tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Epsilon Energy Ltd. (EPSN)
:EPSN
US Market

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
116 Followers

Top Page

EP

Epsilon Energy

(NASDAQ:EPSN)

Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$8.50
▲(13.33%Upside)
Epsilon Energy's stock score is driven by strong financial performance and positive earnings call highlights, offset by valuation concerns and potential overbought technical indicators. The company's robust balance sheet and revenue growth are significant strengths, while challenges in profitability and market volatility pose risks.

Epsilon Energy (EPSN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Epsilon Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionEpsilon Energy (EPSN) is an independent oil and gas company engaged in the exploration and production of natural gas and oil. Operating primarily in the United States, the company focuses on the development of conventional and unconventional reserves. Epsilon Energy's core operations are concentrated in the Marcellus Shale of Pennsylvania and the Anadarko Basin in Oklahoma, where it leverages its expertise to enhance production efficiency and maximize resource recovery.
How the Company Makes MoneyEpsilon Energy primarily generates revenue through the sale of natural gas, oil, and natural gas liquids (NGLs) extracted from its wells. The company sells these commodities to various customers, including utility companies, industrial users, and other energy marketers. Epsilon Energy also benefits from partnerships and joint ventures, which help in sharing costs and risks associated with exploration and production activities. Additionally, the company may engage in hedging activities to manage commodity price risks, which can also impact its earnings. Revenue is influenced by factors such as commodity prices, production volumes, and operational efficiency.

Epsilon Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 14, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 10.78%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call highlighted strong financial performance, particularly in the Marcellus and midstream operations, and a robust balance sheet. However, the company faces challenges with limited development in key areas and a volatile oil price environment impacting investment plans. The hedging strategy may also limit upside from future favorable price changes.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Marcellus Upstream Cash Flows Surge
Marcellus upstream cash flows were up sequentially over 200% due to a 58% increase in production and a 70% increase in realized pricing.
Midstream Cash Flows Increase
Midstream cash flows increased 140% sequentially on higher throughput volumes.
Strong Balance Sheet and Cash Flows
The company reports a strong balance sheet and cash flows, leaving them well-positioned to capitalize on attractive opportunities while maintaining their dividend.
Successful Well Completions in Canada
In Canada, the first two horizontal Mannville wells in the Garrington area were completed and are currently on production with sales commencing in April.
Negative Updates
Limited Development in Marcellus
The company does not expect additional investments or incremental development in Marcellus this year despite having substantial undeveloped inventory.
Volatile Oil Price Environment
In light of current oil price volatility, the company is working to minimize near-term activity and has limited capital expenditures planned for this year.
Hedging Strategy Adjustments
Approximately 45% of forecasted PDP oil production is hedged for the remainder of the year at just over $71 WTI, with 30% hedged for gas at $3.33 NYMEX, which may limit benefits from potential favorable price changes.
Company Guidance
During the Epsilon Energy first quarter 2025 earnings call, the company reported a significant increase in Marcellus upstream cash flows, which surged over 200% sequentially due to a 58% rise in production and a 70% boost in realized pricing. Additionally, midstream cash flows rose by 140% on higher throughput volumes. The company plans to invest $9 million to $12 million in capital expenditures for the remainder of 2025, including a $1.5 million drilling carry in Alberta, while refraining from further investments in Pennsylvania. It has hedged approximately 45% of forecasted PDP oil production at just over $71 WTI and about 30% of forecasted PDP gas production at $3.33 NYMEX for the rest of the year. Development plans include drilling two wells in Texas and continuing production optimization in Alberta, with ongoing discussions about the next steps in the project.

Epsilon Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Epsilon Energy shows strong revenue growth and effective cost management with a healthy gross profit margin. The balance sheet is robust with minimal leverage, though declining returns on equity and net profit margins pose concerns. Cash flow management needs improvement to ensure sustainable free cash flow.
Income Statement
78
Positive
Epsilon Energy has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years, with a notable rise from $24.4M in 2020 to $39.7M in TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months). The gross profit margin is healthy at 45.1%, indicating effective cost management. However, net profit margins have seen fluctuations, currently at 11.2% in TTM, down from previous years. EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid, reflecting operational efficiency, but the decline in net income from 2022 indicates potential challenges in profitability.
Balance Sheet
72
Positive
The company's balance sheet is robust, characterized by a very low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.004, implying minimal leverage and financial risk. The equity ratio is strong at 79.5%, suggesting a stable capital structure. However, the return on equity has seen a decline, with a ROE of 4.45% in TTM, which could indicate inefficiencies in generating profits from equity.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a mixed picture. While operating cash flow remains strong at $21.7M in TTM, the free cash flow is negative at -$2.06M, primarily due to high capital expenditures. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable, suggesting good cash generation relative to net profits, but the negative free cash flow indicates a need for better capital expenditure management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue39.70M31.52M30.73M69.96M42.40M24.43M
Gross Profit17.90M11.81M14.18M54.11M27.15M6.39M
EBITDA19.01M13.79M17.91M53.43M22.80M11.12M
Net Income4.44M1.93M6.95M35.35M11.63M875.17K
Balance Sheet
Total Assets125.51M120.45M124.04M123.86M99.46M86.68M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.89M6.52M32.18M45.24M26.50M13.27M
Total Debt447.82K476.91K563.38K35.30K0.000.00
Total Liabilities25.80M23.73M23.43M19.62M20.20M17.66M
Stockholders Equity99.70M96.73M100.61M104.25M79.26M69.02M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.06M-19.73M-457.78K29.94M15.12M8.29M
Operating Cash Flow21.72M16.83M18.19M38.01M20.01M14.82M
Investing Cash Flow-11.66M-16.66M-38.38M-7.87M-4.44M-6.52M
Financing Cash Flow-6.09M-7.32M-11.73M-11.35M-2.34M-9.08M

Epsilon Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price7.50
Price Trends
50DMA
7.29
Negative
100DMA
6.94
Positive
200DMA
6.38
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
40.55
Neutral
STOCH
17.32
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EPSN, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 7.5 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 7.81, above the 50-day MA of 7.29, and above the 200-day MA of 6.38, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 40.55 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 17.32 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for EPSN.

Epsilon Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (68)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$15.14B9.956.38%5.21%4.16%-67.19%
65
Neutral
$165.13M37.394.45%3.33%35.21%-9.18%
REREI
59
Neutral
$163.36M2.238.52%-4.51%-10.09%
REREI
59
Neutral
$163.36M2.238.52%-4.51%-10.09%
EPEPM
51
Neutral
$171.54M89.30-1.24%9.60%3.79%-131.01%
EPEPM
51
Neutral
$171.54M89.30-1.24%9.60%3.79%-131.01%
GTGTE
51
Neutral
$172.41M21.67-4.07%-2.39%-425.29%
GTGTE
51
Neutral
$172.41M21.67-4.07%-2.39%-425.29%
WTWTI
50
Neutral
$261.34M203.83%2.26%-5.05%-383.38%
WTWTI
50
Neutral
$261.34M203.83%2.26%-5.05%-383.38%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
7.20
2.07
40.35%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
4.80
0.06
1.27%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
4.80
0.06
1.27%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
4.88
-4.78
-49.48%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
4.88
-4.78
-49.48%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.72
-0.46
-21.10%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.72
-0.46
-21.10%
REI
Ring Energy
0.78
-1.03
-56.91%
REI
Ring Energy
0.78
-1.03
-56.91%

Epsilon Energy Corporate Events

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Epsilon Energy Holds 2025 Annual General Meeting
Neutral
May 22, 2025

Epsilon Energy held its 2025 Annual General Meeting on May 21, 2025, with 67% of its common shares represented. During the meeting, shareholders voted to set the number of directors at six, elected six directors for a term expiring in 2026, re-appointed BDO USA, P.C. as auditors for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025, and approved the compensation for the company’s named executive officers for 2024.

The most recent analyst rating on (EPSN) stock is a Buy with a $7.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Epsilon Energy stock, see the EPSN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 10, 2025