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Sun Communities (SUI)
NYSE:SUI

Sun Communities (SUI) AI Stock Analysis

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SUI

Sun Communities

(NYSE:SUI)

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Outperform 70 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:70Outperform
Price Target:
$150.00
â–²(19.46% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:03/10/26
The score is primarily driven by mixed financial performance (solid cash generation and improved leverage, but volatile earnings and recent revenue softness). Technical momentum and an attractive valuation (low P/E and high yield) provide meaningful support, while the earnings call was constructive but tempered by RV transient and UK cost headwinds; leadership updates are a modest positive.
Positive Factors
High recurring rental income & occupancy
A rental-driven portfolio with very high manufactured-housing occupancy creates durable, predictable cash flows and low churn. High site occupancy and rental NOI concentration support steady FFO, dividend coverage, and the ability to modestly increase rents over time, underpinning long-term resilience.
Negative Factors
Revenue softness and volatile earnings quality
Material swings in top-line and reliance on non-operating gains undermine the reliability of reported earnings. When core revenue and cash-backed earnings diverge, forecasting FFO and dividend sustainability becomes harder, increasing execution risk for growth investments and payout commitments over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
High recurring rental income & occupancy
A rental-driven portfolio with very high manufactured-housing occupancy creates durable, predictable cash flows and low churn. High site occupancy and rental NOI concentration support steady FFO, dividend coverage, and the ability to modestly increase rents over time, underpinning long-term resilience.
Read all positive factors

Sun Communities (SUI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Sun Communities Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Sun Communities, Inc. is a REIT that, as of March 31, 2022, owned, operated, or had an interest in a portfolio of 603 developed MH, RV and marina properties comprising nearly 159,300 developed sites and over 45,700 wet slips and dry storage spaces...
How the Company Makes Money
Sun Communities generates revenue primarily through the leasing of residential lots within its manufactured housing and RV communities. Key revenue streams include rental income from long-term residents who lease lots for their manufactured homes,...

Sun Communities Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Feb 25, 2026
(Q4-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Apr 27, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized strong operational execution, beat-to-guidance results, meaningful balance sheet improvement, sizable capital returns, and continued strategic investments in technology and operations. These positives are tempered by near-term challenges in the RV transient business, UK expense/macro pressures (including minimum wage impacts), and conservative 2026 guidance that excludes incremental acquisitions or buybacks. Overall, management presents a constructive, disciplined growth strategy with clear remediation plans for underperforming areas.
Positive Updates
FFO Per Share Beats Guidance
Core FFO per share was $1.40 for Q4 (beat the high end of guidance by $0.10) and $6.68 for full-year 2025 (beat the high end by $0.01). 2026 full-year core FFO per share guidance midpoint is $6.93 (range $6.83–$7.03) with Q1 2026 guided to $1.28.
Negative Updates
RV Segment Pressure and Full-Year Decline
RV same-property NOI declined 1.4% for the full year 2025 (within guidance). Transient RV revenue fell ~9% in 2025 year-over-year, and 2026 guidance assumes a ~1.5% decline in transient revenue at the midpoint. 2026 RV same-property NOI growth is modestly guided to ~0.9% (midpoint).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Negative
FFO Per Share Beats Guidance
Core FFO per share was $1.40 for Q4 (beat the high end of guidance by $0.10) and $6.68 for full-year 2025 (beat the high end by $0.01). 2026 full-year core FFO per share guidance midpoint is $6.93 (range $6.83–$7.03) with Q1 2026 guided to $1.28.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided full-year 2026 core FFO per share to a $6.93 midpoint (range $6.83–$7.03) and Q1 2026 to $1.28 at the midpoint; they forecast North American same‑property NOI growth of ~4.5% (manufactured housing +5.9%, RV +0.9%) and UK same‑property NOI of ~2.2%, with FFO from UK home sales ~ $50M at the midpoint. Key operating assumptions include ~5% MH rent growth, MH occupancy gains of ~500–600 sites (MH occupancy ~98.1%), ~4% annual RV rent growth, ~600 transient-to-annual RV conversions, and transient RV revenue down ~1.5% at the midpoint (improving from a 9% decline in 2025). Guidance reflects completed acquisitions/dispositions and capital markets activity through Feb. 24, does not assume future acquisitions or share repurchases, and sits alongside a strong balance sheet (year‑end cash ~$636M, net debt/EBITDA 3.4x; long‑term leverage target 3.5x–4.5x).

Sun Communities Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Stable, consistently positive operating cash flow and improved 2025 leverage are positives, but revenue has recently flattened/declined and reported profitability is highly volatile with signs of non-operating items influencing results and weaker cash-to-earnings coverage in 2025.
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
66
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.31B3.20B3.18B2.93B2.26B
Gross Profit213.50M1.50B1.49B1.42B1.15B
EBITDA683.80M1.10B771.60M1.11B1.10B
Net Income1.37B89.00M-213.30M242.00M380.20M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets12.52B16.55B16.94B17.08B13.49B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments636.10M47.40M29.20M200.10M252.70M
Total Debt1.83B7.35B7.78B7.13B5.60B
Total Liabilities5.33B9.36B9.77B9.20B6.76B
Stockholders Equity7.07B7.08B7.08B7.81B6.62B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow864.20M888.80M807.90M752.20M770.50M
Operating Cash Flow864.20M888.80M807.90M752.20M770.50M
Investing Cash Flow4.93B-295.20M-935.00M-3.08B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow-5.22B-571.60M78.40M2.35B1.57B

Sun Communities Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price125.57
Price Trends
50DMA
130.30
Negative
100DMA
127.75
Negative
200DMA
126.40
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.08
Positive
RSI
30.02
Neutral
STOCH
3.88
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For SUI, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 125.57 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 133.18, below the 50-day MA of 130.30, and below the 200-day MA of 126.40, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.08 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 30.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 3.88 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for SUI.

Sun Communities Risk Analysis

Sun Communities disclosed 41 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Sun Communities reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Sun Communities Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$12.45B31.3722.12%3.29%0.61%2.42%
70
Outperform
$15.47B11.2719.27%6.34%-20.69%330.60%
69
Neutral
$15.98B25.0812.02%3.98%6.92%53.76%
68
Neutral
$14.45B36.367.64%4.42%0.91%6.55%
66
Neutral
$10.00B26.266.35%3.81%7.63%23.16%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$13.39B19.028.50%3.90%1.41%-21.93%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
SUI
Sun Communities
125.57
3.09
2.52%
ELS
Equity Lifestyle
62.11
-2.36
-3.67%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
120.57
-40.06
-24.94%
ESS
Essex Property
239.61
-58.31
-19.57%
CPT
Camden Property
96.96
-21.82
-18.37%
AMH
American Homes
27.48
-8.91
-24.48%

Sun Communities Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sun Communities Names John McLaren Chief Operating Officer
Positive
Mar 9, 2026
On March 9, 2026, Sun Communities, Inc. appointed its current president, John B. McLaren, as chief operating officer, expanding his remit to direct oversight of the operations team and marking a return to a role he previously held from 2008 to 202...
Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Sun Communities Issues 2026 Outlook and Risk Update
Neutral
Feb 25, 2026
Sun Communities, Inc., a real estate investment trust listed on the NYSE under the ticker SUI, is a leading owner and operator of manufactured housing and recreational vehicle communities, as well as UK holiday parks. As of December 31, 2025, the ...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sun Communities Names Interim CFO Amid Leadership Transition
Neutral
Feb 10, 2026
On February 4, 2026, Sun Communities appointed former long-time finance executive Fernando Castro-Caratini as interim Chief Financial Officer, Executive Vice President, Secretary and Treasurer, while launching a broad search for a permanent CFO. C...
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Sun Communities Appoints New Chief Financial Officer
Positive
Dec 16, 2025
On December 16, 2025, Sun Communities announced the appointment of Mark E. Patten as Chief Financial Officer, effective January 5, 2026, succeeding Fernando Castro-Caratini, who will transition to an advisory role. Patten brings over 35 years of e...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Mar 10, 2026