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Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
(OTC:FWONB)
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Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$104.00
▲(14.21% Upside)
Action:Upgraded
Date:08/07/26
FWONB scores well primarily due to strong financial quality (healthy profitability, robust free cash flow, and a solid balance sheet profile in the latest period) and a constructive technical trend with neutral momentum. The score is held back by moderate valuation (P/E 26.8, no dividend support) and near-term revenue/OIBDA softness tied to race-calendar timing and disruption, despite management emphasizing strong underlying commercial momentum.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow
Robust TTM cash generation and sharp FCF growth provide durable financial flexibility to fund investments, refinance or pay down debt, and support premium product expansion. Strong cash flow cushions the business against race-timing volatility and underpins capital allocation over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Calendar-driven revenue volatility
Revenue and OIBDA are materially exposed to the number and timing of races and season-based recognition. This structural sensitivity makes top-line and margin outcomes lumpy, complicates cash-flow visibility, and can depress operating leverage when event counts are reduced or rescheduled.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow
Robust TTM cash generation and sharp FCF growth provide durable financial flexibility to fund investments, refinance or pay down debt, and support premium product expansion. Strong cash flow cushions the business against race-timing volatility and underpins capital allocation over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One (FWONB) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$26.09B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)10.00
Price to Earnings (P/E)52.5
Beta (1Y)0.29
Revenue Growth12.23%
EPS Growth47.39%
CountryUS
Employees1,674
SectorCommunication Services
Sector Strength97
IndustryEntertainment
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.84
Shares Outstanding2,381,188
10 Day Avg. Volume20
30 Day Avg. Volume10
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.02
Price to Book (P/B)2.88
Price to Sales (P/S)4.99
P/FCF Ratio29.75
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)N/A
Revenue Forecast (FY)N/A
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Formula One Group operates within the global motorsports sector, managing the commercial rights for the acclaimed Formula 1 World Championship. This premier motor racing competition unfolds over roughly nine months, featuring teams contending for ...
How the Company Makes Money
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Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted substantial commercial momentum across Formula One and MotoGP — including strong digital growth, record live attendance, licensing and sponsorship wins, MotoGP structural deals, and a solid liquidity position. These positives were tempered by near-term financial impacts from calendar variability (fewer staged races), which drove a 15% YTD revenue decline and a 30% YTD adjusted OIBDA decline at F1, modest SG&A increases, and a small net leverage uptick to 3.4x. Management characterized the revenue/OIBDA weakness as largely timing-driven and emphasized underlying growth trends, long-term contractual renewals, and operational fixes (rescheduled Bahrain GP, debt refinancing). Overall, the strategic and operational positives appear to outweigh the transitory financial headwinds resulting from calendar and market timing effects.Positive Updates
U.S. Apple TV Viewership Growth
Formula One U.S. viewership on Apple TV: total hours watched up 13% year-over-year season-to-date; attracted a younger and more female audience, strengthening distribution and sponsor satisfaction.
Negative Updates
Calendar Variance Impact on Revenue and OIBDA
Formula One race count reduced in the quarter (5 races vs 9 prior year; 44% decline quarter-over-quarter) and year-to-date (8 vs 11 prior year; 27% decline YTD). F1 year-to-date revenue declined 15% and adjusted OIBDA declined 30%, driven primarily by the calendar variance and season-based revenue recognition (36% of season revenue recognized vs ~46% prior period).
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
U.S. Apple TV Viewership Growth
Formula One U.S. viewership on Apple TV: total hours watched up 13% year-over-year season-to-date; attracted a younger and more female audience, strengthening distribution and sponsor satisfaction.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided that F1 will end 2026 with a 23‑race calendar (22 races assumed at June 30; Bahrain rescheduled to Malaysia in October and season‑based revenue true‑ups to begin in Q3) and expects to return to a full 24‑race calendar next season; the Q2 race count fell 44% (5 vs 9) and YTD race count was down 27% (8 vs 11), contributing to F1 YTD revenue down 15% and adjusted OIBDA down 30% and season‑based revenue recognized ~36% YTD vs ~46% a year ago. Team payments were 61.7% of pre‑team‑share adjusted OIBDA YTD with an expected ~200 bps full‑year improvement and payout percentages projected to remain relatively stable through 2030. Liberty finished the quarter with ~$1.5B of cash and liquid investments (including $1.0B at F1 and $142M at MotoGP), ~ $5.0B total debt ($3.3B F1, $1.0B MotoGP, $497M corporate), undrawn $500M F1 revolver and EUR100M MotoGP revolver, and net leverage of 3.4x; MotoGP debt was repriced (EUR720M TLB, $200M TLA, EUR100M revolver) with anticipated margin reductions as the business delevers. MotoGP (presented pro forma) showed YTD revenue and adjusted OIBDA growth with race count unchanged, attendance +4% (first 11 races), TV viewership +3% through Mugello, 63M social followers (+3% YoY; TikTok engagement +80%; China +26%). On engagement and commercial metrics, F1 reported Apple TV U.S. viewership and hours watched up 13% season‑to‑date, F1 TV revenue +18% YTD (ex‑U.S.), social followers +19% YoY, YouTube views >13B (+30% YoY), 3.3M attendees to date (Silverstone 564k; five races set attendance records), Paddock Club and certain premium hospitality offerings sold out and poised for further expansion. Corporate & other revenue was $12M YTD with adjusted OIBDA loss of $16M.Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
84
Very Positive
Cash Flow
78
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.34B | 4.48B | 3.65B | 3.22B | 2.57B | 2.14B |
| Gross Profit | 1.42B | 1.12B | 1.17B | 982.00M | 823.00M | 647.00M |
| EBITDA | 1.36B | 1.15B | 577.00M | 794.00M | 762.00M | 363.00M |
| Net Income | 461.00M | 555.00M | -30.00M | 185.00M | 558.00M | -190.00M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 15.88B | 15.40B | 11.76B | 10.27B | 11.02B | 11.66B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 1.47B | 1.05B | 2.63B | 1.41B | 1.73B | 2.07B |
| Total Debt | 4.92B | 5.12B | 2.99B | 2.91B | 2.95B | 3.63B |
| Total Liabilities | 7.50B | 6.95B | 4.37B | 3.85B | 4.08B | 4.72B |
| Stockholders Equity | 7.62B | 7.76B | 7.39B | 6.42B | 6.91B | 6.34B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 786.00M | 751.00M | 492.00M | 193.00M | 243.00M | 464.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 915.00M | 870.00M | 567.00M | 619.00M | 534.00M | 481.00M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -3.16B | -3.20B | -292.00M | -683.00M | 394.00M | -600.00M |
| Financing Cash Flow | 221.00M | 408.00M | 951.00M | -435.00M | -1.27B | 512.00M |
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Technical Analysis
Positive
91.06
Price Trends
91.53
Positive
87.10
Positive
85.98
Positive
Market Momentum
1.71
Negative
62.26
Neutral
63.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FWONB, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 91.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 94.55, below the 50-day MA of 91.53, and above the 200-day MA of 85.98, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FWONB.
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Risk Analysis
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One disclosed 106 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Liberty Media Liberty Formula One reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
74 Outperform | $26.09B | 52.46 | 5.94% | ― | 12.23% | 47.39% | |
73 Outperform | $26.09B | 52.46 | 5.94% | ― | 12.23% | 47.39% | |
72 Outperform | $26.09B | 52.46 | 5.94% | ― | 12.23% | 47.39% | |
66 Neutral | $36.56B | 63.96 | 6.41% | 1.72% | 35.92% | 15.44% | |
60 Neutral | $48.67B | 4.58 | -11.27% | 4.14% | 2.83% | -41.78% | |
60 Neutral | $42.84B | -165.29 | 73.28% | ― | 10.75% | -146.20% | |
54 Neutral | $71.68B | -22.48 | -9.22% | ― | -5.87% | -512.89% |
* Communication Services Sector Average
FWONB
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
98.70
4.99
5.33%
FWONA
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
96.52
4.61
5.02%
LYV
Live Nation Entertainment
181.82
15.98
9.64%
TKO
TKO Group Holdings
193.14
12.23
6.76%
FWONK
Liberty Media Liberty Formula One
104.94
2.51
2.45%
WBD
Warner Bros
28.55
16.51
137.13%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.