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Naturgy Energy Group SA (GASNY)
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Naturgy Energy Group SA (GASNY) AI Stock Analysis

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GASNY

Naturgy Energy Group SA

(OTC:GASNY)

Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
Naturgy Energy Group SA's overall stock score reflects its strong financial performance and attractive valuation, offset by neutral technical indicators. Despite a revenue decline, the company remains financially stable with strong profitability. The stock's attractive P/E ratio and dividend yield enhance its appeal, though technical analysis suggests a more cautious outlook in the near term.

Naturgy Energy Group SA (GASNY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Naturgy Energy Group SA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionNaturgy Energy Group, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the supply, liquefaction, regasification, transport, storage, distribution, and sale of natural gas. It operates through Energy and Network Management, Renewables and New Business, Supply, and Rest segments. The company engages in the regulated gas and electricity distribution; sale of liquefied natural gas and the sea transport business; management of the gas pipelines and conventional thermal generation facilities; and generation and sale of electricity through wind, mini-hydro, solar, and cogeneration sources, as well as provision of supply management services. It serves in Spain, Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Mexico, Panama, the rest of Latin America, and internationally. The company was formerly known as Gas Natural SDG, S.A. and changed its name to Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. in June 2018. Naturgy Energy Group, S.A. was incorporated in 1843 and is based in Madrid, Spain.
How the Company Makes MoneyNaturgy Energy Group SA primarily generates revenue through the production, distribution, and sale of electricity and natural gas. Its key revenue streams include the sale of natural gas to households, businesses, and power plants, as well as the generation and distribution of electricity in both regulated and deregulated markets. The company benefits from long-term contracts and tariffs in regulated sectors, which provide stable and predictable income. Additionally, Naturgy is investing in renewable energy projects, which are expected to contribute increasingly to its revenue as global demand for clean energy rises. Strategic partnerships and joint ventures in various regions also play a significant role in expanding its market presence and revenue base.

Naturgy Energy Group SA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 23, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.32%|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
Naturgy's earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, increased dividends, and growth in energy management and renewable sectors. However, challenges such as a decline in networks EBITDA, currency depreciation impacts, and a drop in the supplies segment were noted.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Naturgy reported an EBITDA of close to EUR 2.9 billion and a net income of EUR 1.1 billion for the first half of 2025, showing resilience and strong performance amid macro uncertainty.
Dividend Increase
Naturgy announced a dividend of EUR 0.60 per share, higher than consensus assumptions, with a total dividend payout of EUR 576 million.
Energy Management Growth
EBITDA from Energy Management reached EUR 524 million, a 36% increase from 2024, driven by higher margins on hedge sales.
Renewable Generation Expansion
Naturgy completed construction of its second solar plant in Texas with 261 megawatts capacity, contributing to higher results in renewable generation.
Strong Cash Flow and Investment
Free cash flow after minorities reached almost EUR 1.3 billion, and Naturgy invested more than EUR 3 billion overall in the first half of 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Networks EBITDA
Networks segment EBITDA was 8% lower compared to 2024, mainly due to an extraordinary impact in Chile last year.
Currency Depreciation Impact
Results in Mexico and Brazil were negatively impacted by currency depreciation, affecting overall performance.
Supplies Segment Decline
Supply segment EBITDA decreased by 15% compared to 2024, due to an extraordinary impact from a positive ruling in 2024.
Company Guidance
During the call, Naturgy provided guidance for the second half of 2025, highlighting key metrics and expectations. The company anticipates an EBITDA of over EUR 5.3 billion and a net income surpassing EUR 2 billion for the year, both above market consensus. This optimistic outlook is underpinned by a strong balance sheet and a strategic focus on capital discipline, prioritizing value over size. Naturgy also announced a dividend range of EUR 1.7 to EUR 1.9 per share, reflecting a commitment to shareholder returns. The company's financial position remains robust, with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of around 2.6x, despite a substantial EUR 2.3 billion tender offer. Liquidity stands strong at EUR 8.6 billion, including cash reserves and undrawn credit lines. Additionally, the company successfully increased its free float, aiming to rejoin the MSCI indexes, while maintaining flexibility in the timing of share placements. In terms of operational performance, Naturgy expects stability in gas and electricity margins, resilient supply margins, and continued growth in its customer base. The company continues to prioritize investments aligned with its strategic plan and navigates macroeconomic uncertainties with a diversified and balanced portfolio across geographies and energy segments.

Naturgy Energy Group SA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Naturgy Energy Group SA exhibits a robust financial foundation with strong profitability and operational efficiency. While revenue has decreased, the company maintains a solid balance sheet and healthy cash flows, positioning it well within the regulated utilities sector. The moderate leverage and positive cash flow trends support a stable outlook.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement shows a mixed performance with strong gross and net profit margins in the latest year. However, revenue has decreased from the previous year, indicating potential market challenges. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain solid, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a decrease in total liabilities and an increase in stockholders' equity compared to previous years. The debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, suggesting manageable leverage levels, while the equity ratio indicates a balanced capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals positive free cash flow growth and strong operating cash flow, although there was a drop in free cash flow in the past year. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, indicating good cash generation capability relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020Dec 2019
Income Statement
Total Revenue19.63B22.62B33.97B22.14B15.35B23.04B
Gross Profit7.33B7.51B6.54B5.43B5.01B6.36B
EBITDA5.16B5.19B4.51B3.76B3.33B4.36B
Net Income1.98B1.99B1.65B1.21B-55.00M1.40B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.84B37.89B40.39B38.25B39.55B41.14B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments4.33B4.12B4.39B4.36B4.49B3.01B
Total Debt16.14B15.96B16.26B16.69B17.35B17.85B
Total Liabilities25.96B25.96B30.41B29.38B28.28B27.16B
Stockholders Equity9.77B9.45B7.57B5.89B8.03B10.55B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.48B2.43B2.16B-203.00M1.96B2.17B
Operating Cash Flow3.71B4.86B2.16B1.00B3.43B4.02B
Investing Cash Flow-2.24B-2.74B1.16B1.90B-1.14B-1.46B
Financing Cash Flow-1.80B-2.26B-2.54B-2.85B-388.00M-1.60B

Naturgy Energy Group SA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price6.31
Price Trends
50DMA
6.19
Positive
100DMA
5.93
Positive
200DMA
5.44
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.02
Positive
RSI
51.88
Neutral
STOCH
37.82
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For GASNY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 6.31 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.33, above the 50-day MA of 6.19, and above the 200-day MA of 5.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.02 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 51.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 37.82 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for GASNY.

Naturgy Energy Group SA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$4.59B11.0917.83%3.93%20.30%63.69%
73
Outperform
$7.73B14.8510.84%4.16%-4.30%
73
Outperform
$30.36B13.8922.25%5.63%
72
Outperform
$24.75B21.759.18%2.19%10.60%8.55%
71
Outperform
$20.05B22.9510.34%2.59%13.08%17.47%
68
Neutral
$5.60B24.966.49%3.19%-10.78%16.27%
67
Neutral
$17.61B17.627.05%3.50%5.94%5.82%
* Utilities Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
GASNY
Naturgy Energy Group SA
6.31
1.57
33.12%
ATO
Atmos Energy
155.81
31.49
25.33%
NJR
New Jersey Resources
45.76
2.45
5.66%
NI
Nisource
42.59
12.89
43.40%
SWX
Southwest Gas
77.85
8.78
12.71%
UGI
UGI
36.05
13.31
58.53%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 16, 2025