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UDR (UDR)
NYSE:UDR

UDR (UDR) AI Stock Analysis

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UD

UDR

(NYSE:UDR)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$45.00
â–²(7.27%Upside)
UDR's overall stock score reflects solid financial performance with strong cash flows and supportive shareholder actions. However, high valuation metrics and mixed technical indicators underscore potential risks. The positive earnings call and strategic initiatives position the company for growth, though market challenges remain.
Positive Factors
Blended Rates
Blended rates are projected to accelerate to 2.5%, aligning with positive trends in the sector.
Insurance Expenses
Insurance expenses are expected to decrease by 5.5%, potentially boosting financial performance.
Occupancy
UDR achieved a solid occupancy rate of 97.2%, reflecting strong momentum and a significant improvement in the apartment sector.
Negative Factors
Investment Income
UDR did not record any income from its investment in 4Q24 and anticipates reduced income from this investment, impacting net income and FFOA negatively.
Joint Venture Impact
A non-cash headwind to FFO is expected from UDR's joint venture investment, presenting a slight negative impact.
Lease Decleration
There is uncertainty regarding potential lease decleration, raising questions about future performance.

UDR (UDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UDR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), an S&P 500 company, is a leading multifamily real estate investment trust with a demonstrated performance history of delivering superior and dependable returns by successfully managing, buying, selling, developing and redeveloping attractive real estate communities in targeted U.S. markets. As of September 30, 2020, UDR owned or had an ownership position in 51,649 apartment homes including 1,031 homes under development. For over 48 years, UDR has delivered long-term value to shareholders, the best standard of service to Residents and the highest quality experience for Associates.
How the Company Makes MoneyUDR generates revenue primarily through the rental income from its portfolio of apartment communities. The company owns and operates a diverse range of multifamily properties, which allows it to collect rent from tenants on a monthly basis. Additionally, UDR may engage in property development and redevelopment projects, which can provide additional income streams through property sales or increased rental rates after improvements. The company's revenue is also influenced by its strategic locations in high-demand markets, which can lead to higher occupancy rates and rental pricing power. Partnerships with local developers, property managers, and financial institutions can further enhance UDR's ability to generate earnings through enhanced property management and operational efficiencies.

UDR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 0.17%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected a strong start to 2025 with positive trends in same-store revenue and NOI growth, driven by operational initiatives and market dynamics. However, challenges in certain markets, particularly the Sunbelt and Philadelphia, and negative new lease rate growth highlight areas of concern.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Start to 2025
UDR reported better-than-expected first-quarter same-store revenue growth of 2.6% and NOI growth of 2.8%, driven by lower resident turnover, higher occupancy, and improving pricing power.
Record Low Resident Turnover
Annualized resident turnover was more than 300 basis points below the prior year period and nearly 700 basis points better than the first quarter average over the last 10 years.
High Occupancy Rates
Occupancy averaged 97.2% in the first quarter, which is higher than the historical first-quarter average and 40 basis points higher sequentially versus the fourth quarter.
Operational and Innovation Initiatives
UDR's customer experience project and value-add initiatives have driven high single-digit growth and added 50 or more basis points annually to same-store NOI growth.
Favorable Market Dynamics
Demand outpaces supply in many markets, with the pace of new supply slowing and renting being 60% more affordable than owning a home in UDR’s markets.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Sunbelt Markets
Sunbelt markets, comprising roughly 25% of NOI, lag coastal markets due to elevated levels of new supply, with first-quarter blended lease rate growth at negative 2.5%.
Negative New Lease Rate Growth
New lease rate growth was approximately negative 3% in the first quarter, although it improved sequentially.
Philadelphia Asset Challenges
UDR increased investment in a Philadelphia property by acquiring the senior loan, but occupancy challenges continue due to a difficult submarket.
Company Guidance
During UDR's first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reaffirmed its full-year guidance due to strong performance metrics, including a 2.6% same-store revenue growth and a 2.8% NOI growth, which exceeded initial expectations. Key operating metrics showed positive momentum with lower resident turnover at 32%, which was over 300 basis points lower than the previous year, occupancy averaging 97.2%, and improved pricing power with a 0.9% blended lease rate growth. The company also highlighted a robust balance sheet with substantial liquidity, supporting strategic growth through innovation, capital deployment, and strong market fundamentals. Management noted that demand for multifamily housing remained strong, with nearly 140,000 apartment homes absorbed in the first quarter, and they are optimistic about continued growth despite potential macroeconomic uncertainties.

UDR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UDR showcases solid financial health with strong cash flows and an improved capital structure. However, the declining net profitability and reduced equity are areas of concern that require attention.
Income Statement
75
Positive
The income statement reveals stable revenue growth with a solid Gross Profit Margin of approximately 68.6% for 2024, albeit a declining EBIT Margin. The Net Profit Margin has decreased significantly to around 5.1% from previous years, indicating potential profitability challenges. EBITDA Margin remains strong at 34.5%, showcasing operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet shows a healthy equity ratio of 31.6% for 2024, providing a solid capital structure. The Debt-to-Equity Ratio has improved significantly due to the absence of debt, reducing financial risk. However, the decline in Stockholders' Equity and the overall reduction in Total Assets are areas of concern.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis is strong with a robust Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio of over 10, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income. Free Cash Flow has shown significant growth, and the absence of capital expenditures enhances Free Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio, demonstrating strong cash management.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
1.68B1.67B1.63B1.52B1.29B1.24B
Gross Profit
589.06M1.15B1.08B331.03M228.04M214.62M
EBIT
328.00M284.57M635.01M250.81M267.97M150.80M
EBITDA
1.03B978.35M1.35B914.63M755.50M750.59M
Net Income Common Stockholders
123.16M89.58M444.35M86.92M150.02M64.27M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
1.41M1.33M2.92M1.19M967.00K1.41M
Total Assets
9.64B10.90B11.37B11.04B10.78B9.64B
Total Debt
5.17B6.01B5.98B6.00B5.61B5.17B
Net Debt
5.17B6.01B5.98B6.00B5.60B5.17B
Total Liabilities
5.52B6.44B6.42B6.10B6.00B5.52B
Stockholders Equity
3.23B3.44B3.99B4.10B3.44B3.23B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
593.51M605.16M520.32M584.06M497.44M430.20M
Operating Cash Flow
869.92M876.85M832.66M820.07M663.96M604.32M
Investing Cash Flow
-281.44M-276.35M-289.14M-929.53M-1.27B-460.84M
Financing Cash Flow
-587.13M-599.94M-538.85M111.23M612.54M-152.59M

UDR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price41.95
Price Trends
50DMA
41.51
Positive
100DMA
42.04
Negative
200DMA
42.60
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.10
Negative
RSI
54.88
Neutral
STOCH
82.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UDR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 41.95 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.21, above the 50-day MA of 41.51, and below the 200-day MA of 42.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.10 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.88 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 82.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UDR.

UDR Risk Analysis

UDR disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UDR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UDR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
AVAVB
78
Outperform
$28.92B25.309.67%3.31%5.61%19.66%
CPCPT
76
Outperform
$16.39B108.092.47%3.48%0.56%-73.40%
EQEQR
75
Outperform
$26.60B27.319.01%3.92%3.91%8.78%
UDUDR
66
Neutral
$13.61B114.913.40%4.11%2.35%-73.89%
ESESS
63
Neutral
$18.61B26.7112.09%3.50%7.61%27.83%
61
Neutral
$2.85B10.960.41%8438.88%5.73%-21.25%
MAMAA
57
Neutral
$18.00B31.209.37%3.95%1.55%0.73%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UDR
UDR
41.95
4.23
11.21%
AVB
AvalonBay
207.97
16.95
8.87%
EQR
Equity Residential
70.00
6.88
10.90%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
151.86
20.24
15.38%
ESS
Essex Property
287.87
31.21
12.16%
CPT
Camden Property
118.11
15.58
15.20%

UDR Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
UDR Shareholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Positive
May 20, 2025

UDR, Inc. held its Annual Meeting of Shareholders on May 15, 2025, where shareholders voted on key proposals including the election of nine directors, approval of executive compensation, and ratification of Ernst & Young LLP as the independent accounting firm for 2025. All directors were elected, and all proposals were approved, indicating strong shareholder support for the company’s governance and strategic decisions.

The most recent analyst rating on (UDR) stock is a Buy with a $43.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UDR stock, see the UDR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
UDR Announces New Investor Information Release
Neutral
May 5, 2025

UDR has announced that information included in Exhibit 99.1 will be available to investors starting May 5, 2025. This information is being shared under Item 7.01 and is not considered filed under Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor incorporated by reference into the company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.