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Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN)
:EPSN
US Market

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) AI Stock Analysis

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EPSN

Epsilon Energy

(NASDAQ:EPSN)

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Outperform 73 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:73Outperform
Price Target:
$5.50
▲(15.55% Upside)
Epsilon Energy's overall stock score reflects strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, particularly the recent acquisition and improved credit facility. While technical indicators suggest some caution, the company's valuation and positive earnings call sentiment support a favorable outlook.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Peak Exploration adds significant oil-weighted production and inventory, enhancing Epsilon's growth potential and market position.
Financial Stability
The new credit facility enhances liquidity and financial stability, allowing Epsilon to pursue growth opportunities and manage debt effectively.
Revenue Growth
Strong revenue growth indicates robust business performance and effective market strategies, supporting long-term financial health.
Negative Factors
Profitability Pressure
Decreasing margins suggest challenges in maintaining profitability, which could impact future earnings and financial performance.
Marcellus Investment Uncertainty
Uncertainty in Marcellus investment plans could limit growth opportunities and affect long-term strategic positioning in this key region.
Sub-$2 Net Gas Pricing
Low gas pricing in Marcellus impacts revenue and profitability, posing a risk to financial performance if sustained.

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epsilon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEpsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN) is an independent energy company engaged in the exploration, development, and production of natural gas and oil. The company primarily operates in the United States, focusing on unconventional natural gas resources, particularly in the Marcellus Shale region. Epsilon Energy is dedicated to advancing its portfolio through efficient operations, strategic acquisitions, and investments in sustainable energy solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyEpsilon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of natural gas and oil produced from its wells. The company has a diversified revenue model that includes the direct sale of hydrocarbons to various customers, including utilities and industrial users. Key revenue streams consist of production from its owned and operated properties in the Marcellus Shale, as well as any additional revenue from joint ventures or partnerships with other energy companies that allow for shared resources and infrastructure. The pricing of natural gas and oil can fluctuate significantly based on market conditions, which impacts revenue. Additionally, Epsilon Energy may benefit from hedging strategies that protect against price volatility, further stabilizing its income. The company also explores opportunities for strategic partnerships that could enhance its operational efficiencies and market access, thereby contributing to its overall earnings.

Epsilon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 25, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted a strategic acquisition in the Powder River Basin, strong performance in the Permian Basin, and improvements in the hedge book and credit facility. Despite challenges in Marcellus pricing and uncertainty in investment plans, the overall sentiment is positive due to the significant progress and strategic positioning for future growth.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strategic Acquisition in the Powder River Basin
Executed definitive agreements to acquire Peak companies with operated assets in the Powder River Basin, including the issuance of up to 8.5 million Epsilon shares. This acquisition is expected to add an experienced operating team and significant inventory of economic locations, positioning the company for success in the medium to long term.
Permian Basin Performance
Participated in the drilling and completion of the eighth well in the Permian project, which commenced production late in the quarter and continues to perform well. The Texas asset has generated more than $18 million in operating cash flow through the quarter end.
Hedge Book and Credit Facility Improvements
60% of peak PDP oil volumes are hedged for 2026 with a weighted average WTI strike price of $63.30 per barrel. A new credit facility was announced, bringing in a new lender and extending term to Q4 2029.
Strong Adjusted Earnings
Year-to-date adjusted earnings of $0.45 per share, driven by the new wells in Pennsylvania, indicating strong performance of the legacy business.
Negative Updates
Sub-$2 Net Gas Pricing in Marcellus
Shoulder season inventory builds led to sub-$2 net gas pricing in the Marcellus, resulting in some operator-elected production curtailments during the quarter.
Uncertainty in Marcellus Investment
No material investments are anticipated in the Marcellus for the first half of 2026, with plans for the second half still uncertain.
Company Guidance
During the Epsilon Energy Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company shared several key metrics and strategic updates. In the Permian Basin, Epsilon participated in the drilling and completion of the eighth well, yielding over $18 million in operating cash flow from a $42 million investment. They anticipate 2026 will see resumed Permian drilling and increased Marcellus investment, with no significant investment planned for the first half. Epsilon outlined the acquisition of Peak companies, entailing up to 8.5 million shares, contingent on shareholder approval. This acquisition adds significant oil-weighted production and inventory, positioning Epsilon for potential oil price recovery. The company's hedge book covers 60% of 2026 oil volumes, with a weighted average WTI strike price of $63.30 per barrel, and 50% of gas volumes hedged, offering protection and upside in pricing. The addition of PRB assets bolsters their credit facility, extending terms to Q4 2029 and allowing refinancing of the Peak term loan. Year-to-date adjusted earnings were $0.45 per share, reflecting strong business performance. The Powder River Basin assets are highlighted for their solid PDP and potential for lift optimization. The pro forma company is well-positioned for transformative results in 2027, contingent on market conditions.

Epsilon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Epsilon Energy demonstrates solid financial performance with strong revenue growth and profitability. The company maintains a conservative balance sheet with low leverage, enhancing financial stability. However, there is room for improvement in profitability and cash flow efficiency.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Epsilon Energy shows a solid performance with a consistent increase in revenue, evidenced by a 3.85% growth in the TTM period. The gross profit margin of 46.09% and net profit margin of 11.75% indicate strong profitability. However, the margins have decreased compared to previous years, suggesting some pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are healthy at 22.40% and 50.64%, respectively, reflecting efficient operations.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
The company maintains a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.42%, indicating minimal leverage and financial risk. The return on equity (ROE) is modest at 5.24%, which is lower than previous years, suggesting a need for improved profitability. The equity ratio is strong, reflecting a solid capital structure with a high proportion of equity financing.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Epsilon Energy demonstrates robust cash flow generation with a significant free cash flow growth rate of 55.99% in the TTM period. The operating cash flow to net income ratio of 3.34 indicates strong cash conversion. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is lower at 0.26, suggesting that a smaller portion of net income is being converted into free cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.71M31.52M30.73M69.96M42.40M24.43M
Gross Profit21.74M11.81M14.18M54.11M27.15M6.39M
EBITDA23.04M13.79M17.91M54.00M22.80M11.12M
Net Income5.88M1.93M6.95M35.35M11.63M875.17K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets126.29M120.45M124.04M123.86M99.46M86.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments12.77M6.52M32.18M45.24M26.50M13.27M
Total Debt387.06K476.91K563.38K35.30K0.000.00
Total Liabilities26.07M23.73M23.43M19.62M20.20M17.66M
Stockholders Equity100.22M96.73M100.61M104.25M79.26M69.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow10.36M-19.73M-457.78K29.94M15.12M8.29M
Operating Cash Flow25.61M16.83M18.19M38.01M20.01M14.82M
Investing Cash Flow-15.68M-16.66M-38.38M-7.87M-4.44M-6.52M
Financing Cash Flow-5.37M-7.32M-11.73M-11.35M-2.34M-9.08M

Epsilon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price4.76
Price Trends
50DMA
4.75
Negative
100DMA
5.12
Negative
200DMA
5.98
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
>-0.01
Positive
RSI
41.19
Neutral
STOCH
19.18
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 4.76 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 4.79, above the 50-day MA of 4.75, and below the 200-day MA of 5.98, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of >-0.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 41.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 19.18 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EPSN.

Epsilon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
73
Outperform
$100.85M17.235.92%5.47%46.76%11.48%
72
Outperform
$171.00M3.588.80%-9.98%-19.48%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
54
Neutral
$122.46M-569.35-0.19%13.60%-2.23%-104.00%
53
Neutral
$192.26M-6.87-6.90%-9.46%-144.89%
50
Neutral
$135.89M-1.56-21.91%-1.58%-271.90%
41
Neutral
$105.26M-5.88-31.43%-15.13%17.34%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
4.57
-1.13
-19.82%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.55
-0.96
-21.29%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
4.01
-3.06
-43.28%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
4.75
-1.03
-17.82%
EP
Empire Petroleum
3.02
-4.27
-58.57%
IMPP
Imperial Petroleum
3.83
0.99
34.86%

Epsilon Energy Corporate Events

M&A Transactions
Epsilon Energy Finalizes Acquisition with Share Issuance
Neutral
Nov 20, 2025

On November 20, 2025, Epsilon Energy Ltd. announced the issuance of 2,234,847 common shares as part of the acquisition of Peak BLM Lease LLC, which was finalized on November 14, 2025. This issuance was made following the determination that the Resolution Date, as defined in the purchase agreement, had occurred, and no further consideration is due under the agreement.

Executive/Board ChangesPrivate Placements and FinancingM&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Epsilon Energy Completes Acquisition of Peak Exploration
Positive
Nov 14, 2025

Epsilon Energy Ltd. announced the completion of its acquisition of Peak Exploration and Production LLC and Peak BLM Lease LLC, following shareholder approval at a special meeting on November 12, 2025. The acquisition involved issuing 5,681,489 common shares, with additional shares or cash contingent on regulatory approvals. The company’s credit facility was increased to $80 million, and loans were used to repay Peak Companies’ existing debt. Sixteen former Peak employees joined Epsilon, and Bryan H. Lawrence and Jack Vaughn were appointed to the board, marking a significant step in Epsilon’s growth strategy.

Private Placements and FinancingM&A Transactions
Epsilon Energy Secures New Credit Facility
Positive
Oct 14, 2025

On October 10, 2025, Epsilon Energy Ltd. closed a new and revised senior secured reserve-based revolving credit facility with Frost Bank and Texas Capital Bank, replacing its previous facility. The new credit facility, which has a four-year term and an initial borrowing base of $47.5 million, supports Epsilon’s existing US upstream assets and will be increased upon the acquisition of the Peak companies later in Q4 2025. This financial move is expected to enhance Epsilon’s liquidity and balance sheet, enabling the company to comfortably close its announced acquisitions while maintaining financial stability.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 09, 2025