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Fathom Holdings (FTHM)
NASDAQ:FTHM
US Market

Fathom Holdings (FTHM) AI Stock Analysis

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Fathom Holdings

(NASDAQ:FTHM)

50Neutral
Fathom Holdings' stock score reflects a company with potential but facing significant financial and operational challenges. Improvements in gross profit margins and strategic acquisitions are positive, but persistent losses, negative cash flows, and a challenging valuation weigh heavily. Recent corporate governance changes could support long-term growth, but short-term performance remains uncertain.
Positive Factors
Agent Growth Potential
Acquisition of MyHomeGroup added ~2.2K highly productive agents, enhancing the potential for future growth.
Ancillary Services
Ancillaries grew ~42% year-over-year on 9% fewer transactions, indicating that investments in those services are proving beneficial.
Negative Factors
Financial Performance
3Q results fell short of expectations with continued housing pressure and marginally slower agent growth.
Transaction Decline
Transactions fell 9.4% year-over-year, with faster declines than the industry, impacting overall performance.

Fathom Holdings (FTHM) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Fathom Holdings Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFathom Holdings (FTHM) is a technology-driven real estate brokerage company that operates primarily in the United States. The company focuses on providing real estate services through its proprietary cloud-based platform, which enhances the efficiency and productivity of real estate agents. Fathom Holdings offers a range of services including residential real estate sales, brokerage services, and support for real estate agents through innovative technology solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyFathom Holdings generates revenue primarily through real estate transaction fees. The company employs a commission-based model where it earns income by taking a percentage of the commission from real estate transactions completed by its agents. In addition, Fathom Holdings charges its agents a flat fee per transaction, which contributes to its revenue streams. The company also benefits from its technology platform, which allows for scalable operations with reduced overhead costs, thus enhancing profitability. Its earnings are further supported by strategic partnerships and expansion into new markets, enabling access to a larger client base and increased transaction volume.

Fathom Holdings Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Fathom Holdings shows potential with improved gross profit margins, but persistent losses and negative cash flows indicate ongoing financial challenges. The balance sheet reflects moderate leverage and a stable asset base, but declining equity is a concern. The company needs to focus on improving profitability and cash flow generation to enhance financial stability.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Fathom Holdings has struggled to achieve consistent revenue growth, with a notable decline in revenue year-over-year. The gross profit margin has improved significantly, indicating better cost control. However, the company remains unprofitable with negative net and EBIT margins, reflecting challenges in achieving operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's balance sheet shows a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating manageable leverage. However, the decline in stockholders' equity and total assets over the years is concerning. The equity ratio remains healthy, suggesting a stable asset base relative to equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Fathom Holdings faces challenges with negative operating and free cash flows, reflecting ongoing difficulties in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is negative, highlighting cash flow constraints. However, there has been an improvement in operating cash flow relative to net income, suggesting slight operational enhancements.
Breakdown
Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
335.18M345.23M412.96M330.23M176.78M
Gross Profit
335.18M37.13M40.72M29.72M10.42M
EBIT
-23.46M-23.25M-26.78M-16.11M-1.28M
EBITDA
-19.82M-17.31M-21.43M-13.36M-1.12M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-21.58M-23.98M-27.63M-12.49M-1.34M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
7.13M7.40M8.32M37.83M28.58M
Total Assets
75.40M79.26M80.19M104.93M35.22M
Total Debt
9.15M17.57M11.12M14.99M980.80K
Net Debt
2.02M10.17M2.80M-22.84M-27.60M
Total Liabilities
30.72M24.02M18.17M24.78M5.57M
Stockholders Equity
44.68M55.23M62.02M80.15M29.65M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-5.20M-12.40M-10.64M-15.18M-1.96M
Operating Cash Flow
-5.15M-10.57M-6.58M-11.70M-1.21M
Investing Cash Flow
3.76M-1.87M-7.10M-14.56M-909.75K
Financing Cash Flow
1.24M11.60M-15.86M34.62M31.11M

Fathom Holdings Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price0.85
Price Trends
50DMA
0.83
Positive
100DMA
1.12
Negative
200DMA
1.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Negative
RSI
53.20
Neutral
STOCH
63.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FTHM, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 0.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.79, above the 50-day MA of 0.83, and below the 200-day MA of 1.76, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 53.20 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 63.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for FTHM.

Fathom Holdings Risk Analysis

Fathom Holdings disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Fathom Holdings reported the most risks in the “Finance & Corporate” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Fathom Holdings Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Outperform
$862.92M-52.95%83.50%8.45%
67
Neutral
$1.32B-6.44%2.63%6.69%-137.52%
60
Neutral
$2.80B11.090.20%8508.36%6.13%-16.84%
60
Neutral
$161.50M-23.11%11.24%38.70%
54
Neutral
$1.16B199.35%5.11%-29.67%
50
Neutral
$24.48M-43.12%-2.91%27.80%
45
Neutral
$542.74M-47.67%2.36%-23.60%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FTHM
Fathom Holdings
0.82
-0.60
-42.25%
EXPI
eXp World Holdings
7.46
-4.75
-38.90%
RDFN
Redfin
8.72
1.58
22.13%
OPEN
Opendoor Technologies
0.67
-1.65
-71.12%
REAX
Real Brokerage
4.14
-0.62
-13.03%
DOUG
Douglas Elliman Inc.
1.82
0.64
54.24%

Fathom Holdings Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Mar 12, 2025
(Q4-2024)
|
% Change Since: 13.33%|
Next Earnings Date:May 13, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call revealed significant revenue growth and strategic acquisitions, along with strong agent and transaction increases. However, the company continues to face challenges with EBITDA loss and a decline in full-year revenue. Overall, the highlights and lowlights are balanced.
Q4-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Revenue Growth
Total revenue for Q4 2024 grew approximately 24% to $91.7 million, up from $74.1 million in Q4 2023. Gross profit increased by 25% and rose 59% when excluding the sold insurance business.
Agent and Transaction Growth
Agent count increased by 21% to approximately 14,300, and transactions rose by 22% to 9,903, indicating continued strong activity in the agent network.
Successful Title Division Expansion
Verus Title revenue increased by 80% to $1.3 million in Q4 2024, showing strong demand for title services.
Cost Management Achievements
General and administrative expenses decreased to $8.4 million for Q4 2024, compared to $10 million in Q4 2023, due to cost savings and the absence of costs related to the insurance segment sale.
Strategic Acquisitions
Acquired My Home Group in November 2024, expected to bring about $110 million in revenue in 2025.
Negative Updates
Continued EBITDA Loss
Adjusted EBITDA loss for Q4 2024 remained unchanged at $2.9 million, with a full-year loss of $5.7 million, attributed to lower brokerage revenues and higher expenses.
Full-Year Revenue Decline
Total revenue for the full-year 2024 decreased by approximately 3% to $335 million, compared to $345 million in 2023, due to challenging market conditions.
GAAP Net Loss
GAAP net loss for Q4 2024 was $6.2 million, or $0.29 per share, compared to a loss of $8.4 million, or $0.50 per share, in Q4 2023.
Technology and Marketing Expenses Increase
Technology and development expenses increased to $1.8 million for Q4 2024, and marketing expenses rose to $1.9 million, reflecting continued investment in technology platforms and marketing for ancillary businesses.
Company Guidance
During Fathom Holdings' fourth quarter 2024 conference call, CEO Marco Fregenal reported a 24% increase in total revenue to $91.7 million compared to Q4 2023, with gross profit rising 25% to $6.7 million. Despite these gains, the company recorded a GAAP net loss of $6.2 million, or $0.29 per share, an improvement from the $8.4 million loss in Q4 2023. Adjusted EBITDA loss remained at $2.9 million, unchanged from the previous year. The company's agent count grew by 21% to approximately 14,300, and transactions increased by 22% to 9,903. Fathom aims for EBITDA profitability by Q2 2025, supported by a 26% increase in brokerage revenue and a focus on cost reductions. The mortgage and title divisions also showed growth, with Verus Title's revenue increasing by 80% year-over-year. Fathom's low direct cost per transaction of $264, compared to peers averaging $1,200-$1,800, positions it well in the competitive market.

Fathom Holdings Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Fathom Holdings Expands Board, Appoints New Director
Positive
Mar 17, 2025

On March 17, 2025, Fathom Holdings Inc. announced the expansion of its board of directors from six to seven members and appointed Adam Rothstein as the new non-employee director. Rothstein, a venture investor with extensive experience in technology, media, and medical technology, will serve on several committees, including the newly formed Strategy and Innovation Committee. His appointment is expected to enhance Fathom’s strategic vision and drive long-term growth, benefiting agents, clients, and shareholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.