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ASOS plc (GB:ASC)
LSE:ASC
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ASOS plc (ASC) AI Stock Analysis

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GB:ASC

ASOS plc

(LSE:ASC)

Rating:47Neutral
Price Target:
310.00p
▼(-0.64% Downside)
ASOS plc's overall stock score reflects its financial struggles, particularly with declining revenues and high leverage. While there are positive signs from recent strategic initiatives and leadership changes, the company's valuation and technical indicators suggest caution. The most significant factor is the financial performance, which heavily impacts the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
The company's H1 EBITDA will be ahead of consensus, reflecting a strong gross margin improvement and cost discipline.
Strategic Initiatives
ASOS has made progress on strategic initiatives and reported a return to growth in ASOS Design.
Negative Factors
Profitability
Despite improvement, the EBITDA margin remains insufficient to reach overall profitability.
Revenue Growth
Revenue growth expectations for the fiscal year are now predicted to be at the lower end of the consensus range.

ASOS plc (ASC) vs. iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF (EWC)

ASOS plc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionASOS plc is a British online fashion and cosmetic retailer headquartered in London, specializing in offering a wide range of clothing, footwear, accessories, and beauty products. Targeting primarily young adults, ASOS operates in the e-commerce sector and provides its customers with an extensive selection of both branded and own-label products. The company is known for its innovative digital marketing strategies and user-friendly online shopping experience, catering to a global audience with a significant presence in Europe, the United States, and other international markets.
How the Company Makes MoneyASOS generates revenue primarily through online sales of fashion and beauty products. The company operates a direct-to-consumer model, allowing it to sell its own brand products as well as products from third-party brands. Key revenue streams include the sale of clothing, footwear, accessories, and beauty items, with a strong focus on fast fashion and trend-driven products. Additionally, ASOS benefits from international shipping, attracting global customers. The company also engages in strategic partnerships with various brands and influencers to enhance its product offerings and marketing reach, contributing to its overall earnings. Seasonal promotions, discounts, and loyalty programs further drive sales and customer retention.

ASOS plc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 24, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.65%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 15, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strategic shift towards sustainable and profitable growth, with significant improvements in profitability metrics and operational efficiency. However, challenges remain in growing sales and customer base, particularly in the US market and third-party brand performance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
EBITDA Improvement
Increased EBITDA by approximately £60 million compared to last year, indicating a 30% rise in variable contribution over the last six months.
Gross Margin Growth
Gross margin increased by almost 500 basis points due to a better full price mix and reduced discounting.
Own Brands Full Price Business Growth
ASOS's own brands saw growth in full price business globally, with ASOS Design in the UK growing by 9%.
Reduction in Supply Chain Costs
Supply chain costs were reduced by 20%, contributing to operational efficiency.
Successful Launch of Test & React
Test & React now constitutes 15% of own brand sales, with plans to increase to 20%. The model improved reaction to market trends and quality.
Cost Efficiency and Stock Turn Improvement
Implemented cost management discipline and accelerated stock turn by 35%, allowing better capital use.
Loyalty Program Introduction
ASOS launched the ASOS.WORLD loyalty program, aiming to enhance customer engagement and retention.
Negative Updates
US Market Sales Decline
Sales in the US dropped by 28% due to reduced stock, promotions, and performance marketing, despite an increase in variable contribution.
Overall Sales Decline
Adjusted constant currency sales declined by 13% year-on-year, reflecting reductions in unprofitable performance marketing and inventory.
Challenges in Active Customer Growth
Experiencing declines in active customers due to reduced product availability, promotions, and marketing investment.
Third-Party Brand Performance
Sales performance of third-party brands was weaker, although profitability improved.
Company Guidance
In the call, ASOS provided guidance on their performance and strategic direction, highlighting several key metrics. The company reported an increase in EBITDA by approximately £60 million compared to the previous year, indicating significant progress in their strategic initiatives. This improvement was driven by a 490 basis point increase in gross margin and a focus on cost efficiencies. The company emphasized the success of their new commercial model, which led to a full price business growth of 12 points compared to last year and a 35% acceleration in stock turn. ASOS also noted a reduction in supply chain costs by 140 basis points and a decrease in the underlying return rate by 150 basis points. Despite a 13% year-on-year decline in adjusted constant currency sales, the company's efforts to improve profitability are evident. Looking ahead, ASOS expects gross margins to surpass 46% and adjusted EBITDA to grow at least 60%, reaching between £130 million and £150 million for FY 2025. They also aim for a return to revenue growth, supported by the scaling of their Flexible Fulfillment models. Additionally, ASOS anticipates meaningful free cash flow inflow in FY 2026, driven by continued improvements in their operating model and gross margins.

ASOS plc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
ASOS plc is facing financial challenges with declining revenues and ongoing net losses impacting the income statement. The high debt-to-equity ratio on the balance sheet suggests financial instability, though cash flow improvements offer some optimism.
Income Statement
35
Negative
ASOS plc has faced declining revenues and profitability over the past few years. The revenue decreased from 2023 to 2024, marking a significant drop from previous years. The company has also experienced negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, reflecting operational inefficiencies and increased costs. Despite a strong revenue base, the ongoing net losses are concerning and indicate a need for strategic adjustments.
Balance Sheet
45
Neutral
The balance sheet shows a moderate level of financial stability with a high debt-to-equity ratio and declining equity base. ASOS has a substantial amount of total debt compared to its stockholders' equity, which may pose challenges in managing financial obligations. However, the company maintains a reasonable cash balance, providing some liquidity cushion.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
ASOS's cash flow performance has shown improvement in operating cash flow, turning positive in 2024 after a negative trend in previous years. The free cash flow has also improved, although it still remains a concern due to the company's net income losses. Effective cash management will be crucial to sustain operations and facilitate strategic investments.
BreakdownSep 2024Sep 2023Sep 2022Sep 2021Sep 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.90B3.54B3.94B3.91B3.26B
Gross Profit1.08B1.39B1.57B1.64B1.43B
EBITDA-153.60M-79.50M140.90M325.80M278.10M
Net Income-338.70M-223.10M-30.80M128.40M113.30M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets2.27B2.63B3.00B2.88B1.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments382.90M353.30M323.00M662.70M407.50M
Total Debt977.70M1.00B856.00M792.10M313.10M
Total Liabilities1.75B1.76B1.98B1.85B1.18B
Stockholders Equity521.30M866.70M1.01B1.03B810.30M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow160.30M-190.60M-313.50M52.60M279.20M
Operating Cash Flow196.70M-12.70M-130.60M209.70M395.80M
Investing Cash Flow-133.50M-177.90M-182.90M-443.50M-116.60M
Financing Cash Flow-26.00M222.70M-26.30M489.10M143.70M

ASOS plc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price312.00
Price Trends
50DMA
316.86
Negative
100DMA
306.89
Positive
200DMA
338.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.95
Positive
RSI
46.47
Neutral
STOCH
46.11
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GB:ASC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 312 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 325.47, below the 50-day MA of 316.86, and below the 200-day MA of 338.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.95 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.47 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 46.11 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for GB:ASC.

ASOS plc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (62)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
£1.23B11.265.01%2.71%-34.19%
62
Neutral
AU$3.12B28.9725.32%4.54%2.36%-27.72%
55
Neutral
£499.43M-27.20%-14.37%-28.78%
55
Neutral
£509.19M48.916.87%9.45%-57.24%
49
Neutral
£687.46M890.75%0.48%2.62%-129.82%
48
Neutral
£197.48M-96.36%-16.32%-202.39%
47
Neutral
£372.36M-62.59%-15.86%-18.46%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GB:ASC
ASOS plc
313.50
-47.90
-13.25%
GB:DEBS
boohoo group Plc
15.20
-13.34
-46.74%
GB:AO
AO World
89.50
-25.50
-22.17%
GB:CURY
Currys plc
113.10
32.30
39.98%
GB:THG
THG
31.44
-31.61
-50.13%
GB:MOON
Moonpig Group Plc
207.00
-8.05
-3.74%

ASOS plc Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ASOS Announces Strategic Board Changes to Drive Growth
Positive
Jul 31, 2025

ASOS plc has announced significant changes to its Board, appointing Natasja Laheij as the new Chair and William Barker as Deputy Chair. These appointments are part of a strategic move to strengthen the company’s leadership as it continues to focus on sustainable and profitable growth. Natasja brings extensive experience in international commercial and financial management, while William’s expertise in building and turning around digitally-enabled businesses will support ASOS’s strategic initiatives. The changes are expected to enhance ASOS’s operational capabilities and drive long-term competitive advantage.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £4.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
ASOS Appoints KPMG as New External Auditor
Neutral
Jul 30, 2025

ASOS plc has announced the appointment of KPMG LLP as its new external auditor following a competitive tender process, with the transition set to occur for the year ending 29 August 2027. PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP, the current auditor since 2008, will continue in their role until the audits for the years ending 31 August 2025 and 30 August 2026 are completed. This change reflects ASOS’s commitment to rigorous financial oversight and may impact its operational transparency and stakeholder confidence.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £450.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ASOS Grants CFO Award Under Value Creation Plan
Positive
Jul 2, 2025

ASOS Plc announced that Aaron Izzard, the Chief Financial Officer, has been granted an award under the ASOS Plc Value Creation Plan (VCP), which was approved by shareholders in August 2024. This award allows Izzard to potentially receive 5% of the growth in value above £6.70 of 5.5% of the company’s issued share capital. This move is part of ASOS’s strategy to align executive incentives with shareholder interests, potentially impacting the company’s operational focus and market positioning by motivating key leadership to drive value growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
ASOS Appoints Aaron Izzard as New CFO Amid Strategic Transition
Positive
Jun 17, 2025

ASOS has announced a significant leadership transition with Aaron Izzard appointed as the new Chief Financial Officer and Executive Director, effective from July 1, 2025. This change marks a strategic move as ASOS transitions from financial recovery to a focus on sustained operational execution and long-term growth. Aaron’s extensive experience in retail and e-commerce, particularly in driving cost-efficiency and operational improvements, positions him as a key asset for ASOS’s continued transformation. The outgoing CFO, Dave Murray, is recognized for his contributions to the company’s financial strengthening and stock reduction, leaving ASOS in a more robust and resilient state.

The most recent analyst rating on (GB:ASC) stock is a Hold with a £4.60 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on ASOS plc stock, see the GB:ASC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025