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Camden Property (CPT)
NYSE:CPT
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Camden Property (CPT) AI Stock Analysis

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CPT

Camden Property

(NYSE:CPT)

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Neutral 67 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:67Neutral
Price Target:
$119.00
â–²(12.21% Upside)
Camden Property's overall score reflects strong earnings call insights and financial performance, tempered by technical analysis and valuation concerns. The company's robust demand and strategic positioning are positive, but high P/E ratio and market challenges in specific areas like Austin and Nashville pose risks.
Positive Factors
Strong Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth indicates Camden Property's effective market positioning and ability to capitalize on demand, supporting long-term financial health.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with manageable debt levels enhances financial stability and flexibility, allowing Camden Property to invest in growth opportunities.
High Resident Satisfaction
High resident satisfaction leads to better tenant retention and reduced vacancy rates, supporting stable rental income and long-term business success.
Negative Factors
Declining Net Profit Margin
A declining net profit margin suggests challenges in cost management or increased expenses, potentially impacting future profitability and cash flow.
Supply Challenges in Key Markets
Oversupply in key markets can pressure rental rates and occupancy, impacting revenue growth and competitive advantage in those regions.
Declining Free Cash Flow Growth
Reduced free cash flow growth limits Camden Property's ability to reinvest in new projects or manage debt, potentially hindering long-term expansion plans.

Camden Property (CPT) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Camden Property Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCamden Property Trust, an S&P 400 Company, is a real estate company primarily engaged in the ownership, management, development, redevelopment, acquisition, and construction of multifamily apartment communities. Camden owns interests in and operates 167 properties containing 56,850 apartment homes across the United States. Upon completion of 7 properties currently under development, the Company's portfolio will increase to 59,104 apartment homes in 174 properties. Camden has been recognized as one of the 100 Best Companies to Work For® by FORTUNE magazine for 13 consecutive years, most recently ranking #18. The Company also received a Glassdoor Employees' Choice Award in 2020, ranking #25 for large U.S. companies.
How the Company Makes MoneyCamden Property generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of apartment communities. The company leases residential units to tenants, and the rental income constitutes the bulk of its revenue. Additionally, CPT earns income from property management services, which may include managing properties for third-party owners. The company is also involved in property development, which can lead to increased revenue streams as new properties are built and leased. Significant factors contributing to Camden's earnings include its strategic focus on high-growth markets, a diversified portfolio of properties, and effective management of operational costs. Partnerships with various stakeholders, including local governments and housing authorities, may also enhance its ability to develop and manage properties successfully.

Camden Property Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Revenue by Category
Revenue by Category
Breaks down income sources, highlighting which segments contribute most to the company’s earnings and where growth opportunities or risks may lie.
Chart InsightsCamden Property's revenue from Same Property Communities shows consistent growth, reflecting strong demand and effective management strategies. However, Non-Same Property Communities revenue has fluctuated, possibly due to market challenges like those in Austin. Despite a decline in new lease rates, Camden's robust balance sheet and strategic positioning suggest resilience. The company's focus on improving resident satisfaction and retention, alongside anticipated rent growth, positions it well for future expansion, even as back-end loaded dispositions may temporarily impact financial results.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Camden Property Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 23, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong apartment demand, high resident satisfaction, and effective financial management, indicating positive trends. However, these were balanced by challenges related to flat rental rates, supply issues in key markets like Austin and Nashville, and short-term dilution from asset recycling.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Apartment Demand
Second quarter apartment demand was one of the best in 25 years with affordability continuing to improve. Wage growth exceeded rent growth for 31 months, expanding affordability and increasing demand.
Record Resident Satisfaction
Achieved highest customer sentiment score ever at 91.6, demonstrating strong resident retention and satisfaction.
Financial Performance and Guidance
Reported core FFO of $187.6 million or $1.70 per share, ahead of guidance. Increased full-year core FFO guidance by $0.03 per share to $6.81.
Balance Sheet Strength
Maintained strong balance sheet with net debt-to-EBITDA at 4.2x and no significant debt maturities until the fourth quarter of 2026.
Successful Asset Recycling
Purchased Camden Clearwater for $139 million and sold four older communities, generating an unlevered IRR of over 10%.
Negative Updates
Flat Rental Rates
Blended rental rate growth for the second quarter was only 0.7%, with new leases down 2.1% and renewals up 3.7%.
Supply Challenges in Key Markets
Austin and Nashville facing challenges due to oversupply, affecting lease-up rates and competitive positioning.
Dilution from Asset Recycling
Short-term dilution expected from asset recycling, impacting second-half financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Camden Property Trust Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided guidance indicating a strong performance in various metrics. Camden reported a second quarter occupancy rate averaging 95.6%, a slight increase from the first quarter's 95.4%, and expects this to remain stable for the year. They also shared a blended rental rate growth of 0.7% for the second quarter, showing improvement from previous quarters. For the full year 2025, Camden anticipates core funds from operations (FFO) to reach $6.81 per share, an increase from prior guidance due to lower property tax expenses and improved property revenues, despite the peak lease-up competition. Additionally, Camden projects a 4% rent growth in 2026, accelerating to 5% in 2027 and beyond, as new supply peaks and demand remains robust. The company remains confident in its strong balance sheet with a net debt-to-EBITDA ratio of 4.2x and no significant debt maturities until late 2026.

Camden Property Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Camden Property demonstrates strong financial performance with consistent revenue growth and efficient operations. However, declining net profit margins and return on equity indicate challenges in profitability. Strong cash flow generation provides a cushion for reinvestment and debt servicing, but high capital expenditures may constrain free cash flow improvements.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Camden Property has demonstrated consistent revenue growth with a notable increase of approximately 8.85% from 2021 to 2022, stabilizing in recent years. The gross profit margin remains healthy at around 61.25% for TTM, indicating efficient cost management. However, net profit margin has shown volatility, dropping to 7.62% in TTM from a high of 28.73% in 2022, which is concerning. EBITDA margin is strong at 54.53% for TTM, suggesting solid operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with an equity ratio of 51.31% for TTM, indicating a balanced asset structure. The debt-to-equity ratio stands at 0.81, reflecting moderate leverage. However, there is a consistent increase in total debt over the years. Return on equity has decreased to 2.56% in TTM, down from 13.10% in 2022, indicating pressure on profitability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Camden Property has shown robust free cash flow growth, with a 9.36% increase from 2022 to 2023, despite a decrease in net income. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 6.66 for TTM, suggesting effective cash generation from operations. However, capital expenditures remain high, impacting free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.56B1.54B1.54B1.42B1.14B1.04B
Gross Profit954.88M944.51M957.68M893.56M695.71M620.86M
EBITDA893.28M885.60M1.12B840.05M832.26M589.24M
Net Income155.98M163.29M403.31M653.61M303.91M123.91M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets9.12B8.85B9.38B9.33B7.98B7.20B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments33.09M21.05M259.69M10.69M613.39M420.44M
Total Debt3.83B3.49B3.72B3.68B3.17B3.17B
Total Liabilities4.46B4.10B4.33B4.27B3.71B3.68B
Stockholders Equity4.59B4.68B4.98B4.99B4.20B3.44B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow414.32M381.14M384.02M295.28M148.75M92.07M
Operating Cash Flow792.80M774.88M794.95M744.71M577.47M519.32M
Investing Cash Flow-658.21M-285.23M-127.13M-1.46B-804.39M-429.60M
Financing Cash Flow-191.94M-725.49M-417.21M109.93M421.37M307.32M

Camden Property Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price106.05
Price Trends
50DMA
109.30
Negative
100DMA
112.21
Negative
200DMA
113.45
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.68
Positive
RSI
40.23
Neutral
STOCH
21.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For CPT, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 106.05 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 109.04, below the 50-day MA of 109.30, and below the 200-day MA of 113.45, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.68 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.23 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 21.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for CPT.

Camden Property Risk Analysis

Camden Property disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Camden Property reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Camden Property Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
16.85B28.939.67%4.34%1.19%10.52%
73
Outperform
27.45B23.719.71%3.60%6.44%37.67%
69
Neutral
17.64B21.2714.20%3.81%7.56%54.15%
68
Neutral
24.88B24.939.19%4.32%4.49%5.87%
68
Neutral
12.28B96.693.97%4.66%2.29%-4.89%
67
Neutral
$15.17B74.813.30%3.88%0.76%-60.70%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
CPT
Camden Property
106.05
-13.41
-11.23%
AVB
AvalonBay
191.57
-26.53
-12.16%
EQR
Equity Residential
63.74
-7.33
-10.31%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
138.74
-12.94
-8.53%
ESS
Essex Property
263.66
-20.96
-7.36%
UDR
UDR
36.71
-6.46
-14.96%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 13, 2025