tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Epsilon Energy (EPSN)
NASDAQ:EPSN
US Market
Advertisement

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
121 Followers

Top Page

EPSN

Epsilon Energy

(NASDAQ:EPSN)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$6.00
▲(6.57% Upside)
Epsilon Energy's overall stock score reflects a mix of strong financial performance and strategic growth initiatives, tempered by technical weaknesses and valuation concerns. The company's robust balance sheet and dividend yield are positive factors, but cash flow volatility and bearish technical indicators present challenges. The recent acquisition is a strategic positive, but its impact is already factored into the earnings call analysis.

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epsilon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEpsilon Energy Ltd., a natural gas and oil company, engages in the acquisition, development, gathering, and production of oil and gas reserves in the United States. It operates through Upstream and Gathering System segments. The Company has natural gas production in the Marcellus in Pennsylvania; and oil, natural gas liquids (NGL), and natural gas production in the Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma. As of December 31, 2021, it had total estimated net proved reserves of 110,969 million cubic feet of natural gas reserves, 819,726 barrels of NGL, and 305,052 barrels of oil and other liquids. Epsilon Energy Ltd. was incorporated in 2005 and is based in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyEpsilon Energy generates revenue primarily through the sale of oil and natural gas. The company operates in key natural gas plays, particularly in the Marcellus Shale, where it drills and produces hydrocarbons that are then sold to various customers, including utilities and industrial users. Revenue is derived from the production of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil. The company may also benefit from price fluctuations in the energy market, and its revenue can be influenced by contracts with midstream services for transportation and processing of its production. Additionally, strategic partnerships and joint ventures with other companies in the energy sector can provide further opportunities for revenue generation and cost-sharing.

Epsilon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 13, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: -12.98%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 06, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, particularly in the Marcellus and midstream operations, and a robust balance sheet. However, the company faces challenges with limited development in key areas and a volatile oil price environment impacting investment plans. The hedging strategy may also limit upside from future favorable price changes.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Marcellus Upstream Cash Flows Surge
Marcellus upstream cash flows were up sequentially over 200% due to a 58% increase in production and a 70% increase in realized pricing.
Midstream Cash Flows Increase
Midstream cash flows increased 140% sequentially on higher throughput volumes.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flows
The company reports a strong balance sheet and cash flows, leaving them well-positioned to capitalize on attractive opportunities while maintaining their dividend.
Successful Well Completions in Canada
In Canada, the first two horizontal Mannville wells in the Garrington area were completed and are currently on production with sales commencing in April.
Negative Updates
Limited Development in Marcellus
The company does not expect additional investments or incremental development in Marcellus this year despite having substantial undeveloped inventory.
Volatile Oil Price Environment
In light of current oil price volatility, the company is working to minimize near-term activity and has limited capital expenditures planned for this year.
Hedging Strategy Adjustments
Approximately 45% of forecasted PDP oil production is hedged for the remainder of the year at just over $71 WTI, with 30% hedged for gas at $3.33 NYMEX, which may limit benefits from potential favorable price changes.
Company Guidance
During the Epsilon Energy first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a significant increase in Marcellus upstream cash flows, which surged over 200% sequentially due to a 58% rise in production and a 70% boost in realized pricing. Additionally, midstream cash flows rose by 140% on higher throughput volumes. The company plans to invest $9 million to $12 million in capital expenditures for the remainder of 2025, including a $1.5 million drilling carry in Alberta, while refraining from further investments in Pennsylvania. It has hedged approximately 45% of forecasted PDP oil production at just over $71 WTI and about 30% of forecasted PDP gas production at $3.33 NYMEX for the rest of the year. Development plans include drilling two wells in Texas and continuing production optimization in Alberta, with ongoing discussions about the next steps in the project.

Epsilon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Epsilon Energy shows commendable revenue growth and effective cost management, with a strong balance sheet characterized by low leverage. However, declining net profit margins and returns on equity, along with negative free cash flow, indicate challenges in profitability and capital efficiency.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Epsilon Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable rise from $24.4M in 2020 to $39.7M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is healthy at 45.1%, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margins have seen fluctuations, currently at 11.2% in TTM, down from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting operational efficiency, but the decline in net income from 2022 indicates potential challenges in profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, implying minimal leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is strong at 79.5%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity has seen a decline, with a ROE of 4.45% in TTM, which could indicate inefficiencies in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While operating cash flow remains strong at $21.7M in TTM, the free cash flow is negative at -$2.06M, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash generation relative to net profits, but the negative free cash flow indicates a need for better capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue44.02M31.52M30.73M69.96M42.40M24.43M
Gross Profit20.29M11.81M14.18M54.11M27.15M6.39M
EBITDA22.29M13.79M17.91M54.00M22.80M11.12M
Net Income5.17M1.93M6.95M35.35M11.63M875.17K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets123.61M120.45M124.04M123.86M99.46M86.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.91M6.52M32.18M45.24M26.50M13.27M
Total Debt417.31K476.91K563.38K35.30K0.000.00
Total Liabilities23.42M23.73M23.43M19.62M20.20M17.66M
Stockholders Equity100.19M96.73M100.61M104.25M79.26M69.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow6.42M-19.73M-457.78K29.94M15.12M8.29M
Operating Cash Flow24.75M16.83M18.19M38.01M20.01M14.82M
Investing Cash Flow-18.04M-16.66M-38.38M-7.87M-4.44M-6.52M
Financing Cash Flow-6.17M-7.32M-11.73M-11.35M-2.34M-9.08M

Epsilon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price5.63
Price Trends
50DMA
7.00
Negative
100DMA
6.91
Negative
200DMA
6.50
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.27
Positive
RSI
32.56
Neutral
STOCH
43.57
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPSN, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 5.63 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 6.19, below the 50-day MA of 7.00, and below the 200-day MA of 6.50, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 32.56 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 43.57 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for EPSN.

Epsilon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (56)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$192.40M2.728.08%-13.66%-4.85%
65
Neutral
$164.96M23.685.55%3.68%11.84%61.88%
65
Neutral
$124.19M24.115.18%4.44%45.90%-2.29%
57
Neutral
$171.88M89.30-1.24%9.58%3.79%-131.01%
56
Neutral
C$4.17B1.1916.25%5.24%10.34%-56.29%
51
Neutral
$255.14M203.83%2.33%-11.53%-342.58%
43
Neutral
$135.87M21.67-16.06%-5.53%-216.84%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
5.63
0.52
10.18%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
5.01
0.31
6.60%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
3.85
-4.68
-54.87%
PHX
PHX Minerals
4.35
1.07
32.62%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.72
-0.52
-23.21%
REI
Ring Energy
0.93
-0.97
-51.05%

Epsilon Energy Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Epsilon Energy Announces Acquisition of Peak Entities
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 11, 2025, Epsilon Energy Ltd. announced its entry into definitive agreements to acquire Peak Exploration & Production LLC and Peak BLM Lease LLC, entities majority owned by Yorktown Energy Partners LLC. The acquisition involves the issuance of 6 million Epsilon common shares and the assumption of an estimated $49 million in debt, with additional contingent consideration possible. The transactions, expected to close in Q4 2025 pending shareholder approval, aim to expand Epsilon’s asset base in the Powder River Basin, enhancing its operational control and growth opportunities. This strategic move is anticipated to be accretive to Epsilon’s forecasted financial metrics and reserves, while maintaining a strong balance sheet and dividend payouts.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPSN) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Epsilon Energy stock, see the EPSN Stock Forecast page.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Epsilon Energy Holds 2025 Annual General Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Epsilon Energy held its 2025 Annual General Meeting on May 21, 2025, with 67% of its common shares represented. During the meeting, shareholders voted to set the number of directors at six, elected six directors for a term expiring in 2026, re-appointed BDO USA, P.C. as auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers for 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPSN) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Epsilon Energy stock, see the EPSN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 15, 2025