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Mid-america Apartment Communities (MAA)
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Mid-America Apartment (MAA) AI Stock Analysis

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MAA

Mid-America Apartment

(NYSE:MAA)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$151.00
â–˛(11.43% Upside)
Mid-America Apartment's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and robust occupancy rates, offset by challenges in cash flow management and valuation concerns. The technical indicators suggest mixed short-term trends, while the earnings call highlights both strategic successes and market challenges.
Positive Factors
Strong Occupancy and Collections
High occupancy rates and low delinquency indicate strong demand and effective tenant management, supporting stable revenue streams.
Development and Acquisition Success
Successful projects and acquisitions enhance portfolio value and income potential, strengthening market position and long-term growth.
Resilient Core FFO Results
Meeting FFO expectations shows operational resilience and strategic effectiveness, ensuring consistent performance amid economic fluctuations.
Negative Factors
New Lease Rate Challenges
Declining lease rates could pressure revenue growth and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to attract and retain tenants.
Guidance Adjustments
Revised guidance suggests potential revenue and profitability challenges, impacting investor confidence and strategic planning.
Supply Pressure in Certain Markets
Excess supply in key markets could suppress pricing power and occupancy rates, affecting revenue and competitive positioning.

Mid-America Apartment (MAA) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Mid-America Apartment Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMAA, an S&P 500 company, is a real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on delivering full-cycle and superior investment performance for shareholders through the ownership, management, acquisition, development and redevelopment of quality apartment communities in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States. As of December 31, 2020, MAA had ownership interest in 102,772 apartment units, including communities currently in development, across 16 states and the District of Columbia.
How the Company Makes MoneyMAA generates revenue primarily through the rental income derived from its extensive portfolio of apartment communities. The company leases apartments to individuals and families, charging monthly rents that vary based on the location, amenities, and market demand. Additionally, MAA may earn income through ancillary services such as laundry facilities, parking fees, and other resident services. The company benefits from economies of scale, as its large portfolio allows for efficient property management and reduced operating costs. Furthermore, MAA may engage in strategic partnerships, development projects, and acquisitions, which can provide additional revenue streams and enhance its market position.

Mid-America Apartment Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Operating Income By Segment
Net Operating Income By Segment
Calculates income after operating expenses, revealing profitability and financial health across different segments. It’s a key indicator of property performance and management efficiency.
Chart InsightsMid-America Apartment's Same Store NOI shows resilience with a steady upward trend, despite recent fluctuations. The Non-Same Store segment, however, experienced volatility, reflecting broader market challenges. Lease-Up & Development Communities are gaining momentum, indicating strategic growth potential. The earnings call highlights strong absorption trends and stable occupancy, but warns of supply pressures in key markets like Austin and Phoenix. Management's focus on high-growth markets and a robust development pipeline suggests optimism, yet the muted acquisition market and slower lease pricing recovery remain concerns.
Data provided by:The Fly

Mid-America Apartment Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook with strong occupancy and successful development and acquisition strategies on the positive side, while facing challenges with new lease rates and supply pressures in specific markets. Guidance adjustments indicate caution in the near term.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Resilient Core FFO Results
Third quarter core FFO results met expectations, demonstrating the resilience of MAA's platform and strategy despite broader economic challenges.
Strong Occupancy and Collections
Occupancy levels have increased 450 basis points over the past 5 quarters, approaching pre-COVID levels, with a current occupancy of 95.6% and strong collections with net delinquency at just 0.3% of billed rents.
Development and Acquisition Success
Recent acquisitions and development projects, such as the Kansas City acquisition and Scottsdale development, are expected to deliver NOI yields of 5.8% to 6.5%.
High Rent-to-Income Ratios
The rent-to-income ratio remains healthy at a low of 20%, supported by high annual wage growth in the region.
Negative Updates
New Lease Rate Challenges
New lease rates have shown lack of traction with a decline of 5.2% year over year, despite slight improvements from the previous quarter.
Guidance Adjustments
Same-store revenue guidance was revised to negative 0.05%, with overall core FFO guidance adjusted to reflect lower recovery trajectory on new lease rents.
Supply Pressure in Certain Markets
Austin and Nashville continue to face significant pricing pressure due to record supply levels.
Company Guidance
In the MAA Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, management provided guidance highlighting key metrics. The call discussed a robust occupancy rate of 95.6%, alongside a low net delinquency of just 0.3% of billed rents, indicating strong collections. The company noted an improvement in new renewal and blended lease rates, with blended pricing for the quarter at a positive 0.3%. Additionally, MAA's exposure to new starts was only 0.2% of inventory in the third quarter, with starts over the trailing four quarters at 1.8% of inventory, which is about half the historical norm. This positions MAA for sustained improvement as supply pressures ease. The company also mentioned a favorable rent-to-income ratio of 20% and highlighted the low move-out rate for home purchases at 10.8%. MAA's balance sheet remains strong, with a recent credit facility expansion, maintaining a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.2x, and 91% of outstanding debt fixed at an average rate of 3.8%. The guidance also reflected adjustments to the full-year core FFO, now anticipated to be $8.74 per share, with revised same-store revenue guidance to negative 0.05% and same-store NOI to negative 1.35%, primarily due to lower recovery in new lease rents and favorable property tax valuations.

Mid-America Apartment Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mid-America Apartment demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, supported by efficient operations and a stable balance sheet. However, the significant drop in free cash flow growth is a potential risk, indicating a need for improved cash flow management.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Mid-America Apartment shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 14.8%. The company maintains healthy margins, with a gross profit margin of 30.8% and a net profit margin of 25.2% in the TTM. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust at 34.3% and 62.2%, respectively, indicating efficient operations. However, the slight decline in gross profit margin over the years suggests potential cost pressures.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a stable balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.89, reflecting moderate leverage. Return on equity is reasonable at 9.4%, indicating effective use of equity capital. The equity ratio stands at 48.9%, showing a balanced capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow remains positive, but the free cash flow has seen a significant decline of 79.6% in the TTM, which could impact future investments. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 1.19, indicating good cash generation relative to profits. However, the declining free cash flow growth rate is a concern that needs addressing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.20B2.19B2.15B2.02B1.78B1.68B
Gross Profit679.17M713.27M747.48M687.71M517.75M474.37M
EBITDA1.37B1.30B1.29B1.35B1.25B945.08M
Net Income555.98M527.54M552.81M637.44M533.79M254.62M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets11.93B11.81B11.48B11.24B11.29B11.19B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments32.25M43.02M41.31M38.66M54.30M25.20M
Total Debt5.20B5.01B4.57B4.44B4.52B4.56B
Total Liabilities5.91B5.66B5.19B5.03B5.10B5.09B
Stockholders Equity5.84B5.96B6.11B6.03B6.00B5.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow154.64M775.92M795.96M762.30M383.69M598.44M
Operating Cash Flow241.15M1.10B1.14B1.06B894.97M823.95M
Investing Cash Flow-666.60M-825.50M-775.26M-405.24M-253.59M-484.73M
Financing Cash Flow-407.15M-271.12M-367.90M-722.77M-546.40M-374.14M

Mid-America Apartment Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price135.51
Price Trends
50DMA
133.10
Positive
100DMA
138.05
Negative
200DMA
146.12
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.37
Negative
RSI
62.82
Neutral
STOCH
85.75
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For MAA, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 135.51 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 130.60, above the 50-day MA of 133.10, and below the 200-day MA of 146.12, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.37 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.82 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.75 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for MAA.

Mid-America Apartment Risk Analysis

Mid-America Apartment disclosed 43 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Mid-America Apartment reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Mid-America Apartment Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$16.28B28.729.41%4.47%0.91%6.55%
72
Outperform
$17.47B19.9315.30%3.88%6.92%53.76%
69
Neutral
$15.90B16.10-5.55%6.19%-20.69%330.60%
69
Neutral
$11.86B27.106.36%3.62%7.63%23.16%
67
Neutral
$17.12B53.725.99%4.15%6.82%27.91%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
60
Neutral
$14.96B42.885.79%3.94%1.41%-21.93%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
135.51
-22.03
-13.98%
SUI
Sun Communities
128.58
10.08
8.51%
ESS
Essex Property
262.12
-37.42
-12.49%
CPT
Camden Property
106.03
-15.26
-12.58%
AMH
American Homes
31.95
-5.11
-13.79%
INVH
Invitation Homes
27.93
-5.10
-15.44%

Mid-America Apartment Corporate Events

Mid-America Apartment Communities Reports Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that focuses on owning, managing, acquiring, developing, and redeveloping quality apartment communities primarily in the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States.

Private Placements and Financing
Mid-America Apartment Secures $1.5 Billion Credit Facility
Neutral
Oct 23, 2025

On October 21, 2025, Mid-America Apartments, L.P. (MAALP) entered into a Fifth Amended and Restated Credit Agreement with several financial institutions, including Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase. This agreement establishes an unsecured revolving credit facility of up to $1.5 billion, with provisions for extensions and an accordion feature to increase the credit limit to $2.0 billion. The facility is intended for general corporate purposes, such as debt repayment and supporting MAALP’s commercial paper program. The agreement includes various financial covenants and events of default that could impact MAALP’s financial obligations.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAA) stock is a Hold with a $143.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mid-America Apartment stock, see the MAA Stock Forecast page.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Mid-America Apartment Highlights Strong Financial Performance
Positive
Sep 4, 2025

On September 3, 2025, Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) will present a capital markets update to investors, highlighting its robust financial performance and strategic positioning in the multifamily real estate sector. The company emphasizes its strong demand dynamics and declining supply impact, which are expected to support continued growth. MAA’s disciplined capital allocation and diversified portfolio strategy in high-growth Sunbelt markets are key factors in its ability to outperform peers and deliver superior long-term shareholder returns.

The most recent analyst rating on (MAA) stock is a Buy with a $160.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Mid-America Apartment stock, see the MAA Stock Forecast page.

Mid-America Apartment Communities’ Earnings Call Insights
Aug 2, 2025

The recent earnings call for Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) painted a mixed picture, reflecting both positive strides and ongoing challenges. The company demonstrated strong absorption and development progress, yet faced hurdles due to economic uncertainty affecting lease pricing and supply pressures in certain markets.

Mid-America Apartment Communities Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 1, 2025

Mid-America Apartment Communities, Inc. (MAA) is a real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the ownership, management, acquisition, development, and redevelopment of apartment communities across the Southeast, Southwest, and Mid-Atlantic regions of the United States.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 27, 2025