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Savannah Petroleum
(LSE:SAVE)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
7.50 p
▲(36.12% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:01/09/26
The score is driven primarily by mixed financial quality: strong profitability and revenue growth are offset by high leverage and concerning cash flow conversion/free cash flow trends. Technicals are momentum-positive but look overbought (high RSI/Stoch), while valuation is a notable positive due to the very low P/E.
Positive Factors
High reported profitability
Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.
Negative Factors
High leverage
A high debt-to-equity ratio materially reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and covenant risk if oil prices or production dip. Elevated leverage increases interest burden and constrains the company's ability to fund development organically over multiple quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High reported profitability
Savannah reports very strong operating margins and reported EBIT/EBITDA metrics, indicating structurally efficient upstream operations and cost control. High margins provide durable earnings buffer across oil price cycles and support reinvestment and debt servicing capacity over months.
Read all positive factors
Savannah Petroleum (SAVE) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)
Market Cap
£99.71M
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)0.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)3.0
Beta (1Y)0.69
Revenue GrowthN/A
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUK
Employees278
SectorEnergy
Sector Strength52
IndustryOil & Gas Exploration & Production
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)0.09
Shares Outstanding2,088,590,600
10 Day Avg. Volume0
30 Day Avg. Volume0
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio<0.01
Price to Book (P/B)0.01
Price to Sales (P/S)0.02
P/FCF Ratio0.05
Enterprise Value/Market CapN/A
Enterprise Value/RevenueN/A
Enterprise Value/Gross ProfitN/A
Enterprise Value/EbitdaN/A
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)<0.01
Revenue Forecast (FY)£321.69M
Savannah Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Savannah Energy PLC is an upstream oil and gas company focused on the exploration, development, and extraction of natural gas and crude oil. The company holds a license for the prospective Agadem Rift Basin, an area spanning approximately 13,655 s...
How the Company Makes Money
Savannah Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the exploration, development, and production of oil and gas resources. The company's key revenue streams include sales of crude oil and natural gas from its operational fields, along with pote...
Savannah Petroleum Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
65
Positive
Cash Flow
55
Neutral
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 | Dec 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 245.53M | 227.03M | 224.18M | 212.50M | 185.80M | 169.00M |
| Gross Profit | 140.36M | 152.01M | 146.36M | 139.34M | 120.79M | 96.55M |
| EBITDA | 261.06M | 235.63M | 58.25M | 55.18M | 101.91M | 118.97M |
| Net Income | 123.11M | 31.00M | 14.86M | -61.33M | 768.00K | -6.68M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.77B | 1.57B | 1.52B | 1.76B | 1.35B | 1.21B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 50.43M | 32.59M | 53.66M | 114.47M | 49.88M | 78.61M |
| Total Debt | 683.95M | 673.52M | 585.46M | 650.87M | 531.03M | 522.72M |
| Total Liabilities | 1.33B | 1.26B | 1.25B | 1.52B | 1.04B | 980.27M |
| Stockholders Equity | 417.80M | 287.95M | 254.50M | 233.42M | 292.90M | 229.67M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 50.72M | 93.58M | 20.27M | 52.13M | 95.60M | 104.02M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 68.82M | 116.73M | 33.22M | 75.69M | 128.12M | 115.57M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -52.31M | 20.02M | 109.32M | 22.65M | -123.24M | -11.32M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 93.74M | -113.15M | -116.80M | -22.99M | -25.16M | -76.72M |
Savannah Petroleum Technical Analysis
Negative
5.51
Price Trends
6.07
Negative
6.92
Negative
7.04
Negative
Market Momentum
-0.21
Negative
24.89
Positive
50.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:SAVE, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.51 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.51, below the 50-day MA of 6.07, and below the 200-day MA of 7.04, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 24.89 is Positive, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 50.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:SAVE.
Savannah Petroleum Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | £258.78M | 18.60 | 5.30% | ― | -11.74% | ― | |
69 Neutral | £99.71M | 3.04 | 11.43% | ― | ― | ― | |
65 Neutral | $15.17B | 7.61 | 4.09% | 5.20% | 3.87% | -62.32% | |
58 Neutral | £163.48M | -2.02 | 1485.14% | ― | 0.42% | -136.04% | |
50 Neutral | £139.04M | -0.51 | -2.51% | ― | -10.76% | 88.89% | |
50 Neutral | £176.84M | -36.32 | -1.85% | ― | ― | 64.58% | |
44 Neutral | £226.08M | -183.26 | -6.64% | ― | -4.86% | 95.89% |
* Energy Sector Average
GB:SAVE
Savannah Petroleum
5.51
-1.69
-23.47%
GB:GENL
Genel Energy
50.50
-8.90
-14.98%
GB:CNE
Capricorn Energy PLC
366.00
142.50
63.76%
GB:PANR
Pantheon Resources
12.13
-10.02
-45.24%
GB:JSE
Jadestone Energy Inc
30.00
8.75
41.18%
GB:KIST
Kistos PLC
272.00
99.50
57.68%
Savannah Petroleum Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and ComplianceShareholder Meetings
Savannah Energy Seeks Rule 9 Waiver on NIPCO Loan Conversion at August General Meeting
Neutral
Jul 21, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has convened a general meeting on 6 August 2026 in Edinburgh to seek shareholder approval for a waiver under Rule 9 of the UK Takeover Code linked to its new £32 million unsecured loan facility with NIPCO. The circular, no...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Savannah Energy strengthens board with appointment of audit veteran Uyi Akpata
Positive
Jul 1, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has appointed veteran auditor and energy sector specialist Uyi Akpata as a Non-Executive Director, with plans for him to become Chair of the Audit and Risk Committee after the publication of the FY 2025 accounts. The move bring...
Business Operations and StrategyDelistings and Listing ChangesFinancial DisclosuresM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy Flags Share Suspension as FY 2025 Results Show Higher Cash Collections and SIPEC Boost
Neutral
Jun 30, 2026
Savannah Energy has warned that trading in its shares on AIM will be temporarily suspended from 1 July 2026, as it works with auditors to finalise its FY 2025 annual report, now scheduled for release in August. The company says unaudited FY 2025 r...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Savannah Energy Posts Updated Investor Presentation With No New Material Information
Neutral
Jun 4, 2026
Savannah Energy PLC has published its latest investor presentation on its website, providing shareholders and potential investors with an updated overview of the business. The company noted that the presentation, which reflects existing disclosure...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackShareholder Meetings
Savannah Energy Wins Strong Shareholder Backing at AGM
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
Savannah Energy has reported that all resolutions proposed at its latest Annual General Meeting were approved by shareholders via poll, reflecting broad investor support for the company’s governance and strategic direction. The votes confirm...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy CEO boosts stake to 20% in non-dilutive share deal
Positive
Jun 1, 2026
Savannah Energy’s chief executive Andrew Knott is making a further £8.74 million personal investment in the company, buying 128.55 million existing shares, or about 6% of the issued capital, from the firm’s employee benefit trust ...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresPrivate Placements and Financing
Savannah Energy boosts cash flows, secures new loan as key projects advance
Positive
May 29, 2026
Savannah Energy reported stronger early 2026 trading, with Nigerian cash collections up 48% year on year to US$183.5 million, revenues up 17% to US$104.1 million and trade receivables down 22%, underscoring tighter financial discipline despite low...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial DisclosuresShareholder Meetings
Savannah Energy Sets June AGM and Separate Vote on 2025 Accounts
Neutral
May 8, 2026
Savannah Energy has published the notice of its 2026 Annual General Meeting, which will take place on 1 June in Edinburgh, with shareholders able to participate via proxy voting as detailed in the AGM documentation. The company said meeting result...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.