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Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN)
:EPSN
US Market
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Epsilon Energy (EPSN) AI Stock Analysis

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EPSN

Epsilon Energy

(NASDAQ:EPSN)

Rating:64Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(8.50% Upside)
Epsilon Energy's overall stock score is primarily driven by its strong financial performance and strategic acquisition, which enhance growth potential. However, technical indicators suggest bearish momentum, and valuation metrics indicate potential overvaluation. The earnings call provides a balanced outlook, with significant growth opportunities tempered by immediate financial challenges.

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epsilon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEpsilon Energy Ltd., a natural gas and oil company, engages in the acquisition, development, gathering, and production of oil and gas reserves in the United States. It operates through Upstream and Gathering System segments. The Company has natural gas production in the Marcellus in Pennsylvania; and oil, natural gas liquids (NGL), and natural gas production in the Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma. As of December 31, 2021, it had total estimated net proved reserves of 110,969 million cubic feet of natural gas reserves, 819,726 barrels of NGL, and 305,052 barrels of oil and other liquids. Epsilon Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEpsilon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil and natural gas. The company operates in key natural gas plays, particularly in the Marcellus Shale, where it drills and produces hydrocarbons that are then sold to various customers, including utilities and industrial users. Revenue is derived from the production of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil. The company may also benefit from price fluctuations in the energy market, and its revenue can be influenced by contracts with midstream services for transportation and processing of its production. Additionally, strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other companies in the energy sector can provide further opportunities for revenue generation and cost-sharing.

Epsilon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted significant positive developments, including the acquisition of Peak Companies and a substantial increase in reserves and inventory. However, challenges such as a decline in cash flows and an impairment in joint ventures were also discussed.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Acquisition of Peak Companies
Epsilon announced the acquisition of Peak Companies, adding a new core area in the Powder River Basin at an attractive price, enhancing capabilities and control to add per share value.
Increase in Proved Reserves
Epsilon's year-end '24 proved reserves increased by over 150%, while liquids production increased by over 200% and the priority inventory count increased by over 600%.
Refinancing and Credit Facility Expansion
Refinancing Peak's term loan with an expanded revolving credit facility led by existing lender, with an indicative borrowing base of $95 million.
Development Plans and Joint Ventures
Epsilon plans for development of 3 high-working interest Parkman wells and has ongoing technical collaboration to improve joint venture performance in Alberta.
Negative Updates
Decline in Cash Flows
Realized pricing was down meaningfully quarter-over-quarter for gas and oil, causing cash flows to be down roughly 30% quarter-over-quarter.
Impairment in Garrington Area
An impairment was taken this quarter on investments in the Garrington area due to cost overruns and well inflow performance below expectations.
Drilling Permit Moratorium
Approximately 30% of identified priority inventory is affected by a drilling permit moratorium in Converse County, Wyoming.
Company Guidance
During the Epsilon Energy Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company announced the acquisition of Peak Companies, which adds a significant asset base in the Powder River Basin (PRB). The acquisition will be finalized with the issuance of 6 million Epsilon common shares and assumption of approximately $49 million in long-term debt. There is a potential for up to 2.5 million additional shares contingent on accessing Converse County acreage, presently affected by a permit moratorium. Post-acquisition, Peak shareholders will hold about 21% of Epsilon's equity, potentially rising to 28%. The acquisition will boost year-end 2024 proved reserves by over 150%, increase liquids production by over 200%, and expand priority inventory locations by over 600%. Epsilon's leverage will be approximately 1x net debt to adjusted EBITDA, and the company plans to maintain its current dividend distribution. The newly acquired assets are expected to provide both organic and inorganic growth opportunities, with a focus on the Parkman formation and operational control over 2,200 net barrels of daily production.

Epsilon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Epsilon Energy shows commendable revenue growth and effective cost management, with a strong balance sheet characterized by low leverage. However, declining net profit margins and returns on equity, along with negative free cash flow, indicate challenges in profitability and capital efficiency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Epsilon Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable rise from $24.4M in 2020 to $39.7M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is healthy at 45.1%, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margins have seen fluctuations, currently at 11.2% in TTM, down from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting operational efficiency, but the decline in net income from 2022 indicates potential challenges in profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, implying minimal leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is strong at 79.5%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity has seen a decline, with a ROE of 4.45% in TTM, which could indicate inefficiencies in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While operating cash flow remains strong at $21.7M in TTM, the free cash flow is negative at -$2.06M, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash generation relative to net profits, but the negative free cash flow indicates a need for better capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.02M31.52M30.73M69.96M42.40M24.43M
Gross Profit20.29M11.81M14.18M54.11M27.15M6.39M
EBITDA22.29M13.79M17.91M54.00M22.80M11.12M
Net Income5.17M1.93M6.95M35.35M11.63M875.17K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.61M120.45M124.04M123.86M99.46M86.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.91M6.52M32.18M45.24M26.50M13.27M
Total Debt417.31K476.91K563.38K35.30K0.000.00
Total Liabilities23.42M23.73M23.43M19.62M20.20M17.66M
Stockholders Equity100.19M96.73M100.61M104.25M79.26M69.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.42M-19.73M-457.78K29.94M15.12M8.29M
Operating Cash Flow24.75M16.83M18.19M38.01M20.01M14.82M
Investing Cash Flow-18.04M-16.66M-38.38M-7.87M-4.44M-6.52M
Financing Cash Flow-6.17M-7.32M-11.73M-11.35M-2.34M-9.08M

Epsilon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.53
Price Trends
50DMA
6.37
Negative
100DMA
6.78
Negative
200DMA
6.51
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.17
Negative
RSI
37.25
Neutral
STOCH
30.51
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.53 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 5.87, below the 50-day MA of 6.37, and below the 200-day MA of 6.51, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.17 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 37.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 30.51 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EPSN.

Epsilon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$206.54M2.878.08%-13.66%-4.85%
65
Neutral
$15.01B7.514.09%5.36%4.10%-61.80%
65
Neutral
11.84%61.88%
64
Neutral
$125.73M24.415.18%4.52%45.90%-2.29%
57
Neutral
$177.37M89.30-1.24%9.28%3.79%-131.01%
50
Neutral
$261.08M203.83%2.29%-11.53%-342.58%
47
Neutral
$139.05M21.67-15.60%-8.33%-213.31%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
5.53
0.64
13.09%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
5.12
0.88
20.75%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
3.85
-2.18
-36.15%
PHX
PHX Minerals
4.35
1.10
33.85%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.75
-0.22
-11.17%
REI
Ring Energy
0.98
-0.61
-38.36%

Epsilon Energy Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Epsilon Energy Announces Acquisition of Peak Entities
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Epsilon Energy Ltd. announced its entry into definitive agreements to acquire Peak Exploration & Production LLC and Peak BLM Lease LLC, entities majority owned by Yorktown Energy Partners LLC. The acquisition involves the issuance of 6 million Epsilon common shares and the assumption of an estimated $49 million in debt, with additional contingent consideration possible. The transactions, expected to close in Q4 2025 pending shareholder approval, aim to expand Epsilon’s asset base in the Powder River Basin, enhancing its operational control and growth opportunities. This strategic move is anticipated to be accretive to Epsilon’s forecasted financial metrics and reserves, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and dividend payouts.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Epsilon Energy Holds 2025 Annual General Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Epsilon Energy held its 2025 Annual General Meeting on May 21, 2025, with 67% of its common shares represented. During the meeting, shareholders voted to set the number of directors at six, elected six directors for a term expiring in 2026, re-appointed BDO USA, P.C. as auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers for 2024.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 19, 2025