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Invitation Homes Inc (INVH)
NYSE:INVH
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Invitation Homes (INVH) AI Stock Analysis

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INVH

Invitation Homes

(NYSE:INVH)

Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$33.00
â–²(8.73% Upside)
Invitation Homes' overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, reflecting robust operational efficiency and strategic execution. However, the stock's technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and the high P/E ratio indicates overvaluation concerns. The recent corporate event positively impacts the company's financial stability, but challenges in key markets and moderate lease growth temper the outlook.
Positive Factors
Earnings performance
1Q25 earnings beat with better than expected blended rent spreads (+3.6%) and improving bad debt.
Occupancy and renewals
Higher occupancy and accelerating renewals should be viewed positively for INVH.
Valuation
INVH trades at an attractive relative valuation, with a discount to its long-term average and parity to all REITs.
Negative Factors
Lease growth
New lease growth deceleration suggests that the peak may have been earlier this year.
Lease growth comparison
The widening gap between INVH and AMH's new lease growth to about 200bps in May could raise concerns.

Invitation Homes (INVH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Invitation Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionInvitation Homes is the nation's premier single-family home leasing company, meeting changing lifestyle demands by providing access to high-quality, updated homes with valued features such as close proximity to jobs and access to good schools. The company's mission, Together with you, we make a house a home, reflects its commitment to providing homes where individuals and families can thrive and high-touch service that continuously enhances residents' living experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyInvitation Homes generates revenue primarily through rental income from its extensive portfolio of single-family homes. The company purchases homes, invests in renovations to enhance their appeal and functionality, and then leases them to tenants at competitive market rates. Additionally, Invitation Homes benefits from economies of scale in property management, allowing for efficient operations and reduced costs. The company also occasionally engages in home sales, contributing supplementary income. Its strategic partnerships with local real estate agents and contractors for property acquisition and management further enhance its operational efficiency and revenue generation capabilities.

Invitation Homes Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)

Any
Any
Average Monthly Rent
Average Monthly Rent
Shows the average rent collected per property, providing insight into revenue generation and pricing power in the rental market.
Chart InsightsInvitation Homes' average monthly rent has shown consistent growth, reflecting strong demand and effective pricing strategies. The latest earnings call highlights robust financial performance with high occupancy rates and strategic acquisitions. However, there are concerns about moderation in renewal rent growth and challenges in select markets like Phoenix, Texas, and Florida. Despite these challenges, the company's focus on disciplined capital allocation and sustainable growth positions it well for future expansion, though investors should watch for potential impacts from increased turnover during peak leasing seasons.
Data provided by:Main Street Data

Invitation Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 22, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflects a strong operational and financial performance with robust resident retention, strategic acquisitions, and solid revenue growth. However, the company faces challenges related to occupancy deceleration and pressure on new lease pricing due to increased market supply, particularly in key markets like Tampa and Central Florida.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Resident Retention and Renewal Rates
Average resident tenure was 40 months with a renewal rate approaching 80%, indicating strong resident satisfaction and retention.
Robust Acquisition Strategy
Acquired nearly 1,000 wholly owned homes, mostly newly built, and maintained a robust acquisition pipeline targeting yields with operational efficiencies.
Solid Revenue and NOI Growth
Core revenue growth of 2.4% year-over-year and NOI growth of 2.5% reflect effective cost controls and strategic rate optimization.
Financial Strength and Liquidity
Investment-grade rated balance sheet with $1.3 billion in unrestricted cash and a strong net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.3x.
Healthy Leasing Performance
Blended rent growth was 4%, with renewal rent growth at 4.7% and new leases at 2.2%.
Negative Updates
Occupancy Deceleration Expected
Occupancy guidance suggests a deceleration to around 96% later in the year, with challenges in maintaining high occupancy levels due to seasonal turnover and market supply.
Pressure from New Lease Pricing
Challenges in new lease pricing, particularly in markets with higher supply such as Tampa and Central Florida, with new lease growth at only 1.3% in July.
Market Supply Challenges
Increased supply, especially in Sunbelt markets, causing pressure on new lease growth and occupancy rates.
Company Guidance
During the Invitation Homes Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance on several key metrics. The average resident tenure was reported at 40 months, with a renewal rate nearing 80%, highlighting the quality of service and trust with residents. The company acquired nearly 1,000 wholly owned homes in the second quarter, aligning with their acquisition guidance of $500 million to $700 million for the year. They reported a 2.4% year-over-year growth in same-store core revenue, while core operating expenses increased by 2.2%, resulting in a net operating income growth of 2.5%. Blended rent growth was 4%, driven by a 4.7% increase in renewal rent growth and a 2.2% rise in new leases. The investment-grade balance sheet demonstrated robust liquidity with approximately $1.3 billion in unrestricted cash and undrawn capacity, maintaining a net debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA ratio of 5.3x. The company achieved a core FFO of $0.48 per share for the quarter, positioning them well within their full-year guidance range.

Invitation Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Invitation Homes exhibits strong financial health with consistent revenue growth, robust profitability, and efficient cash flow management. The balance sheet is stable with moderate leverage, and the company demonstrates solid operational efficiency. Overall, the financial statements reflect a well-managed company with a positive growth outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Invitation Homes shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.06% and consistent gross profit margins around 59%. The net profit margin has improved to 20.37% in TTM, indicating enhanced profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting efficient operations. Overall, the income statement reflects a healthy growth trajectory and profitability.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is stable at 0.85, indicating moderate leverage. Return on equity has improved to 5.58% in TTM, suggesting better utilization of equity. The equity ratio remains strong, showing a solid capital structure. The balance sheet is stable with manageable debt levels and improving returns.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Operating cash flow has increased, with a TTM coverage ratio of 1.33, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. Free cash flow growth is impressive at 1.32% in TTM, supporting financial flexibility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy at 0.80, showing efficient cash conversion. Overall, cash flow metrics demonstrate strong liquidity and operational efficiency.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue2.68B2.62B2.43B2.24B2.00B1.82B
Gross Profit1.58B1.55B1.46B1.36B1.22B1.08B
EBITDA1.64B1.54B1.53B1.33B1.18B1.10B
Net Income545.01M453.92M519.47M383.33M261.43M196.21M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets18.66B18.70B19.22B18.54B18.54B17.51B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments65.11M174.49M700.62M262.87M610.17M213.42M
Total Debt8.17B8.20B8.55B7.77B8.00B8.03B
Total Liabilities8.96B8.91B9.03B8.21B8.70B8.95B
Stockholders Equity9.67B9.76B10.16B10.29B9.80B8.50B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow898.28M862.41M885.99M815.52M744.83M524.43M
Operating Cash Flow1.13B1.08B1.11B1.02B907.66M696.71M
Investing Cash Flow-682.59M-465.87M-773.55M-814.41M-1.16B-425.16M
Financing Cash Flow-1.13B-1.09B110.02M-574.11M658.99M-146.03M

Invitation Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price30.35
Price Trends
50DMA
31.38
Negative
100DMA
32.43
Negative
200DMA
32.22
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.19
Negative
RSI
44.26
Neutral
STOCH
15.49
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For INVH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 30.35 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 30.50, below the 50-day MA of 31.38, and below the 200-day MA of 32.22, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.19 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 44.26 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 15.49 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for INVH.

Invitation Homes Risk Analysis

Invitation Homes disclosed 70 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Invitation Homes reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Invitation Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$17.08B29.319.58%4.18%1.19%10.52%
74
Outperform
$12.86B31.195.99%3.24%7.19%15.70%
71
Outperform
$15.37B75.773.30%3.77%0.76%-60.70%
69
Neutral
$18.59B67.615.65%3.80%4.41%-0.16%
69
Neutral
$24.45B24.499.20%4.17%4.49%5.87%
66
Neutral
$17.37B20.9514.40%3.80%7.56%54.15%
63
Neutral
$7.02B13.29-0.50%6.92%4.08%-25.24%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
INVH
Invitation Homes
30.35
-4.39
-12.64%
EQR
Equity Residential
65.59
-5.97
-8.34%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
144.00
-9.37
-6.11%
ESS
Essex Property
264.50
-23.61
-8.19%
CPT
Camden Property
110.34
-7.63
-6.47%
AMH
American Homes
34.62
-3.61
-9.44%

Invitation Homes Corporate Events

Private Placements and Financing
Invitation Homes Completes $600M Senior Notes Offering
Positive
Aug 15, 2025

On August 15, 2025, Invitation Homes Operating Partnership LP, a subsidiary of Invitation Homes Inc., completed a public offering of $600 million in senior notes due 2033, bearing interest at 4.950% per annum. This strategic financial maneuver is expected to bolster the company’s capital structure, potentially enhancing its market position and operational flexibility, while the notes are guaranteed by several subsidiaries, ensuring a robust backing for stakeholders.

The most recent analyst rating on (INVH) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invitation Homes stock, see the INVH Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board Changes
Invitation Homes President Resigns, CEO Assumes Role
Neutral
Jul 23, 2025

On July 20, 2025, Charles D. Young resigned as President of Invitation Homes Inc., effective September 1, 2025, to pursue other opportunities. The company’s CEO, Dallas B. Tanner, will take over the President’s responsibilities without any new compensatory arrangements, indicating a seamless transition without internal conflicts.

The most recent analyst rating on (INVH) stock is a Hold with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invitation Homes stock, see the INVH Stock Forecast page.

Shareholder Meetings
Invitation Homes Holds Annual Stockholders Meeting
Neutral
May 19, 2025

On May 15, 2025, Invitation Homes Inc. held its annual meeting of stockholders, where key decisions were made regarding the election of directors, ratification of the accounting firm, and executive compensation. Stockholders elected directors for a one-year term, ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent accounting firm, and approved executive compensation in a non-binding vote. Additionally, stockholders decided that the advisory vote on executive compensation should occur annually, aligning with the board’s recommendation.

The most recent analyst rating on (INVH) stock is a Hold with a $36.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Invitation Homes stock, see the INVH Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 16, 2025