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Naturgy Energy Group SA (GASNY)
OTHER OTC:GASNY

Naturgy Energy Group SA (GASNY) AI Stock Analysis

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GASNY

Naturgy Energy Group SA

(OTC:GASNY)

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Neutral 68 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:68Neutral
Price Target:
$7.00
â–²(16.86% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/01/26
The score is driven primarily by financially solid but not risk-free fundamentals (stable profitability and cash generation, offset by revenue decline and leverage). Valuation is supportive with a moderate P/E and ~4% yield, while the latest call was broadly constructive (stable guidance, strong hedging and liquidity) despite near-term net debt and FX/regulatory headwinds. Technicals indicate only mild positive momentum.
Positive Factors
Improved Margins
The improvement in gross profit margin indicates better cost management and operational efficiency, which can enhance long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
Continued revenue decline poses a risk to financial stability and growth, potentially impacting the company's ability to invest in future projects.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Improved Margins
The improvement in gross profit margin indicates better cost management and operational efficiency, which can enhance long-term profitability and competitiveness.
Read all positive factors

Naturgy Energy Group SA (GASNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Naturgy Energy Group SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Naturgy Energy Group, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the supply, liquefaction, regasification, transport, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas. It operates through Energy and Network Management, Renewables and New Busin...
How the Company Makes Money
Naturgy generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale of electricity and natural gas to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company's revenue model includes both regulated and unregulated activities, wit...

Naturgy Energy Group SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 18, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call communicated a predominantly positive operational and financial performance for FY2025: record EBITDA, higher net income, strong cash generation, disciplined CapEx, increased shareholder returns, improved liquidity and a materially reduced gas risk profile via hedging and long-term contracts. These strengths are offset by identifiable near-term challenges including FX headwinds across LatAm, weaker supply and some network declines driven by one-off comparatives, commodity price softness, permitting delays for renewables/biomethane and an expected modest increase in net debt in 2026 tied to scheduled payments. Management emphasized strong risk management, a commitment to financial discipline (BBB rating), and clear mitigation actions (high hedging, regulated tariff reviews, selective growth), suggesting the positives materially outweigh the negatives.
Positive Updates
Record EBITDA and Strong Profitability
EBITDA reached EUR 5.3 billion in FY2025, a record level for the company, with net income above EUR 2.0 billion (exceeding guidance).
Negative Updates
Networks EBITDA Decline and LatAm FX Drag
Networks EBITDA was EUR 2,735 million in 2025, down ~5% YoY. Decline driven by absence of a one-off positive effect in Chile from 2024 and broad-based depreciation of Latin American currencies (notably ARS, BRL, MXN), negatively impacting results.
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
Record EBITDA and Strong Profitability
EBITDA reached EUR 5.3 billion in FY2025, a record level for the company, with net income above EUR 2.0 billion (exceeding guidance).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
The company guided to 2026 EBITDA at about the 2025 level (2025 EBITDA EUR 5.3bn), net income slightly below 2025 but clearly above EUR 1.8bn (2025 net income ~EUR 2.0bn), and CapEx/investment around last year’s c. EUR 2.1bn (with ~EUR 1.0bn to networks and ~EUR 0.8bn to renewables); 1.2 GW of renewables are under construction to come onstream in 2026, total installed capacity was 8.1 GW at year‑end 2025, free cash flow after minorities was ~EUR 2.2bn (CFO ~EUR 4.5bn), net debt closed 2025 at EUR 12.3bn (net debt/EBITDA ~2.3x) and is expected to rise in 2026 in line with guidance (market discussion around ~EUR 13.5bn), FFO/net debt ~27% (comfortably above BBB thresholds), average cost of debt ~3.9% with ~66% fixed, liquidity ~EUR 10bn, completed ~EUR 11bn of financings, dividend floor for 2026 set at EUR 1.80/share (2025 DPS proposed EUR 1.77), strong hedging (nearly fully hedged for 2026, largely hedged into 2027–28) and contracted sales coverage (electricity ~65% industrial / ~75% retail; gas ~75% industrial / ~80% retail).

Naturgy Energy Group SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Solid, resilient profitability and generally supportive cash generation, but tempered by three consecutive years of revenue contraction, a recent decline in free cash flow, and a debt-heavy capital structure that reduces flexibility.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
56
Neutral
Cash Flow
68
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue20.16B18.69B19.27B22.62B33.97B22.14B
Gross Profit7.78B5.15B7.70B7.51B6.88B5.43B
EBITDA4.70B4.99B5.22B5.19B4.51B3.76B
Net Income2.00B1.94B1.90B1.99B1.65B1.21B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets36.51B39.08B40.84B37.89B40.39B38.25B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.30B4.66B6.10B4.12B4.39B4.36B
Total Debt0.0017.87B17.98B15.96B16.26B16.81B
Total Liabilities26.75B27.72B29.18B25.96B30.41B29.38B
Stockholders Equity7.78B9.34B9.48B9.45B7.57B5.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.41B2.28B1.79B2.43B2.16B-203.00M
Operating Cash Flow4.63B4.35B3.99B4.86B2.16B1.00B
Investing Cash Flow-2.11B-1.81B-1.82B-2.74B-1.49B1.90B
Financing Cash Flow-3.26B-3.53B-239.00M-2.26B-2.85B-2.85B

Naturgy Energy Group SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price5.99
Price Trends
50DMA
5.97
Positive
100DMA
5.99
Positive
200DMA
6.01
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.02
Negative
RSI
56.48
Neutral
STOCH
23.43
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GASNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 5.99 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.79, above the 50-day MA of 5.97, and below the 200-day MA of 6.01, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.02 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 23.43 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GASNY.

Naturgy Energy Group SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$6.31B21.1711.62%3.07%-23.15%157.45%
69
Neutral
$30.61B16.929.20%2.15%12.91%9.86%
68
Neutral
$28.83B12.8524.33%4.19%3.23%1.90%
67
Neutral
$22.25B19.1510.23%2.69%19.62%12.87%
66
Neutral
$5.59B9.4813.39%4.01%13.94%13.93%
66
Neutral
$17.65B18.105.60%3.62%6.62%11.55%
65
Neutral
$7.88B6.7712.21%3.92%1.10%140.04%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GASNY
Naturgy Energy Group SA
6.00
0.69
12.95%
ATO
Atmos Energy
185.02
33.45
22.07%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
55.44
8.23
17.43%
NI
Nisource
46.50
7.18
18.27%
SWX
Southwest Gas
87.31
17.64
25.31%
UGI
UGI
36.69
4.54
14.14%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 01, 2026