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Berry Petroleum Corp (BRY)
NASDAQ:BRY
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Berry Petroleum (BRY) AI Stock Analysis

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BRY

Berry Petroleum

(NASDAQ:BRY)

Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
$3.00
▲(4.90% Upside)
Berry Petroleum's overall score is driven by a positive earnings call outlook and stable financial performance, despite technical analysis indicating a bearish trend. The high dividend yield adds value, but the stock's high P/E ratio and profitability challenges weigh on the score.

Berry Petroleum (BRY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Berry Petroleum Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBerry Petroleum Company, LLC (NASDAQ: BRY) is a leading independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company based in the United States. The company primarily operates in the onshore regions of California and Utah, focusing on the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. Berry Petroleum utilizes advanced technologies and operational efficiencies to optimize production from its diverse asset portfolio, which includes both conventional and unconventional resources.
How the Company Makes MoneyBerry Petroleum generates revenue primarily through the sale of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids (NGLs). The company’s revenue model is largely dependent on the pricing of these commodities, which can fluctuate based on market conditions. Key revenue streams include direct sales of produced hydrocarbons to refiners and marketers, as well as potential hedging activities to mitigate price volatility. Additionally, Berry Petroleum may engage in joint ventures and partnerships with other companies to enhance its operational capabilities and expand its asset base, which can further contribute to its earnings. The company’s focus on efficient production techniques and cost management also plays a vital role in maintaining profitability in a competitive market.

Berry Petroleum Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -3.38%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 29, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call reflects a positive outlook for Berry Corporation, supported by strong free cash flow projections, significant cost savings, and positive regulatory developments. The company also highlighted their ongoing commitment to safety and shareholder value through debt reduction and dividends. However, there are concerns about elevated capital expenditures and dependence on regulatory outcomes. Overall, the positive aspects significantly outweigh the challenges.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Free Cash Flow Generation On Track
Berry Corporation is on track to generate meaningful free cash flow for the year, supported by a strong hedge position with 71% of expected oil production hedged at approximately $75 per barrel of Brent.
Significant Cost Savings in Utah
The company achieved meaningful cost savings of approximately $500,000 per well in Utah, with a current cost outlook approximately 20% lower than the average of their 6 nonoperated horizontal wells.
Positive Regulatory Developments in California
Berry is optimistic about favorable outcomes regarding the Kern County EIR and is encouraged by California Energy Commission's response to Governor Newsom's directives promoting responsible in-state production.
Zero Recordable Incidents
Berry reported another quarter of zero recordable incidents and zero lost time incidents in their E&P operations, highlighting their commitment to HSE excellence.
Debt Reduction and Dividend Commitment
Berry paid down $11 million of debt during the quarter, with total year-to-date debt reduction reaching $23 million. Additionally, the Board declared a dividend of $0.03 per share.
Negative Updates
Elevated Capital Expenditures
Capital expenditures were $54 million for the quarter, elevated compared to the prior quarter due to accelerated drilling and completion activity in Utah.
Dependence on Regulatory Outcomes
While Berry is optimistic about regulatory outcomes in California, there remains a dependence on favorable rulings which could impact future development projects.
Company Guidance
During the Berry Corporation's Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call, the company provided detailed guidance and metrics across various facets of its operations. The company maintained its 2025 guidance despite macroeconomic volatility, focusing on balance sheet strength and operational efficiencies. Berry highlighted a strong hedge position, with 71% of expected oil production hedged at approximately $75 per barrel of Brent for the remainder of the year, and 63% hedged for 2026 at $70 per barrel. The company reported oil and gas sales of $126 million in the second quarter, with adjusted EBITDA of $53 million and operating cash flow of $29 million. Capital expenditures were $54 million, and Berry successfully paid down $11 million of debt during the quarter, bringing the year-to-date total to $23 million. The company is on track to pay down at least $45 million of debt for the year. Berry's strategic focus remains on high-return development projects, with 16 wells drilled in California during the second quarter and significant operational efficiencies achieved in Utah, yielding cost savings of approximately $500,000 per well.

Berry Petroleum Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Berry Petroleum shows strong operational efficiency and cash flow management, but faces challenges in profitability and revenue growth. Stability is evident in the balance sheet with manageable leverage, yet the net loss in the TTM period raises concerns about sustainable profitability.
Income Statement
67
Positive
The company's income statement shows a mixed performance. The gross profit margin for TTM is exceptionally high, indicating efficient cost management, but the net profit margin is negative due to a net loss, signaling profitability issues. Revenue has experienced fluctuations, with a decline in the latest TTM period compared to the previous year. EBIT and EBITDA margins are relatively strong, showing operational efficiency despite revenue challenges.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The balance sheet appears stable with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, indicating a balanced approach to leverage. The equity ratio suggests a strong capital structure with a substantial portion of assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity is negative in the TTM period due to the net loss, highlighting profitability concerns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals a positive trend in free cash flow, showing improvement in cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust, indicating strong cash flow relative to reported earnings. However, the free cash flow to net income ratio is affected by the negative net income, reflecting challenges in translating profits into cash flow.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue751.37M783.84M863.45M1.06B701.35M406.05M
Gross Profit767.26M444.77M237.34M431.62M269.32M63.92M
EBITDA52.93M239.12M251.38M401.10M163.58M-96.64M
Net Income-37.34M19.25M37.40M250.17M-15.54M-262.89M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets1.40B1.52B1.59B1.63B1.46B1.42B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments39.00M15.34M4.83M46.25M15.28M80.56M
Total Debt376.41M435.18M436.06M397.40M394.57M393.48M
Total Liabilities772.87M787.05M836.18M830.54M763.83M705.77M
Stockholders Equity631.47M730.64M757.98M800.49M692.65M714.04M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow120.86M107.87M117.59M222.31M-10.63M102.73M
Operating Cash Flow228.82M210.22M198.66M360.94M122.49M196.53M
Investing Cash Flow-106.67M-105.56M-175.27M-164.55M-168.79M-93.62M
Financing Cash Flow-86.35M-79.46M-64.80M-165.42M-18.98M-22.35M

Berry Petroleum Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price2.86
Price Trends
50DMA
2.98
Negative
100DMA
2.83
Positive
200DMA
3.52
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.05
Positive
RSI
44.48
Neutral
STOCH
25.09
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For BRY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 2.86 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.02, below the 50-day MA of 2.98, and below the 200-day MA of 3.52, indicating a bearish trend. The MACD of -0.05 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 44.48 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 25.09 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for BRY.

Berry Petroleum Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$283.76M8.0228.43%69.21%47.13%
66
Neutral
$14.82B8.146.06%5.50%4.59%-64.35%
66
Neutral
$219.61M43.940.75%9.19%-40.96%
61
Neutral
$271.26M254.1539.61%0.40%-91.24%-94.60%
54
Neutral
$255.14M203.83%2.33%-11.53%-342.58%
43
Neutral
$165.47M-36.23%6.28%13.18%
39
Underperform
$246.67M-10.70%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
BRY
Berry Petroleum
2.86
-3.12
-52.17%
PNRG
Primeenergy
177.53
58.05
48.59%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.75
-0.42
-19.35%
SJT
San Juan Basin Royalty
5.77
1.95
51.05%
EP
Empire Petroleum
4.84
0.15
3.20%
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
21.05
-0.94
-4.27%

Berry Petroleum Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Berry Petroleum Updates Hedging Program and Liquidity
Positive
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, Berry Corporation announced updates to its hedging program and liquidity position, highlighting its financial strength amidst market volatility. The company has increased its average hedged price for 2026 and 2027 by $6 per barrel and reported a liquidity position of $120 million as of March 31, 2025. Berry’s oil volumes are significantly hedged for the remainder of 2025 and into 2026, ensuring stable cash flow and continued debt reduction. Additionally, Berry’s executives will participate in upcoming investor conferences, further engaging with stakeholders.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 12, 2025