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UDR (UDR)
NYSE:UDR
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UDR (UDR) AI Stock Analysis

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UDR

UDR

(NYSE:UDR)

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Outperform 77 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:
$41.00
â–²(16.21% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/05/26
UDR’s score is driven primarily by solid financial performance—especially strong cash generation and healthy recent margins—along with constructive technical momentum. Valuation is supported by a mid-teens P/E and a ~4.7% dividend yield. The earnings call was broadly constructive with maintained guidance and strong occupancy/renewals, but leverage and pockets of Sunbelt/regulatory risk temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
UDR’s recurring operations convert into sizable operating cash flow and TTM free cash flow that exceeds net income. Durable cash generation supports dividends, development funding, debt service and buybacks, giving multi-month financial flexibility and resilience in downturns.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage historically
Historic debt-to-equity in the mid-to-high single digits of leverage increases refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. Even with recent liquidity, elevated annual leverage constrains flexibility for acquisitions or shocks and raises structural funding risk over the next several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
UDR’s recurring operations convert into sizable operating cash flow and TTM free cash flow that exceeds net income. Durable cash generation supports dividends, development funding, debt service and buybacks, giving multi-month financial flexibility and resilience in downturns.
Read all positive factors

UDR (UDR) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

UDR Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
UDR, Inc. (NYSE: UDR), an S&P 500 company, is a leading multifamily real estate investment trust with a demonstrated performance history of delivering superior and dependable returns by successfully managing, buying, selling, developing and redeve...
How the Company Makes Money
UDR primarily makes money by generating rental and related property income from its multifamily apartment communities. The largest revenue stream is recurring monthly rent paid by residents under apartment leases; this is influenced by occupancy l...

UDR Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Total Homes by Geography
Total Homes by Geography
Shows the distribution of UDR's property portfolio across different regions, highlighting areas of strategic focus and potential exposure to regional market trends.
Chart InsightsUDR's strategic focus on geographic diversification is evident as the Northeast and Southwest regions show notable growth in total homes, likely driven by recent acquisitions. However, the Mid-Atlantic and West regions remain stable, reflecting cautious expansion. The earnings call highlights UDR's emphasis on leveraging data analytics for capital allocation, which aligns with the observed growth in targeted regions. Despite industry-wide rent growth deceleration, UDR's operational innovations and strategic acquisitions, such as in Northern Virginia, are poised to enhance long-term cash flow and shareholder value.
Data provided by:The Fly

UDR Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Apr 29, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a constructive operational and capital allocation story: strong occupancy, elevated resident retention and renewal growth, concrete capital market actions (dispositions, DPE repayments, share repurchases), liquidity in excess of $1 billion, and positive market outperformance in coastal metros (notably San Francisco and New York). Near-term headwinds include elevated weather-driven expenses, a modest sequential FFOA decline versus prior year, and softening in parts of the Sunbelt, together with regulatory uncertainty in select markets. On balance, management presented multiple offsetting positives and a clear plan to deploy capital accretively.
Positive Updates
Strong Occupancy and Resident Retention
Portfolio started the year with ~97% occupancy; Q1 occupancy in the mid-96% range. Resident retention at an all-time high and 300 basis points higher year-over-year; reported turnover of ~29% (substantially below historical averages).
Negative Updates
Elevated Same-Store Operating Expense Growth
Same-store expense growth was 4.4% in Q1, elevated by approximately $1.4 million of incremental winter-storm-related costs (snow removal, higher utilities). Management said normalizing for these items would improve expense performance by roughly 100 basis points.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Occupancy and Resident Retention
Portfolio started the year with ~97% occupancy; Q1 occupancy in the mid-96% range. Resident retention at an all-time high and 300 basis points higher year-over-year; reported turnover of ~29% (substantially below historical averages).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
UDR said it is maintaining its full‑year 2026 same‑store and earnings guidance after a solid start: Q1 results were in line with expectations (Q1 FFOA per share $0.62, at the midpoint), same‑store revenue +90 bps Y/Y, same‑store expense growth 4.4% (would be ~100 bps lower excluding ~$1.4M of storm-related costs), and resident retention at an all‑time high (300 bps above prior year) with renewal rate growth of 5.2% (up 70 bps Y/Y); the company began the year with occupancy ~97% and continues to expect Q2 blended lease rate growth of 1.5%–2.0%, occupancy in the mid‑96% range, and Q2 FFOA per share of $0.62–$0.64 (midpoint $0.63, ~2% sequential increase), noting the full‑year guide assumes first‑half blended lease growth will equal the second half and will be reassessed next quarter.

UDR Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Strong recent profitability and cash generation support the business (TTM net margin ~28.5%, EBITDA margin ~66.8%, and TTM free cash flow exceeding net income). Offsetting this, annual leverage appears elevated (debt-to-equity ~1.5–1.9) and profitability/returns show multi-year volatility, increasing downside risk in weaker operating environments.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Balance Sheet
64
Positive
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.72B1.71B1.67B1.63B1.52B1.29B
Gross Profit789.47M438.21M417.01M392.52M331.03M228.04M
EBITDA1.12B1.00B1.00B1.35B935.33M968.53M
Net Income490.81M377.70M89.58M444.35M86.92M150.02M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets10.33B10.61B10.90B11.37B11.04B10.78B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.30M36.93M1.33M2.92M1.19M967.00K
Total Debt5.85B6.19B6.01B5.98B5.68B5.61B
Total Liabilities7.05B6.46B6.44B6.42B6.10B6.00B
Stockholders Equity3.29B3.29B3.44B3.99B4.10B3.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow892.22M613.95M605.16M520.32M584.06M497.44M
Operating Cash Flow875.41M902.89M876.85M832.66M820.07M663.96M
Investing Cash Flow114.85M-150.99M-276.35M-289.14M-929.53M-1.27B
Financing Cash Flow-988.78M-750.39M-599.94M-538.85M111.23M612.54M

UDR Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price35.28
Price Trends
50DMA
35.73
Negative
100DMA
35.70
Negative
200DMA
36.05
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
55.83
Neutral
STOCH
55.58
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For UDR, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 35.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 34.09, below the 50-day MA of 35.73, and below the 200-day MA of 36.05, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 55.83 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 55.58 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for UDR.

UDR Risk Analysis

UDR disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. UDR reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

UDR Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$19.38B14.5614.90%4.81%2.15%312.38%
74
Outperform
$11.65B19.906.60%3.81%5.40%14.43%
72
Outperform
$24.56B61.678.71%4.52%4.66%-4.42%
72
Outperform
$17.51B36.7210.35%3.98%5.27%-14.94%
66
Neutral
$15.43B28.596.78%4.42%0.77%-31.36%
66
Neutral
$14.03B60.298.86%3.90%1.45%230.03%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
UDR
UDR
36.91
-3.72
-9.14%
EQR
Equity Residential
65.54
-2.32
-3.42%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
129.31
-27.13
-17.34%
ESS
Essex Property
263.55
-11.70
-4.25%
CPT
Camden Property
103.77
-10.51
-9.19%
AMH
American Homes
32.03
-4.84
-13.12%

UDR Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
UDR Expands Share Repurchase Authorization Signaling Capital Confidence
Positive
May 4, 2026
On May 4, 2026, UDR, Inc. announced that its board had expanded the company’s share repurchase capacity by authorizing an additional 25 million common shares, supplementing an existing program and bringing the total authorization to roughly ...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackDividendsFinancial Disclosures
UDR Initiates Monthly Dividend After Strong Quarterly Results
Positive
Apr 29, 2026
In the quarter ended March 31, 2026, UDR reported net income of $0.57 per diluted share, sharply higher than a year earlier and well above guidance, while FFO and FFO as Adjusted grew modestly and same-store NOI declined amid higher expenses. The ...
Business Operations and StrategyRegulatory Filings and Compliance
UDR Issues Investor Presentation Under Regulation FD Guidance
Neutral
Feb 27, 2026
UDR said that information contained in an investor presentation identified as Exhibit 99.1 will be made available to investors beginning on February 27, 2026. The company emphasized that this material is being furnished rather than filed under U.S...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
UDR Updates Capital Markets Agreements for Flexible Financing
Positive
Feb 20, 2026
On February 20, 2026, UDR, Inc. amended its at-the-market sales agreement for offerings of common stock, updating the definitions of its sales agents and forward purchasers and tying the program to a new shelf registration statement filed with the...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 05, 2026