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Curiositystream Inc (CURI)
NASDAQ:CURI

CuriosityStream (CURI) AI Stock Analysis

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CURI

CuriosityStream

(NASDAQ:CURI)

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Neutral 60 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:60Neutral
Price Target:
$3.50
▼(-5.41% Downside)
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals (positive and growing free cash flow and low leverage) and a constructive earnings update with strong licensing-led growth and guidance execution. Offsetting this are weak technicals (downtrend despite oversold readings) and ongoing GAAP losses, which also reduce valuation clarity despite the high dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Growing positive free cash flow
CuriosityStream’s shift from multi-year negative cash flow to positive TTM operating and free cash flow (around $12M) is a durable improvement. Sustained FCF supports dividends, funds content and AI licensing investments internally, and reduces reliance on external financing over the next several quarters.
Conservatively levered balance sheet
Very low debt and a sizable equity base, plus reported liquidity, provide resilience against market fluctuations and flexibility to invest in content, AI licensing, or marketing. Low leverage limits interest burden and preserves capacity to fund growth or dividends from operations over 2–6 months.
Licensing and AI content expansion
Rapid licensing growth and an expanding AI content library create a structural, higher‑margin revenue stream less tied to subscriber churn. Positioning as a video licensor for AI development can diversify revenue, scale faster than subscriptions, and sustainably boost margins over the medium term.
Negative Factors
GAAP net losses persist
Despite operational recovery and positive EBITDA, recurring GAAP net losses keep returns negative and limit reported profitability. Persistent accounting losses can constrain long‑term investor confidence and reduce retained earnings available for reinvestment, slowing durable margin recovery.
Subscription revenue weakness
A year‑over‑year decline in subscriptions signals fragility in the core DTC model; sequential gains are promising but insufficient. If subscriptions do not resume sustained growth, the company risks overreliance on licensing, which may be cyclical or concentrated, undermining long‑term recurring revenue stability.
Rising operating and marketing costs
A large increase in ad, marketing and G&A spend pressures margins and could erode free cash flow if elevated over time. Noncash stock compensation adds dilution and cost volatility; sustained higher OPEX to drive growth must translate into durable subscriber LTV gains to justify the structural expense increase.

CuriosityStream (CURI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

CuriosityStream Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCuriosityStream Inc. operates as a factual content streaming service and media company. The company provides premium video programming services in various categories of factual entertainment, including science, history, society, nature, lifestyle, and technology through direct subscription video on-demand (SVoD) platforms accessible by internet connected devices, or indirectly via distribution partners who deliver CuriosityStream content via the distributor's platform or system; and through bundled content licenses for SVoD and linear offerings, partner bulk sales, brand partnerships, and content sales. It offers streaming content through devices, including televisions, set-top boxes, computers, streaming media players, game consoles, and mobile devices. As of December 31, 2021, it had approximately 23 million total paying subscribers, including direct subscribers, partner direct subscribers, and bundled MVPD subscribers. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Silver Spring, Maryland.
How the Company Makes MoneyCuriosityStream generates revenue primarily through subscription fees, offering various tiers of membership plans that provide users with access to its extensive library of documentaries and series. The company operates a direct-to-consumer subscription model, which allows it to retain a larger portion of revenue compared to traditional advertising-based models. In addition to individual subscriptions, CuriosityStream also partners with educational institutions, cable companies, and other platforms to offer bundled services or special access, further diversifying its revenue streams. Advertising revenue may also contribute to earnings, particularly through sponsorships and partnerships with brands aligned with its educational content, although this represents a smaller portion of its overall income.

CuriosityStream Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 12, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call showcases a robust performance with significant revenue and cash flow growth driven by licensing and strategic partnerships. However, challenges remain in subscription revenue and increased costs leading to a net loss.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Significant Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 46% year-over-year to $18.4 million, exceeding guidance. This was driven by strong performance across subscriptions, licensing, and advertising.
Increase in Adjusted Free Cash Flow
Adjusted free cash flow rose 88% to $4.8 million, demonstrating effective cost management and strategic growth.
Strong Licensing Revenue
Licensing revenue increased over 40% year-over-year, driven by demand for AI training data and trusted partnerships. The company fulfilled 1.5 million distinct assets for 9 key partners.
Positive Adjusted EBITDA
Reported positive adjusted EBITDA of $3 million, an improvement of $3.4 million from the previous year.
Expansion of AI Licensing
Nearly doubled the AI content library, positioning CuriosityStream as a leader in video licensors for AI development.
Strong Balance Sheet
Ended the quarter with $29.3 million in liquidity and no debt, providing substantial financial flexibility.
Negative Updates
Subscription Revenue Decline Year-over-Year
Overall subscription revenue was down year-over-year, although it increased sequentially each quarter in 2025.
Increased G&A and Marketing Costs
Combined costs for advertising, marketing, and G&A were 52% higher compared to the previous year, partly due to a noncash charge for stock-based compensation.
Net Loss Reported
Reported a net loss of $3.7 million or $0.06 per share, driven by nonrecurring charges and noncash stock-based compensation.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, CuriosityStream exceeded guidance with revenue increasing by 46% year-over-year to $18.4 million. The company reported an 88% rise in adjusted free cash flow to $4.8 million and a $3.4 million improvement in adjusted EBITDA. Licensing revenue surged over 40% year-over-year, driven by strong demand for AI training data, while subscription revenue showed sequential growth every quarter in 2025, despite a year-over-year decline. The company maintained a gross margin of 59% and ended the quarter with $29.3 million in cash and no debt. Looking forward, CuriosityStream anticipates subscription revenue to grow faster in 2026, supported by new pricing strategies and a robust launch pipeline. They also project that licensing revenue will surpass subscription revenue by 2027, fueled by potential expansion in AI licensing partners. The company's strategic focus on cost discipline has allowed it to manage rising content delivery expenses effectively, positioning it for continued double-digit growth in both revenue and cash flow.

CuriosityStream Financial Statement Overview

Summary
CuriosityStream faces significant financial challenges, with consistent operational losses impacting income statement metrics. The balance sheet reflects a strong equity position aided by low debt, although asset decline is concerning. Recent improvements in cash flow are positive signs, but sustaining this trend will be crucial for long-term stability and growth.
Income Statement
48
Neutral
CuriosityStream has shown fluctuating revenue growth rates with a decline in total revenue from 2022 to 2023. The company struggles with negative net profit margins and consistently negative EBIT and EBITDA margins, indicating ongoing operational challenges. Despite these issues, the gross profit margin remains relatively stable, suggesting some operational efficiency in controlling production costs.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio remains low, benefiting from minimal debt levels, while equity provides a strong base. However, a declining equity ratio over the years indicates a shrinking asset base relative to equity, potentially impacting future leverage and funding flexibility. Return on equity is negative due to persistent losses, indicating a need for improved profitability.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
CuriosityStream displayed improvement in operating cash flow in 2024, turning positive after years of negative figures. Free cash flow also turned positive, driven by better cash management, but past negative trends highlight a need for consistent improvement. The company has managed cash effectively despite negative net income, indicating potential for future operational improvements.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue66.59M51.13M56.89M78.04M71.26M39.62M
Gross Profit36.29M25.77M21.34M26.51M34.59M24.20M
EBITDA8.66M6.14M-2.10M-11.69M-23.99M-28.71M
Net Income-5.45M-12.94M-48.90M-50.92M-37.63M-48.60M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets74.70M86.18M101.02M154.11M217.58M88.59M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments27.78M32.06M37.72M54.99M81.05M33.37M
Total Debt3.99M4.28M4.28M4.65M0.000.00
Total Liabilities27.51M28.33M28.38M36.49M55.64M43.62M
Stockholders Equity47.19M57.85M72.65M117.63M161.94M44.97M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow12.05M8.15M-16.18M-39.65M-73.59M-53.88M
Operating Cash Flow12.12M8.15M-16.17M-39.52M-73.24M-53.51M
Investing Cash Flow15.48M-31.41M14.00M62.70M-74.94M25.45M
Financing Cash Flow-23.15M-7.01M-123.00K-218.00K148.34M36.62M

CuriosityStream Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.70
Price Trends
50DMA
4.12
Negative
100DMA
4.38
Negative
200DMA
4.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
43.36
Neutral
STOCH
73.79
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CURI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3.7 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.74, below the 50-day MA of 4.12, and below the 200-day MA of 4.36, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 73.79 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CURI.

CuriosityStream Risk Analysis

CuriosityStream disclosed 58 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. CuriosityStream reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

CuriosityStream Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
67
Neutral
$541.87M10.773.36%6.45%-3.32%-69.63%
64
Neutral
$319.69M-8.231.81%-3.27%86.01%
62
Neutral
$72.84M228.480.18%8.81%-0.77%-93.46%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$215.70M-38.91-9.97%8.59%28.62%65.54%
54
Neutral
$915.07M7.4538.60%1.70%
44
Neutral
$51.97M-1.11-53.47%83.96%-73.70%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CURI
CuriosityStream
3.70
1.78
92.71%
SSP
E. W. Scripps Company Class A
3.60
1.42
65.14%
GTN
Gray Television
4.46
1.36
43.92%
SGA
Saga Communications
11.31
0.27
2.48%
FUBO
fuboTV
2.67
-1.00
-27.25%
MDIA
Mediaco Holding
0.64
-0.45
-41.20%

CuriosityStream Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CuriosityStream Reaffirms 2025 Outlook, Highlights Strong Cash Generation
Positive
Jan 8, 2026

On January 8, 2026, CuriosityStream reiterated its previously issued financial outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2025, signaling confidence in its growth trajectory and operational execution. For the quarter ended December 31, 2025, the company expects revenue between $18 million and $20 million, implying full-year 2025 revenue of $70 million to $72 million, a projected increase of 38% to 42% over 2024, and anticipates adjusted free cash flow of $2.5 million to $3.5 million for the quarter, implying $12 million to $13 million for the full year, up 27% to 37% from 2024. Management highlighted continued expansion of global reach, stronger distribution partnerships and the ability to fund planned 2026 dividends from operating cash, underlining robust cash generation and a strengthening financial profile. The company also announced that its management team will participate in a fireside chat, one-on-one investor meetings and industry panels on streaming and AI-driven media trends at the 28th Annual Needham Growth Conference in New York in mid-January 2026, as it seeks to further engage the investment community and reinforce its positioning within the streaming and digital media landscape.

The most recent analyst rating on (CURI) stock is a Hold with a $3.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CuriosityStream stock, see the CURI Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyDividendsFinancial Disclosures
CuriosityStream Announces Quarterly Dividend Amid Revenue Growth
Positive
Nov 12, 2025

On November 12, 2025, CuriosityStream announced a quarterly cash dividend of $0.08 per share, payable on December 19, 2025. The company reported a 46% year-over-year revenue increase for the third quarter of 2025, with revenue reaching $18.4 million. This growth reflects strong demand for its content and strategic execution, positioning CuriosityStream favorably in the competitive media industry. The company also highlighted its expansion in AI training data and new subscription services, strengthening its market presence.

The most recent analyst rating on (CURI) stock is a Hold with a $4.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on CuriosityStream stock, see the CURI Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 09, 2026