tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY)
OTHER OTC:EBKDY
Advertisement

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
40 Followers

Top Page

EBKDY

Erste Group Bank AG

(OTC:EBKDY)

Rating:77Outperform
Price Target:―
Erste Group Bank AG's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, supporting a favorable stock score. The positive earnings outlook is tempered by regional challenges in Austria, and technical indicators suggest caution due to overbought conditions. Overall, the stock presents a compelling investment opportunity with some risks to monitor.

Erste Group Bank AG (EBKDY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Erste Group Bank AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionErste Group Bank AG provides a range of banking and other financial services to retail, corporate, real estate, and public sector customers in Austria, Central and Eastern Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Retail, Corporates, Group Markets, Asset/Liability Management & Local Corporate Center, Savings Banks, and Group Corporate Center segments. It provides mortgage and consumer loans, investment products, current accounts, savings products, and credit cards, as well as cross selling products, such as leasing, insurance, and building society products. The company also offers factoring and accounts receivable purchasing; investment, acquisition and leveraged, project, and commercial real estate finance; interest rate and currency hedging, letters of credit, documentary collections, and guarantees; account management, payments, digital-banking, and cash logistics services; equity interests and investments, revolving export credits lines, customer financing, and export guarantee; and loan syndication, and debt and equity capital market services. In addition, it provides cash management, trade finance, customer referral, markets execution, and custody and brokerage services. Further, the company offers corporate finance; portfolio management; trading and market; trade execution, market making, and short-term liquidity management; and asset/liability management services, as well as working capital and bridge loans. As of December 31, 2021, it operated 2,091 branches. The company was founded in 1819 and is headquartered in Vienna, Austria.
How the Company Makes MoneyErste Group Bank AG generates revenue primarily through its core banking activities. Retail banking is a significant source of income, with the bank earning interest on loans and mortgages provided to individual customers. Corporate banking also contributes substantially, with revenue coming from loans, credit services, and financial advisory for businesses. Additionally, the bank earns fees and commissions from asset management, insurance products, and transactional services. Erste Group's strategic partnerships and its regional focus further enhance its ability to capture market opportunities and drive profitability. The bank's investment banking operations, including trading and underwriting services, also play a role in its overall earnings.

Erste Group Bank AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 01, 2025
(Q1-2025)
|
% Change Since: 6.64%|
Next Earnings Date:Oct 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Erste Group demonstrated strong financial performance with improvements in asset quality and a solid capital position allowing for strategic flexibility. However, challenges such as net interest income pressure, higher banking taxes, and uncertainties surrounding a potential Polish acquisition present notable concerns.
Q1-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong Financial Results
Erste Group's financial results remained strong despite uncertainties, with quality revenue growth driven by core income such as net interest income and fees. Operating expenses were in line with guidance, and the efficiency ratio was at 48%, well within full-year guidance.
Loan and Deposit Growth
Customer loans grew by 5% year-over-year, with notable growth in the Czech Republic and Croatia. Customer deposits increased by 4.6% year-over-year, with core retail and SME deposits showing strength.
Improved Asset Quality
Asset quality improved with the NPL ratio decreasing to 2.5% and NPL coverage ratio increasing. The Austrian segment showed signs of improvement, with fewer defaults compared to the previous year.
Capital Position and Deployment Options
The CET1 ratio improved to 16.2% pro forma, with a positive impact from Basel IV implementation. The group plans not to operate with a CET1 ratio above 16% by year-end, indicating potential for capital deployment through M&A or increased distributions.
Negative Updates
Net Interest Income Challenges
The net interest margin decreased due to lower market interest rates and higher banking levies, with a notable decline in Austrian retail and SME entities.
Higher Banking Taxes
Increased banking taxes in Austria and Hungary negatively impacted financial results, with Austria's banking tax alone contributing an additional €20 million per quarter.
Potential Risks in Polish Acquisition
Discussions about acquiring a 49% stake in Santander Bank Polska pose uncertainties, particularly regarding regulatory risks such as Swiss franc loan issues and the impact on Erste's risk profile.
Company Guidance
During the Erste Group's First Quarter 2025 Results Conference Call, the management provided a comprehensive update on the financial performance and strategic priorities. The group reported a slight year-on-year revenue growth driven primarily by core income from net interest income and fees, despite a 3% decline in operating results compared to the previous year. The efficiency ratio stood at 48%, aligning with the full-year guidance. The group upgraded its fee income growth forecast from about 5% to more than 5%, showing confidence in achieving its financial goals. Net interest margin was projected around 2.4%, with potential adjustments due to falling market interest rates. The CET1 capital ratio was reported at 15.9%, with a pro forma ratio of 16.2%, reflecting strong internal capital generation and Basel IV implementation benefits. The group also discussed a potential acquisition of a 49% stake in Santander Bank Polska, emphasizing the requirement for the transaction to enhance profitability, EPS accretion, and ROE. If no acquisition occurs by the end of the year, Erste Group plans to focus on aggressive capital distribution, maintaining CET1 levels not exceeding 16%.

Erste Group Bank AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Erste Group Bank AG shows a robust financial profile with strong revenue growth and profitability metrics. The balance sheet is stable with prudent leverage, and cash flows are effectively managed, though some historical volatility is noted. Continued focus on operational efficiencies and cash flow stability is recommended.
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
The company has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a TTM revenue increase from the previous year. Gross profit margin and net profit margin are healthy, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. However, the EBITDA margin is relatively low, suggesting limited operational efficiency improvements.
Balance Sheet
88
Very Positive
Erste Group Bank AG exhibits a strong balance sheet with a healthy equity ratio, suggesting stability and financial resilience. The debt-to-equity ratio is manageable, highlighting prudent leverage levels. Return on equity is robust, indicating effective use of shareholder equity to generate profits.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement reflects a solid operating cash flow to net income ratio, showcasing effective cash generation. Free cash flow growth is positive, but historical fluctuations in cash flow suggest potential volatility. The free cash flow to net income ratio is strong, indicating good cash conversion from profits.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue11.13B11.06B10.29B8.39B7.60B7.16B
Gross Profit11.19B11.06B33.67B8.39B7.60B7.16B
EBITDA3.06B0.000.003.57B3.29B1.72B
Net Income3.16B3.13B3.00B2.17B1.92B783.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets361.07B353.74B337.15B323.87B307.43B277.39B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments41.68B25.13B31.51B35.68B61.92B52.60B
Total Debt55.52B42.01B69.75B36.57B32.72B31.24B
Total Liabilities328.47B322.97B308.65B298.56B32.72B31.24B
Stockholders Equity24.65B23.14B21.65B19.35B18.00B17.34B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow2.62B-9.78B2.06B-9.29B10.86B23.94B
Operating Cash Flow3.40B-9.03B2.59B-8.82B11.40B24.49B
Investing Cash Flow-981.00M-850.00M-599.00M-233.10M-483.40M-351.60M
Financing Cash Flow-938.00M-1.55B2.66B8.12B-1.31B1.13B

Erste Group Bank AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price49.16
Price Trends
50DMA
43.00
Positive
100DMA
39.14
Positive
200DMA
34.50
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.56
Negative
RSI
78.79
Negative
STOCH
99.91
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For EBKDY, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 49.16 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 45.34, above the 50-day MA of 43.00, and above the 200-day MA of 34.50, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.56 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 78.79 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 99.91 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for EBKDY.

Erste Group Bank AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (67)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
78
Outperform
$27.59B12.8711.58%3.59%2.08%2.87%
77
Outperform
$22.25B11.6211.59%4.06%2.83%20.85%
77
Outperform
$38.85B11.6114.71%3.41%9.59%17.05%
77
Outperform
$29.39B12.189.47%2.94%0.62%14.75%
75
Outperform
$24.50B10.9910.70%0.41%-2.10%-6.84%
73
Outperform
$23.75B12.0610.43%3.91%5.28%28.03%
67
Neutral
$17.02B11.609.79%3.95%10.61%2.06%
* Financial Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
EBKDY
Erste Group Bank AG
49.16
25.19
105.09%
FITB
Fifth Third Bancorp
41.17
2.91
7.61%
FCNCA
First Citizens BancShares
1,820.85
-133.43
-6.83%
HBAN
Huntington Bancshares
15.87
2.91
22.45%
MTB
M&T Bank
183.74
26.13
16.58%
RF
Regions Financial
24.64
4.67
23.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jan 02, 2025