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Flushing Financial Corp. (FFIC)
NASDAQ:FFIC

Flushing Financial (FFIC) AI Stock Analysis

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FFIC

Flushing Financial

(NASDAQ:FFIC)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$15.50
▲(3.61% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/07/26
The score is held back primarily by weak cash-flow quality in 2025 (OCF/FCF reported at zero) and bearish technical signals (below key moving averages with negative MACD). Offsetting factors include the return to profitability, a high dividend yield, and positive M&A-related corporate developments that may provide support pending deal completion.
Positive Factors
Strategic merger & capital infusion
The planned OceanFirst merger combined with a $225M Warburg equity commitment materially strengthens capital and scale. Structurally, combining franchises should broaden lending capacity, diversify funding sources, and provide execution support that can raise long‑term franchise competitiveness and resilience.
Growing low‑cost deposit base
A meaningful increase in noninterest-bearing deposits and modest NIM expansion indicate improved funding mix and lower funding costs. Durable growth in low‑cost core deposits enhances margin sustainability, reduces reliance on volatile wholesale funding, and supports repeatable loan growth over months.
Improved leverage / capital ratios
Lower leverage and a higher tangible common equity ratio strengthen the balance sheet and regulatory buffers. This structural improvement increases financial flexibility to deploy capital into lending or absorb stress, lowering refinance and solvency risk over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Collapse in operating cash generation
A reported OCF and FCF of zero is a material durability concern: earnings are not converting into cash, constraining internal funding for dividends, loan growth, or reserves. Persistent weak cash conversion raises questions about working capital, fee timing, or core earning quality over coming quarters.
Weak returns on equity and profitability
ROE and net margins remain far below prior peaks, indicating the franchise currently lacks earning power to generate attractive returns. Structural pressure from funding costs, credit provisioning, or portfolio mix limits retained earnings and constrains capital generation for strategic initiatives.
Deal execution and conditionality risk
The merger’s benefits depend on simultaneous Warburg investment and regulatory approvals. That cross‑conditional structure creates execution risk: if either element fails, expected capital and scale benefits vanish, leaving the bank exposed to standalone challenges and potential integration or governance disruption.

Flushing Financial (FFIC) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Flushing Financial Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionFlushing Financial Corporation operates as the bank holding company for Flushing Bank that provides banking products and services primarily to consumers, businesses, and governmental units. It offers various deposit products, including checking and savings accounts, money market accounts, demand accounts, NOW accounts, and certificates of deposit. The company also provides mortgage loans secured by multi-family residential, commercial real estate, one-to-four family mixed-use property, one-to-four family residential property, and commercial business loans; construction loans; small business administration loans and other small business loans; mortgage loan surrogates, such as mortgage-backed securities; and consumer loans, including overdraft lines of credit, as well as the United States government securities, corporate fixed-income securities, and other marketable securities. In addition, it offers banking services to public municipalities comprising counties, cities, towns, villages, school districts, libraries, fire districts, and various courts. As of December 31, 2021, the company operated 24 full-service offices located in the New York City boroughs of Queens, Brooklyn, and Manhattan; and in Nassau and Suffolk County, New York, as well as an Internet branch. Flushing Financial Corporation was founded in 1929 and is based in Uniondale, New York.
How the Company Makes MoneyFlushing Financial generates revenue primarily through net interest income and non-interest income. Net interest income is derived from the interest earned on loans and securities, minus the interest paid on deposits and borrowings. The bank earns interest from various loan products, including residential mortgages, commercial real estate loans, and personal loans. Additionally, Flushing Financial generates non-interest income through service fees, account maintenance charges, and transaction fees. The bank has also established partnerships with local businesses for deposit and lending services, enhancing its revenue opportunities. Furthermore, its focus on wealth management services allows it to generate fees from asset management and investment advisory services, contributing positively to its overall earnings.

Flushing Financial Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 28, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call revealed strong financial performance, with significant improvements in earnings, net interest margin, and credit metrics. However, challenges such as high deposit costs and limited prioritization of stock buybacks were noted. The company's outlook remains positive, driven by expected loan repricing benefits.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Performance
Flushing Financial Corporation reported a GAAP earnings per share of $0.30 and core earnings per share of $0.35, with core earnings improving 55% from a year ago.
Net Interest Margin Expansion
Net interest margin expanded 10 basis points quarter-over-quarter, with GAAP net interest margin at 2.64% and core net interest margin at 2.62%, reflecting a 55 basis point growth from last year's third quarter.
Improvement in Credit Metrics
Net charge-offs improved to 7 basis points in the third quarter, a 15 basis point improvement from the second quarter, and nonperforming assets as a percentage of total assets decreased to 70 basis points from 75 basis points in the second quarter.
Growth in Noninterest-Bearing Deposits
Noninterest-bearing deposits increased 7.2% sequentially, with a 5.7% year-over-year growth.
Stable Tangible Common Equity Ratio
The tangible common equity ratio remained stable at 8.01%, increasing 101 basis points from the third quarter of 2024.
Positive Outlook on Loan Repricing
Real estate loans are expected to reprice approximately 147 basis points higher through 2027, driving further net interest margin expansion.
Negative Updates
High Costs of Deposits
The overall cost of deposits increased slightly quarter-over-quarter to 3.11%, although efforts are underway to lower these costs.
Limited Stock Buybacks
Despite the stock trading at 63% of tangible book value, the company has not prioritized stock buybacks, focusing instead on maintaining dividends and potential future growth.
Liability Sensitivity
The balance sheet is slightly liability sensitive, which could pose challenges in a declining interest rate environment.
Company Guidance
During the Flushing Financial Corporation's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance on several key metrics, reflecting its strong performance and strategic focus. The company reported GAAP earnings per share of $0.30 and core earnings per share of $0.35, with core earnings improving by 55% year-over-year. The net interest margin (NIM) expanded by 10 basis points quarter-over-quarter, with the GAAP NIM reaching 2.64% and the core NIM at 2.62%. Noninterest-bearing deposits grew 7.2% sequentially, and the tangible common equity ratio remained stable at 8.01%, improving by 101 basis points from the previous year. The company also highlighted the expected repricing of real estate loans, which are projected to increase by approximately 147 basis points through 2027, contributing to future NIM expansion. Flushing Financial's balance sheet remains robust, with $3.9 billion in undrawn lines and resources, and a focus on maintaining credit discipline, as evidenced by a net charge-off rate of 7 basis points for the quarter. The company anticipates stable total assets for the remainder of 2025 and is positioned to capitalize on the upward repricing of its loan portfolio in the coming years.

Flushing Financial Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Income statement shows a rebound to profitability in 2025 (after a 2024 loss) and improved leverage, but earnings power remains far below 2021–2022 levels. Cash flow is the key weakness: operating cash flow and free cash flow reported at zero in 2025, which is a material quality/durability red flag.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Results show a sharp rebound in 2025: revenue grew ~8% and profitability returned (net margin ~4% vs. a loss in 2024). However, earnings power remains well below the 2021–2022 peak (when net margins were ~24–28%), and the 2024 loss highlights meaningful sensitivity to the rate/credit cycle and funding costs.
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Leverage improved in 2025 with debt-to-equity declining to ~0.84 (down from ~1.33 in 2024), and equity remained relatively stable. The key weakness is still low profitability on equity in 2025 (~2.7%) versus prior years (double-digit in 2021–2022), suggesting the balance sheet is not currently generating strong returns despite the lower leverage.
Cash Flow
34
Negative
Cash flow quality deteriorated materially in 2025: operating cash flow and free cash flow were reported at zero (vs. positive in prior years), implying weak cash generation and/or unfavorable working-capital/timing effects. While 2021–2023 showed strong conversion (free cash flow generally close to net income), the abrupt 2025 drop is a notable red flag and reduces confidence in near-term cash-based earnings support.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue453.22M408.09M424.06M326.63M292.25M
Gross Profit189.73M115.17M191.22M248.54M256.60M
EBITDA39.86M-42.12M46.28M110.78M116.31M
Net Income18.88M-31.33M28.66M76.94M81.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets8.69B9.04B8.54B8.42B8.05B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments126.08M1.56B803.52M648.53M858.96M
Total Debt592.34M962.50M882.10M1.10B869.70M
Total Liabilities7.99B8.31B7.87B7.75B7.37B
Stockholders Equity707.98M724.54M669.84M677.16M679.63M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow55.80M10.10M29.10M81.41M84.92M
Operating Cash Flow61.02M12.41M34.59M85.75M88.60M
Investing Cash Flow246.53M-505.60M-94.26M-351.82M-106.78M
Financing Cash Flow-334.05M473.61M80.08M336.09M-57.48M

Flushing Financial Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price14.96
Price Trends
50DMA
15.55
Negative
100DMA
15.38
Negative
200DMA
13.85
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.26
Positive
RSI
37.55
Neutral
STOCH
15.75
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For FFIC, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.96 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.67, below the 50-day MA of 15.55, and above the 200-day MA of 13.85, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.26 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 37.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.75 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for FFIC.

Flushing Financial Risk Analysis

Flushing Financial disclosed 14 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Flushing Financial reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Flushing Financial Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$372.89M9.1915.00%1.63%13.16%37.40%
73
Outperform
$453.72M9.7511.03%1.92%6.25%24.92%
68
Neutral
$18.00B11.429.92%3.81%9.73%1.22%
65
Neutral
$384.66M9.532.24%3.76%23.93%
65
Neutral
$469.36M12.324.31%5.80%4.38%
64
Neutral
$434.76M8.4011.07%3.03%-0.65%14.14%
53
Neutral
$506.90M27.712.67%5.16%-11.91%-235.73%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
FFIC
Flushing Financial
14.96
2.68
21.85%
BMRC
Bank Of Marin Bancorp
23.90
2.47
11.51%
GCBC
Greene County Bancorp
21.90
-1.28
-5.52%
HBCP
Home Bancorp
57.90
14.17
32.39%
KRNY
Kearny Financial
7.25
1.25
20.75%
BSRR
Sierra Bancorp
32.97
5.44
19.76%

Flushing Financial Corporate Events

Dividends
Flushing Financial Declares Quarterly Cash Dividend for Shareholders
Positive
Feb 25, 2026

Flushing Financial Corporation announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.22 per common share. The dividend is scheduled to be paid on March 27, 2026, to shareholders of record as of the close of business on March 13, 2026, signaling an ongoing capital return to investors through its regular dividend policy.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFIC) stock is a Hold with a $16.80 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flushing Financial stock, see the FFIC Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board ChangesM&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Flushing Financial to Be Acquired by OceanFirst Financial
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On December 29, 2025, Flushing Financial Corporation agreed to be acquired by OceanFirst Financial Corp. through a two-step merger structure under which a newly formed OceanFirst subsidiary will merge into Flushing, followed by Flushing’s merger into OceanFirst and the subsequent consolidation of Flushing Bank into OceanFirst Bank, with the combined bank expected to close in the second quarter of 2026, subject to regulatory and shareholder approvals. Flushing shareholders will receive 0.85 shares of OceanFirst common stock for each Flushing share, while governance arrangements will give six Flushing directors seats on a 17‑member OceanFirst board, name Flushing CEO John R. Buran non‑executive chairman for two years post‑closing, and preserve Flushing’s Uniondale headquarters as a regional hub. Concurrently, OceanFirst secured a $225 million capital investment from Warburg Pincus affiliates, including new common and non‑voting common‑equivalent stock and a substantial warrant, with both the investment and merger transactions cross‑conditioned on each other’s closing. Flushing and OceanFirst also entered into reciprocal voting agreements with directors and key officers to support shareholder approvals, and the merger agreement includes customary covenants, regulatory and tax closing conditions, and tiered termination fees that increase significantly if the Warburg investment fails under specified scenarios. In connection with the deal, Flushing implemented a suite of executive compensation actions effective around December 31, 2025, including cash retention awards for senior executives tied to closing and post‑closing service, accelerated pre‑payments of an estimated 85% of 2025 bonuses subject to clawback, and one‑time cash payments in exchange for terminating retiree health and welfare benefits, signaling both leadership transition planning and a cleanup of legacy benefit obligations ahead of the transaction’s completion.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFIC) stock is a Hold with a $16.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flushing Financial stock, see the FFIC Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsPrivate Placements and Financing
Flushing Financial to be Acquired by OceanFirst in Merger
Positive
Dec 30, 2025

On December 29, 2025, Flushing Financial Corporation and OceanFirst Financial Corp. announced they had signed a definitive Agreement and Plan of Merger under which Apollo Merger Sub Corp., a wholly owned subsidiary of OceanFirst, will merge into Flushing, followed by Flushing’s merger into OceanFirst and, the next day, the combination of Flushing Bank into OceanFirst, National Association, with OceanFirst and its bank subsidiary emerging as the surviving entities. The same day, the companies disclosed that affiliates of funds managed by Warburg Pincus LLC agreed to invest $225 million in newly issued OceanFirst equity securities substantially concurrently with the merger’s effective time, a move that is expected to strengthen OceanFirst’s capital base and support the financing and integration of the Flushing acquisition, with material implications for shareholders, customers and the regional banking market once completed.

The most recent analyst rating on (FFIC) stock is a Hold with a $17.50 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Flushing Financial stock, see the FFIC Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 07, 2026