Beat on Core FFO and Q4 Results
Reported Q4 2025 core FFO of $193.1 million or $1.73 per share, $0.03 ahead of the midpoint of prior quarterly guidance; finished 2025 exceeding original core FFO guidance by $0.13 per share.
Same-Property Revenue Outperformance
Same-property revenue growth for 2025 was 76 basis points (0.76%), a 1 basis point beat to the midpoint of guidance.
Active Capital Recycling and Share Repurchases
2025 transaction activity: sold 7 older communities for $375 million and acquired 4 newer assets for $423 million; Q4 sales of $201 million and one acquisition of $85 million. Marketing 11 California operating communities with preliminary indications of $1.5–$2.0 billion; plan to reinvest ~60% via 1031 into Sunbelt and use ~$650 million for share repurchases (nearly $400 million already completed). Board approved a new $600 million repurchase authorization.
Portfolio Positioning and Supply Tailwind
Management notes new supply peaked in 2024; expected completions as % of inventory to fall from nearly 4% in 2024 to <2% in 2026 and ~1.5% in 2027, supporting improved operating conditions.
Guided Market Rent and Revenue Expectations
Projected market rent growth of ~2% for the portfolio in 2026 (weighted toward 2H); 2026 same-store revenue midpoint of 75 basis points, roughly in line with 2025.
Renewal Strength and Low Move-to-Purchase
Renewals up 2.8% in Q4; renewal offers for Q1 expirations averaged +3% to +3.5%. Move-outs to purchase homes were low at 9.6% in Q4 and 9.8% for full-year 2025.
Fee/Asset Management Outperformance in Q4
Q4 beat driven entirely by higher fee and asset management income from third-party construction business (closed several jobs well under budget); however, management expects less outperformance in 2026.
Development Cost Improvements
Construction and development costs are trending down, with management seeing approximately a 5%–8% reduction in costs versus prior peaks, improving future development economics.