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Amplify Energy Corp. (AMPY)
NYSE:AMPY
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Amplify Energy (AMPY) AI Stock Analysis

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AMPY

Amplify Energy

(NYSE:AMPY)

Rating:53Neutral
Price Target:
Amplify Energy's overall stock score reflects challenging financial performance with declining revenues and cash flow issues, despite a strong gross profit margin. The stock's technical indicators show a downward trend, adding pressure. The valuation is moderate, and strategic initiatives from the earnings call, particularly the merger with Juniper Capital, initially provided a positive outlook, but the subsequent termination of the merger presents a significant setback.
Positive Factors
Asset Sales
The sale of EF non-operated production ticks all the boxes, addressing investor concerns and aligning with strategic priorities.
Financial Health
Proceeds from asset sales will go towards debt reduction, showing a focused approach on financial health and stability.
Production Growth
Beta production reached new highs, indicating successful development and potential for future growth.
Negative Factors
Debt Levels
Debt levels were slightly higher sequentially at $127m.
Merger Termination
AMPY terminated the merger agreement with Juniper Capital Advisors, a casualty of low commodity prices and disagreements regarding strategic direction with some shareholders.
Production Challenges
Volumes were 11% below estimates because of downtime and drilling delays at Beta.

Amplify Energy (AMPY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Amplify Energy Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionAmplify Energy Corp. is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in the acquisition, development, exploration, and production of oil and natural gas properties. The company's operations are primarily focused in the United States, with key assets located in the Rockies, offshore California, east Texas, and the Eagle Ford. Amplify Energy is committed to efficient resource extraction and leveraging strategic acquisitions to enhance its asset portfolio.
How the Company Makes MoneyAmplify Energy makes money through the production and sale of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from its various properties. The company's revenue model is primarily based on the market prices of these commodities, which can fluctuate based on supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical factors, and market speculation. Amplify Energy also engages in hedging activities to mitigate the risk of price volatility. Additionally, the company may enter into joint ventures or partnerships to optimize resource development and share operational costs, which can contribute to its earnings.

Amplify Energy Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed sentiment. Amplify Energy reported strong operational and financial performance in certain areas, such as the Beta field development and successful acreage monetization. However, challenges like decreased production, higher operating costs, and a net loss for the quarter balanced these achievements.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong First Quarter Financial Performance
Amplify generated $19.4 million of adjusted EBITDA and $25.5 million of operating cash flow, with a production rate of 17,900 BOE per day.
Successful Beta Field Development
The C54 well in the D-Sand had an IP20 of approximately 800 barrels of oil per day, outperforming expectations with IRRs over 90% at $60 oil prices.
Positive Acreage Monetization
Amplify sold 90% of its interest in certain Haynesville units for a total of $9.2 million in net proceeds, while retaining a 10% working interest.
Cost Management and Hedging Strategy
Amplify deferred $50 million in capital projects due to oil price reduction, maintaining strong free cash flow. The company also expanded its hedging to protect future cash flows.
Negative Updates
Decreased Production and Natural Gas Challenges
A decrease of 0.6 MBoe per day from the prior quarter due to gas imbalance adjustments and adverse weather in Oklahoma.
Higher Operating Costs
Lease operating expenses increased by $2.3 million from the prior quarter, reaching $37.4 million.
Negative Free Cash Flow
Free cash flow was negative $7.2 million for the first quarter due to planned capital investments.
Net Loss for the Quarter
Amplify reported a net loss of $5.9 million, primarily due to a non-cash unrealized loss on commodity derivatives.
Company Guidance
During Amplify Energy's first quarter 2025 investor conference call, the company provided comprehensive guidance, highlighting several key metrics. Amplify generated $19.4 million in adjusted EBITDA and $25.5 million in operating cash flow, with daily production averaging 17,900 barrels of oil equivalent (BOE). The company reported a net loss of $5.9 million for the quarter, attributed mainly to non-cash unrealized losses on commodity derivatives. Amplify's production mix included 46% oil, 16% natural gas liquids (NGL), and 38% natural gas. Capital investments amounted to $23.1 million, with 55% allocated to the Beta development program. The firm's first-quarter lease operating expenses were $37.4 million, while cash general and administrative expenses totaled $7.3 million. Amplify's debt stood at $125 million, with liquidity of $20 million and a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 1.3 times. The company adjusted its 2025 production guidance to 19,000-20,500 BOE per day, partly due to deferred projects at Beta, leading to $50 million in capital savings. Amplify also monetized portions of its Haynesville acreage, generating $9.2 million in proceeds from three transactions. The company emphasized its robust hedge position, with 75%-80% of 2025 crude oil production and 80%-90% of natural gas production hedged, providing stability against market fluctuations.

Amplify Energy Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Amplify Energy faces mixed financial health with strong gross profit margins but declining revenues and net profit margins, signaling profit pressures. The balance sheet displays improved leverage but reduced profitability as seen in the lower ROE. Cash flow concerns arise with negative free cash flow and reduced operating cash flow, indicating potential challenges in sustaining operations without external financing.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Amplify Energy has shown an inconsistent revenue trend with a recent decline from $307.6M in 2023 to $294.7M in 2024. The gross profit margin improved significantly from 38.8% in 2023 to 93.7% in 2024, indicating better cost management. However, net profit margin dropped substantially from 127.7% to 4.4%, reflecting a significant decline in profitability. EBIT and EBITDA margins also decreased from 24.8% to 10.3% and from 64.2% to 10.4% respectively, indicating potential operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
The company improved its debt-to-equity ratio significantly from 0.31 in 2023 to 0.009 in 2024, reducing financial leverage. The equity ratio increased slightly from 53% to 54.7%, showing a stable financial position with a majority of the assets financed by equity. However, the return on equity (ROE) decreased from 100.5% to 3.2%, signaling a drastic decline in profitability relative to shareholders' equity.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Amplify Energy's operating cash flow fell from $141.6M in 2023 to $51.3M in 2024, impacting their cash generation capability. The free cash flow turned negative at -$20.9M from a positive $110.2M, indicating potential liquidity issues. The operating cash flow to net income ratio also dropped from 0.36 to approximately 3.96, showing reduced efficiency in converting profits into cash.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue279.29M294.68M307.60M458.46M342.92M202.14M
Gross Profit169.62M100.72M119.20M273.72M172.64M20.62M
EBITDA70.66M62.56M197.44M104.05M14.93M-444.40M
Net Income15.75M12.95M392.75M57.88M-44.23M-464.03M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets771.31M747.08M737.67M459.48M455.10M384.76M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments0.000.0020.75M-12.63M18.80M10.36M
Total Debt134.98M132.47M121.83M202.63M230.00M272.02M
Total Liabilities360.00M338.16M346.64M464.04M519.94M418.50M
Stockholders Equity411.31M408.91M391.04M-4.57M-64.84M-33.74M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow18.75M-20.93M110.21M29.66M33.14M38.44M
Operating Cash Flow77.38M51.29M141.59M64.48M62.97M74.33M
Investing Cash Flow-58.95M-82.03M-38.60M-41.52M-29.43M-35.89M
Financing Cash Flow4.76M9.99M-82.24M-41.76M-25.11M-28.40M

Amplify Energy Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price4.07
Price Trends
50DMA
3.64
Positive
100DMA
3.26
Positive
200DMA
4.32
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
0.13
Negative
RSI
58.22
Neutral
STOCH
70.00
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For AMPY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 4.07 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.88, above the 50-day MA of 3.64, and below the 200-day MA of 4.32, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 58.22 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 70.00 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for AMPY.

Amplify Energy Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (65)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
68
Neutral
$225.13M3.198.08%-13.66%-4.85%
65
Neutral
$15.54B7.272.96%5.23%4.26%-62.58%
64
Neutral
$129.26M25.145.18%4.27%45.90%-2.29%
57
Neutral
$176.00M89.30-1.24%9.30%3.79%-131.01%
54
Neutral
$175.25M-30.24%-10.49%17.74%
53
Neutral
$164.70M11.053.66%-10.36%-43.83%
47
Neutral
$146.46M21.67-16.06%-5.53%-216.84%
* Energy Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
AMPY
Amplify Energy
4.07
-2.63
-39.25%
EPM
Evolution Petroleum
5.16
0.59
12.91%
GTE
Gran Tierra Energy
4.11
-2.55
-38.29%
REI
Ring Energy
1.09
-0.63
-36.63%
EPSN
Epsilon Energy
5.86
0.92
18.62%
EP
Empire Petroleum
5.05
-0.31
-5.78%

Amplify Energy Corporate Events

M&A TransactionsShareholder MeetingsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Amplify Energy Ends Merger with Juniper Capital
Negative
Apr 25, 2025

On April 25, 2025, Amplify Energy Corp. announced the mutual termination of its merger agreement with Juniper Capital Advisors due to extraordinary market volatility, with Juniper receiving a cash payment of $800,000. As a result, Amplify canceled its special stockholders meeting and withdrew related proposals, while planning to update its business outlook and explore strategic alternatives to maximize stockholder value.

Spark’s Take on AMPY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMPY is a Neutral.

Amplify Energy’s overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenues and cash flow issues, despite a strong gross profit margin. The stock’s downward technical trend added pressure. However, strategic initiatives from the earnings call, particularly the merger with Juniper Capital, provide a positive outlook for future growth and operational improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on AMPY stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Amplify Energy Adjourns Special Stockholder Meeting
Neutral
Apr 23, 2025

On April 23, 2025, Amplify Energy Corp. adjourned its Special Meeting of Stockholders without conducting any business and announced plans to reconvene the meeting on May 1, 2025. The adjournment is intended to allow more time for soliciting proxies and facilitating broader stockholder participation in the proposed merger with Juniper Capital’s upstream Rocky Mountain portfolio companies.

Spark’s Take on AMPY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMPY is a Neutral.

Amplify Energy’s overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenues and cash flow issues, despite a strong gross profit margin. The stock’s downward technical trend added pressure. However, strategic initiatives from the earnings call, particularly the merger with Juniper Capital, provide a positive outlook for future growth and operational improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on AMPY stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and Strategy
Amplify Energy Amends Merger Agreement with Juniper Capital
Positive
Apr 15, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Amplify Energy Corp. announced an amendment to its merger agreement with Juniper Capital, increasing Juniper’s cash contribution from $5 million to $15 million. This move reflects Juniper’s confidence in the merger’s potential to create long-term value and reduce net debt. Amplify plans to issue Juniper 26.7 million shares and assume $133 million in net debt at closing. The merger is expected to enhance shareholder value by combining assets and leveraging hedging strategies to mitigate commodity price volatility.

Spark’s Take on AMPY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMPY is a Neutral.

Amplify Energy’s overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenues and cash flow issues, despite a strong gross profit margin. The stock’s downward technical trend and moderate valuation added pressure. However, strategic initiatives from the earnings call, particularly the merger with Juniper Capital, provide a positive outlook for future growth and operational improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on AMPY stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsShareholder Meetings
Amplify Energy Adjourns Special Meeting for Merger Vote
Neutral
Apr 14, 2025

On April 14, 2025, Amplify Energy Corp. announced its decision to adjourn its Special Meeting of Stockholders, initially convened on the same day, to April 23, 2025. This adjournment aims to allow more time for soliciting proxies and encouraging broader stockholder participation in the voting process related to the proposed merger with Juniper Capital’s upstream Rocky Mountain portfolio companies.

Spark’s Take on AMPY Stock

According to Spark, TipRanks’ AI Analyst, AMPY is a Neutral.

Amplify Energy’s overall stock score reflects a challenging financial performance with declining revenues and cash flow issues, despite a strong gross profit margin. The stock’s downward technical trend and moderate valuation added pressure. However, strategic initiatives from the earnings call, particularly the merger with Juniper Capital, provide a positive outlook for future growth and operational improvement.

To see Spark’s full report on AMPY stock, click here.

M&A TransactionsBusiness Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Amplify Energy Announces 2024 Financial Results and Merger Plans
Positive
Mar 5, 2025

On March 5, 2025, Amplify Energy announced its financial and operating results for the fourth quarter and full-year 2024, highlighting a net income of $12.9 million and an adjusted EBITDA of $103 million for the year. The company also provided updates on its strategic initiatives for 2025, including a merger with Juniper Capital’s portfolio companies, which is expected to enhance its asset base and operational efficiency. Additionally, Amplify reported successful monetization of its Haynesville interests, generating significant proceeds and establishing new partnerships.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Apr 29, 2025