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Empire Petroleum (EP)
XASE:EP
US Market
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Empire Petroleum (EP) AI Stock Analysis

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EP

Empire Petroleum

(NYSE MKT:EP)

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Neutral 44 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:44Neutral
Price Target:
$2.50
▼(-16.67% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/15/26
The score is held down primarily by weak financial performance—large TTM losses, negative margins, negative operating/free cash flow, and high leverage versus a thin equity base. Technicals add pressure with the stock trading below key moving averages and a negative MACD. Corporate events provide some offset via improved liquidity from new financing and strategic program participation, but valuation remains constrained by ongoing losses (negative P/E) and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Successful $10M fully subscribed rights offering
A fully subscribed $10M rights offering meaningfully strengthens the company’s near-term capital base and signals shareholder willingness to fund operations. This durable liquidity reduces immediate refinancing risk and supports planned development activity and working capital over coming months.
Negative Factors
Sustained negative profitability
Deep, persistent losses and negative margins indicate the core upstream operations and/or non‑operating charges are not covering costs. Over a multi‑month horizon this undermines the firm’s ability to self‑fund, pressures margins, and makes recovery dependent on structural cost cuts or sustained higher commodity realizations.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Successful $10M fully subscribed rights offering
A fully subscribed $10M rights offering meaningfully strengthens the company’s near-term capital base and signals shareholder willingness to fund operations. This durable liquidity reduces immediate refinancing risk and supports planned development activity and working capital over coming months.
Read all positive factors

Empire Petroleum (EP) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Empire Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Empire Petroleum (EP) is an independent oil and gas company primarily engaged in the exploration, production, and acquisition of oil and natural gas properties across various regions. The company operates in the upstream sector, focusing on optimi...
How the Company Makes Money
EP primarily makes money by selling hydrocarbons it produces from its operated and non-operated oil and natural gas properties. Its key revenue stream is sales of crude oil and natural gas (and any associated NGLs where produced), typically priced...

Empire Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials indicate significant stress: TTM revenue down 11.4% with deeply negative profitability (gross margin -7.6%, EBITDA margin -31.0%) and a large net loss (-$74.5M) on $30.3M revenue. Balance-sheet risk is high with elevated leverage (debt ~$15.3M vs equity ~$3.7M; ~4.1x) and prior negative equity, while cash flow is also negative (OCF -$6.5M; FCF -$4.0M), implying ongoing cash burn and limited flexibility.
Income Statement
12
Very Negative
Balance Sheet
18
Very Negative
Cash Flow
22
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Mar 2024Mar 2023Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue32.90M34.20M44.04M40.14M53.27M27.68M
Gross Profit12.80M-6.61M3.47M5.38M23.80M9.79M
EBITDA-58.39M-6.82M-4.89M-8.08M10.02M-7.37M
Net Income-74.50M-72.07M-16.20M-12.47M7.08M-18.61M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets78.00M65.87M123.87M92.62M71.55M50.09M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments8.79M1.19M2.25M7.79M11.94M3.61M
Total Debt15.27M15.35M11.88M6.68M8.00M9.44M
Total Liabilities74.31M70.48M61.10M57.66M48.31M40.26M
Stockholders Equity3.69M-4.61M62.77M34.96M23.24M9.83M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-3.97M-4.00M-47.71M-26.88M4.61M-16.74M
Operating Cash Flow-6.53M-3.95M6.16M-9.89M18.06M3.17M
Investing Cash Flow-3.14M-4.61M-53.87M-14.77M-11.41M-24.72M
Financing Cash Flow17.38M7.50M42.17M20.50M1.69M25.00M

Empire Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price3.00
Price Trends
50DMA
2.86
Negative
100DMA
2.97
Negative
200DMA
3.41
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.07
Positive
RSI
45.19
Neutral
STOCH
38.64
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EP, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 3 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 2.73, above the 50-day MA of 2.86, and below the 200-day MA of 3.41, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.07 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 45.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.64 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EP.

Empire Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
$187.24M47.36-8.07%5.24%53.71%-303.17%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
60
Neutral
$300.56M-0.66-107.19%-4.90%-2372.77%
56
Neutral
$158.20M-4.36-5.44%13.52%-3.16%-313.41%
53
Neutral
$206.85M-1.682.78%-21.23%-41.25%
50
Neutral
$288.98M-0.36-33.01%-14.01%-454.24%
44
Neutral
$105.05M-4.01-277.83%-23.13%-316.13%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EP
Empire Petroleum
2.64
-1.41
-34.77%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
4.41
0.52
13.31%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
8.50
3.77
79.70%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
5.01
2.31
85.56%
REI
Ring Energy
1.38
0.59
74.90%
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
6.19
-0.67
-9.77%

Empire Petroleum Corporate Events

Private Placements and FinancingRegulatory Filings and Compliance
Empire Petroleum Establishes At-The-Market Equity Sales Program
Neutral
May 1, 2026
On May 1, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation entered into a Sales Agreement with Roth Capital Partners that allows the company to sell up to $30 million of its common stock in at-the-market or privately negotiated transactions. The shares, issued ...
Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Empire Petroleum Completes Fully Subscribed $10 Million Rights Offering
Positive
Mar 19, 2026
On March 19, 2026, Empire Petroleum announced that its previously launched rights offering, which expired on March 18, 2026, was fully subscribed and generated approximately $10 million in gross proceeds at a subscription price of $2.99 per share....
Business Operations and Strategy
Empire Petroleum Joins New Louisiana Development Program
Positive
Mar 18, 2026
On March 18, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation announced it has elected to participate in a new oil and natural gas development program in Louisiana, signaling a strategic move to deepen its operational footprint in that resource-rich region. The...
Private Placements and Financing
Empire Petroleum Expands and Extends Share Rights Offering
Neutral
Feb 25, 2026
On February 25, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation announced it had extended the expiration of its registered rights offering to March 18, 2026 and increased the number of common shares available under the subscription rights to 3,344,482, raising...
Private Placements and Financing
Empire Petroleum Completes $3 Million Convertible Note Financing
Positive
Feb 23, 2026
On February 19, 2026, Empire Petroleum Corporation issued a $3 million promissory note to investor Phil E. Mulacek, with all funds already advanced as of that date to repay existing debt and support general working capital. The unsecured note carr...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 15, 2026