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American Homes
(NYSE:AMH)
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Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$36.00
â–²(7.88% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/01/26
AMH scores as moderately attractive, led by solid financial stability and cash generation plus a constructive earnings update (raised Core FFO guidance, strong occupancy, and expense discipline). The score is held back by lower visibility in recent financials (sharp TTM revenue decline and volatile margins/coverage), only modest technical setup, and a valuation that looks somewhat expensive despite a decent dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent and rising operating cash flow and improving free cash flow provide durable internal funding for dividends, development and buybacks. Higher FCF coverage (FCF > net income in TTM) supports reinvestment and lowers reliance on external financing over a multi‑quarter horizon.
Negative Factors
Elevated leverage and limited cash buffer
A leverage ratio near 5.2x and modest cash on hand increase the company's sensitivity to slower disposition execution or weaker rent trends. Reliance on asset sales and revolver draws to fund development reduces financial flexibility and raises refinancing and liquidity risk over several quarters.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong cash generation
Consistent and rising operating cash flow and improving free cash flow provide durable internal funding for dividends, development and buybacks. Higher FCF coverage (FCF > net income in TTM) supports reinvestment and lowers reliance on external financing over a multi‑quarter horizon.
Read all positive factors
American Homes (AMH) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$12.46B
Dividend Yield3.64%
Average Volume (3M)2.23M
Price to Earnings (P/E)27.5
Beta (1Y)0.28
Revenue Growth4.15%
EPS Growth13.70%
CountryUS
Employees1,598
SectorReal Estate
Sector Strength53
IndustryREIT - Residential
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)1.26
Shares Outstanding359,179,930
10 Day Avg. Volume2,021,086
30 Day Avg. Volume2,233,759
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.94
Price to Book (P/B)1.69
Price to Sales (P/S)6.37
P/FCF Ratio15.94
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$36.54Price Target Upside9.50% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering13
EPS Forecast (FY)0.93
Revenue Forecast (FY)$1.90B
American Homes Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH, listed on the NYSE) holds a leading position in the single-family rental housing market. This company is rapidly establishing itself as a nationally recognized brand, highly regarded for providing rental homes that offe...
How the Company Makes Money
AMH primarily makes money by owning and operating a portfolio of single-family homes and collecting rental income from residents under lease agreements. Its core revenue stream is residential rent, which is driven by (1) the number of occupied hom...
American Homes Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2026
(Q2-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call emphasized broad operational execution: strong leasing momentum, tight expense control, successful pre-leasing and development lease-ups, ahead-of-plan dispositions, and a modest upward guidance revision for Core FFO per share. Offsetting items include pockets of market weakness (Atlanta, Phoenix, Tampa), an expected moderation of revenue growth in H2 versus H1, measured development pacing despite capacity to accelerate, and leverage/liquidity considerations that rely in part on continued disposition execution. Overall the positives — improved FFO, occupancy/leasing strength, disciplined capital allocation, and ahead-of-plan disposition proceeds — materially outweigh the manageable challenges discussed.Positive Updates
FFO and Earnings Growth
Generated net income attributable to common shareholders of $113.6M, or $0.31 per diluted share. Produced $0.49 of Core FFO (up 5.2% YoY) and $0.45 of Adjusted FFO (up 8.3% YoY).
Negative Updates
Localized Market Weakness
Select markets underperformed: Atlanta remains below preferred occupancy and rates are treading water; Phoenix and Tampa showed weaker blended spreads in Q2. Management highlighted the need for additional evidence of recovery in some markets.
Read all updates
Q2-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
FFO and Earnings Growth
Generated net income attributable to common shareholders of $113.6M, or $0.31 per diluted share. Produced $0.49 of Core FFO (up 5.2% YoY) and $0.45 of Adjusted FFO (up 8.3% YoY).
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
AMH raised its 2026 Core FFO/share midpoint by $0.03 to $1.95 (implying 4.3% year‑over‑year growth) after a strong first half, lowered the midpoint of full‑year Core expense growth by 75 basis points to 2%, and increased the midpoint of Same‑Home Core NOI growth by 40 basis points to 2.4% with Same‑Home margins expected to modestly expand versus 2025; operationally Q2 average occupied days were 96% (July 96.1%) with new/renewal/blended spreads of 1.4%/3.2%/2.7% in Q2 (1.6%/3.3%/2.8% in July), renewals are trending toward ~3.5% with blends in the low‑2s and new lease growth guided to be flattish for the year, and only one‑third of 2026 lease expirations remain supporting a flatter occupancy curve into 2027; on capital allocation and development, AMH delivered 651 homes in Q2 (542 to wholly owned for ~ $220M), YTD dispositions generated ~ $380M of net proceeds (over 1,300 homes sold at ~4% cap rates) and are tracking to the upper half of the prior $400–$600M range while match‑funding on‑balance‑sheet development, and the balance sheet sits at net debt (incl. preferred)/Adj. EBITDA of 5.2x with ~$84M cash, $390M drawn on a $1.25B revolver, 4.1M shares repurchased for $123M at a $29.88 average and roughly $377M of repurchase authorization remaining.American Homes Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
66
Positive
Cash Flow
62
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 1.88B | 1.87B | 1.73B | 1.62B | 1.49B | 1.30B |
| Gross Profit | 575.16M | 62.81M | 961.30M | 883.87M | 802.29M | 701.06M |
| EBITDA | 1.20B | 1.20B | 874.31M | 806.26M | 731.54M | 640.72M |
| Net Income | 478.52M | 452.97M | 412.43M | 380.17M | 273.14M | 189.09M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 13.10B | 13.24B | 13.38B | 12.69B | 12.18B | 10.96B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 83.67M | 108.52M | 199.41M | 59.38M | 69.16M | 48.20M |
| Total Debt | 5.15B | 5.13B | 5.03B | 4.48B | 4.54B | 3.90B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.66B | 5.53B | 5.53B | 5.04B | 5.00B | 4.22B |
| Stockholders Equity | 6.81B | 7.03B | 7.16B | 6.97B | 6.50B | 6.06B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 926.44M | 746.12M | 689.78M | 604.51M | 526.74M | 472.65M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 864.75M | 864.33M | 811.53M | 738.69M | 665.52M | 595.20M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -72.64M | -328.17M | -825.88M | -692.58M | -1.43B | -1.73B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -1.00B | -655.69M | 142.70M | -42.21M | 786.18M | 1.06B |
American Homes Technical Analysis
Positive
33.37
Price Trends
33.21
Positive
31.59
Positive
31.07
Positive
Market Momentum
0.36
Negative
62.50
Neutral
83.67
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMH, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 33.37 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 33.83, above the 50-day MA of 33.21, and above the 200-day MA of 31.07, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.36 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 62.50 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.67 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMH.
American Homes Risk Analysis
American Homes disclosed 45 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. American Homes reported the most risks in the "Legal & Regulatory" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
American Homes Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
69 Neutral | $14.67B | -17.03 | -13.07% | 3.55% | -21.07% | -169.14% | |
67 Neutral | $20.06B | 24.31 | 16.33% | 3.64% | 1.54% | 310.22% | |
67 Neutral | $17.94B | 27.86 | 7.08% | 4.00% | 5.25% | 24.70% | |
66 Neutral | $12.46B | 27.48 | 6.85% | 3.78% | 4.15% | 13.70% | |
65 Neutral | $2.17B | 12.19 | 3.79% | 4.94% | 3.15% | 1.96% | |
64 Neutral | $15.14B | 37.06 | 7.80% | 3.71% | 0.72% | 111.53% | |
59 Neutral | $16.05B | 39.46 | 7.16% | 4.56% | 0.85% | -29.53% |
* Real Estate Sector Average
AMH
American Homes
34.63
1.76
5.34%
MAA
Mid-America Apartment
134.96
2.76
2.08%
SUI
Sun Communities
120.44
-0.52
-0.43%
UDR
UDR
38.41
2.37
6.58%
CPT
Camden Property
111.93
11.95
11.96%
INVH
Invitation Homes
30.37
1.74
6.07%
American Homes Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
American Homes 4 Rent Renews Equity Offering Program
Positive
Jun 12, 2026
On June 12, 2026, American Homes 4 Rent replaced its expiring shelf registration with a new automatic shelf and concurrently renewed its at-the-market equity offering program, enabling issuance and sale of up to $1.0 billion of Class A common shar...
Business Operations and StrategyStock BuybackFinancial Disclosures
American Homes Highlights Growth Outlook and Capital Strength
Positive
May 28, 2026
On May 28, 2026, American Homes 4 Rent posted a May 2026 “Investor Highlights” presentation outlining its operating performance, capital plans and guidance for the year, signaling continued confidence in the single-family rental market...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
American Homes Shareholders Elect Trustees, Approve Governance Items
Positive
May 18, 2026
At its virtual-only Annual Meeting of Shareholders held on May 14, 2026, American Homes 4 Rent shareholders elected ten trustees to the board for the coming year, following the retirement of David Goldberg and a reduction of the board size to ten ...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.