Savannah Petroleum (SAVE) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: £153.78M
• Dividend Yield: N/A
• Average Volume (3M): 0.00
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 1.3
• Beta (1Y): 0.43
• Revenue Growth: 7.74%
• EPS Growth: N/A
• Country: UK
• Employees: 278
• Sector: Energy
• Sector Strength: 52
• Industry: Oil & Gas Exploration & Production
• EPS (TTM): 0.05
• Shares Outstanding: 2,120,654,300
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 0
• PEG Ratio: <0.01
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.01
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.02
• P/FCF Ratio: 0.05
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: N/A
• Price Target Upside: N/A
• Rating Consensus: N/A
• Number of Analyst Covering: 0
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 69 Neutral
• Price Target: 9.50p ▲(22.58% Upside)

The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong profitability and revenue growth are offset by high leverage and concerning cash flow conversion/free cash flow trends. Technicals are momentum-positive but look overbought (high RSI/Stoch), while valuation is a notable positive due to the very low P/E.

Positive Factors

Strong operating margins

Sustained high gross and healthy net margins point to durable operational efficiency in upstream activities. Over months these margins support internal funding for field development, improve resilience to price swings, and provide a structural buffer for reinvestment and partner negotiations.

Consistent revenue growth

Steady top-line expansion indicates the company is successfully bringing assets into production or optimizing output. Over a 2–6 month horizon this trend underpins predictable cash flows, supports project economics, and validates execution capability on regional development plans.

Strategic partnerships and efficient operations

Local and international partnerships combined with low-cost drilling techniques create a structural competitive advantage. These relationships and efficiencies reduce execution risk, lower break-even economics, and improve long-term project returns and access to regional opportunities.

Negative Factors

High financial leverage

A debt-to-equity of 2.34 signals significant leverage that constrains financial flexibility. Over months this raises refinancing and covenant risk, limits ability to fund capex internally, and makes the company more sensitive to commodity or interest-rate shocks.

Severe free cash flow deterioration

A dramatic fall in free cash flow growth undermines the company’s ability to self-fund development and service debt. Persisting cash conversion issues force reliance on external financing, elevating dilution or refinancing risk and weakening long-term capital allocation.

Volatile net profitability

Material swings in net margin indicate earnings are exposed to commodity prices, production variability or one-off items. This volatility complicates forecasting, increases credit risk over time, and makes long-term budgeting for investments and distributions less reliable.

Savannah Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Savannah Energy PLC engages in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and crude oil. It holds license interest in Agadem Rift Basin prospective located in the south east Niger covering an area of approximately 13,655 square kilometers. The company also has an 80% interest in the Uquo field asset; 51% interest in the Stubb Creek oil and gas field; and 80% interest in the Accugas midstream assets located in south east Nigeria. In addition, it is involved in the development of other energy related projects in Africa. The company was formerly known as Savannah Petroleum Plc and changed its name to Savannah Energy PLC in April 2020. Savannah Energy PLC was incorporated in 2014 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.

How the Company Makes Money

Savannah Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's key revenue streams include sales of crude oil and natural gas from its operational fields, along with potential future revenues from gas processing and transportation. The company has established significant partnerships with local and international oil and gas companies, which enhance its operational capabilities and market access. Moreover, Savannah Petroleum's business model is supported by cost-effective drilling and production techniques, allowing it to maximize profitability in a competitive market. The company's strategic focus on high-potential assets and efficient resource management further contributes to its revenue generation.

Savannah Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Savannah Petroleum shows strong revenue growth and profitability with high margins, indicating efficient operations. However, high leverage and fluctuating net profit margins pose risks. The cash flow situation is concerning due to significant declines in free cash flow growth, impacting financial flexibility.

Income Statement

Savannah Petroleum has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a 5.01% increase in the most recent year. The company maintains strong profitability with a high gross profit margin of 66.95% and a net profit margin of 13.65%. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are exceptionally high at 88.06% and 103.79%, respectively, indicating efficient cost management and operational performance. However, the net profit margin has fluctuated significantly over the years, which could pose a risk.

Balance Sheet

The company's balance sheet shows a high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.34, indicating significant leverage, which is common in the oil and gas industry but poses financial risk. The return on equity is moderate at 10.77%, reflecting decent profitability relative to shareholder equity. The equity ratio is not provided, but the high leverage suggests a lower equity ratio, which could impact financial stability.

Cash Flow

Savannah Petroleum's cash flow statement reveals challenges in free cash flow growth, with a significant decline of -119902.84%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is low at 0.26, indicating potential issues in converting income into cash. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is relatively healthy at 80.17%, suggesting that the company is still generating cash relative to its net income.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	209.44M	227.03M	224.18M	212.50M	185.80M	169.00M
Gross Profit	121.83M	152.01M	146.36M	140.44M	120.79M	96.55M
EBITDA	206.04M	235.63M	58.25M	55.18M	101.91M	118.97M
Net Income	93.76M	31.00M	14.86M	-61.33M	768.00K	-6.68M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.29B	1.57B	1.52B	1.76B	1.35B	1.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	36.77M	32.59M	53.66M	114.47M	49.88M	78.61M
Total Debt	498.72M	673.52M	585.46M	650.87M	531.03M	522.72M
Total Liabilities	966.30M	1.26B	1.25B	1.52B	1.04B	980.27M
Stockholders Equity	304.65M	287.95M	254.50M	233.42M	292.90M	229.67M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	45.92M	93.58M	20.27M	52.13M	95.60M	104.02M
Operating Cash Flow	61.62M	116.73M	33.22M	75.69M	128.12M	115.57M
Investing Cash Flow	-45.14M	20.02M	109.32M	22.65M	-123.24M	-11.32M
Financing Cash Flow	-27.03M	-113.15M	-116.80M	-22.99M	-25.16M	-76.72M

Savannah Petroleum Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 7.75
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SAVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 7.75 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.10, above the 50-day MA of 6.41, and above the 200-day MA of 6.97, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 72.23 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 81.96 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GB:SAVE.

Savannah Petroleum Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
SAVE	69 Neutral	£153.78M	1.30	34.81%	―	7.74%	―
Sector *	65 Neutral	$15.17B	7.61	4.09%	5.20%	3.87%	-62.32%
GENL	56 Neutral	£158.59M	-3.77	-11.54%	―	-0.20%	-25.68%
JSE	54 Neutral	£130.12M	8.54	56.01%	―	4.56%	―
CNE	52 Neutral	£153.69M	-9.33	-6.29%	―	-32.66%	72.67%
KIST	44 Neutral	£148.74M	-4.08	-92.03%	―	-16.87%	21.18%
PANR	43 Neutral	£112.97M	-27.93	―	―	-100.00%	-84.62%

Savannah Petroleum Corporate Events

Savannah Energy Non-Executive Director Sells 1.5 Million Shares

Savannah Energy PLC has disclosed that Non-Executive Director Mark Iannotti sold 1.5 million existing ordinary shares in the company at 8.1p per share on 8 January 2026, in a transaction conducted on the London Stock Exchange’s AIM market. The director dealing, notified under market abuse regulations, signals a notable change in board-level shareholding and will be closely watched by investors for any perceived implications regarding insider confidence and the company’s valuation, although no additional commentary on the rationale or impact of the sale was provided.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Bolsters Board with Appointment of Nigerian Legal Senior Advocate

Savannah Energy PLC has strengthened its board with the appointment of Nigerian legal heavyweight Kehinde Olamide Ogunwumiju as a non-executive director, effective immediately, as the company pursues its growth strategy across Africa. Ogunwumiju, managing partner of leading African law firm Afe Babalola & Co and one of the youngest-ever Senior Advocates of Nigeria, brings extensive experience in high-stakes energy-related litigation and international arbitration, including representing Nigeria’s state oil company and the federal government in major disputes. His appointment is expected to bolster Savannah’s governance, legal risk management and regional credibility as it advances its expansion ambitions on the continent.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Reshapes Shareholder Base as NIPCO and CEO Lift Stakes

Savannah Energy PLC has completed a series of secondary market transactions in its ordinary shares, resulting in Nigerian downstream group NIPCO increasing its stake to about 26.5% of the company’s issued share capital. At the same time, CEO Andrew Knott purchased 25.5 million existing shares, lifting his holding to roughly 292.8 million shares, or 13.8% of the company, and the parties have agreed to terminate a previously announced off‑market share buyback arrangement involving 143.6 million shares to enable these trades. The reshaping of the shareholder base consolidates significant stakes with a strategic investor and the chief executive, signalling confidence in Savannah’s prospects and potentially strengthening governance alignment and support for the company’s long‑term African energy projects.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Reshapes Capital Plan as NIPCO Lifts Stake and CEO Increases Holding

Savannah Energy plans to enter a formal relationship agreement with its largest shareholder, NIPCO Plc, as NIPCO moves to increase its stake in the company to as much as 26.5% through secondary market share purchases. In tandem, Savannah will terminate its previously approved off-market share buyback agreement, allowing NIPCO to acquire the bulk of the shares that were to be repurchased, while CEO Andrew Knott will purchase the remaining portion, lifting his own holding to about 13.8% of issued capital. The relationship agreement is designed to protect minority investors and preserve Savannah’s operational independence by securing NIPCO’s support for governance resolutions, ruling out hostile takeover attempts and imposing orderly market disposal rules, and the board highlights that halting the buyback preserves roughly £10.05 million in cash and maintains flexibility for future on-market buybacks. The independent directors, advised by Strand Hanson, have deemed these related-party arrangements fair and reasonable for shareholders, framing the larger strategic shareholder stakes and codified governance protections as strengthening the company’s financial position and alignment between management, major investors and minority shareholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Targets Multi-Country Growth as Cash Collections Rise and Nigerian, East African Projects Advance

Savannah Energy reported an 11-month 2025 operational and financial update showing resilient performance despite lower average gross daily production of 19.1 Kboepd, supported by higher cash collections of US$260.8 million, modestly lower revenues of US$218.1 million, and improved trade receivables, while maintaining access to largely non-recourse debt. The completion of the SIPEC acquisition has driven a 24% increase in Stubb Creek oil output and under-budget completion of a new gas compression system at the Uquo Central Processing Facility is expected to maximise future gas production, as the company pushes ahead with drilling plans at Uquo, considers renewed exploration and development in Niger’s R1234 PSC and R3 East area, and advances a strategic shift in its power division through a proposed entry into five new East African countries via hydropower assets alongside ongoing wind and solar projects, collectively positioning Savannah for expanded multi-country growth and potentially accelerated receivables recovery in Nigeria’s power and gas value chain.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:SAVE) stock is a Hold with a £6.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Savannah Petroleum stock, see the GB:SAVE Stock Forecast page.

Savannah Energy Secures Shareholder Approval for Key Resolutions

Savannah Energy PLC announced that all resolutions at its recent General Meeting were approved by a significant majority. The resolutions included the approval of a Buyback Agreement and the purchase of the company’s own shares, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s strategic initiatives.

Savannah Energy Secures £11.3 Million Financing with Strategic Investment from NIPCO

Savannah Energy PLC has completed a significant financing initiative, raising approximately £11.3 million through a subscription of new ordinary shares. This move includes a strategic investment by NIPCO Plc, a Nigerian energy conglomerate, which now holds a 19.4% stake in the company. The funds are intended to support business development opportunities and general corporate purposes, enhancing the company’s growth prospects and market positioning. CEO Andrew Knott also increased his shareholding to 12.6%, demonstrating confidence in the company’s future.

Savannah Energy Announces Strategic Updates and Financial Growth

Savannah Energy PLC announced significant operational and financial updates for the first nine months of 2025, including a proposed fundraising, share buyback arrangement, and warrant cancellation. The company reported a 9% increase in total revenues and a 5% rise in cash collections, alongside strategic developments such as the acquisition of Sinopec International Petroleum Exploration and Production Company Nigeria Limited and the introduction of NIPCO as a new strategic shareholder. These initiatives are expected to enhance Savannah’s market position and facilitate further growth in the African energy sector.

Savannah Energy PLC Doubles Profit and Expands Production Amid Strategic Acquisitions

Savannah Energy PLC announced its unaudited half-year results for 2025, revealing a significant increase in profit before tax, which more than doubled to $101.5 million. The company completed the SIPEC Acquisition, boosting its reserves and resources, and initiated an expansion program to increase production at Stubb Creek. Despite a slight decrease in average daily production, Savannah reported stable financial performance with increased revenues and reduced leverage. The company also completed an equity issuance and secured a $200 million acquisition debt facility, positioning itself for future growth in hydrocarbon asset acquisitions. Additionally, Savannah is progressing with its renewable energy projects, aiming to diversify its energy portfolio.

Savannah Energy Publishes 2024 Annual Report and Advances Energy Projects

Savannah Energy Plc has published its 2024 Annual Report, confirming no changes to previously disclosed financial information. The company’s shares are expected to resume trading on the AIM market following the publication of its interim accounts. Savannah Energy is conducting an audit tender process after BDO LLP’s resignation as auditor. The company reported strong financial performance in 2024, with revenues exceeding guidance and maintaining a leading EBITDA margin. Savannah’s Nigerian operations continue to play a crucial role in the country’s energy sector, supporting significant portions of Nigeria’s power generation and cement production. The company is also advancing its renewable energy projects in Niger and Cameroon, demonstrating its commitment to sustainable energy solutions.

Savannah Energy Delays Half-Year Results and Annual Report, Trading Suspended

Savannah Energy PLC has announced a delay in the publication of its Half Year Results for 2025 and its 2024 Annual Report and Accounts, which will now be released in the week starting 20 October 2025. Due to this delay, trading in the company’s shares will remain suspended until the reports are published, impacting stakeholders and market operations.

Savannah Energy Announces Board Changes and Delays Financial Reporting

Savannah Energy PLC has announced significant changes to its Board as part of its succession planning strategy. Sir Stephen O’Brien and David Clarkson have retired, while Uyi Akpata and Kehinde Olamide Ogunwumiju are set to join as Independent Non-Executive Directors, bringing expertise in finance and legal affairs. These changes are aligned with the company’s strategic direction and growth plans in Africa. Additionally, Savannah Energy will delay the publication of its 2024 Annual Report and Accounts and Half Year Results, leading to a temporary suspension of trading in its shares until the reports are released.