fuboTV (FUBO) AI Stock Analysis

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fuboTV

(NYSE:FUBO)

Rating:73Outperform

Price Target:

$4.00

▲(15.94%Upside)

fuboTV's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance with significant improvements in profitability and cash flow. The technical analysis supports bullish momentum, though valuation metrics suggest moderate attractiveness. Despite positive earnings call highlights, concerns about advertising revenue and subscriber declines present risks. The company's focus on cost control and profitability improvements is encouraging, but the outlook remains cautious.

Positive Factors

Financial Performance

Fubo achieved positive EBITDA in the quarter, indicating a move towards profitability.

Strategic Initiatives

The proposed combination with Hulu is expected to provide the company with an improved financial profile, moving to cash flow and EBITDA positive at close.

Negative Factors

Content Partnerships

The loss of a content relationship with Univision and uncertainty around the Hulu combination negatively impact the company's guidance and revenue estimates.

Subscriber Metrics

Fubo introduced Q2 guide below Street expectations, with revenue and subscribers forecasted lower than prior estimates.

fuboTV (FUBO) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Market Cap

$1.15B

Dividend YieldN/A

Average Volume (3M)13.81M

Price to Earnings (P/E)17.6

Beta (1Y)0.15

Revenue Growth13.18%

EPS GrowthN/A

CountryUS

Employees590

SectorCommunication Services

Sector Strength88

IndustryBroadcasting

Share Statistics

EPS (TTM)0.55

Shares Outstanding341,539,800

10 Day Avg. Volume9,381,326

30 Day Avg. Volume13,812,135

Financial Highlights & Ratios

PEG Ratio-0.01

Price to Book (P/B)1.38

Price to Sales (P/S)0.00

P/FCF Ratio151.96

Enterprise Value/Market Cap0.21

Enterprise Value/Revenue0.04

Enterprise Value/Gross Profit0.41

Enterprise Value/Ebitda-0.86

Forecast

1Y Price Target

$3.34

Price Target Upside-3.19% Downside

Rating ConsensusModerate Buy

Number of Analyst Covering6

fuboTV Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionfuboTV Inc. (FUBO) is a leading live TV streaming platform offering a wide array of channels, including sports, news, and entertainment content. Founded in 2015, the company operates primarily in the United States, Canada, and Spain, focusing on providing a premium viewing experience with a strong emphasis on sports programming. fuboTV differentiates itself in the crowded streaming market through its extensive offering of live sports events, appealing to sports enthusiasts who seek a comprehensive and flexible alternative to traditional cable TV services.

How the Company Makes MoneyfuboTV makes money primarily through subscription fees, which are tiered based on the level of service and content access subscribers choose. The company offers different packages that vary in terms of channel availability and additional features, such as cloud DVR storage and simultaneous streaming capabilities. A significant portion of its revenue is also derived from advertising, as fuboTV incorporates targeted ads into its streaming service. Furthermore, fuboTV has established partnerships with major sports leagues and networks to enhance its content offerings, which in turn attracts more subscribers. The combination of subscription revenues and advertising income forms the core of fuboTV's business model, enabling it to compete with other streaming services and traditional cable providers.

fuboTV Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any

Total Subscribers

Total Subscribers
Indicates the total number of paying users, reflecting fuboTV's market penetration and potential for revenue growth through subscription fees.

Chart InsightsFuboTV's subscriber count has shown volatility, with recent growth peaking at the end of 2024. However, the latest earnings call reveals a cautious outlook, with North American subscribers slightly exceeding guidance but still down 2.7% year-over-year. The company faces challenges with declining ad revenue and projected subscriber declines in Q2 2025. Despite these hurdles, FuboTV has made significant strides in profitability and cost control, improving net income and EPS, which could stabilize future performance if growth strategies are effectively implemented.

Data provided by:

Main Street Data

fuboTV Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 02, 2025

(Q1-2025)

% Change Since: 17.75%|

Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2025

Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral

While Fubo exceeded its subscriber forecast and achieved revenue growth in North America, challenges remain with declining advertising revenue, a projected decline in Q2 performance, and a drop in subscribers both in North America and Rest of World. The company's focus on profitability and cost control has led to significant improvements in net income and EPS, but the outlook remains cautious.

Q1-2025 Updates

Positive Updates

Exceeding Subscriber Forecasts

Fubo's global streaming business exceeded subscriber forecasts, delivering 1.47 million paid subscribers in North America, surpassing the Q1 guidance of 1.46 million at the high point.

Revenue Growth in North America

Total revenue in North America was $407.9 million, up 3.5% year-over-year, meeting the revenue guidance for the region.

Improvement in Profitability Metrics

Fubo improved global profitability metrics by more than $100 million over the trailing 12 months, highlighting ongoing execution and focus on profitability.

Net Income and EPS Improvement

Net income from continuing operations was $188 million, or $0.55 per diluted share, compared to a net loss of $56.3 million and a loss per share of $0.19 in the prior year period. Adjusted EPS loss improved to $0.02 from a loss of $0.14 a year ago.

Progress in Cost Control and Efficiency

Adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.4 million, a $37 million improvement year-over-year, underscoring focus on cost control and efficient growth.

Interactive Ads Growth

Interactive ad revenues grew by 37% year-over-year, with ad products overall up 41% year-over-year for the first half.

Negative Updates

Subscriber Decline in North America

North American subscribers were down 2.7% year-over-year, despite exceeding guidance.

Advertising Revenue Decline

Ad revenue for the quarter was $22.5 million, down 17% year-over-year, largely due to the discontinuation of Warner Bros. Discovery and TelevisaUnivision Networks.

Guidance for Q2 Decline

Guidance for Q2 2025 in North America projects subscribers of 1.225 million to 1.255 million, a 14% year-over-year decline at the midpoint, and revenue of $340 million to $350 million, a 10% decline at the midpoint.

Rest of World Performance

Rest of World subscribers are projected to decline by 17% year-over-year in Q2, with revenue expected to decline by 15% at the midpoint.

Company Guidance

During Fubo's first quarter 2025 earnings call, key metrics highlighted included surpassing subscriber and revenue guidance for their global streaming business, with 1.47 million North American subscribers, slightly exceeding the 1.46 million guidance at the high point, despite a 2.7% year-over-year decline. North America revenue reached $407.9 million, marking a 3.5% increase year-over-year. The company improved global profitability metrics by over $100 million on a trailing 12-month basis. Ad revenue, however, saw a 17% year-over-year decline, attributed to the discontinuation of Warner Bros. Discovery and TelevisaUnivision Networks. Net income from continuing operations was $188 million, or $0.55 per diluted share, compared to a $56.3 million net loss the previous year, largely benefiting from a $220 million gain on litigation settlement. The adjusted EPS loss improved to $0.02 from $0.14 a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA was negative $1.4 million, a $37 million year-over-year improvement. For Q2 2025, North America guidance projects a decline in subscribers to between 1.225 million and 1.255 million and revenue between $340 million and $350 million. Additionally, the Rest of World segment anticipates a 17% subscriber decline and a revenue drop of 15% at the midpoint.

fuboTV Financial Statement Overview

Summary

fuboTV exhibits significant financial improvement, particularly evident in the latest TTM data, with strong revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet stability and improved cash flow position are positive indicators, though historical volatility suggests careful monitoring of financial strategies moving forward.

Income Statement

Positive

fuboTV shows a strong revenue growth trend, especially in the latest TTM period, indicating a robust expansion phase. The TTM Net Profit Margin is exceptionally high, suggesting a significant profit turnaround. However, historical annual data reveals past challenges with negative net income and EBIT margins, indicating potential volatility.

Balance Sheet

Positive

The company's balance sheet reflects a moderate debt-to-equity ratio with improving stockholder equity, indicating a strengthening financial position. The equity ratio has shown improvement, suggesting better asset management. Historical data shows fluctuations in equity levels, posing some risk.

Cash Flow

Very Positive

The cash flow statement highlights substantial improvement in free cash flow in the TTM period, showcasing effective cash management. The operating cash flow to net income ratio has turned positive, indicating sustainable operations. Historical cash flow challenges suggest potential areas for caution in consistent cash generation.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	1.64B	1.62B	1.37B	1.01B	638.35M	217.75M
Gross Profit	592.52M	203.91M	86.15M	-41.10M	-10.43M	-16.04M
EBITDA	135.72M	-113.73M	-238.07M	-370.23M	-287.47M	-545.76M
Net Income	72.24M	-172.25M	-287.45M	-561.48M	-382.84M	-570.33M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	1.22B	1.08B	1.23B	1.28B	1.37B	859.35M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	321.62M	161.44M	245.28M	337.09M	374.29M	134.94M
Total Debt	376.77M	378.42M	443.02M	442.80M	363.90M	33.51M
Total Liabilities	826.51M	896.65M	948.82M	874.44M	698.90M	236.40M
Stockholders Equity	389.04M	196.37M	295.58M	403.33M	670.88M	622.95M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	161.04B	-95.31M	-199.57M	-322.69M	-206.08M	-150.73M
Operating Cash Flow	161.39B	-79.48M	-177.62M	-316.70M	-192.60M	-150.56M
Investing Cash Flow	-3.71B	-15.84M	-25.42M	-12.42M	-76.17M	-838.00K
Financing Cash Flow	2.50B	11.46M	111.23M	296.27M	511.96M	280.00M

fuboTV Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment

Positive

Last Price3.45

Price Trends

50DMA

3.15

Positive

100DMA

3.25

Positive

200DMA

2.63

Positive

Market Momentum

MACD

0.03

Positive

RSI

56.41

Neutral

STOCH

77.94

Neutral

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FUBO, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 3.45 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.37, above the 50-day MA of 3.15, and above the 200-day MA of 2.63, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 56.41 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 77.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FUBO.

fuboTV Risk Analysis

fuboTV disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. fuboTV reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.

Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy

Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

fuboTV Peers Comparison

Overall Rating

UnderperformOutperform

Sector (66)

Financial Indicators

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
GTN	76 Outperform	$499.51M	1.98	9.92%	7.08%	9.08%	―
FUBO	73 Outperform	$1.15B	17.60	21.67%	―	13.18%	―
SSP	72 Outperform	$261.38M	3.09	11.23%	―	6.28%	―
TGNA	70 Outperform	$2.70B	5.93	16.07%	2.97%	6.34%	-0.26%
Sector *	66 Neutral	¥363.28B	13.70	2.32%	2.55%	5.41%	-19.11%
CURI	60 Neutral	$315.09M	―	-12.13%	5.79%	-4.04%	84.17%
IHRT	48 Neutral	$232.51M	―	86.54%	―	3.31%	-39.47%

* Communication Services Sector Average

Performance Comparison

FUBO

fuboTV

3.45

2.21

178.23%

SSP

E. W. Scripps Company Class A

2.85

-0.29

-9.24%

GTN

Gray Television

4.55

-0.26

-5.41%

TGNA

TEGNA

17.11

3.59

26.55%

IHRT

iHeartMedia

1.68

0.59

54.13%

CURI

CuriosityStream

5.46

4.41

420.00%

fuboTV Corporate Events

Shareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy

fuboTV Approves Restated Equity Plan at Shareholder Meeting

Neutral

Jun 18, 2025

On June 17, 2025, fuboTV Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where the amendment and restatement of the 2020 Equity Incentive Plan were approved. The Restated Plan, effective immediately, increases the number of shares available for issuance and extends the plan’s duration, impacting the company’s stock options and long-term incentive strategy. Additionally, the meeting included the election of seven directors and the approval of key proposals, including the ratification of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent auditor for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (FUBO) stock is a Hold with a $1.75 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on fuboTV stock, see the FUBO Stock Forecast page.

Glossary

BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025