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ASOS plc (GB:ASC)
LSE:ASC
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ASOS plc (ASC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ASC

ASOS plc

(LSE:ASC)

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Neutral 46 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:46Neutral
Price Target:
301.00p
▲(24.12% Upside)
ASOS plc's overall stock score is primarily impacted by its financial performance, which is currently weak due to declining revenues and high leverage. While there are positive signs from recent strategic initiatives and improved cash flow, the technical analysis and valuation remain concerning. The earnings call provides some optimism with operational improvements, but challenges in sales and market performance persist.
Positive Factors
EBITDA Growth
The significant improvement in EBITDA reflects successful strategic initiatives, enhancing profitability and providing a stronger financial foundation for future growth.
Gross Margin Expansion
The increase in gross margin indicates improved pricing strategies and cost management, which can lead to sustained profitability and competitive advantage.
Operational Efficiency
Enhanced operational efficiency through reduced supply chain costs strengthens ASOS's ability to manage expenses and improve overall financial health.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in sales suggests challenges in market demand and competition, which could impact long-term revenue growth and market position.
High Leverage
High leverage limits financial flexibility, posing risks to ASOS's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage economic downturns.
Weak US Market Performance
The significant drop in US sales highlights regional market challenges, potentially affecting ASOS's global expansion and revenue diversification strategies.

ASOS plc (ASC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

ASOS plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASOS plc is a British online fashion and cosmetic retailer headquartered in London, specializing in offering a wide range of clothing, footwear, accessories, and beauty products. Targeting primarily young adults, ASOS operates in the e-commerce sector and provides its customers with an extensive selection of both branded and own-label products. The company is known for its innovative digital marketing strategies and user-friendly online shopping experience, catering to a global audience with a significant presence in Europe, the United States, and other international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyASOS generates revenue primarily through online sales of fashion and beauty products. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, allowing it to sell its own brand products as well as products from third-party brands. Key revenue streams include the sale of clothing, footwear, accessories, and beauty items, with a strong focus on fast fashion and trend-driven products. Additionally, ASOS benefits from international shipping, attracting global customers. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with various brands and influencers to enhance its product offerings and marketing reach, contributing to its overall earnings. Seasonal promotions, discounts, and loyalty programs further drive sales and customer retention.

ASOS plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 21, 2025
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 14, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
ASOS has made significant strides in reducing stock and debt, improving profitability, and increasing consumer engagement. Despite a decline in GMV and some challenges in the U.S. market, the company has a clear strategic direction with positive developments in its Test & React model, flexible fulfillment, and loyalty program.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Reduction in Stock
ASOS has reduced its stock from GBP 1.1 billion to less than GBP 400 million, a decrease of between 50 million and 70 million units over three years.
Debt Reduction and Restructuring
Net debt was reduced by approximately 40%, with a successful restructuring providing more flexibility and liquidity.
Increase in Profitability
Adjusted EBITDA improved by over GBP 50 million to GBP 132 million, reflecting a 60% increase in profitability.
Gross Margin Improvement
Gross margin increased by 370 basis points, reaching over 47%.
Expansion of Test & React and Flexible Fulfillment
The Test & React model now makes up more than 20% of the business, and flexible fulfillment models account for more than 10%.
Positive Consumer Engagement
New consumer growth in the U.K. is up by approximately 10%, and retention rates have improved by 80 basis points among top consumers.
Launch of Loyalty Program ASOS.WORLD
The program has reached over 1.6 million members and shows positive impacts on consumer frequency and engagement.
Negative Updates
Decline in GMV
GMV reduced by 12% year-on-year due to cautious consumer backdrop and deliberate profitability actions.
Challenges in the U.S. Market
The U.S. market saw an 18% decline in GMV, attributed to deep profitability actions and fulfillment changes.
Cost to Serve Increase
Cost to serve increased by 130 basis points, although there was a 12% reduction in absolute terms.
Company Guidance
During the call, ASOS provided guidance for fiscal year '26, emphasizing an expected improvement in GMV trajectory and projecting a gross margin expansion of at least 100 basis points, surpassing 48%. The company anticipates adjusted EBITDA to range between GBP 150 million and GBP 180 million, driven by continued efficiency improvements and a focus on profitability without necessitating a return to growth. ASOS reported reducing its stock to just over GBP 400 million and net debt to GBP 185 million. The company highlighted a successful structural refinancing, extending the term to 2030, increasing liquidity by GBP 87.5 million, and reducing interest rates, resulting in cash interest benefits of approximately GBP 5 million. ASOS showcased a strategic focus on enhancing its customer proposition with AI-driven personalization, expanding its Test & React model to 25% of its business, and increasing flexible fulfillment to 15%. The company also expressed confidence in its ability to achieve medium-term goals, including an adjusted EBITDA margin of 8% and sustainable structural free cash flow generation.

ASOS plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ASOS plc is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and consistent net losses. The balance sheet shows high leverage, which may limit financial flexibility. However, there is some improvement in cash flow, providing a slight positive outlook.
Income Statement
35
Negative
ASOS plc has faced declining revenues and profitability over the past few years. The revenue decreased from 2023 to 2024, marking a significant drop from previous years. The company has also experienced negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies and increased costs. Despite a strong revenue base, the ongoing net losses are concerning and indicate a need for strategic adjustments.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability with a high debt-to-equity ratio and declining equity base. ASOS has a substantial amount of total debt compared to its stockholders' equity, which may pose challenges in managing financial obligations. However, the company maintains a reasonable cash balance, providing some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
ASOS's cash flow performance has shown improvement in operating cash flow, turning positive in 2024 after a negative trend in previous years. The free cash flow has also improved, although it still remains a concern due to the company's net income losses. Effective cash management will be crucial to sustain operations and facilitate strategic investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.69B2.90B3.54B3.94B3.91B3.26B
Gross Profit1.07B1.08B1.39B1.57B1.64B1.43B
EBITDA-123.00M-153.60M-79.50M140.90M325.80M278.10M
Net Income-294.30M-338.70M-223.10M-30.80M128.40M113.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.72B2.27B2.63B3.00B2.88B1.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments220.70M382.90M353.30M323.00M662.70M407.50M
Total Debt731.80M977.70M1.00B856.00M792.10M313.10M
Total Liabilities1.40B1.75B1.76B1.98B1.85B1.18B
Stockholders Equity320.80M521.30M866.70M1.01B1.03B810.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow87.10M160.30M-190.60M-313.50M52.60M279.20M
Operating Cash Flow96.20M196.70M-12.70M-130.60M209.70M395.80M
Investing Cash Flow40.20M-133.50M-177.90M-182.90M-443.50M-116.60M
Financing Cash Flow-248.40M-26.00M222.70M-26.30M489.10M143.70M

ASOS plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price242.50
Price Trends
50DMA
252.73
Negative
100DMA
279.31
Negative
200DMA
290.74
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-4.21
Negative
RSI
49.36
Neutral
STOCH
40.24
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ASC, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 242.5 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 238.67, below the 50-day MA of 252.73, and below the 200-day MA of 290.74, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -4.21 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 40.24 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for GB:ASC.

ASOS plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
63
Neutral
£577.26M55.747.52%13.21%-54.35%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
60
Neutral
£1.39B13.215.01%1.14%2.71%-34.19%
55
Neutral
£700.25M-4.54-18.75%-20.36%44.33%
47
Neutral
£668.98M-70.371.42%2.62%-129.82%
46
Neutral
£274.50M-0.93-81.34%-14.89%12.08%
40
Underperform
£154.49M-0.46-172.24%-65.42%27.73%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ASC
ASOS plc
242.50
-136.30
-35.98%
GB:DEBS
boohoo group Plc
23.00
-10.48
-31.30%
GB:AO
AO World
109.80
2.80
2.62%
GB:CURY
Currys plc
131.70
51.79
64.81%
GB:THG
THG
45.16
-2.58
-5.40%
GB:MOON
Moonpig Group Plc
211.50
-35.15
-14.25%

ASOS plc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ASOS Announces Strategic Board Changes to Drive Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

ASOS plc has announced significant changes to its Board, appointing Natasja Laheij as the new Chair and William Barker as Deputy Chair. These appointments are part of a strategic move to strengthen the company’s leadership as it continues to focus on sustainable and profitable growth. Natasja brings extensive experience in international commercial and financial management, while William’s expertise in building and turning around digitally-enabled businesses will support ASOS’s strategic initiatives. The changes are expected to enhance ASOS’s operational capabilities and drive long-term competitive advantage.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ASOS Appoints KPMG as New External Auditor
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

ASOS plc has announced the appointment of KPMG LLP as its new external auditor following a competitive tender process, with the transition set to occur for the year ending 29 August 2027. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, the current auditor since 2008, will continue in their role until the audits for the years ending 31 August 2025 and 30 August 2026 are completed. This change reflects ASOS’s commitment to rigorous financial oversight and may impact its operational transparency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ASOS Grants CFO Award Under Value Creation Plan
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

ASOS Plc announced that Aaron Izzard, the Chief Financial Officer, has been granted an award under the ASOS Plc Value Creation Plan (VCP), which was approved by shareholders in August 2024. This award allows Izzard to potentially receive 5% of the growth in value above £6.70 of 5.5% of the company’s issued share capital. This move is part of ASOS’s strategy to align executive incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and market positioning by motivating key leadership to drive value growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ASOS Appoints Aaron Izzard as New CFO Amid Strategic Transition
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

ASOS has announced a significant leadership transition with Aaron Izzard appointed as the new Chief Financial Officer and Executive Director, effective from July 1, 2025. This change marks a strategic move as ASOS transitions from financial recovery to a focus on sustained operational execution and long-term growth. Aaron’s extensive experience in retail and e-commerce, particularly in driving cost-efficiency and operational improvements, positions him as a key asset for ASOS’s continued transformation. The outgoing CFO, Dave Murray, is recognized for his contributions to the company’s financial strengthening and stock reduction, leaving ASOS in a more robust and resilient state.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025