by higher cash collections of US$260.8 million, modestly lower revenues...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Savannah Energy Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions
Positive
Nov 28, 2025
Savannah Energy PLC announced that all resolutions at its recent General Meeting were approved by a significant majority. The resolutions included the approval of a Buyback Agreement and the purchase of the company’s own shares, indicating s...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.