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Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA)
NYSE:MAA
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Mid-America Apartment (MAA) AI Stock Analysis

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MAA

Mid-America Apartment

(NYSE:MAA)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$161.00
â–²(12.27% Upside)
Mid-America Apartment's overall stock score reflects its solid financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic positioning in high-growth markets and strong dividend yield are significant strengths. However, technical indicators suggest a neutral trend, and valuation metrics indicate moderate pricing, which slightly tempers the overall score.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MAA reported core FFO numbers of $2.20 which was four cents higher than consensus and seven cents higher than analyst numbers, as well as above the company's expectations.
Stock Valuation
The combination of accelerating growth and a discounted stock valuation should be a good setup for the stock, which trades at a 6.2% implied cap rate that prices it much cheaper than private market.
Negative Factors
Price Target
The 12-month price target is being trimmed to $158 from $171, indicating a more conservative outlook.
Revenue Guidance
Same-store revenue guidance was cut -30bps to +0.1% as 2Q25 turned negative at -0.3%.

Mid-America Apartment (MAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mid-America Apartment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMAA, an S&P 500 company, is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on delivering full-cycle and superior investment performance for shareholders through the ownership, management, acquisition, development and redevelopment of quality apartment communities in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, MAA had ownership interest in 102,772 apartment units, including communities currently in development, across 16 states and the District of Columbia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMAA generates revenue primarily through the rental income derived from its extensive portfolio of apartment communities. The company leases apartments to individuals and families, charging monthly rents that vary based on the location, amenities, and market demand. Additionally, MAA may earn income through ancillary services such as laundry facilities, parking fees, and other resident services. The company benefits from economies of scale, as its large portfolio allows for efficient property management and reduced operating costs. Furthermore, MAA may engage in strategic partnerships, development projects, and acquisitions, which can provide additional revenue streams and enhance its market position.

Mid-America Apartment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong absorption trends and development pipeline progress, alongside stable occupancy and collection rates. However, challenges remain with significant supply pressures in key markets like Austin and Phoenix, slower new lease pricing recovery, and delayed lease-up stabilization. The muted acquisition market also reflects ongoing caution in capital markets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Absorption Trends
Absorption across markets reached the highest level in over 25 years, with absorption outpacing new deliveries for 4 consecutive quarters.
Development Pipeline Progress
Construction started on a 336-unit project in Charleston, SC, expected to yield 6.1%, bringing the active pipeline to 2,648 units valued at nearly $1 billion.
Stable Occupancy and Collection Rates
Maintained stable average physical occupancy of 95.4% and strong collections with net delinquency at just 0.3% of billed rents.
Improved Core FFO
Reported core FFO for the quarter was $2.15 per diluted share, $0.02 ahead of the midpoint of the guidance.
Positive Leasing Trends
July pricing trends are better than Q2, with new lease rates showing the best lease-over-lease basis so far this year.
Negative Updates
Supply Pressure in Key Markets
Austin, Phoenix, and Nashville continue to face significant supply pressure, impacting new lease pricing negatively.
Slower New Lease Pricing Recovery
Economic uncertainty slowed the pace of new lease pricing recovery in May and June, causing performance to be below expectations.
Delayed Lease-Up Stabilization
Lease-up stabilization dates pushed by one quarter for three properties due to slower leasing velocity amid competitive pressures.
Muted Acquisition Market
Transaction volumes remain low with persistent bid-ask spreads and cautious capital markets given elevated interest rates.
Company Guidance
During the MAA Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the management team provided guidance indicating a positive outlook despite ongoing economic uncertainties and market challenges. The second quarter core Funds From Operations (FFO) results exceeded expectations, with a reported $2.15 per diluted share, surpassing the midpoint of guidance by $0.02. The company observed a sequential improvement in lease rates, with blended lease pricing increasing by 0.5%, a 100 basis point improvement from the first quarter. Absorption outpaced new deliveries for four consecutive quarters. The company maintained a stable occupancy rate of 95.4% and strong collection rates with net delinquency at just 0.3% of billed rents. MAA revised its 2025 guidance, lowering the midpoint of effective rent growth to negative 0.25% while maintaining average physical occupancy guidance at 95.6%. The company reaffirmed the midpoint of its full-year core FFO guidance at $8.77 per share, maintaining a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4x. Looking ahead, MAA is focused on leveraging its diversified portfolio and capitalizing on high-growth markets, with expectations of continued recovery and improving lease environments in the coming quarters.

Mid-America Apartment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mid-America Apartment demonstrates financial stability with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. The company maintains healthy margins and a strong equity base while managing its leverage effectively. Despite moderate revenue growth, the consistent performance across key financial metrics underscores a solid financial foundation and potential for sustained growth.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent Gross Profit Margin of approximately 32% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The Net Profit Margin has improved to 25.75% in the TTM, showing enhanced efficiency. Revenue growth is moderate, with a TTM increase of around 2.59% compared to the previous annual period, and EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 29.6% and 61.56%, respectively. This indicates stable operational performance and good cost management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a healthy Equity Ratio of 50.37% in the TTM, indicating a strong equity position. However, the Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased slightly to 0.85, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) shows improvement with a TTM rate of 9.5%, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity to generate profit. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage levels and solid equity backing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company's cash flow performance is solid, with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.33 in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.94, highlighting excellent cash flow from operations. Although Free Cash Flow slightly decreased compared to the previous annual period, the overall cash flow position remains strong, supporting ongoing operations and potential investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.20B2.19B2.15B2.02B1.78B1.68B
Gross Profit705.48M713.27M747.48M687.71M517.75M474.37M
EBITDA1.35B1.30B1.29B1.35B1.25B945.08M
Net Income565.47M527.54M552.81M637.44M533.79M254.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.81B11.81B11.48B11.24B11.29B11.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.78M43.02M41.31M38.66M54.30M25.20M
Total Debt5.04B5.01B4.57B4.44B4.52B4.56B
Total Liabilities5.65B5.66B5.19B5.03B5.10B5.09B
Stockholders Equity5.97B5.96B6.11B6.03B6.00B5.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow751.87M775.92M597.81M762.30M615.33M397.01M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B1.10B1.14B1.06B894.97M823.95M
Investing Cash Flow-794.12M-825.50M-775.26M-405.24M-253.59M-484.73M
Financing Cash Flow-299.38M-271.12M-367.90M-722.77M-546.40M-374.14M

Mid-America Apartment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price143.41
Price Trends
50DMA
145.55
Negative
100DMA
150.20
Negative
200DMA
152.34
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.48
Negative
RSI
49.53
Neutral
STOCH
59.33
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 143.41 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 141.72, below the 50-day MA of 145.55, and below the 200-day MA of 152.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.48 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 49.53 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 59.33 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MAA.

Mid-America Apartment Risk Analysis

Mid-America Apartment disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mid-America Apartment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mid-America Apartment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$15.88B12.21-1.51%6.27%-14.17%1097.53%
74
Outperform
$17.50B29.319.58%4.19%1.19%10.52%
74
Outperform
$13.29B31.195.99%3.22%7.19%15.70%
69
Neutral
$19.18B67.615.65%3.80%4.41%-0.16%
68
Neutral
$15.85B75.773.30%3.83%0.76%-60.70%
66
Neutral
$18.01B20.9514.40%3.84%7.56%54.15%
63
Neutral
$6.95B13.72-0.50%6.99%4.08%-25.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
143.41
-11.52
-7.44%
SUI
Sun Communities
125.41
-3.67
-2.84%
ESS
Essex Property
261.51
-30.27
-10.37%
CPT
Camden Property
109.41
-10.45
-8.72%
AMH
American Homes
34.74
-3.83
-9.93%
INVH
Invitation Homes
30.23
-5.80
-16.10%

Mid-America Apartment Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mid-America Apartment Highlights Strong Financial Performance
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) will present a capital markets update to investors, highlighting its robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the multifamily real estate sector. The company emphasizes its strong demand dynamics and declining supply impact, which are expected to support continued growth. MAA’s disciplined capital allocation and diversified portfolio strategy in high-growth Sunbelt markets are key factors in its ability to outperform peers and deliver superior long-term shareholder returns.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 04, 2025