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UDR (UDR) (UDR)
NYSE:UDR

UDR (UDR) AI Stock Analysis

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UDR

UDR

(NYSE:UDR)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$40.00
â–²(7.18% Upside)
The score is primarily supported by strong cash flow and generally solid fundamentals with low leverage, plus a constructive (though not breakout) technical setup. Offsetting factors are a stretched valuation (very high P/E) and a mixed near-term demand backdrop from the latest earnings call (rent growth deceleration and Sunbelt weakness), despite raised FFOA guidance.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
UDR's ability to exceed revenue growth expectations indicates strong demand for its properties and effective management strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Cash Flow Generation
Strong cash flow generation enhances UDR's capacity to invest in new projects, reduce debt, and return value to shareholders, underpinning sustainable growth.
Occupancy Rates
High occupancy rates reflect effective property management and strong market demand, ensuring steady rental income and financial stability.
Negative Factors
Challenges in Sunbelt Markets
Persistent challenges in Sunbelt markets could pressure UDR's revenue growth and profitability, impacting overall financial performance.
Pressure on New Lease Growth
Slower new lease growth in certain regions may limit UDR's ability to capitalize on market opportunities, affecting future revenue potential.
Low Return on Equity
A low return on equity indicates inefficiencies in generating profits from shareholder investments, which could hinder long-term value creation.

UDR (UDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UDR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionUDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), an S&P 500 company, is a leading multifamily real estate investment trust with a demonstrated performance history of delivering superior and dependable returns by successfully managing, buying, selling, developing and redeveloping attractive real estate communities in targeted U.S. markets. As of September 30, 2020, UDR owned or had an ownership position in 51,649 apartment homes including 1,031 homes under development. For over 48 years, UDR has delivered long-term value to shareholders, the best standard of service to Residents and the highest quality experience for Associates.
How the Company Makes MoneyUDR generates revenue primarily through the leasing of residential units within its apartment communities. The company's revenue model is largely based on rental income from tenants, which provides a steady cash flow. Additionally, UDR may earn income from ancillary services such as parking fees, pet fees, and other service-related charges. The company also benefits from property appreciation and strategic property management, which enhances its overall portfolio value. Significant partnerships with local businesses and service providers can further contribute to its earnings by offering residents exclusive deals and amenities, thereby increasing tenant satisfaction and retention rates.

UDR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Homes by Geography
Total Homes by Geography
Shows the distribution of UDR's property portfolio across different regions, highlighting areas of strategic focus and potential exposure to regional market trends.
Chart InsightsUDR's strategic focus on the Northeast and Southwest regions is evident, with notable increases in total homes, particularly in the Northeast where a recent surge aligns with strong same-store revenue growth. The earnings call highlighted challenges in the Sunbelt markets, which may explain the stable but unremarkable growth in the Southeast. Despite these challenges, UDR's overall performance remains robust, bolstered by strong lease rate growth and reduced resident turnover, positioning the company well for future expansion.
Data provided by:The Fly

UDR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mixed sentiment with solid financial performance, strong balance sheet management, and strategic initiatives in place. However, challenges such as deceleration in rent growth and underperformance in certain markets tempered the overall positive outlook.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Full Year FFOA Guidance Raised
UDR raised its full year FFOA per share guidance for the second time this year to a range of $2.53 to $2.55, reflecting a midpoint improvement of 1% compared to prior guidance.
Strong Same-Store Revenue and NOI Growth
Third quarter same-store revenue and NOI growth exceeded consensus expectations at 2.6% and 2.3%, respectively.
Annualized Resident Turnover Improvement
Annualized resident turnover improved by nearly 300 basis points compared to the prior year period, contributing positively to revenue and expense outcomes.
Successful Balance Sheet and Liquidity Management
UDR maintained a strong balance sheet with more than $1 billion in liquidity and a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5x.
Continued Innovation in Operations
UDR's operational innovations, including a customer experience project, have led to improvements in resident retention and margin expansion.
Strategic Acquisition in Northern Virginia
UDR entered into an agreement to acquire a 406-apartment home community in Northern Virginia for $147 million, expected to enhance long-term cash flow.
Negative Updates
Broad Deceleration in Rent Growth
The apartment industry experienced a broad deceleration in rent growth due to employment uncertainty, lower consumer confidence, and high levels of supply.
Sunbelt Markets Underperformance
Sunbelt markets lagged with third quarter same-store revenue growth slightly negative due to elevated levels of new supply and economic uncertainty.
Blended Lease Rate Growth Below Expectations
Blended lease rate growth decelerated to 0.8%, below prior expectations due to economic uncertainty, with new lease rate growth at negative 2.6%.
Challenges in East Coast and West Coast Markets
Some cautious indicators emerged in Boston and Washington, D.C. due to a slowdown in job growth, impacting blended lease rate growth.
Company Guidance
During UDR Inc.'s Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided a comprehensive overview of its financial performance and strategic guidance. With a focus on growth, UDR reported a year-over-year same-store revenue growth of 2.6% and NOI growth of 2.3%, exceeding consensus expectations. Despite a deceleration in rent growth across the apartment industry, UDR raised its full-year FFOA per share guidance for the second time, now ranging between $2.53 and $2.55. The company's strategy emphasizes leveraging its data-driven analytics platform to enhance capital allocation, with recent acquisitions aiming to drive yield expansion. UDR's commitment to operational innovation is reflected in its successful customer experience project, contributing to industry-leading resident retention and margin expansion. The company also highlighted its strong balance sheet, maintaining $1 billion in liquidity and a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5x. Looking forward, UDR remains optimistic about long-term fundamentals, focusing on maximizing cash flow and shareholder value.

UDR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
UDR demonstrates strong financial performance with significant revenue growth and robust cash flow generation. The company maintains a low leverage position, reducing financial risk, although there is potential to improve return on equity. The income statement reflects improved profitability, while the balance sheet and cash flow statements indicate financial stability and efficient cash management.
Income Statement
UDR's income statement shows a strong performance with a significant revenue growth rate of 69.2% TTM, indicating robust expansion. The gross profit margin is moderate at 26.9%, while the net profit margin has improved to 11.7% TTM, reflecting enhanced profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 21.7% and 75.0% TTM, respectively, showcasing operational efficiency. However, the gross profit margin is relatively low compared to industry standards, which could be a concern.
Balance Sheet
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 TTM, indicating low leverage and reduced financial risk. The return on equity is modest at 4.4% TTM, suggesting room for improvement in generating returns for shareholders. The equity ratio stands at 30.9% TTM, showing a solid equity base. Despite the low leverage, the return on equity could be enhanced to improve overall financial performance.
Cash Flow
UDR's cash flow statement is strong, with a free cash flow growth rate of 37.1% TTM, highlighting excellent cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 9.55 TTM, indicating efficient cash conversion. The free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.68 TTM further supports the company's ability to generate cash relative to its net income. The strong cash flow metrics provide a solid foundation for future investments and debt servicing.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.70B1.67B1.63B1.52B1.29B1.24B
Gross Profit636.90M417.01M392.52M331.03M228.04M214.62M
EBITDA1.00B1.00B1.35B935.33M968.53M892.85M
Net Income149.76M89.58M444.35M86.92M150.02M64.27M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.60B10.90B11.37B11.04B10.78B9.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.19M1.33M2.92M1.19M967.00K1.41M
Total Debt6.01B6.01B5.98B5.68B5.61B5.17B
Total Liabilities6.45B6.44B6.42B6.10B6.00B5.52B
Stockholders Equity3.27B3.44B3.99B4.10B3.44B3.23B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow602.26M605.16M520.32M584.06M497.44M430.20M
Operating Cash Flow882.02M876.85M832.66M820.07M663.96M604.32M
Investing Cash Flow-202.82M-276.35M-289.14M-929.53M-1.27B-460.84M
Financing Cash Flow-678.50M-599.94M-538.85M111.23M612.54M-152.59M

UDR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price37.32
Price Trends
50DMA
35.44
Positive
100DMA
36.28
Positive
200DMA
38.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.39
Negative
RSI
61.92
Neutral
STOCH
80.03
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UDR, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 37.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 36.26, above the 50-day MA of 35.44, and below the 200-day MA of 38.22, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.39 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 61.92 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 80.03 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for UDR.

UDR Risk Analysis

UDR disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UDR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UDR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$15.27B45.045.79%3.90%1.41%-21.93%
71
Outperform
$16.22B29.369.41%4.42%0.91%6.55%
70
Outperform
$23.57B20.9410.55%4.52%4.78%24.74%
70
Outperform
$11.51B26.836.36%3.81%7.63%23.16%
69
Neutral
$19.53B85.404.41%4.81%2.38%17.42%
69
Neutral
$16.74B19.5415.30%3.98%6.92%53.76%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UDR
UDR
37.32
-2.33
-5.88%
EQR
Equity Residential
62.87
-3.52
-5.30%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
138.54
-5.60
-3.89%
ESS
Essex Property
256.95
-15.71
-5.76%
CPT
Camden Property
111.37
3.85
3.58%
AMH
American Homes
31.63
-2.57
-7.51%

UDR Corporate Events

Executive/Board Changes
UDR Expands Board With Appointment of Ellen Goitia
Positive
Jan 5, 2026

On January 5, 2026, UDR announced that it had appointed former KPMG audit leader and current Elme Communities trustee Ellen M. Goitia to its Board of Directors, effective January 1, 2026, expanding the board from nine to ten members as part of a long-term succession and director refreshment plan. Goitia, an independent director under NYSE standards, will sit on UDR’s Nominating and Governance Committee and Audit and Risk Management Committee, bringing more than three decades of accounting, finance, corporate governance and leadership experience that is expected to strengthen the board’s strategic oversight and risk management capabilities, with Ferguson Partners advising on the recruitment and UDR’s standard independent director compensation and indemnification arrangements applying to her role.

The most recent analyst rating on (UDR) stock is a Hold with a $37.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UDR stock, see the UDR Stock Forecast page.

Regulatory Filings and Compliance
UDR Announces New Investor Information Release
Neutral
Dec 8, 2025

UDR has announced that information included in Exhibit 99.1 will be available to investors starting December 8, 2025. This information is being provided in accordance with Item 7.01 and will not be considered as filed under the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor will it be incorporated by reference into the company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933.

The most recent analyst rating on (UDR) stock is a Hold with a $41.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UDR stock, see the UDR Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
UDR Appoints Richard B. Clark to Board
Neutral
Oct 7, 2025

On October 3, 2025, UDR, Inc. appointed Richard B. Clark to its Board of Directors, expanding the board to nine members as part of a long-term succession plan. Clark, a seasoned real estate executive with extensive experience in capital markets and property management, will serve on the Nominating and Governance Committee and the Audit and Risk Management Committee, following the departure of two long-tenured directors earlier in the year.

The most recent analyst rating on (UDR) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on UDR stock, see the UDR Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 06, 2026