tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
EverQuote Inc (EVER)
NASDAQ:EVER
US Market

EverQuote (EVER) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
1,014 Followers

Top Page

EVER

EverQuote

(NASDAQ:EVER)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$17.50
▲(3.86% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:02/25/26
Score is driven by materially improved fundamentals (profitability, cash flow, and a low-leverage balance sheet) and supportive valuation (low P/E). The primary offset is weak technical momentum with the stock well below key moving averages despite oversold signals; earnings call positives are tempered by near-term margin pressure and concentration/ad-cost risks.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained high single-digit to high double-digit top-line growth in 2025 demonstrates scalable marketplace demand and successful customer acquisition. Persistent revenue expansion increases network effects, improves bargaining power with carriers, and supports reinvestment in product and distribution over multiple years.
Profitability & Cash Flow
A durable shift to positive operating and free cash flow combined with negligible leverage materially strengthens financial flexibility. Consistent cash generation funds product investment, buybacks, and opportunistic M&A while lowering bankruptcy and refinancing risk versus prior loss years.
AI-led Efficiency & Product Edge
Embedding AI across acquisition and seller tools creates a durable cost and conversion advantage by improving targeting and automation. Widespread carrier adoption of SmartCampaigns indicates product stickiness and operating leverage potential that can sustainably lift margins as scale grows.
Negative Factors
Vertical Concentration Risk
Heavy dependence on the auto vertical concentrates revenue exposure to insurers' auto pricing cycles, regulatory shifts, or competitive changes. Until diversification meaningfully increases, macro or carrier retrenchment in auto could materially depress lead demand and revenue stability.
Ad-cost & Margin Volatility
EverQuote's performance-based lead model depends on third-party advertising inputs; volatile raw ad prices can swing unit economics and VMM, creating earnings and cash-flow variability. Even with AI efficiencies, external ad-market shocks can persistently pressure margins across cycles.
Reporting Transparency & Historical Volatility
A 2025 reporting mismatch (equity materially higher than assets) reduces year-over-year comparability and investor visibility. Coupled with a track record of volatile results (losses through 2023), this raises uncertainty about the sustainability of recent gains absent consistent, transparent reporting.

EverQuote (EVER) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

EverQuote Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEverQuote, Inc. operates an online marketplace for insurance shopping in the United States. The company's online marketplace offers consumers shopping for auto, home and renters, life, and health insurance. It serves carriers and agents, as well as indirect distributors. The company was formerly known as AdHarmonics, Inc., and changed its name to EverQuote, Inc. in November 2014. EverQuote, Inc. was incorporated in 2008 and is based in Cambridge, Massachusetts.
How the Company Makes MoneyEverQuote generates revenue primarily through a performance-based marketing model. The company earns money by selling leads to insurance providers, who pay for each qualified lead generated through the EverQuote platform. This model allows insurers to access a targeted audience of potential customers actively seeking insurance quotes. Additionally, EverQuote has established partnerships with various insurance companies, enabling it to expand its service offerings and enhance its lead generation capabilities. The company may also explore other revenue streams through potential expansion into related financial services or by leveraging data analytics to provide additional insights to partners.

EverQuote Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Segment
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down where EverQuote makes money—such as lead sales to insurers, subscription or platform services, and any advertising or agency revenue—revealing which businesses drive growth and profit. A rising share of higher‑margin or recurring segments points to better earnings quality and sustainability, while concentration in low‑margin lead sales increases sensitivity to pricing pressure and demand cycles.
Chart InsightsEverQuote’s mix has shifted decisively: Automotive has become the dominant growth engine while the legacy “Other” bucket has nearly disappeared and Home & Renters is emerging as a smaller but consistent new vertical. Management’s AI-driven Smart Campaigns and rising carrier spend explain the automotive surge and underpin record EBITDA, yet the business is more concentrated—short‑term investments in new traffic channels may compress VMM even as top‑line momentum continues, so monitor VMM and Q4 guidance to see if efficiency gains offset scaling costs.
Data provided by:The Fly

EverQuote Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 23, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 11, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed strong positive momentum: record revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, substantial operating leverage from AI and technology, solid cash generation and a clean balance sheet. Management acknowledged near-term variability driven by strategic traffic investments and a measured carrier spend pattern into Q1, plus external risks like ad-cost volatility and concentration in auto. Overall, the positives (robust growth, margin expansion, AI-led product progress, and balance sheet strength) materially outweigh the temporary and manageable headwinds discussed.
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Full-Year Revenue and Strong Q4
Full-year 2025 revenue grew 38% year-over-year to $692.5M; Q4 2025 revenue was a record $195.3M, up 32% year-over-year and a record 12% sequential increase from Q3, breaking historical seasonality.
Significant Adjusted EBITDA Expansion and Margin Improvement
Full-year adjusted EBITDA increased 62% year-over-year to $94.6M with a 13.7% adjusted EBITDA margin (≈+200 bps vs. 2024). Q4 adjusted EBITDA grew 32% to $25.1M with a 12.8% margin.
Strong Vertical Performance — Auto and Home
Auto revenue: full-year $629.8M (+41% YoY); Q4 auto $179.9M (+32% YoY). Home revenue: Q4 $15.4M (+37% YoY); full-year home $62.7M (+20% YoY), indicating growth across primary verticals.
Operating Leverage, Cash Flow and Balance Sheet Strength
Total cash operating expenses were effectively flat year-over-year at ≈$97M while revenue more than doubled since 2023. Operating cash flow was $95.4M for the year ($27M in Q4). Cash and equivalents totaled $171.4M and the company has no debt.
AI Integration and Product Innovation Driving Efficiency
Company expanded AI usage (traffic bidding, Smart Campaigns, AI voice in call centers, Gen AI adoption) which management attributes to operating leverage (62% adj. EBITDA growth) and product differentiation; majority of carriers use SmartCampaigns and rollout to agents and new features planned for 2026.
Carrier Demand and Marketplace Dynamics
Carrier spend was up 39% year-over-year and management reports a favorable P&C backdrop with carriers focused on profitable growth in 2026, providing confidence in continued demand for EverQuote's marketplace.
Capital Allocation Discipline
Announced $50M share repurchase program with ~$30M repurchased to date (including ~$9M in 2026). Management maintains a strong balance sheet, optional access to $85M credit, and an opportunistic stance on M&A to accelerate strategy.
Negative Updates
Temporary Margin Pressure from Q4 Traffic Investments
Q4 investments to scale new and higher-funnel traffic channels increased VMD to $49.3M (+12% YoY) and reduced Q4 VMM to 25.3%, putting temporary pressure on Q4 adjusted EBITDA and margin while programs 'burn in' toward steady-state.
Q1 2026 Guidance Reflects Measured Carrier Spend and Seasonality Shift
Q1 2026 revenue guidance of $175M–$185M (midpoint ~ $180M) and adjusted EBITDA guidance $23.5M–$26.5M indicate a more measured start to the year as carriers reallocate spend after heavy Q4 investment; implies uneven near-term growth cadence versus record Q4.
Exposure to Advertising Cost Volatility
Management does not control advertising costs (raw input), which can cause VMM and margins to fluctuate quarter-to-quarter despite improvements in acquisition efficiency and AI-driven bidding.
Business Concentration in Auto Vertical
Marketplace remains ~90% auto and ~10% home, leaving concentration risk; management is targeting home expansion (home was +20% FY) but diversification is still early.
One-Time Tax Benefit Inflates GAAP Net Income
Q4 GAAP net income of $57.8M included a non-cash, one-time deferred tax benefit of ~$38.4M due to the release of a valuation allowance. Adjusted Q4 GAAP net income (excluding benefit) was $19.3M, highlighting the benefit's non-recurring nature.
Uncertainty Around Longer-Term Impact of AI Agents
While management views AI as a net opportunity and competitive moat, broader market concerns remain about how emerging LLM/agent platforms may evolve distribution; uncertainty around timing and competitive implications persists.
Company Guidance
EverQuote guided Q1 2026 revenue of $175–$185 million, variable marketing dollars (VMD) of $49–$52 million (implying a VMM midpoint of ~28%), and adjusted EBITDA of $23.5–$26.5 million. For context, management closed 2025 with record results — FY revenue $692.5M (+38% YoY), Q4 revenue $195.3M (+32%), FY adjusted EBITDA $94.6M (+62%) with a 13.7% margin (Q4 adj. EBITDA $25.1M, 12.8% margin), FY VMD $191.9M (27.7% VMM), operating cash flow $95.4M, cash of $171.4M and no debt, and a $50M repurchase program ($30M executed). They reiterated a $1B revenue target in 2–3 years (implying ~13–21% top-line growth), expect at least 20% EBITDA dollar growth in 2026, and continue to target 100–150 bps of EBITDA margin expansion (closer to ~100 bps for 2026).

EverQuote Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong turnaround with sharply improved profitability and cash generation in 2024–2025, plus very low leverage/net cash. Main risks are historical volatility (notably 2023 downturn) and a 2025 balance-sheet presentation mismatch that reduces transparency for year-to-year comparisons.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Profitability has improved sharply: after losses in 2020–2023, the company posted strong profits in 2024 and expanded further in 2025 (net margin improving from ~6% to ~14%, with operating margins also up). Revenue momentum also strengthened materially in 2025 (about 7% growth vs. roughly flat in 2024), and gross margin remains exceptionally high. The main weakness is volatility in the longer trend—revenue and earnings were inconsistent earlier in the period, including a meaningful downturn in 2023.
Balance Sheet
86
Very Positive
Leverage appears very low, with debt-to-equity near zero across the period and effectively net cash in 2025 (negative total debt). Equity has grown meaningfully, supporting a strong return on equity in 2024–2025. A key watch item is the mismatch between reported total assets and equity in 2025 (equity substantially higher than assets), which may reflect data classification or reporting nuances and reduces transparency when assessing balance-sheet quality year-to-year.
Cash Flow
83
Very Positive
Cash generation is strong in the last two years: operating cash flow and free cash flow turned solidly positive in 2024 and improved again in 2025, with free cash flow closely tracking reported earnings (free cash flow roughly in line with net income). This is a meaningful improvement from negative operating and free cash flow in 2022–2023. The primary weakness is the historical inconsistency in cash generation, which shows the model has not been uniformly cash-positive through the cycle.
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue692.52M500.19M287.92M404.13M418.51M
Gross Profit673.15M479.27M265.47M380.15M394.57M
EBITDA65.63M37.42M-22.36M-23.07M-15.79M
Net Income99.31M32.17M-51.29M-24.42M-19.43M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets326.91M210.53M110.92M156.52M143.61M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments95.38M102.12M37.96M30.84M34.85M
Total Debt2.57M3.63M2.16M6.44M8.23M
Total Liabilities88.87M75.16M30.02M49.03M58.48M
Stockholders Equity238.04M135.37M80.91M107.49M85.13M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow90.32M62.45M-6.67M-20.08M4.33M
Operating Cash Flow95.38M66.57M-2.83M-15.79M7.19M
Investing Cash Flow-5.06M-4.11M9.35M-4.29M-18.82M
Financing Cash Flow-21.06M1.71M577.00K15.84M3.62M

EverQuote Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price16.85
Price Trends
50DMA
21.31
Negative
100DMA
22.68
Negative
200DMA
23.36
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.41
Negative
RSI
43.23
Neutral
STOCH
78.98
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EVER, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 16.85 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 15.92, below the 50-day MA of 21.31, and below the 200-day MA of 23.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -1.41 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.98 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EVER.

EverQuote Risk Analysis

EverQuote disclosed 31 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. EverQuote reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

EverQuote Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (60)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$588.96M9.8353.19%57.83%293.63%
65
Neutral
$621.36M14.828.28%7.14%13.06%66.19%
61
Neutral
$873.32M33.984.32%10.96%
60
Neutral
$48.67B4.58-11.27%4.14%2.83%-41.78%
60
Neutral
$330.86M13.764.40%-13.14%17.25%
55
Neutral
$660.44M28.43783.82%64.86%-112.92%
51
Neutral
$639.75M-14.97-12.25%6.65%50.32%
* Communication Services Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EVER
EverQuote
16.85
-9.18
-35.27%
ANGI
Angi
8.97
-7.03
-43.94%
SSTK
Shutterstock
17.48
-1.54
-8.07%
MAX
MediaAlpha
10.25
1.29
14.40%
TBLA
Taboola.com
3.18
0.33
11.58%
NXDR
Nextdoor Holdings
1.67
-0.15
-8.24%

EverQuote Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
EverQuote Reports Record 2025 Results, Issues Strong Outlook
Positive
Feb 23, 2026

On February 23, 2026, EverQuote reported record fourth quarter and full-year 2025 results, with Q4 revenue up 32% year over year to $195.3 million and full-year revenue up 38% to $692.5 million, driven largely by strong growth in its automotive and home and renters verticals. GAAP net income rose to $57.8 million for the quarter and $99.3 million for the year, boosted by a one-time deferred tax benefit, while Adjusted EBITDA climbed 32% in Q4 and 62% for 2025, alongside higher operating cash flow, a $171.4 million cash balance and the launch of a $50 million share repurchase program, underscoring the company’s AI-led efficiency push and its positioning to benefit from insurers’ focus on profitable policy growth.

For the first quarter of 2026, EverQuote projected revenue between $175 million and $185 million and Adjusted EBITDA of $23.5 million to $26.5 million, signaling expectations of continued solid performance following its 2025 expansion. Management highlighted cost discipline, growing automation and increased investment in AI, new products and data science as key levers supporting the company’s transition from a pure marketplace to a broader growth solutions partner for insurance carriers.

The most recent analyst rating on (EVER) stock is a Buy with a $18.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on EverQuote stock, see the EVER Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 25, 2026