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Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA)
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Mid-America Apartment (MAA) AI Stock Analysis

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MAA

Mid-America Apartment

(NYSE:MAA)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$156.00
â–²(11.61% Upside)
Mid-America Apartment's overall stock score is driven by solid financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, tempered by bearish technical indicators and high valuation metrics. The company's strong financial foundation and promising earnings outlook are significant positives, but potential economic challenges and negative technical trends present risks.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
MAA reported core FFO numbers of $2.20, which was four cents higher than consensus and seven cents higher than analyst numbers, as well as above the company's expectations.
Investment Strategy
MAA distinguishes itself through a strategic focus on full-cycle investment performance, emphasizing quality apartment communities in key regions like the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic.
Market Conditions
The momentum in new lease rate growth is expected to last at least through 2027 due to strong forward supply/demand fundamentals.
Negative Factors
Earnings Guidance
3Q25 Core FFOps was initiated below Street at $2.16.
Lease Pricing
Lease pricing for new leases in the Same Store Portfolio decreased by 8.0% due to supply pressures.
Revenue Guidance
Same-store revenue guidance was cut -30bps to +0.1% as 2Q25 turned negative at -0.3%.

Mid-America Apartment (MAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mid-America Apartment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMAA, an S&P 500 company, is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on delivering full-cycle and superior investment performance for shareholders through the ownership, management, acquisition, development and redevelopment of quality apartment communities in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, MAA had ownership interest in 102,772 apartment units, including communities currently in development, across 16 states and the District of Columbia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMAA generates revenue primarily through the rental income derived from its extensive portfolio of apartment communities. The company leases apartments to individuals and families, charging monthly rents that vary based on the location, amenities, and market demand. Additionally, MAA may earn income through ancillary services such as laundry facilities, parking fees, and other resident services. The company benefits from economies of scale, as its large portfolio allows for efficient property management and reduced operating costs. Furthermore, MAA may engage in strategic partnerships, development projects, and acquisitions, which can provide additional revenue streams and enhance its market position.

Mid-America Apartment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -6.06%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed picture with strong absorption and development progress, but also challenges with economic uncertainty affecting lease pricing and supply pressures in certain markets.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Absorption and Market Demand
Absorption across MAA's markets reached the highest level in over 25 years, with absorption outpacing new deliveries for four consecutive quarters.
Renewal Lease Performance
Renewal lease performance exceeded expectations with high acceptance rates and lease-over-lease growth rates on renewals in the 4.5% range for July, August, and September.
Development Progress
MAA started construction on a 336-unit project in Charleston, SC, expected to deliver a stabilized NOI yield of 6.1%. Their active pipeline now includes 2,648 units valued at nearly $1 billion.
Strong Balance Sheet
MAA's balance sheet remains strong with $1 billion in cash and borrowing capacity, and a low debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4x.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty Impact
Economic uncertainty slowed the pace of new lease pricing recovery, with May and June new lease pricing falling below expectations.
Lease-Up Delays
Higher leasing pressure impacted the leasing velocity in the lease-up portfolio, pushing stabilization dates by one quarter for three properties.
Austin, Phoenix, and Nashville Weakness
Austin faced record supply pressure, resulting in weaker new lease pricing. Phoenix and Nashville also faced significant pricing pressure due to supply.
Company Guidance
During the second quarter of 2025, MAA's core FFO results exceeded expectations, with improvements in new, renewal, and blended lease-over-lease rates surpassing the prior year's performance. The company reported a core FFO of $2.15 per diluted share, $0.02 above the midpoint of their guidance, driven by favorable overhead expenses, interest expenses, and strong same-store NOI performance despite challenges in the lease-up portfolio. MAA's portfolio experienced record absorption levels, outpacing new deliveries for four consecutive quarters. The active development pipeline includes 2,648 units at nearly $1 billion, with a recent start on a 336-unit project in Charleston, South Carolina, expected to yield a stabilized NOI of 6.1%. The acquisition market remains quiet, but MAA is evaluating opportunities, including a suburban acquisition in Kansas City. The company maintains a strong balance sheet with low debt leverage at 4x EBITDA, ensuring readiness to capitalize on growth opportunities as the economic environment stabilizes.

Mid-America Apartment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mid-America Apartment demonstrates solid financial performance with strong profitability and efficient cash flow management. Key metrics such as a consistent Gross Profit Margin of 32% and a Net Profit Margin of 25.75% reflect robust financial health. The balance sheet is stable with a healthy Equity Ratio of 50.37% and manageable leverage. Cash flows are strong, with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.33, underscoring a solid financial foundation.
Income Statement
78
Positive
The company demonstrates strong profitability with a consistent Gross Profit Margin of approximately 32% in the TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The Net Profit Margin has improved to 25.75% in the TTM, showing enhanced efficiency. Revenue growth is moderate, with a TTM increase of around 2.59% compared to the previous annual period, and EBIT and EBITDA margins remain healthy at 29.6% and 61.56%, respectively. This indicates stable operational performance and good cost management.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a healthy Equity Ratio of 50.37% in the TTM, indicating a strong equity position. However, the Debt-to-Equity Ratio increased slightly to 0.85, suggesting moderate leverage. Return on Equity (ROE) shows improvement with a TTM rate of 9.5%, indicating efficient use of shareholder equity to generate profit. The balance sheet is stable, with manageable leverage levels and solid equity backing.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
The company's cash flow performance is solid, with a Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of 1.33 in the TTM, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio stands at 1.94, highlighting excellent cash flow from operations. Although Free Cash Flow slightly decreased compared to the previous annual period, the overall cash flow position remains strong, supporting ongoing operations and potential investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.20B2.19B2.15B2.02B1.78B1.68B
Gross Profit705.48M713.27M747.48M687.71M517.75M526.67M
EBITDA1.35B1.30B1.29B1.35B1.25B944.25M
Net Income565.47M527.54M552.81M637.44M533.79M254.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.81B11.81B11.48B11.24B11.29B11.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments55.78M43.02M41.31M38.66M54.30M25.20M
Total Debt5.04B5.01B4.57B4.44B4.52B4.56B
Total Liabilities5.65B5.66B5.19B5.03B5.10B5.09B
Stockholders Equity5.95B5.96B6.11B6.03B6.00B5.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow751.87M775.92M597.81M762.30M615.33M397.01M
Operating Cash Flow1.09B1.10B1.14B1.06B894.97M823.95M
Investing Cash Flow-794.12M-825.50M-775.26M-405.24M-253.59M-484.73M
Financing Cash Flow-299.38M-271.12M-367.90M-722.77M-546.40M-374.14M

Mid-America Apartment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price139.77
Price Trends
50DMA
147.33
Negative
100DMA
152.43
Negative
200DMA
152.85
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-2.85
Positive
RSI
36.96
Neutral
STOCH
15.11
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 139.77 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 145.77, below the 50-day MA of 147.33, and below the 200-day MA of 152.85, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -2.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.96 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.11 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for MAA.

Mid-America Apartment Risk Analysis

Mid-America Apartment disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mid-America Apartment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mid-America Apartment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$23.95B23.999.20%4.27%4.49%5.87%
70
Neutral
$12.53B98.673.74%4.52%2.29%-4.89%
69
Neutral
$16.61B28.509.58%4.30%1.19%10.52%
68
Neutral
$16.93B20.4214.40%3.95%7.56%54.15%
68
Neutral
$14.84B73.173.30%3.97%0.76%-60.70%
66
Neutral
$18.41B66.945.65%3.83%4.41%-0.16%
63
Neutral
$6.82B13.21-0.62%7.17%3.67%-27.43%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
139.77
-7.64
-5.18%
EQR
Equity Residential
63.99
-4.54
-6.62%
ESS
Essex Property
258.73
-17.74
-6.42%
UDR
UDR
37.83
-2.26
-5.64%
CPT
Camden Property
107.00
-8.70
-7.52%
INVH
Invitation Homes
30.54
-3.40
-10.02%

Mid-America Apartment Corporate Events

Business Operations and Strategy
Mid-America Apartment Highlights at Nareit REITweek 2025
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

MAA announced its participation in the Nareit REITweek 2025 Investor Conference, highlighting its strong market positioning and operational strategies. The company emphasized its robust development pipeline, disciplined capital allocation, and strong balance sheet, which support its continued growth and ability to deliver attractive returns for investors.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAA) stock is a Hold with a $165.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mid-America Apartment stock, see the MAA Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Mid-America Apartment Holds 2025 Annual Shareholder Meeting
Neutral
May 21, 2025

On May 20, 2025, Mid-America Apartment held its 2025 Annual Meeting of Shareholders, where shareholders voted on several key matters. Eleven directors were elected to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting, executive compensation was approved in an advisory vote, and Ernst & Young LLP was ratified as the independent registered public accounting firm for 2025.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAA) stock is a Hold with a $165.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mid-America Apartment stock, see the MAA Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 01, 2025