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Equity Residential (EQR)
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Equity Residential (EQR) AI Stock Analysis

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EQR

Equity Residential

(NYSE:EQR)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
$67.00
â–²(6.91% Upside)
Equity Residential's overall score reflects its strong financial stability with a debt-free balance sheet and robust cash flows, despite facing bearish technical signals and a high P/E ratio. The dividend yield adds some support, but declining revenue trends and potential economic challenges pose risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
A strong 1.3% normalized FFO guidance raise is considered the best among peers.
Market Expansion
EQR has agreed to purchase 8 apartment complexes in Atlanta, GA containing 2,064 units for $535M, representing a high-4% in-place cap rate and a low-5% expected cap rate upon realization of EQR operating platform benefits.
Revenue Growth
The same-store revenue guidance has been raised due to higher expected occupancy, which is likely the primary driver of the increase.
Negative Factors
Demand Weakness
Equity Residential experienced weak demand in Southern California, with new lease rates down -3.2%.
Lease Growth
The market may view the -0.1% new lease growth in the quarter as modestly disappointing.
Market Expectations
Maintained guidance is below Street expectations, suggesting that simply meeting guidance may not be sufficient this year.

Equity Residential (EQR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equity Residential Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquity Residential (EQR) is a leading real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on the acquisition, development, and management of high-quality apartment properties in urban and high-density suburban locations. The company operates primarily in major cities across the United States, offering rental housing solutions to a diverse range of residents. Equity Residential's portfolio includes a wide array of residential properties designed to meet the needs of modern living, emphasizing quality, sustainability, and community engagement.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquity Residential makes money primarily through the leasing of apartment units within its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company generates revenue from rental income collected from tenants who reside in its properties. This revenue is supplemented by ancillary income streams such as parking fees, pet fees, and other service-related charges. Equity Residential also benefits from strategic acquisitions and development projects that enhance its property portfolio and increase its rental income potential. The company's performance is influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental prices, and market demand for residential housing in its operational areas. Additionally, Equity Residential forms partnerships with local developers and property managers to optimize operations and maximize returns on its investments.

Equity Residential Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Properties
Total Properties
Indicates the total number of properties owned, reflecting the company's scale, market presence, and potential rental income sources.
Chart InsightsEquity Residential's total properties have shown a notable increase in late 2024 after a period of stagnation, aligning with their strategic plan to acquire $1.5 billion in assets. The recent earnings call highlights strong occupancy and low resident turnover, indicating robust demand in key markets like New York and San Francisco. However, challenges such as economic uncertainties and potential rent control measures could impact future growth. The company's cautious optimism is supported by favorable supply-demand dynamics and the financial health of residents, positioning them well despite potential headwinds.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Equity Residential Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jun 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -7.14%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with strong financial health among residents, significant recovery in key markets like San Francisco, and advancements in AI and automation. However, challenges persist in the acquisition market and certain geographic areas like Los Angeles and expansion markets facing supply pressures.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Resident Financial Health
The average household income of residents who moved in during the second quarter increased by 8.5% from the same quarter last year, keeping rent as a percent of income low at 20%. Additionally, only 7.2% of residents moved out to purchase homes, among the lowest levels observed.
San Francisco Market Recovery
San Francisco showed the best blended rate growth in the portfolio at 5.8%, driven by strong new lease and renewal increases and favorable migration patterns, with competitive supply being less than 1% of inventory.
AI and Automation Efficiencies
The company's AI leasing application pilots reduced application completion time by over 50%, improving fraud detection, resident underwriting, and user satisfaction. A full deployment is expected by the end of the year.
Improved Guidance and Financial Performance
The company increased the midpoint of its same-store NOI growth guidance by 30 basis points and the NFFO range midpoint by $0.05, reaching the top end of prior expectations.
Negative Updates
Competitive Acquisition Environment
The transaction market was not as active as expected, leading to a reduction in acquisition expectations for the full year to $1 billion from $1.5 billion, with cap rates for desirable assets significantly lower than the cost of debt.
Challenges in Los Angeles Market
Los Angeles continues to underperform due to lackluster job growth and quality of life issues, particularly impacting assets in Korea and Mid-Wilshire submarkets.
Supply Pressures in Expansion Markets
Markets like Denver and Atlanta are experiencing high levels of new supply and concession use, impacting new lease growth and requiring a focus on retention and renewal rates.
Company Guidance
In the Equity Residential 2Q 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance reflecting a positive outlook based on strong demand, high resident retention, and low unemployment rates. The overall unemployment rate in the country was noted at 4.2%, with the key demographic of college-educated individuals at an even lower 2.7%. The company highlighted its strategic portfolio balance across urban and suburban markets, which it believes positions it to outperform due to declining apartment supply and societal trends favoring rentership. In terms of financial guidance, the company adjusted its acquisition expectations for the year down to $1 billion from $1.5 billion due to competitive pricing conditions, with cap rates often in the high 4% range. Despite these market conditions, the company remains optimistic about its long-term growth prospects, particularly in markets like New York City and San Francisco, where supply is expected to continue declining.

Equity Residential Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equity Residential maintains a robust financial position with strong cash flows and a debt-free balance sheet, enhancing financial stability. Operational margins are healthy, but a declining revenue trend and moderate net income margins present potential growth challenges.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is approximately 42.31%, indicating healthy profitability. However, the Net Profit Margin is lower at 27.94%, showing some pressure on net income. Revenue has decreased from $2.87 billion in 2023 to $2.19 billion TTM, reflecting a negative growth trend. The EBIT Margin is 30.02%, and the EBITDA Margin is 61.56%, both indicating efficiency in operations, though overall revenue contraction is a concern.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Equity Residential has a strong Balance Sheet with zero debt in the TTM period, showcasing excellent financial stability. The Equity Ratio stands at 53.00%, reflecting a stable capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is 5.56%, indicating moderate returns to shareholders. The lack of debt reduces financial risk significantly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.98, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow has decreased slightly from $1.20 billion in 2023 to $977 million TTM, showing a reduction in cash available after capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.59, suggesting good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.04B2.98B2.87B2.74B2.46B2.57B
Gross Profit1.68B1.89B1.83B1.75B1.52B1.66B
EBITDA2.01B1.84B1.78B1.71B1.46B1.61B
Net Income1.01B1.04B835.44M776.91M1.33B913.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.03B20.83B20.03B20.22B21.17B20.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments31.28M62.30M50.74M53.87M123.83M42.59M
Total Debt8.67B8.43B7.70B7.73B8.65B8.37B
Total Liabilities9.50B9.25B8.46B8.52B9.48B9.18B
Stockholders Equity11.01B11.04B11.09B11.17B10.95B10.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow956.79M1.25B1.20B1.22B1.09B1.10B
Operating Cash Flow1.18B1.57B1.53B1.45B1.26B1.27B
Investing Cash Flow-872.59M-1.18B-409.50M107.79M-434.62M663.59M
Financing Cash Flow-101.26M-376.95M-1.12B-1.79B-565.06M-1.95B

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price62.67
Price Trends
50DMA
67.27
Negative
100DMA
67.78
Negative
200DMA
69.09
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.06
Positive
RSI
36.02
Neutral
STOCH
18.15
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 62.67 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 66.25, below the 50-day MA of 67.27, and below the 200-day MA of 69.09, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.06 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 18.15 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQR.

Equity Residential Risk Analysis

Equity Residential disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equity Residential reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equity Residential Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (53)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$24.09B24.029.20%4.36%4.74%5.87%
70
Outperform
$26.52B22.929.67%3.70%6.87%37.67%
70
Neutral
$12.77B99.033.74%4.44%2.29%-4.89%
69
Neutral
$17.02B29.219.58%4.30%1.19%10.52%
68
Neutral
$17.16B20.6914.40%3.91%7.56%54.15%
66
Neutral
$18.67B67.905.65%3.78%4.41%-0.16%
53
Neutral
$1.19B3.49-2.19%6.01%-2.24%-167.40%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQR
Equity Residential
62.67
-5.09
-7.51%
AVB
AvalonBay
186.31
-15.48
-7.67%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
141.80
-5.36
-3.64%
ESS
Essex Property
257.36
-12.47
-4.62%
UDR
UDR
38.55
-1.14
-2.87%
INVH
Invitation Homes
30.46
-3.80
-11.09%

Equity Residential Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential Appoints Chris Carr as Trustee
Neutral
Jul 24, 2025

On July 24, 2025, Equity Residential announced the appointment of Chris Carr as a Trustee, expanding the Board of Trustees from 10 to 11 members. Carr, who is independent under NYSE standards, will serve on the Audit and Corporate Governance Committees. His appointment aligns with the company’s strategy to refresh its board with new perspectives while maintaining experienced oversight, having added five new trustees in the past six years.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Equity Residential Elects Trustees at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Equity Residential held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where all ten nominees for Trustees were elected for a one-year term. Additionally, the shareholders ratified the selection of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential Announces Leadership Transition
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Equity Residential announced a leadership transition with Alexander Brackenridge stepping down as Chief Investment Officer on August 7, 2025, and retiring at the end of the year. He will be succeeded by Robert A. Garechana, the current Chief Financial Officer, while Bret D. McLeod will join as the new Chief Financial Officer. These changes are part of the company’s strategic succession planning, aiming to continue advancing its capital allocation strategy and transformational initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential to Present at Nareit REITweek 2025
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Equity Residential announced its participation in the Nareit REITweek 2025 Investor Conference, with senior management, including CEO Mark J. Parrell, presenting at a roundtable on June 3. The company has also released an updated investor presentation with operating and transaction updates, available on their website.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Equity Residential Extends ATM Program for Flexibility
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Equity Residential announced a continuation of its existing ATM Program, allowing for the sale of up to 13,000,000 common shares through a Distribution Agreement with several financial institutions. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and operational capacity by leveraging forward sale agreements, although it will not initially receive proceeds from these transactions. The company also filed an automatic shelf registration statement to replace the one expiring on May 17, 2025, maintaining its ability to issue securities and manage its share repurchase program.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 05, 2025