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Equity Residential (EQR)
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Equity Residential (EQR) AI Stock Analysis

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EQR

Equity Residential

(NYSE:EQR)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$65.00
â–²(9.83% Upside)
Equity Residential's strong financial performance and reasonable valuation are offset by technical weakness and mixed earnings call results. The stock's bearish technical indicators and reduced revenue guidance weigh on the overall score.
Positive Factors
Resident Retention
High resident retention and occupancy rates indicate strong demand and customer satisfaction, supporting stable revenue streams and reducing turnover costs.
AI-Driven Innovations
AI-driven innovations enhance operational efficiency and improve tenant experience, potentially reducing costs and increasing competitive advantage.
Market Performance
Strong performance in key markets with limited supply supports revenue growth and pricing power, bolstering long-term profitability.
Negative Factors
Demand Weakness in Washington D.C.
Demand weakness in Washington D.C. due to macroeconomic factors could lead to lower occupancy and revenue, affecting overall market stability.
Challenges in Expansion Markets
Increased supply in expansion markets pressures pricing and occupancy rates, potentially hindering revenue growth and market expansion efforts.
Reduced Revenue Guidance
Lowered revenue guidance reflects potential challenges in meeting growth targets, impacting investor confidence and future financial performance.

Equity Residential (EQR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equity Residential Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquity Residential is committed to creating communities where people thrive. The Company, a member of the S&P 500, is focused on the acquisition, development and management of residential properties located in and around dynamic cities that attract high quality long-term renters. Equity Residential owns or has investments in 305 properties consisting of 78,568 apartment units, located in Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, Southern California and Denver.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquity Residential generates revenue primarily through the leasing of residential units within its portfolio of apartment communities. The company earns rental income from tenants who occupy its properties, which constitutes the bulk of its revenue. Additionally, EQR may generate ancillary income through fees associated with parking, pet services, and other tenant amenities. The company's revenue model is bolstered by its focus on high-demand markets, which typically experience greater rental demand and the ability to implement rent increases. Furthermore, strategic partnerships with property management firms and local businesses may enhance its operational efficiency and tenant offerings, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Equity Residential Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Properties
Total Properties
Indicates the total number of properties owned, reflecting the company's scale, market presence, and potential rental income sources.
Chart InsightsEquity Residential's total properties have shown a notable increase in late 2024 after a period of stagnation, aligning with their strategic plan to acquire $1.5 billion in assets. The recent earnings call highlights strong occupancy and low resident turnover, indicating robust demand in key markets like New York and San Francisco. However, challenges such as economic uncertainties and potential rent control measures could impact future growth. The company's cautious optimism is supported by favorable supply-demand dynamics and the financial health of residents, positioning them well despite potential headwinds.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Equity Residential Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Sep 30, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 03, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture. While there are strong performances in key markets like San Francisco and New York, and technological advancements in operations, challenges persist in other markets due to high supply and macroeconomic uncertainties. Demand softness in Washington D.C. and reduced revenue guidance further balance out the positive aspects.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Resident Retention
The company reported the highest third quarter resident retention in its history, maintaining high occupancy rates in the mid-96% range.
Strong Performance in San Francisco and New York
San Francisco, particularly the urban core, is expected to be the best-performing market in 2025, with high demand and limited supply. New York also continues to perform strongly with low competitive new supply.
AI-Driven Innovations
Deployment of AI-driven application processing tool has reduced application time by 50%, with further AI enhancements planned to improve service efficiency and resident experience.
Stock Buyback
The company repurchased approximately $100 million of its stock during the third quarter and subsequent to quarter end, citing undervaluation.
Negative Updates
Weakness in Demand in Washington D.C.
A combination of federal job cuts and the National Guard deployment, followed by the government shutdown, created uncertainty and slowed leasing activity.
Challenges in Expansion Markets
High levels of new supply in markets like Denver, Dallas-Fort Worth, Austin, and Atlanta are impacting pricing power and operating results.
Slowdown in Seasonal Leasing
Normal pattern of seasonal decline in traffic began one month earlier than usual, impacting new lease rates and resulting in a 2.2% blended rate increase for the quarter, which was at the low end of the range.
Reduced Revenue Guidance
The midpoint of annual same-store revenue guidance was adjusted down by 15 basis points to 2.75%, due to a slower rollout of an other income initiative and early seasonal traffic decline.
Company Guidance
During the Equity Residential third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided a comprehensive update on its financial performance and strategic outlook. Equity Residential reported a third quarter resident retention rate that was the highest in the company's history, leading to high occupancy rates in the mid-96% range. Despite a general macroeconomic uncertainty, such as tariffs and lower job growth, the company saw strong demand in key markets like San Francisco and New York, with incomes for new residents rising by 6.2% year-over-year. However, there was a noted weakness in traffic during the latter part of September, particularly in Washington, D.C. This prompted a downward adjustment of the midpoint of their annual same-store revenue guidance by 15 basis points to 2.75%. Equity Residential also engaged in capital allocation activities, including repurchasing approximately $100 million of its stock and adjusting its acquisitions and dispositions guidance for the full year to $750 million each. Looking ahead, the company expressed optimism about the reduction in new supply in 2026, with expectations for continued strong performance in markets with sustained demand and low competitive supply.

Equity Residential Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equity Residential demonstrates strong financial health with robust revenue and profit growth, efficient cash flow management, and a stable balance sheet. However, rising debt levels and cost management issues need attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Equity Residential shows strong revenue growth with a TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months) increase of 11.9%, indicating a positive trajectory. The gross profit margin remains robust at 63%, and the net profit margin has improved to 37.6%, reflecting enhanced profitability. However, the EBIT margin has slightly decreased over the years, suggesting potential cost management issues.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a healthy debt-to-equity ratio of 0.79, indicating moderate leverage. The return on equity is stable at 10.5%, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio stands at 53.8%, reflecting a solid equity base. However, the increasing debt levels could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has grown consistently, with a strong coverage ratio of 2.88, indicating good cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is impressive at 25.1%, and the free cash flow to net income ratio is high at 95.3%, suggesting efficient cash flow management. However, the reliance on free cash flow for net income could be a concern if cash flows fluctuate.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.08B2.98B2.87B2.74B2.46B2.57B
Gross Profit1.94B1.89B1.83B1.75B1.52B1.66B
EBITDA2.09B1.84B1.78B1.71B1.46B1.61B
Net Income1.16B1.04B835.44M776.91M1.33B913.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets21.07B20.83B20.03B20.22B21.17B20.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments93.09M62.30M50.74M53.87M123.83M42.59M
Total Debt8.74B8.43B7.70B7.73B8.65B8.37B
Total Liabilities9.60B9.25B8.46B8.52B9.48B9.18B
Stockholders Equity11.08B11.04B11.09B11.17B10.95B10.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.29B1.25B1.20B1.22B1.09B1.10B
Operating Cash Flow1.62B1.57B1.53B1.45B1.26B1.27B
Investing Cash Flow-435.97M-1.18B-409.50M107.79M-434.62M663.59M
Financing Cash Flow-1.11B-376.95M-1.12B-1.79B-565.06M-1.95B

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price59.18
Price Trends
50DMA
62.27
Negative
100DMA
63.54
Negative
200DMA
65.82
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.89
Negative
RSI
40.61
Neutral
STOCH
31.23
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQR, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 59.18 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 60.36, below the 50-day MA of 62.27, and below the 200-day MA of 65.82, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.89 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 40.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 31.23 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EQR.

Equity Residential Risk Analysis

Equity Residential disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equity Residential reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equity Residential Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$25.13B21.679.79%3.92%7.06%12.05%
72
Outperform
$16.82B19.1815.30%4.01%6.92%53.76%
70
Outperform
$22.47B19.6610.55%4.65%4.78%24.74%
66
Neutral
$15.65B27.619.41%4.67%0.91%6.55%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$18.32B79.064.41%4.98%2.38%17.42%
60
Neutral
$14.41B41.315.79%4.10%1.41%-21.93%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQR
Equity Residential
58.94
-12.08
-17.01%
AVB
AvalonBay
176.97
-43.61
-19.77%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
129.83
-21.55
-14.24%
ESS
Essex Property
254.63
-35.39
-12.20%
UDR
UDR
34.55
-7.91
-18.63%
CPT
Camden Property
102.16
-14.08
-12.11%

Equity Residential Corporate Events

Equity Residential’s Mixed Earnings Call: Key Insights
Oct 31, 2025

Equity Residential’s recent earnings call presented a mixed sentiment. While the company showcased strong performances in key markets like San Francisco and New York, and highlighted technological advancements in operations, challenges persist in other markets due to high supply and macroeconomic uncertainties. Demand softness in Washington D.C. and reduced revenue guidance further balanced out the positive aspects.

Business Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential CEO to Speak at Real Estate Conference
Neutral
Sep 8, 2025

On September 8, 2025, Equity Residential announced that its President and CEO, Mark J. Parrell, will participate in a roundtable discussion at the Bank of America 2025 Global Real Estate Conference on September 10, 2025. This participation highlights the company’s active engagement in industry events, which may influence its market positioning and stakeholder relations.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Buy with a $71.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Equity Residential Updates on Revenue and Occupancy Trends
Positive
Sep 2, 2025

On September 2, 2025, Equity Residential provided an update on its same store operating trends, indicating that revenue growth remains within the company’s guidance range. The company is concluding its primary leasing season with high physical occupancy and strong retention, expecting same store revenue growth of 2.6% to 3.2% and physical occupancy of 96.4% for the full year of 2025. Additionally, the company reaffirmed its third quarter 2025 blended rate growth guidance of 2.2% to 2.8%.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Buy with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025