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Essex Property (ESS)
NYSE:ESS
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Essex Property (ESS) AI Stock Analysis

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ESS

Essex Property

(NYSE:ESS)

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Outperform 72 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:72Outperform
Price Target:
$289.00
â–²(12.78% Upside)
Essex Property's strong financial performance and strategic focus on Northern California drive the score. Neutral technical indicators and valuation suggest a balanced outlook. Earnings call insights highlight regional strengths and challenges, influencing the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The robust revenue growth indicates strong demand for Essex's properties, enhancing its market position and supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Performance
Strong cash flow growth ensures Essex can fund operations, invest in new properties, and manage debt effectively, supporting sustainable growth.
Strategic Acquisitions
Strategic acquisitions in high-demand areas like Northern California enhance Essex's portfolio quality and potential for long-term rental income growth.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
High leverage, typical for REITs, can increase financial risk, potentially impacting Essex's ability to finance future growth or weather economic downturns.
Challenges in Key Markets
Underperformance in major markets like Southern California could limit Essex's revenue growth and affect overall profitability.
Structured Finance Headwinds
Anticipated reductions in Core FFO growth due to structured finance challenges may constrain Essex's financial flexibility and growth potential.

Essex Property (ESS) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Essex Property Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEssex Property Trust, Inc., an S&P 500 company, is a fully integrated real estate investment trust (REIT) that acquires, develops, redevelops, and manages multifamily residential properties in selected West Coast markets. Essex currently has ownership interests in 246 apartment communities comprising approximately 60,000 apartment homes with an additional 6 properties in various stages of active development.
How the Company Makes MoneyEssex Property generates revenue primarily through the rental income derived from its multifamily residential properties. The company leases apartment units to tenants, creating a steady stream of cash flow. Additionally, Essex benefits from other revenue streams such as ancillary income, which includes fees from services like parking, laundry facilities, and rental of retail spaces within its properties. The company may also engage in strategic property sales or refinancing activities to realize gains from its real estate investments. Significant partnerships with local developers and community organizations further enhance its ability to identify profitable investment opportunities and manage properties effectively, contributing to its overall earnings.

Essex Property Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Net Operating Income
Net Operating Income
Reflects the company's profitability from core operations, excluding non-operating items, providing insight into operational efficiency and financial health.
Chart InsightsEssex Property's Net Operating Income shows a steady recovery in the Same Property segment post-2020, with recent stability. Notably, acquisitions have surged, reflecting strategic reallocation to Northern California, as highlighted in their earnings call. This move aims to optimize returns amid macroeconomic uncertainties. Despite challenges in Southern California, the company maintains a strong balance sheet and liquidity, supporting its investment strategy. The cautious optimism in their earnings call suggests a focus on long-term growth, with modest rent growth expected in supply-constrained markets.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Essex Property Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 04, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced sentiment with strong performance in Northern California and strategic capital allocation offset by challenges in Seattle and Southern California, as well as structured finance headwinds.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Solid Third Quarter Performance
Core FFO per share exceeded the midpoint of guidance by $0.03 due to lower G&A and interest expenses. The midpoint for Core FFO per share was raised to $15.94.
Strong Northern California Market
Northern California was the best-performing region with close to 4% blended lease rate growth, benefiting from AI-related start-ups and positive migration trends.
Strategic Capital Allocation
Almost $1 billion of assets acquired in Northern California since 2024, achieving accretion relative to dispositions and improving the overall portfolio age.
Balance Sheet Strength
Managed debt maturities with a net debt to EBITDA of 5.5x and over $1.5 billion in available liquidity.
Negative Updates
Challenges in Seattle
Seattle's performance was at the low-end of expectations due to soft demand and supply temporarily limiting pricing power.
Southern California Drag
Southern California showed weaker performance, particularly in Los Angeles where blended lease rates were around 1%.
Structured Finance Headwinds
Heavy redemptions anticipated to reduce 2026 Core FFO growth by approximately 150 basis points.
Negative New Lease Growth in L.A.
New lease rates in Los Angeles were negative, around -2%, impacting overall regional performance.
Company Guidance
During Essex Property Trust's third quarter 2025 earnings call, the company provided updated guidance and highlighted key performance metrics. Essex reported a $0.03 increase in Core FFO per share, exceeding the midpoint of their guidance range. The company raised the full-year Core FFO per share midpoint to $15.94. Year-to-date, blended lease rate growth was 3% overall, with Northern California leading at approximately 4%, Southern California at around 1.2%, and Seattle in the middle at about 2%. Essex anticipates stable growth for 2026, with an earn-in between 80 to 100 basis points. The transaction market showed cap rates generally in the mid-4% range, and Essex continued to execute acquisitions, particularly in Northern California, with about $1 billion in assets acquired. The company also focused on reducing its structured finance portfolio, expecting a 150 basis point headwind to 2026 Core FFO growth due to redemptions. Essex emphasized its strong balance sheet, with a healthy net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.5x and over $1.5 billion in available liquidity.

Essex Property Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Essex Property demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and stable growth. The income statement reflects efficient operations, while the balance sheet shows a balanced capital structure. However, declining free cash flow growth is a potential concern that needs monitoring.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Essex Property shows a strong income statement with a solid gross profit margin of 52.07% and a net profit margin of 43.51% for TTM. The revenue growth rate is modest at 1.52% TTM, indicating stable growth. However, the decline in gross profit margin from previous periods suggests potential cost pressures. The EBIT and EBITDA margins remain robust, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
The balance sheet is stable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.21, indicating moderate leverage typical for the REIT industry. Return on equity is healthy at 14.44% TTM, showing effective use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio of 42.76% suggests a balanced capital structure, though slightly high leverage could pose risks if interest rates rise.
Cash Flow
80
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a decline in free cash flow growth by 124.4% TTM, which is concerning. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 1.37 indicates good cash generation relative to net income. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.86 suggests that not all earnings are translating into free cash flow, which could impact future investments.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.86B1.77B1.67B1.61B1.44B1.50B
Gross Profit1.12B1.21B1.14B1.11B1.21B1.28B
EBITDA1.53B1.63B1.19B1.20B1.50B1.61B
Net Income846.55M741.52M405.82M408.31M488.55M568.87M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.15B12.93B12.36B12.37B13.00B12.94B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments159.36M136.59M479.54M146.04M240.25M221.40M
Total Debt6.71B6.65B6.27B6.03B6.36B6.33B
Total Liabilities7.32B7.18B6.74B6.45B6.79B6.72B
Stockholders Equity5.63B5.54B5.42B5.72B5.99B6.00B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.12B931.91M839.69M812.46M784.06M713.02M
Operating Cash Flow1.15B1.07B980.06M975.65M905.26M803.11M
Investing Cash Flow-604.08M-973.05M-145.14M145.96M-397.40M-416.90M
Financing Cash Flow-555.50M-419.74M-477.27M-1.14B-533.26M-383.26M

Essex Property Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price256.26
Price Trends
50DMA
261.28
Negative
100DMA
266.49
Negative
200DMA
273.76
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-1.70
Negative
RSI
46.67
Neutral
STOCH
64.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For ESS, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 256.26 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 257.87, below the 50-day MA of 261.28, and below the 200-day MA of 273.76, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -1.70 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 46.67 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 64.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for ESS.

Essex Property Risk Analysis

Essex Property disclosed 62 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Essex Property reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Essex Property Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
72
Outperform
$17.36B19.8015.30%3.96%6.92%53.76%
70
Outperform
$22.74B19.9010.55%4.69%4.78%24.74%
67
Neutral
$17.40B54.595.99%4.17%6.82%27.91%
66
Neutral
$15.44B27.239.41%4.77%0.91%6.55%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$11.36B78.654.41%5.08%2.38%17.42%
63
Neutral
$14.35B70.763.30%4.21%0.76%-60.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
ESS
Essex Property
256.26
-37.68
-12.82%
EQR
Equity Residential
58.70
-11.95
-16.91%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
127.04
-25.69
-16.82%
UDR
UDR
33.77
-8.82
-20.71%
CPT
Camden Property
99.29
-18.08
-15.40%
INVH
Invitation Homes
27.81
-4.69
-14.43%

Essex Property Corporate Events

Essex Property Trust’s Earnings Call Highlights Mixed Sentiment
Nov 1, 2025

The recent earnings call of Essex Property Trust revealed a balanced sentiment among investors and analysts. The company showcased robust performance in Northern California and strategic capital allocation, which were counterbalanced by challenges in Seattle and Southern California, as well as headwinds in structured finance.

Essex Property Trust Reports Strong Q3 2025 Performance
Oct 31, 2025

Essex Property Trust, Inc., a real estate investment trust (REIT), specializes in acquiring, developing, and managing multifamily residential properties across the West Coast. In its third quarter of 2025, Essex Property Trust reported a significant increase in net income per diluted share, rising by 39.1% compared to the same period in 2024, primarily due to gains from real estate sales. The company also saw a modest growth in Core Funds from Operations (FFO) per diluted share by 1.5%, surpassing the midpoint of its guidance range. Additionally, Essex achieved a 2.7% growth in same-property revenue and a 2.4% increase in net operating income compared to the previous year. Strategic activities included the acquisition of a new apartment community in San Jose for $100 million and the sale of three communities for a total of $244.7 million. The company also raised its full-year guidance for net income and Core FFO per diluted share, reflecting a positive outlook for the remainder of the year. Looking forward, Essex Property Trust remains optimistic about its growth trajectory, as evidenced by its raised guidance and continued strategic investments in high-yield opportunities.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025