tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Equity Residential (EQR)
NYSE:EQR
Advertisement

Equity Residential (EQR) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
611 Followers

Top Page

EQ

Equity Residential

(NYSE:EQR)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$77.00
â–²(14.45%Upside)
Equity Residential's strong financial stability, driven by a debt-free balance sheet and robust cash flows, is a key strength. The positive earnings call, highlighting strong occupancy and revenue growth, supports a favorable outlook despite some regional challenges and economic uncertainties. Technical indicators suggest a neutral stance, and the valuation is moderately attractive.
Positive Factors
Acquisitions
EQR has agreed to purchase 8 apartment complexes in Atlanta, GA, which represents a strategic expansion of its property portfolio.
Financial Strategy
EQR issued $500M in 7-year unsecured notes, demonstrating the company's ability to secure financing for future growth.
Market Performance
Blended rate growth has been strongest in key markets like San Francisco and New York, showcasing robust market performance for EQR.
Negative Factors
Debt Refinancing
Near-term FFOps growth expected to be dragged by -150bps due to intermediate-term maturities refinanced at higher expected rates.
Guidance
Maintained guidance is below Street expectations, suggesting that simply meeting guidance may not be sufficient this year.
Market Challenges
Expansion markets and Denver experienced a decline in blended rates during the first quarter.

Equity Residential (EQR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Equity Residential Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEquity Residential is committed to creating communities where people thrive. The Company, a member of the S&P 500, is focused on the acquisition, development and management of residential properties located in and around dynamic cities that attract high quality long-term renters. Equity Residential owns or has investments in 305 properties consisting of 78,568 apartment units, located in Boston, New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, San Francisco, Southern California and Denver.
How the Company Makes MoneyEquity Residential makes money primarily through the leasing of apartment units within its extensive portfolio of residential properties. The company generates revenue from rental income collected from tenants who reside in its properties. This revenue is supplemented by ancillary income streams such as parking fees, pet fees, and other service-related charges. Equity Residential also benefits from strategic acquisitions and development projects that enhance its property portfolio and increase its rental income potential. The company's performance is influenced by factors such as occupancy rates, rental prices, and market demand for residential housing in its operational areas. Additionally, Equity Residential forms partnerships with local developers and property managers to optimize operations and maximize returns on its investments.

Equity Residential Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Properties
Total Properties
Indicates the total number of properties owned, reflecting the company's scale, market presence, and potential rental income sources.
Chart InsightsEquity Residential's total properties have shown a notable increase in late 2024 after a period of stagnation, aligning with their strategic plan to acquire $1.5 billion in assets. The recent earnings call highlights strong occupancy and low resident turnover, indicating robust demand in key markets like New York and San Francisco. However, challenges such as economic uncertainties and potential rent control measures could impact future growth. The company's cautious optimism is supported by favorable supply-demand dynamics and the financial health of residents, positioning them well despite potential headwinds.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Equity Residential Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -2.25%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted several positive aspects such as record low resident turnover, strong occupancy rates, and improvements in markets like San Francisco. However, challenges remain in the Los Angeles and Boston markets, coupled with broader economic uncertainties and potential impacts from new rent control measures. The company appears well-positioned but cautious about future challenges.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Low Resident Turnover
Resident turnover was reported at only 7.9%, setting a record for the lowest ever reported by the company.
Strong Occupancy Rates
Occupancy was reported at 96.5% across the portfolio, with specific highlights in New York and Washington, D.C., and improvements in Seattle and San Francisco.
Stable Financial Health of Residents
Average household income of new residents increased, and rent-to-income ratios remained favorable at 20%.
San Francisco Market Improvement
San Francisco showed strong momentum with stable high occupancy, declining concessions, and increasing base rents.
Expansion of AI and Automation
The company is expanding deployment of its conversational AI capabilities across the leasing journey, aiming to improve efficiency and customer experience.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Los Angeles Market
The Los Angeles market showed mixed performance with stronger suburban submarkets but weaker urban areas, impacted by a slow recovery in the entertainment industry.
Supply and Economic Uncertainty
Concerns about the higher-than-usual level of economic uncertainty and supply challenges, particularly in the Sunbelt and expansion markets.
Boston Market Weakness
Boston showed weaker new lease pricing in the first quarter with concerns about the potential pullback in research funding and life sciences demand.
Potential Impact of Rent Control
Concerns over new rent control measures in Washington State and Maryland, which could impact future investment and performance in these regions.
Company Guidance
In the Equity Residential First Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company reported strong performance with same-store revenue growth exceeding expectations, driven by high physical occupancy at 96.5% and record-low resident turnover at 7.9%. Blended rate growth was at 1.8%, with strong demand in New York, Washington, D.C., Seattle, and San Francisco. The company maintained its guidance for $1.5 billion in acquisitions and $1 billion in dispositions for 2025. Despite uncertainties in the economy related to recent governmental actions and tariffs, the company remains optimistic due to favorable supply and demand dynamics in the rental housing market. Additionally, the company noted that job growth expectations remain solid, and there is a reduced impact from future supply as new apartment starts are expected to decline. Equity Residential also highlighted the strong financial health of their residents, with average household income on the rise and rent-to-income ratios favorable at 20%.

Equity Residential Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Equity Residential demonstrates strong financial stability with a debt-free balance sheet and robust cash flows. Operational margins are healthy, but declining revenue and moderate net income margins present concerns for future growth.
Income Statement
72
Positive
The Gross Profit Margin for TTM is approximately 42.31%, indicating healthy profitability. However, the Net Profit Margin is lower at 27.94%, showing some pressure on net income. Revenue has decreased from $2.87 billion in 2023 to $2.19 billion TTM, reflecting a negative growth trend. The EBIT Margin is 30.02%, and the EBITDA Margin is 61.56%, both indicating efficiency in operations, though overall revenue contraction is a concern.
Balance Sheet
85
Very Positive
Equity Residential has a strong Balance Sheet with zero debt in the TTM period, showcasing excellent financial stability. The Equity Ratio stands at 53.00%, reflecting a stable capital structure. Return on Equity (ROE) is 5.56%, indicating moderate returns to shareholders. The lack of debt reduces financial risk significantly.
Cash Flow
78
Positive
The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.98, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, the Free Cash Flow has decreased slightly from $1.20 billion in 2023 to $977 million TTM, showing a reduction in cash available after capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is 1.59, suggesting good cash conversion.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.98B2.87B2.74B2.46B2.57B
Gross Profit1.89B1.83B1.75B1.52B1.66B
EBITDA1.84B1.78B1.71B1.46B1.61B
Net Income1.04B835.44M776.91M1.33B913.64M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets20.83B20.03B20.22B21.17B20.29B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments62.30M50.74M53.87M123.83M42.59M
Total Debt8.43B7.70B7.73B8.65B8.37B
Total Liabilities9.25B8.46B8.52B9.48B9.18B
Stockholders Equity11.04B11.09B11.17B10.95B10.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.25B1.20B1.22B1.09B1.10B
Operating Cash Flow1.57B1.53B1.45B1.26B1.27B
Investing Cash Flow-1.18B-409.50M107.79M-434.62M663.59M
Financing Cash Flow-376.95M-1.12B-1.79B-565.06M-1.95B

Equity Residential Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price67.28
Price Trends
50DMA
68.19
Negative
100DMA
68.44
Negative
200DMA
69.44
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.37
Negative
RSI
49.40
Neutral
STOCH
47.22
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EQR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 67.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 67.11, below the 50-day MA of 68.19, and below the 200-day MA of 69.44, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.40 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 47.22 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EQR.

Equity Residential Risk Analysis

Equity Residential disclosed 47 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Equity Residential reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Equity Residential Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AVAVB
78
Outperform
$28.74B25.179.67%3.47%5.61%19.66%
EQEQR
74
Outperform
$25.44B26.259.01%4.14%3.91%8.78%
73
Outperform
$19.74B93.894.92%3.60%6.11%-37.43%
UDUDR
70
Neutral
$13.47B113.713.40%4.23%2.35%-73.89%
ESESS
68
Neutral
$19.07B27.4712.09%3.59%7.61%27.83%
63
Neutral
$6.98B18.44-1.93%6.77%4.67%-25.44%
MAMAA
57
Neutral
$18.06B31.369.37%4.03%1.55%0.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EQR
Equity Residential
67.17
-0.35
-0.52%
AVB
AvalonBay
202.63
1.83
0.91%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
150.66
12.51
9.06%
ESS
Essex Property
287.37
12.23
4.45%
UDR
UDR
40.73
0.89
2.23%
INVH
Invitation Homes
32.24
-2.47
-7.12%

Equity Residential Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Equity Residential Elects Trustees at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jul 1, 2025

On June 26, 2025, Equity Residential held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders where all ten nominees for Trustees were elected for a one-year term. Additionally, the shareholders ratified the selection of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025 and approved the executive compensation on an advisory basis.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential Announces Leadership Transition
Neutral
Jun 30, 2025

On June 30, 2025, Equity Residential announced a leadership transition with Alexander Brackenridge stepping down as Chief Investment Officer on August 7, 2025, and retiring at the end of the year. He will be succeeded by Robert A. Garechana, the current Chief Financial Officer, while Bret D. McLeod will join as the new Chief Financial Officer. These changes are part of the company’s strategic succession planning, aiming to continue advancing its capital allocation strategy and transformational initiatives.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $80.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and Strategy
Equity Residential to Present at Nareit REITweek 2025
Neutral
May 28, 2025

On May 28, 2025, Equity Residential announced its participation in the Nareit REITweek 2025 Investor Conference, with senior management, including CEO Mark J. Parrell, presenting at a roundtable on June 3. The company has also released an updated investor presentation with operating and transaction updates, available on their website.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Private Placements and FinancingBusiness Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Equity Residential Extends ATM Program for Flexibility
Neutral
May 15, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Equity Residential announced a continuation of its existing ATM Program, allowing for the sale of up to 13,000,000 common shares through a Distribution Agreement with several financial institutions. This strategic move is part of the company’s efforts to enhance its financial flexibility and operational capacity by leveraging forward sale agreements, although it will not initially receive proceeds from these transactions. The company also filed an automatic shelf registration statement to replace the one expiring on May 17, 2025, maintaining its ability to issue securities and manage its share repurchase program.

The most recent analyst rating on (EQR) stock is a Hold with a $68.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Equity Residential stock, see the EQR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 14, 2025