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Sun Communities (SUI)
NYSE:SUI
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Sun Communities (SUI) AI Stock Analysis

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Sun Communities

(NYSE:SUI)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
$136.00
▲(9.15%Upside)
The overall score is influenced primarily by solid financial performance and positive earnings call insights, indicating stable operational strength despite leverage concerns. Technical analysis shows a positive trend, but high valuation metrics suggest overvaluation risks. Corporate events further support growth and financial flexibility, enhancing the stock’s appeal.
Positive Factors
Company Strategy
Sun Communities, Inc. has completed the sale of its Marina business to refocus on its core segments of manufactured housing and recreational vehicle communities.
Financial Performance
Sun Communities, Inc. increased its price objective to $132 to reflect an improved balance sheet following smart capital allocation decisions with the Safe Harbor sale proceeds.
Operational Performance
Sun Communities, Inc. reported a stronger performance in the manufactured housing sector with improved occupancy rates, reaching 99% across its MH and RV portfolios.
Negative Factors
Earnings Expectations
The analyst reiterates an Underperform rating based on valuation concerns, CEO uncertainty, and risks associated with the RV and UK markets.
Leadership Uncertainty
There is uncertainty due to the pending naming of a new CEO, which is a significant issue now that the Marina portfolio has been sold.
Market Performance
The transient RV business at Sun Communities, Inc. remains under pressure due to normalization after increased travel post-COVID and general macroeconomic uncertainty.

Sun Communities (SUI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sun Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionSun Communities, Inc. is a REIT that, as of March 31, 2022, owned, operated, or had an interest in a portfolio of 603 developed MH, RV and marina properties comprising nearly 159,300 developed sites and over 45,700 wet slips and dry storage spaces in 39 states, Canada, Puerto Rico and the UK.
How the Company Makes MoneySun Communities makes money primarily through rental income from its portfolio of manufactured housing and RV communities. The company leases land parcels to residents who own manufactured homes and charges rent for the land, which includes access to communal amenities and maintenance services. Additionally, Sun Communities generates revenue from RV site rentals, where travelers and vacationers pay for short-term stays at its RV resorts. The company may also earn income from selling and financing manufactured homes within its communities. Significant factors contributing to its earnings include a growing demand for affordable housing, strategic acquisitions of new properties, and the development of new communities to expand its portfolio.

Sun Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 05, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -0.46%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with significant achievements such as the successful Safe Harbor Marinas transaction and strong manufactured housing performance, offset by challenges in the transient RV business and a decrease in UK NOI. Financial flexibility and growth strategies offer a positive outlook, but the impact of macroeconomic uncertainties on certain segments remains a concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Successful Safe Harbor Marinas Transaction
The closing of the $5.65 billion Safe Harbor Marinas transaction marks a major milestone in Sun's strategic repositioning, enhancing financial flexibility and supporting long-term growth.
Debt Reduction and Financial Flexibility
Sun Communities executed debt reduction efforts, reducing the net debt-to-EBITDA target to 3.5x to 4.5x and establishing a new capital allocation plan.
Strong Manufactured Housing Performance
Manufactured Housing showed resilience with same-property NOI up 8.9% in Q1, driven by 7.3% revenue growth and a 150 basis point occupancy gain.
One-Time Cash Distribution and Dividend Increase
A one-time cash distribution of $4 per share will be paid, and the quarterly distribution will increase by 10.6% to $1.04 per share starting Q2 2025.
Negative Updates
Decline in Transient RV Business
Transient RV business experienced a 9.1% decline in same-property NOI due to macroeconomic uncertainty and reduced Canadian guests, impacting short-term revenue.
UK Same-Property NOI Decrease
UK same-property NOI decreased by $600,000 primarily due to higher payroll costs from national minimum wage increases and higher real estate taxes.
Lower RV Same-Property NOI Guidance
RV same-property NOI expectations were reduced to a range of down 3.5% to up 0.5% due to slower transient reservation pacing and short booking windows.
Company Guidance
In the first quarter of 2025, Sun Communities reported a strong performance, highlighted by a 5.8% year-over-year increase in core FFO per share to $1.26. The company successfully closed the $5.65 billion sale of Safe Harbor Marinas, which significantly enhanced financial flexibility and allowed for a capital allocation plan that included a new long-term net debt-to-EBITDA target of 3.5x to 4.5x. The MH segment showed resilience with a notable 8.9% increase in same-property NOI, driven by a 7.3% revenue growth and a 150 basis point occupancy gain. The RV segment faced challenges due to a 9.1% decline in same-property NOI, attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty and reduced Canadian guests. Sun Communities plans to deploy approximately $1 billion into 10/31 exchange accounts for tax-efficient acquisitions, aiming for high-quality manufactured housing opportunities. For full year 2025, the company provided core FFO per share guidance in the range of $6.43 to $6.63, reflecting operational assumptions and the impact of the Safe Harbor transaction.

Sun Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Sun Communities presents a generally healthy financial position with strong operational and cash flow metrics. While revenue growth and profitability margins are favorable, high leverage is a concern, potentially impacting financial flexibility. The stability in cash flow generation supports operations, but the low net profit margin and return on equity are areas for improvement to enhance shareholder value.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Sun Communities shows steady revenue growth with a TTM revenue of $2.99 billion, although there has been a slight decline from the previous year. The gross profit margin remains strong at 47.7% in the TTM period. However, the net profit margin is relatively low at 2.56%, indicating challenges in converting revenue into net income. Both EBIT and EBITDA margins show solid profitability at 17.26% and 35.2%, respectively, providing a stable operational performance.
Balance Sheet
62
Positive
The company's balance sheet reflects a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.06, suggesting significant leverage, which could pose financial risk. Return on equity is modest at 1.11%, indicating limited profit generation from shareholders' equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 41.93%, showing a reasonable proportion of equity financing compared to total assets, which adds some stability.
Cash Flow
74
Positive
Operating cash flow is robust at $862.4 million, contributing positively to a strong free cash flow. The operating cash flow to net income ratio stands at 11.24, highlighting a strong cash-generating ability relative to net income. The free cash flow to net income ratio is also robust, demonstrating effective cash management, although there has been minimal growth in free cash flow compared to previous periods.
BreakdownDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.20B3.18B2.93B2.26B1.39B
Gross Profit1.50B1.49B1.42B1.15B774.22M
EBITDA1.21B771.60M2.27B1.68B1.26B
Net Income89.00M-213.30M242.00M380.20M131.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets16.55B16.94B17.08B13.49B11.21B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments47.40M29.20M200.10M252.70M202.07M
Total Debt7.35B7.78B7.13B5.60B4.69B
Total Liabilities9.36B9.77B9.20B6.76B5.58B
Stockholders Equity7.08B7.08B7.81B6.62B5.53B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow861.00M790.50M734.90M753.60M543.29M
Operating Cash Flow861.00M790.50M734.90M753.60M543.29M
Investing Cash Flow-267.40M-919.50M-3.06B-2.34B-2.49B
Financing Cash Flow-571.60M80.30M2.35B1.57B2.00B

Sun Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price124.60
Price Trends
50DMA
123.52
Positive
100DMA
122.85
Positive
200DMA
121.71
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.42
Positive
RSI
46.91
Neutral
STOCH
19.85
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 124.6 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 126.44, above the 50-day MA of 123.52, and above the 200-day MA of 121.71, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.42 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 46.91 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.85 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for SUI.

Sun Communities Risk Analysis

Sun Communities disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sun Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sun Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
SUSUI
70
Neutral
$15.90B196.981.44%6.31%-6.88%-45.29%
UDUDR
70
Neutral
$13.25B111.863.40%4.30%2.35%-73.89%
UMUMH
68
Neutral
$1.40B149.693.45%5.32%8.01%
ESESS
68
Neutral
$18.70B26.8412.09%3.67%7.61%27.83%
ELELS
68
Neutral
$12.37B33.0322.87%3.33%0.69%5.67%
CPCPT
68
Neutral
$16.15B104.982.47%3.68%0.56%-73.40%
63
Neutral
$6.98B18.44-1.93%6.77%4.67%-25.44%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUI
Sun Communities
124.60
5.43
4.56%
ELS
Equity Lifestyle
61.75
-4.08
-6.20%
UMH
Umh
16.91
0.29
1.74%
ESS
Essex Property
287.02
11.88
4.32%
UDR
UDR
40.64
0.80
2.01%
CPT
Camden Property
114.15
5.37
4.94%

Sun Communities Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sun Communities Highlights Strategic Focus on MH and RV
Positive
Jun 2, 2025

On June 2, 2025, Sun Communities, Inc. released an investor presentation highlighting its strategic focus on MH and RV communities, following the sale of its Safe Harbor Marina properties. This move aims to simplify the company’s business strategy, improve its financial profile, and increase its exposure to annual income streams. The company anticipates that this transaction will enhance margins, improve overhead efficiency, and strengthen its balance sheet, positioning it as a ‘pure play’ MH and RV operator.

The most recent analyst rating on (SUI) stock is a Buy with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Communities stock, see the SUI Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Sun Communities Holds Annual Shareholders Meeting
Neutral
May 15, 2025

Sun Communities held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 13, 2025, where shareholders voted on several key proposals. The election of nine directors was confirmed, with each director set to serve until the 2026 Annual Meeting. Additionally, shareholders approved the non-binding advisory vote on executive compensation, ratified the selection of Grant Thornton LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved an amendment to extend the term of the company’s 2015 Equity Incentive Plan to December 31, 2035.

The most recent analyst rating on (SUI) stock is a Buy with a $147.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Sun Communities stock, see the SUI Stock Forecast page.

M&A TransactionsStock BuybackDividendsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Sun Communities Sells Safe Harbor Marinas to Blackstone
Positive
May 6, 2025

On April 30, 2025, Sun Communities, Inc. completed the initial closing of the sale of its Safe Harbor Marinas business to an affiliate of Blackstone Infrastructure for approximately $5.25 billion. This transaction aligns with Sun’s strategy to focus on its core MH and RV portfolio, enhancing its financial flexibility and leverage profile. The proceeds will be used to repay debt, fund future acquisitions, and return capital to shareholders through a special cash distribution and a stock repurchase program. The company also announced plans to redeem $950 million of outstanding unsecured senior notes and declared a special one-time cash distribution of $4.00 per share.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 03, 2025