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Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN)
NYSE:TBN
US Market

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) AI Stock Analysis

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TBN

Tamboran Resources Corporation

(NYSE:TBN)

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Neutral 53 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
$27.00
▲(0.15% Upside)
The score is held back primarily by weak financial performance (no revenue, worsening losses, and heavy negative free cash flow), partially offset by constructive technical momentum (above major moving averages with positive MACD) and improved funding runway from the recent equity raise. Valuation remains challenged due to negative earnings and no dividend support.
Positive Factors
Strategic Acquisition
The acquisition of Falcon Oil & Gas consolidates Tamboran's position in the Beetaloo Basin, expanding its resource base and enhancing its strategic market position.
Financing Secured
Securing significant financing supports the development of key infrastructure, ensuring progress in the Beetaloo Basin and enhancing long-term operational capacity.
Final Investment Decision
The FID on the Shenandoah South Pilot Project marks a critical step towards production, indicating progress in project execution and future revenue generation.
Negative Factors
Negative Cash Flow
Persistent negative cash flow indicates high financial risk, potentially limiting the company's ability to fund operations and growth without additional financing.
Pre-Revenue Model
Operating without revenue highlights the risk of ongoing losses, emphasizing the need for successful project execution to transition to a revenue-generating phase.
Worsening Losses
Worsening losses reflect operational challenges and increase the urgency for successful project completion to achieve financial sustainability.

Tamboran Resources Corporation (TBN) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Tamboran Resources Corporation Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTamboran Resources Corporation, a natural gas company, focuses on developing unconventional gas resources in the northern territory of Australia. Its assets include a 25% non-operated working interest in EP 161; a 38.75% working interest in EPs 76, 98, and 117; and a 100% working interest in EPs 136 and 143, as well as EP (A) 197, located in the Betaloo Basin. Tamboran Resources Corporation was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.
How the Company Makes MoneyTamboran Resources Corporation makes money through the exploration and production of natural gas, which is then sold to domestic and international markets. The company's revenue model is centered around the successful discovery and extraction of natural gas reserves, which are then commercialized through sales agreements with utility companies, industrial consumers, and possibly through liquefied natural gas (LNG) export contracts. Key revenue streams include the sale of natural gas, potential joint ventures, and partnerships with other energy companies to develop and monetize gas resources. Strategic partnerships and technological collaborations also play a significant role in enhancing the company's operational efficiencies and expanding its market reach.

Tamboran Resources Corporation Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Tamboran Resources Corporation is facing significant financial challenges with negative revenue and profitability metrics. While the balance sheet shows a strong equity base, the company's inability to generate positive cash flow and revenue is concerning. There is a heavy reliance on financing activities to support operations, posing potential risks if external funding becomes constrained.
Income Statement
Tamboran Resources Corporation exhibits a challenging financial position with consistent negative total revenue across all periods. The company has not generated any positive revenue, which is concerning for its future profitability. Gross profit margins and net profit margins are negative, reflecting substantial losses. The lack of revenue growth and negative EBIT and EBITDA margins further highlight operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
The company maintains a strong equity position with a high equity ratio, indicating potential resilience against financial distress. However, the debt-to-equity ratio suggests some leverage, although it remains manageable at current levels. The return on equity is negative due to ongoing net losses, which is a significant risk factor.
Cash Flow
Operating cash flows are consistently negative, which raises concerns about the company's ability to sustain operations without external financing. The free cash flow is also negative, indicating that the company is not generating sufficient cash to cover capital expenditures. This highlights potential liquidity challenges and reliance on financing activities.
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Gross Profit-599.64K-1.13M-120.44K-719.29K-407.63K0.00
EBITDA-34.59M-38.50M-20.37M-31.48M-7.38M-15.48M
Net Income-39.19M-36.90M-21.92M-32.03M-7.83M-23.82M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets446.46M446.46M358.64M182.85M134.07M112.57M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments45.16M39.44M74.75M7.06M26.81M63.08M
Total Debt26.40M26.40M27.89M479.70K1.11M1.47M
Total Liabilities57.01M57.01M50.96M22.27M5.46M8.20M
Stockholders Equity287.72M287.72M262.72M139.53M128.61M104.36M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-162.00M-139.77M-75.10M-21.40M-65.95M-21.85M
Operating Cash Flow-39.28M-29.64M-11.40M-12.80M-11.06M-8.63M
Investing Cash Flow-112.71M-98.77M-66.11M-86.53M-56.12M-13.21M
Financing Cash Flow122.25M101.06M146.39M85.24M31.11M79.34M

Tamboran Resources Corporation Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price26.96
Price Trends
50DMA
24.89
Positive
100DMA
24.27
Positive
200DMA
22.67
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.54
Negative
RSI
58.38
Neutral
STOCH
38.67
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For TBN, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 26.96 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 25.74, above the 50-day MA of 24.89, and above the 200-day MA of 22.67, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.54 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 38.67 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for TBN.

Tamboran Resources Corporation Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
71
Outperform
$271.41M15.8812.07%-6.03%-54.59%
65
Neutral
$15.17B7.614.09%5.20%3.87%-62.32%
57
Neutral
$191.68M-12.08-1.91%-15.44%-113.21%
53
Neutral
$567.01M-10.51-13.73%
52
Neutral
$185.38M-6.90%-9.46%-144.89%
47
Neutral
$230.60M-1.572.41%-6.92%-126.24%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
TBN
Tamboran Resources Corporation
26.96
5.57
26.04%
AMPY
Amplify Energy
4.58
-1.95
-29.86%
PNRG
Primeenergy
166.00
-39.02
-19.03%
WTI
W&T Offshore
1.55
-0.20
-11.43%
REI
Ring Energy
0.93
-0.58
-38.33%

Tamboran Resources Corporation Corporate Events

Business Operations and StrategyPrivate Placements and Financing
Tamboran Resources Secures $52.5 Million in Stock Offering
Positive
Oct 24, 2025

On October 24, 2025, Tamboran Resources Corporation entered into subscription agreements with investors to sell up to $29 million of common stock, subject to shareholder approval and other conditions. Additionally, the company closed an underwritten public offering of 2,324,445 shares, raising approximately $52.5 million to fund its development plan and other corporate purposes. The offering, launched on October 22, 2025, included an option for underwriters to purchase additional shares, which was fully exercised. These financial maneuvers are expected to strengthen Tamboran’s operational capabilities and market positioning.

The most recent analyst rating on (TBN) stock is a Hold with a $38.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Tamboran Resources Corporation stock, see the TBN Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Dec 30, 2025