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TEGNA (TGNA)
NYSE:TGNA

TEGNA (TGNA) AI Stock Analysis

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TEGNA

(NYSE:TGNA)

Rating:71Outperform
Price Target:
$18.50
▲(10.32%Upside)
TEGNA's overall stock score reflects a combination of strong financial health and attractive valuation, balanced by technical indicators suggesting stability. While revenue declines and market challenges pose risks, positive corporate events and earnings call highlights offer reassurance in long-term strategic initiatives.
Positive Factors
Cost Efficiency
TEGNA's ongoing cost savings efforts, which reached 60% of their stated $90-100 million goal, were realized faster than anticipated.
Revenue Growth
For the first time in several quarters, 1Q25 revenue beat consensus, with the upside split about evenly between AMS and the newly minted distribution line item.
Negative Factors
Advertising Challenges
The advertising headaches seem likely to persist, affecting the company's performance.
Market Environment
A tougher national environment is anticipated due to the company's exposure to larger DMAs.

TEGNA (TGNA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

TEGNA Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTEGNA Inc. operates as a media company in the United States. The company operates television stations that deliver television programming and digital content. It offers news content to consumers across various platforms, including online, mobile, and social platforms; owns and operates multicast networks under the names True Crime Network, Quest, and Twist that offer on-demand episodes of shows; and operates VAULT Studios, which provides true crime and investigative content in the form of podcasts and original television programs. The company also provides solutions for advertisers through TEGNA Marketing Solutions (TMS). TMS delivers results for advertisers across television and digital platforms, as well as over-the-top (OTT) platforms, including Premion OTT advertising network. As of February 28, 2022, it operated 64 television stations in 51 markets. The company was formerly known as Gannett Co., Inc. and changed its name to TEGNA Inc. in June 2015. TEGNA Inc. was founded in 1906 and is headquartered in Tysons, Virginia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTEGNA generates revenue primarily through advertising sales, which include both traditional television advertising and digital advertising on its platforms. The company capitalizes on its large audience reach across various local markets, attracting advertisers seeking to target specific demographics. Additionally, TEGNA earns revenue from retransmission consent agreements, where cable and satellite providers pay fees to carry its broadcast signals. The company also benefits from various content distribution partnerships, which further enhance its revenue streams by expanding the reach of its programming.

TEGNA Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 08, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 1.39%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 11, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a mixed performance with several positive achievements, including growth in digital revenue and successful cost-cutting initiatives, alongside challenges such as revenue and EBITDA declines. The company's strong balance sheet and strategic focus on digital and sports rights are promising, but broader market headwinds pose challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Digital Revenue Growth
TEGNA reported growth in digital advertising revenue, with initiatives in digital product portfolio, web solutions, mobile, and streaming apps showing positive momentum.
Cost-Cutting Initiatives
Non-GAAP expenses finished flat year-over-year, with operational cost-cutting initiatives yielding benefits. The company is on track to achieve $90 million to $100 million in annualized core non-programming savings by the end of 2025.
Securing Local Sports Rights
TEGNA has secured local team rights across NBA, WNBA, NHL, and MLB, along with partnerships with NFL teams to air preseason games for free over the air.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flow
TEGNA maintains a healthy balance sheet with cash and cash equivalents totaling $717 million at quarter end and a net leverage of 2.8x, positioning them well for M&A opportunities.
Negative Updates
Revenue Decline
Total company revenue for the first quarter was $680 million, a decrease of 5% year-over-year, primarily due to lower political advertising revenue and macroeconomic headwinds.
Challenges in Advertising Market
Advertising and marketing services revenue decreased by 3% year-over-year, with consumer confidence softening and some advertisers taking a cautious approach.
Adjusted EBITDA Decline
Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter decreased by 22% year-over-year, primarily due to lower political advertising revenue and AMS revenue.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of fiscal year 2025, TEGNA Inc. reported a total revenue of $680 million, reflecting a 5% year-over-year decrease due to lower political advertising revenue and macroeconomic challenges. The company’s advertising and marketing services revenue stood at $286 million, decreasing by 3% year-over-year, partly attributed to the Super Bowl airing on a smaller affiliate group. Despite these declines, TEGNA experienced growth in digital advertising revenue. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter fell by 22% to $136 million, impacted by reduced political and AMS revenues. TEGNA is on track with its cost-cutting initiatives, achieving approximately 60% of its annualized savings target of $90 million to $100 million by the end of 2025. For the second quarter, TEGNA anticipates a revenue decline of 4% to 7% year-over-year, primarily due to the cyclical nature of political advertising and broader advertising environment challenges. The company's balance sheet remains strong, with a net leverage ratio of 2.8x, and it remains committed to returning 40% to 60% of adjusted free cash flow to shareholders over the 2024-2025 period.

TEGNA Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TEGNA demonstrates solid profitability and efficient cash flow management, despite a slight decline in revenue. The company's balance sheet suggests balanced leverage, but high liabilities pose potential risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
TEGNA's income statement reveals stable profitability with a Gross Profit Margin of 41.47% and Net Profit Margin of 15.22% for TTM. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative at -1.10% in the latest period, indicating a slight decline in sales. EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 24.65% and 28.41%, respectively, showcasing efficient cost management and operational stability.
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate Debt-to-Equity ratio of 1.03, suggesting balanced leverage. ROE is strong at 15.37% for TTM, indicating effective use of equity for generating profits. The equity ratio stands at 41.61%, reflecting a stable capital structure. However, high total liabilities relative to equity may pose potential financial risks.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
TEGNA demonstrates resilient cash flow management with a slight decrease in Free Cash Flow by 7.68% year-over-year, but an impressive Operating Cash Flow to Net Income ratio of 1.35, indicating robust cash generation from operations. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio is 1.25, reflecting the company's ability to convert net income into cash effectively.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.07B3.10B2.91B3.28B2.99B2.94B
Gross Profit
1.27B1.35B1.19B1.59B1.39B1.43B
EBIT
756.25M784.78M733.54M990.63M802.22M870.98M
EBITDA
871.44M1.06B892.69M1.13B940.57M1.00B
Net Income Common Stockholders
467.04M599.82M476.72M629.91M477.00M481.83M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
716.65M693.21M361.04M551.68M56.99M40.97M
Total Assets
7.30B7.33B7.00B7.33B6.92B6.85B
Total Debt
3.12B3.14B3.16B3.15B3.32B3.65B
Net Debt
2.41B2.45B2.80B2.60B3.26B3.61B
Total Liabilities
4.24B4.30B4.28B4.24B4.38B4.78B
Stockholders Equity
3.04B3.00B2.70B3.07B2.52B2.06B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
584.02M632.53M532.55M760.82M438.54M759.64M
Operating Cash Flow
630.92M684.97M587.25M812.15M501.61M805.14M
Investing Cash Flow
9.78M31.77M-27.99M-51.23M-69.26M-59.52M
Financing Cash Flow
-297.51M-384.56M-749.90M-266.23M-416.33M-734.05M

TEGNA Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price16.77
Price Trends
50DMA
16.41
Positive
100DMA
17.13
Negative
200DMA
16.83
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.03
Negative
RSI
46.90
Neutral
STOCH
60.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TGNA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 16.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 16.64, above the 50-day MA of 16.41, and below the 200-day MA of 16.83, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.03 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for TGNA.

TEGNA Risk Analysis

TEGNA disclosed 29 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. TEGNA reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

TEGNA Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
80
Outperform
$5.02B8.1928.46%4.47%8.00%71.49%
SSSSP
72
Outperform
$252.61M3.1211.23%6.28%
71
Outperform
$2.70B5.8916.07%3.04%6.34%-0.26%
GTGTN
68
Neutral
$445.37M1.669.92%8.36%9.08%
61
Neutral
$14.74B5.90-4.02%6.40%2.72%-31.67%
59
Neutral
$904.43M6.5834.07%7.69%11.62%
GCGCI
52
Neutral
$497.88M11.1526.63%-7.04%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TGNA
TEGNA
16.77
4.30
34.48%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
2.88
0.85
41.87%
GTN
Gray Television
4.09
-0.38
-8.50%
NXST
Nexstar Media Group
169.09
23.61
16.23%
SBGI
Sinclair Broadcast
13.26
2.69
25.45%
GCI
Gannett
3.41
-0.98
-22.32%

TEGNA Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
TEGNA Shareholders Approve Board Proposals at Meeting
Positive
May 22, 2025

On May 21, 2025, TEGNA Inc. held its annual shareholder meeting where shareholders approved all proposals from the Board of Directors, including the re-election of several directors and the retirement of Karen H. Grimes. Additionally, shareholders ratified the appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm and approved executive compensation on an advisory basis. This approval reflects strong shareholder support for the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

The most recent analyst rating on (TGNA) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on TEGNA stock, see the TGNA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.