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American Homes (AMH) AI Stock Analysis

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AMH

American Homes

(NYSE:AMH)

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Neutral 69 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:69Neutral
Price Target:
$35.00
â–²(9.38% Upside)
American Homes 4 Rent shows strong financial performance and positive earnings call sentiment, which are the most significant factors driving the score. However, technical analysis indicates bearish trends, and valuation suggests moderate overvaluation, which temper the overall score.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Consistent revenue growth indicates strong demand for rental properties and effective pricing strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Generation
Robust cash flow generation relative to earnings ensures liquidity and supports reinvestment in property acquisitions and renovations.
Balance Sheet Strength
A strong balance sheet with no near-term debt obligations enhances financial flexibility and reduces risk, allowing for strategic growth initiatives.
Negative Factors
Rising Debt Levels
Rising debt levels, if not managed carefully, could strain financial resources and limit the company's ability to invest in growth opportunities.
Decline in Free Cash Flow Growth
A significant decline in free cash flow growth may impact the company's ability to fund future investments and maintain operational flexibility.
Operational Efficiency Pressure
Declining EBITDA margins suggest increasing operational costs, which could pressure profitability if not addressed through cost management.

American Homes (AMH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmerican Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a leader in the single-family home rental industry and American Homes 4 Rent is fast becoming a nationally recognized brand for rental homes, known for high-quality, good value and tenant satisfaction. We are an internally managed Maryland real estate investment trust, or REIT, focused on acquiring, developing, renovating, leasing, and operating attractive, single-family homes as rental properties. As of September 30, 2020, we owned 53,229 single-family properties in selected submarkets in 22 states.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmerican Homes generates revenue primarily through rental income from its portfolio of single-family homes. The company acquires homes in strategic markets, renovates them to meet quality standards, and leases them to tenants, thus creating a steady cash flow from monthly rental payments. Additionally, AMH benefits from economies of scale in property management and maintenance, which helps to optimize operational costs. The company may also engage in ancillary revenue streams, such as lease-up fees and service fees related to property management. Significant partnerships with real estate brokers and investment firms can enhance its acquisition capabilities and investor outreach, contributing to overall earnings growth.

American Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 19, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflected strong financial performance, with notable growth in Core FFO and successful property tax appeals. However, challenges include tapering leasing activity and modest new lease spreads, alongside wide bid-ask spreads impacting acquisitions.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Core FFO Per Share Growth
Core FFO per share increased by 6.2% in Q3 2025, leading to an updated full-year guidance midpoint of $1.87, representing growth of 5.6%.
Same-Home Core Revenue Growth
Achieved Same-Home core revenue growth of 3.8% in Q3 2025, driven by strong occupancy and rental rate spreads.
Successful Property Tax Appeal
Achieved favorable property tax outcomes, resulting in expected full-year 2025 property tax growth in the high 2% area.
Portfolio Optimization and Capital Management
Successfully sold nearly 1,200 homes year-to-date and delivered 651 homes in Q3 2025, funded by internally generated cash and recycled capital.
100% Unencumbered Balance Sheet
Paid off final securitization, achieving a fully unencumbered balance sheet with no debt maturities until 2028.
Negative Updates
Tapering Leasing Activity
October saw a decrease in Same-Home Average Occupied Days to 95.1%, indicating a tapering of activity.
Modest New Lease Spreads
Preliminary new lease spreads were only 0.3% in October, balanced by 4% renewal rate growth.
Challenging Bid-Ask Spreads
Bid-ask spreads remain wide, impacting acquisition opportunities due to current cost of capital.
Deceleration in Same-Store Revenue Growth
Anticipated deceleration in Q4 2025 same-store revenue growth due to timing of leasing spreads and fee income.
Company Guidance
During the American Homes 4 Rent third quarter 2025 earnings call, several key metrics highlighted the company's strong performance and positive outlook. The company reported a 6.2% year-over-year growth in Core FFO per share, leading to an increased guidance midpoint of $1.87, representing a 5.6% growth. Same-Home core revenue grew by 3.8%, with an average occupancy of 95.9% and rental rate spreads of 2.5% for new leases, 4% for renewals, and a blended rate of 3.6%. Operating expenses were effectively managed, with Same-Home core operating expense growth held to 2.4%, resulting in a Same-Home Core NOI growth of 4.6%. The team successfully controlled property tax growth to the high 2% range for the year. The development program delivered 651 homes in the quarter, contributing to a net income attributable to common shareholders of $99.7 million, or $0.27 per diluted share. With a fully unencumbered balance sheet, AMH maintains a strong position to capitalize on market opportunities moving into 2026.

American Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
American Homes demonstrates solid financial health with strong revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet reflects a stable capital structure, though rising debt levels warrant attention. Cash flow generation is strong, but recent declines in free cash flow growth could affect future investments.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
American Homes shows strong revenue growth with a TTM increase of 1.93% and consistent gross profit margins around 56%. The net profit margin is healthy at 23.52%, indicating effective cost management. However, the slight decline in EBITDA margin from 63.37% in 2023 to 50.22% in TTM suggests some pressure on operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company maintains a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, reflecting a balanced approach to leverage. Return on equity is stable at 5.94%, showing consistent profitability. The equity ratio stands at 52.72%, indicating a solid capital structure. However, the increasing debt levels over the years could pose a risk if not managed carefully.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Operating cash flow to net income ratio is strong at 1.72, suggesting robust cash generation relative to earnings. However, free cash flow growth has declined significantly by 94.8% in TTM, which could impact future investment capabilities. The free cash flow to net income ratio remains healthy at 83.94%, indicating good cash conversion.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.80B1.73B1.62B1.49B1.30B1.17B
Gross Profit1.01B961.30M883.87M802.29M701.06M623.06M
EBITDA978.48M874.31M806.26M731.54M640.72M570.44M
Net Income426.52M412.43M380.17M273.14M189.09M140.37M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.59B13.38B12.69B12.18B10.96B9.59B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments323.26M199.41M59.38M69.16M48.20M137.06M
Total Debt5.17B5.03B4.48B4.54B3.90B2.86B
Total Liabilities5.75B5.53B5.04B5.00B4.22B3.12B
Stockholders Equity7.17B7.16B6.97B6.50B6.06B5.79B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow697.59M689.78M604.51M526.74M472.65M369.28M
Operating Cash Flow831.02M811.53M738.69M665.52M595.20M474.10M
Investing Cash Flow-946.37M-825.88M-692.58M-1.43B-1.73B-642.92M
Financing Cash Flow-300.09M142.70M-42.21M786.18M1.06B269.78M

American Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price32.00
Price Trends
50DMA
33.06
Negative
100DMA
34.15
Negative
200DMA
34.96
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.35
Positive
RSI
42.62
Neutral
STOCH
36.13
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMH, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 32 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 32.55, below the 50-day MA of 33.06, and below the 200-day MA of 34.96, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.35 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 42.62 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 36.13 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for AMH.

American Homes Risk Analysis

American Homes disclosed 46 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Homes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
69
Neutral
$11.91B27.216.36%3.62%7.63%23.16%
69
Neutral
$15.36B15.55-5.55%6.29%-20.69%330.60%
67
Neutral
$17.40B54.595.99%4.14%6.82%27.91%
66
Neutral
$15.44B27.239.41%4.67%0.91%6.55%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
64
Neutral
$11.36B78.654.41%4.98%2.38%17.42%
60
Neutral
$14.41B71.053.30%4.11%0.76%-60.70%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMH
American Homes
32.00
-3.77
-10.54%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
129.65
-23.08
-15.11%
SUI
Sun Communities
126.62
9.07
7.72%
UDR
UDR
34.47
-8.12
-19.07%
CPT
Camden Property
101.78
-15.59
-13.28%
INVH
Invitation Homes
28.01
-4.49
-13.82%

American Homes Corporate Events

American Homes 4 Rent Reports Strong Q3 2025 Results
Oct 31, 2025

American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) is a prominent real estate investment trust (REIT) specializing in the acquisition, development, and management of single-family rental homes across the United States. The company is recognized for its large-scale operations and focus on providing high-quality rental properties.

Business Operations and Strategy
American Homes Releases Strategic Investor Highlights
Positive
Sep 3, 2025

On September 3, 2025, American Homes 4 Rent released its ‘Investor Highlights’ presentation, detailing its strategic focus and operational performance. The company emphasized its growth through a robust development pipeline and a strong balance sheet, with plans to deliver between 2,200 and 2,400 homes in 2025. AMH’s strategy includes geographic diversification, leveraging technology for superior resident experiences, and maintaining high occupancy rates. The company is positioned for sustainable growth amid a national housing shortage and increasing demand for single-family rentals, with a focus on optimizing its portfolio and capital management.

The most recent analyst rating on (AMH) stock is a Buy with a $40.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on American Homes stock, see the AMH Stock Forecast page.

AMH Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Growth Amid Challenges
Aug 6, 2025

American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment driven by strong financial performance, increased guidance, and robust leasing activity. While favorable property tax developments and successful development programs underscore a positive outlook, challenges in acquisitions and market supply pressures remain areas of concern.

American Homes 4 Rent: Navigating Business Risks and Financial Stability Challenges
Aug 2, 2025

American Homes 4 Rent faces significant business risks that could impact its financial stability and operational outcomes. These risks, detailed in the company’s 2024 Annual Report and other SEC filings, include factors that may cause actual results to deviate substantially from projections. Stakeholders are advised to review these documents carefully to understand the potential challenges and uncertainties that could affect the company’s performance. Such risks underscore the importance of strategic planning and risk management in safeguarding the company’s future prospects.

AMH Reports Strong Q2 2025 Earnings, Raises Guidance
Aug 2, 2025

American Homes 4 Rent, known as AMH, is a prominent real estate investment trust specializing in the ownership, operation, and development of single-family rental homes across the United States. The company is recognized for its large-scale integrated approach and its focus on providing high-quality rental properties.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 31, 2025