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W&t Offshore (WTI)
NYSE:WTI

W&T Offshore (WTI) AI Stock Analysis

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WTI

W&T Offshore

(NYSE:WTI)

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Neutral 50 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:50Neutral
Price Target:
$2.00
▲(14.29% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak profitability and a high-risk balance sheet (negative equity), partially offset by a solid earnings-call operational update (higher production, lower costs, improved cash and lower net debt). Technicals are moderately supportive, while valuation remains constrained by losses despite a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Production Growth
Sustained production growth from asset integrations and high-return workovers increases scalable cash generation and reserve conversion. Over 2-6 months higher output supports revenue stability, better unit economics, and provides operational momentum for further investment.
Unit Cost Reduction
Lower lease operating expenses improve margin resiliency and free-cash generation per barrel. Durable cost discipline reduces breakeven sensitivity to commodity prices, strengthening the company's ability to sustain operations and dividends through commodity cycles.
Improved Liquidity and Deleveraging
Material cash buildup and a meaningful net-debt reduction enhance near-term liquidity and financing optionality. This stronger cash position supports planned capex, dividends, and reduces refinancing pressure, improving financial flexibility over the coming quarters.
Negative Factors
Negative Equity
Negative shareholders' equity indicates liabilities exceed assets, elevating solvency and covenant risks. Over months this undermines capital-market access, limits strategic flexibility, and increases the likelihood that the company must pursue dilutive equity, asset sales, or costly refinancing.
Persistent GAAP Losses
Large GAAP losses and negative operating margins erode retained earnings and limit ability to self-fund growth. Even with adjusted EBITDA improvements, continued negative profitability threatens long-term dividend sustainability and constrains reinvestment without structural margin recovery.
Declining Free Cash Flow
Declining free cash flow reduces internal funding for capex and debt reduction, increasing reliance on external financing or asset monetizations. Coupled with negative equity, weaker FCF materially constrains balance sheet repair and long-term operational investments.

W&T Offshore (WTI) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

W&T Offshore Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionW&T Offshore, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas producer, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and natural gas properties in the Gulf of Mexico. The company sells crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. As of December 31, 2021, the company had working interests in 43 fields in federal and state waters; and under lease approximately 606,000 gross acres, including approximately 419,000 gross acres on the Gulf of Mexico Shelf, as well as approximately 187,000 gross acres in the Gulf of Mexico deepwater. W&T Offshore, Inc. was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
How the Company Makes MoneyW&T Offshore generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil and natural gas produced from its properties. The company operates on a model that involves acquiring interests in oil and gas fields, drilling wells, and extracting hydrocarbons for sale in the energy market. The main revenue streams include the sale of produced oil and natural gas, with prices generally influenced by market conditions, global supply and demand, and geopolitical factors. Additionally, W&T Offshore may engage in joint ventures or partnerships for exploration and production, which can provide shared costs and risks while enhancing their earning potential. The company also benefits from hedging strategies that can stabilize cash flow by locking in prices for future production.

W&T Offshore Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call highlighted strong operational performance with increased production, cost reduction, and EBITDA growth. However, the company reported a GAAP net loss due to noncash adjustments and increased capital expenditures. Overall, the company is well-positioned financially and operationally.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Production
Production increased by 6% quarter-over-quarter to 35,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, near the high end of guidance.
Cost Reduction
LOE reduced by 8% to approximately $23 per barrel oil equivalent, reflecting disciplined cost management.
EBITDA Growth
Adjusted EBITDA grew by 11% quarter-over-quarter to $39 million, despite lower commodity prices.
Improved Financial Position
Unrestricted cash grew to approximately $125 million while net debt was lowered to under $226 million.
Successful Asset Integration
Integration of former Cox assets and high-return workovers contributed to increased production and cash flow.
Negative Updates
GAAP Net Loss
Reported a net loss due to a noncash increase to the valuation allowance on deferred tax assets.
Increased Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures increased to $22.5 million in Q3 2025, driven by recompletion and facility CapEx work.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, W&T Offshore demonstrated strong operational and financial performance, with several key metrics highlighting its achievements. The company increased production by 6% quarter-over-quarter to 35,600 barrels of oil equivalent per day, driven by successful asset integrations and high-return workovers. Operating costs were managed effectively, with LOE reduced by 8% to approximately $23 per barrel of oil equivalent, falling within the guidance range. Adjusted EBITDA grew by 11% to $39 million, despite lower commodity prices. Cash flow from operations amounted to $26.5 million, bolstering the company's unrestricted cash reserves to $125 million. W&T also reduced its net debt by about $60 million in 2025, further strengthening its balance sheet. The company has maintained its dividend policy, having paid consistent quarterly dividends over two years, with the fourth quarter 2025 dividend announced. Looking ahead, W&T expects to sustain growth with a production target of 36,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day for the fourth quarter and continues to focus on cost reduction and operational synergies.

W&T Offshore Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Financials are pressured by weak profitability (TTM net margin -29.25%, EBIT margin -12.28%) and a highly stressed balance sheet with negative equity (-$172.49M), indicating elevated financial risk despite positive operating cash flow ($46.99M TTM).
Income Statement
45
Neutral
The income statement shows a declining trend in revenue and profitability. The TTM data reveals a negative net profit margin of -29.25%, indicating significant losses. Gross profit margin has decreased to 36.24% from a high of 74.67% in 2021. Revenue growth is minimal at 1.24% TTM, following a decline in previous years. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are also under pressure, with EBIT margin at -12.28% and EBITDA margin at 16.25% TTM. Overall, the company is struggling with profitability and revenue growth.
Balance Sheet
30
Negative
The balance sheet reflects high financial risk with negative stockholders' equity of -$172.49 million TTM, resulting in a negative debt-to-equity ratio. The return on equity is extremely high at 142.53% TTM, but this is due to the negative equity base rather than strong performance. The equity ratio is negative, indicating that liabilities exceed assets. The company is highly leveraged, posing a significant risk to financial stability.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis shows mixed results. Operating cash flow is positive at $46.99 million TTM, but free cash flow has decreased significantly. The free cash flow to net income ratio is 0.70, indicating some ability to cover net losses with free cash flow. However, the free cash flow growth rate is negative, suggesting declining cash generation capabilities. The company needs to improve its cash flow management to support operations and reduce financial risk.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue500.09M525.26M532.66M921.00M558.01M346.63M
Gross Profit181.26M354.06M391.73M778.75M439.57M227.92M
EBITDA81.24M118.72M222.33M487.88M133.96M189.38M
Net Income-146.30M-87.14M15.60M231.15M-41.48M37.79M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets960.63M1.10B1.11B1.43B1.19B940.58M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments124.80M109.00M173.34M461.36M245.80M43.73M
Total Debt352.18M394.75M402.86M705.59M743.24M637.04M
Total Liabilities1.13B1.15B1.08B1.42B1.44B1.15B
Stockholders Equity-172.49M-52.58M31.19M7.63M-247.18M-208.29M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow11.04M-58.64M34.25M246.34M100.94M87.43M
Operating Cash Flow46.99M59.54M115.33M339.53M133.67M108.51M
Investing Cash Flow17.49M-118.18M-81.61M-95.08M-27.44M-47.62M
Financing Cash Flow-69.09M-8.56M-321.74M-28.89M100.27M-49.60M

W&T Offshore Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price1.75
Price Trends
50DMA
1.78
Positive
100DMA
1.88
Positive
200DMA
1.75
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.12
Negative
RSI
69.46
Neutral
STOCH
89.37
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For WTI, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 1.75 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 1.84, below the 50-day MA of 1.78, and above the 200-day MA of 1.75, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.12 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 69.46 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.37 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for WTI.

W&T Offshore Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$299.35M17.5112.07%-6.03%-54.59%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
64
Neutral
$246.60M-1.91%-15.44%-113.21%
52
Neutral
$203.19M-7.26-6.90%-9.46%-144.89%
51
Neutral
$137.90M-635.48-0.19%13.52%-2.23%-104.00%
50
Neutral
$322.85M-2.202.41%-6.92%-126.24%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
WTI
W&T Offshore
2.17
0.66
43.52%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
3.94
-0.81
-17.04%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
5.02
-0.20
-3.83%
PNRG
Primeenergy
183.09
-26.71
-12.73%
REI
Ring Energy
1.19
-0.13
-9.85%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 14, 2026