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American Homes (AMH)
NYSE:AMH
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American Homes (AMH) AI Stock Analysis

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AMH

American Homes

(NYSE:AMH)

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Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
$36.00
▲(17.30% Upside)
Action:UpgradedDate:05/07/26
AMH scores well on financial performance and the earnings outlook, driven by improving profitability/cash generation and a constructive earnings call with solid FFO growth, leasing momentum, and share repurchases. Technicals also support the score with a clear uptrend, though overbought indicators add near-term risk. Valuation is acceptable rather than compelling, with the dividend yield helping offset a mid-range P/E.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation trend
Sustained operating cash flow growth across multiple years underpins recurring dividend capacity and funds development/dispositions without constant equity raises. Consistent free cash flow coverage of net income bolsters balance sheet flexibility and long-term earnings quality.
Negative Factors
Moderate leverage and tight liquidity
Leverage at ~5.3x with limited cash cushions raises refinancing and covenant sensitivity. The balance sheet depends on continued disposition proceeds and operational cash to fund development and repurchases, constraining flexibility if markets or capital costs worsen.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation trend
Sustained operating cash flow growth across multiple years underpins recurring dividend capacity and funds development/dispositions without constant equity raises. Consistent free cash flow coverage of net income bolsters balance sheet flexibility and long-term earnings quality.
Read all positive factors

American Homes (AMH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

American Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
American Homes 4 Rent (NYSE: AMH) is a leader in the single-family home rental industry and American Homes 4 Rent is fast becoming a nationally recognized brand for rental homes, known for high-quality, good value and tenant satisfaction. We are a...
How the Company Makes Money
AMH primarily makes money by renting out single-family homes and collecting monthly lease payments from residents. This rental income is the company’s main revenue stream and is influenced by factors such as occupancy levels, market rent growth, l...

American Homes Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2026
(Q1-2026)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 30, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call highlighted multiple operational and financial strengths: solid income and FFO growth, same-home NOI improvement, strong spring leasing momentum with record March leasing, disciplined capital recycling (dispositions) and significant share repurchases, and a beneficial insurance renewal. Management reiterated unchanged 2026 guidance and emphasized operational execution and flexibility in the development program. Offsetting considerations include a slightly delayed leasing season start, market-specific supply pressures (notably Arizona and Texas), regulatory uncertainty around build-to-rent legislation that has paused some transaction activity, modest leverage (5.3x) with limited cash, and potential inflationary pressures on future development costs. On balance, the positives around earnings, leasing recovery, capital recycling, and cost control materially outweigh the operational and regulatory headwinds discussed.
Positive Updates
Strong Net Income and Earnings Per Share
Net income attributable to common shareholders of $128 million, or $0.35 per diluted share for 1Q26.
Negative Updates
Later-Than-Normal Start to Peak Leasing Season
Seasonality began slightly later than normal (slower Jan/Feb start) requiring catch-up in March/April; management described a modestly negative new-lease profile early in the year before the spring inflection.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Negative
Strong Net Income and Earnings Per Share
Net income attributable to common shareholders of $128 million, or $0.35 per diluted share for 1Q26.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management left 2026 guidance unchanged, citing a slower January–February followed by strong seasonal leasing that drove record March volumes and April momentum (new lease spreads improving to 1.2%, same‑home average occupied days 95.6%, +30 bps sequential), and reported strong same‑home core NOI growth of 3.7% for the quarter; quarterly results included net income of $128M ($0.35/diluted share), core FFO $0.48 (up 4.6% YoY) and adjusted FFO $0.45 (up 8% YoY). On the investment and capital front they delivered 539 development homes in Q1 (457 wholly‑owned at ~$187M cost) at a 5.3% average initial yield, sold >700 homes for roughly $200M net proceeds with an average disposition yield in the ~4% area, and repurchased about $360M of common stock (~3% of shares/units) over six months (with >$400M authorization remaining); balance sheet metrics included net debt (incl. preferred) to adjusted EBITDA of 5.3x, ~$63M cash, and $390M drawn on a $1.25B revolver. Management reiterated plans to “control the controllables,” pursue moderated on‑balance development match‑funded by dispositions, target renewals around ~3% (Q1 was 3.2%, mailing into Q3 in the mid‑3%s), expects occupancy to build in H1 with rate to follow, and noted insurance renewals were ~10% lower while property tax guidance remains ~3% for the year.

American Homes Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Multi-year fundamentals are solid with rising revenue and net income through 2024 and consistently strong margins, plus steadily improving operating and free cash flow. The main offsets are moderate leverage/only mid-level ROE and an apparent anomaly in the 2025 income statement data (zero revenue/margins), which reduces confidence in the latest period comparability.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
Cash Flow
74
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue1.87B1.87B1.73B1.62B1.49B1.30B
Gross Profit563.84M62.81M961.30M883.87M802.29M701.06M
EBITDA1.24B1.20B874.31M806.26M731.54M640.72M
Net Income470.45M452.97M412.43M380.17M273.14M189.09M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets13.18B13.24B13.38B12.69B12.18B10.96B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments63.30M108.52M199.41M59.38M69.16M48.20M
Total Debt5.13B5.13B5.03B4.48B4.54B3.90B
Total Liabilities5.58B5.53B5.53B5.04B5.00B4.22B
Stockholders Equity6.93B7.03B7.16B6.97B6.50B6.06B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow671.87M746.12M689.78M604.51M526.74M472.65M
Operating Cash Flow640.92M864.33M811.53M738.69M665.52M595.20M
Investing Cash Flow-220.48M-328.17M-825.88M-692.58M-1.43B-1.73B
Financing Cash Flow-408.61M-655.69M142.70M-42.21M786.18M1.06B

American Homes Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price30.69
Price Trends
50DMA
29.35
Positive
100DMA
30.21
Positive
200DMA
31.64
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.36
Negative
RSI
70.59
Negative
STOCH
85.53
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 30.69 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 28.82, above the 50-day MA of 29.35, and below the 200-day MA of 31.64, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.59 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 85.53 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMH.

American Homes Risk Analysis

American Homes disclosed 44 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Homes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

American Homes Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$19.38B14.5614.90%4.81%2.15%312.38%
74
Outperform
$11.65B19.906.60%3.81%5.40%14.43%
72
Outperform
$17.07B23.466.15%4.30%3.66%65.23%
67
Neutral
$15.52B-643.4519.80%6.34%-22.34%1635.86%
66
Neutral
$15.43B28.597.01%4.42%0.77%-31.36%
66
Neutral
$14.03B60.298.86%3.90%1.45%230.03%
65
Neutral
$2.17B12.193.79%4.94%3.15%1.96%
* Real Estate Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMH
American Homes
32.03
-5.21
-14.00%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
129.31
-26.55
-17.03%
SUI
Sun Communities
125.94
8.53
7.26%
UDR
UDR
36.91
-3.45
-8.54%
CPT
Camden Property
103.77
-9.57
-8.45%
INVH
Invitation Homes
28.73
-4.61
-13.83%

American Homes Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
American Homes Announces 2026 Guidance and Capital Allocation Plans
Positive
Feb 27, 2026
On February 27, 2026, AMH published an “Investor Highlights – February 2026” presentation outlining guidance and capital plans for the year, including expectations for 2.7% Core FFO per share growth at the midpoint, Same-Home cor...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 07, 2026