Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ)
NASDAQ:DPZ
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Domino's Pizza
(NASDAQ:DPZ)
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Rating:59Neutral
Price Target:
$316.00
▼(-15.07% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:04/28/26
The score is primarily driven by strong underlying profitability and free-cash-flow generation, offset by significant balance-sheet leverage and a negative equity position. Technicals further weigh on the rating due to a pronounced downtrend, while valuation and the latest earnings call are neutral-to-moderately supportive given reasonable P/E, a modest dividend, and mixed but constructive guidance with continued buybacks.
Positive Factors
Franchised business model
Domino’s largely operates a franchised model that converts systemwide sales into recurring royalty and fee income. This asset-light structure limits store-level capex and operating cost exposure, enhancing margin leverage and scalability while enabling steady earnings growth tied to unit sales.
Negative Factors
Highly leveraged balance sheet
The company’s capital structure is highly leveraged with negative equity, increasing refinancing and interest-rate sensitivity. This constrained balance sheet reduces financial flexibility for opportunistic M&A, major investments or extended downturns, and elevates solvency and covenant risks over the medium term.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Franchised business model
Domino’s largely operates a franchised model that converts systemwide sales into recurring royalty and fee income. This asset-light structure limits store-level capex and operating cost exposure, enhancing margin leverage and scalability while enabling steady earnings growth tied to unit sales.
Read all positive factors
Domino's Pizza Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Revenue by Segment
Breaks down revenue from various business segments, such as delivery, carryout, and international operations, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and profitability.
Breaks down revenue from various business segments, such as delivery, carryout, and international operations, providing insight into which areas are driving growth and profitability.
Data provided by:
The Fly
The FlyDomino's Pizza (DPZ) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$10.06B
Dividend Yield1.63%
Average Volume (3M)939.57K
Price to Earnings (P/E)22.2
Beta (1Y)0.63
Revenue Growth5.17%
EPS Growth-0.62%
CountryUS
Employees10,200
SectorConsumer Cyclical
Sector Strength84
IndustryRestaurants
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)17.47
Shares Outstanding33,261,870
10 Day Avg. Volume724,745
30 Day Avg. Volume939,572
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio4.60
Price to Book (P/B)-3.67
Price to Sales (P/S)2.90
P/FCF Ratio21.33
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.49
Enterprise Value/Revenue3.00
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit7.50
Enterprise Value/Ebitda15.23
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$421.85Price Target Upside13.38% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering23
EPS Forecast (FY)19.22
Revenue Forecast (FY)$5.22B
Domino's Pizza Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Domino's Pizza, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a pizza company in the United States and internationally. It operates through three segments: U.S. Stores, International Franchise, and Supply Chain. The company offers pizzas under the D...
How the Company Makes Money
Domino’s primarily makes money through a franchised business model supplemented by supply chain operations and, to a lesser extent, company-operated restaurants.
1) Franchise royalties and fees (franchised stores): Domino’s earns ongoing royaltie...
Domino's Pizza Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 27, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Jul 16, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed but constructive picture: Q1 results missed management expectations (same-store sales +0.9%) and competitive/macro pressures intensified in March, prompting a modestly lowered near-term outlook. However, there are multiple substantive positives — global retail growth, net store additions, supply chain margin improvement, strong cash generation and capital returns (including significant repurchases), a full app/UX launch and operational technology rollouts — and management emphasized long-term confidence, strategic adjustments and continued market-share gains. Short-term challenges are acknowledged and management outlined concrete mitigations and continued investment in value, product innovation and marketing.Positive Updates
Global Retail Sales Growth
Global retail sales grew 3.4% in Q1 excluding foreign currency, driven by positive U.S. comps and more than 900 net new stores globally over the past 12 months.
Negative Updates
Q1 Same-Store Sales Miss
Same-store sales of +0.9% for Q1 fell short of management expectations and below the company's prior aspiration for the year (3% U.S. target reiterated as company objective but guidance revised).
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Global Retail Sales Growth
Global retail sales grew 3.4% in Q1 excluding foreign currency, driven by positive U.S. comps and more than 900 net new stores globally over the past 12 months.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Domino's updated 2026 guidance calls for U.S. same‑store sales to be up low single digits (positive low single digits, roughly 0–3%) and international comps to be up low single digits, which they expect to drive global retail sales growth of mid‑single digits (excludes the 53rd week); operating income growth is now forecast to be mid‑ to high‑single digits (ex‑FX, refranchising gains and the aircraft sale). Management reiterated a 3% U.S. SSS objective for the year despite a Q1 U.S. SSS of 0.9% (Q1 U.S. retail sales +2.8%; global retail sales +3.4% ex‑FX), noted carryout comps +2.4% vs. delivery −0.3%, ticket benefited ~+0.9% from pricing, and said they still expect 175+ net U.S. stores and ~800 net international stores (Q1 added 19 U.S. stores, U.S. system now >7,200; >900 net stores added globally over the last 12 months). Other disclosed metrics: Q1 income from operations +4.2% ex‑FX/aircraft gain; ~446,000 shares repurchased for ~$170M YTD through April 21 with ~$1.29B remaining on the buyback authorization; and leverage around 4.3% within their 4–6x target range.Domino's Pizza Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
82
Very Positive
Balance Sheet
28
Negative
Cash Flow
74
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 4.98B | 4.94B | 4.71B | 4.48B | 4.54B | 4.36B |
| Gross Profit | 1.99B | 1.97B | 1.85B | 1.73B | 1.65B | 1.69B |
| EBITDA | 982.15M | 1.06B | 1.01B | 929.55M | 851.34M | 890.43M |
| Net Income | 591.86M | 601.70M | 584.17M | 519.12M | 452.26M | 510.47M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 1.84B | 1.80B | 1.74B | 1.67B | 1.60B | 1.67B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 232.92M | 433.99M | 186.13M | 114.10M | 60.36M | 148.16M |
| Total Debt | 5.14B | 5.23B | 5.20B | 5.21B | 5.25B | 5.29B |
| Total Liabilities | 5.75B | 5.70B | 5.70B | 5.75B | 5.79B | 5.88B |
| Stockholders Equity | -3.91B | -3.90B | -3.96B | -4.07B | -4.19B | -4.21B |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 654.09M | 671.50M | 512.01M | 485.47M | 388.08M | 560.03M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 774.94M | 792.06M | 624.90M | 590.86M | 475.32M | 654.21M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -62.29M | -70.19M | -31.23M | -106.92M | -53.68M | -142.72M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -788.60M | -752.09M | -532.22M | -476.36M | -515.95M | -522.83M |
Domino's Pizza Technical Analysis
Positive
372.06
Price Trends
382.17
Negative
397.93
Negative
415.72
Negative
Market Momentum
-3.80
Negative
48.65
Neutral
41.88
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DPZ, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 372.06 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 366.25, below the 50-day MA of 382.17, and below the 200-day MA of 415.72, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -3.80 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 48.65 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.88 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DPZ.
Domino's Pizza Risk Analysis
Domino's Pizza disclosed 27 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Domino's Pizza reported the most risks in the "Production" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 1 New Risks
1.
We and our franchisees are subject to extensive laws and government regulation and requirements issued by other groups and our failure to comply with existing or increased laws and regulations could adversely affect our business and operating results. Q4, 2025
Domino's Pizza Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $34.61B | 18.97 | 27.14% | 3.60% | 9.26% | -3.76% | |
67 Neutral | $41.33B | 24.92 | -23.33% | 1.84% | 9.65% | 23.32% | |
61 Neutral | $18.38B | 12.79 | -2.54% | 3.03% | 1.52% | -15.83% | |
60 Neutral | $1.71B | 15.36 | 32.50% | 3.27% | 4.66% | 42.60% | |
59 Neutral | $10.06B | 22.18 | -15.04% | 1.63% | 5.17% | -0.62% | |
53 Neutral | $1.53B | 7.07 | 150.73% | 8.15% | -1.84% | -17.48% | |
50 Neutral | $1.14B | 17.53 | -8.28% | 4.72% | -2.41% | -64.77% |
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
DPZ
Domino's Pizza
302.29
-186.94
-38.21%
ARCO
Arcos Dorados Holdings
8.13
0.72
9.64%
PZZA
Papa John's International
34.73
-5.15
-12.91%
WEN
Wendy's
8.02
-3.59
-30.93%
YUM
Yum! Brands
149.97
3.15
2.14%
QSR
Restaurant Brands International
75.84
7.05
10.25%
Domino's Pizza Corporate Events
Business Operations and StrategyExecutive/Board Changes
Domino’s Names New Principal Accounting Officer, Ensuring Continuity
Positive
Apr 27, 2026
On April 21, 2026, Domino’s Pizza, Inc. appointed long-time company finance executive Brian J. Pangburn as Vice President—Controller, naming him the company’s principal accounting officer after nearly two decades of progressive a...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Domino’s Shareholders Back Board, Governance Structure at Meeting
Neutral
Apr 24, 2026
Domino’s Pizza held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders on April 21, 2026, with 88.14% of eligible shares represented, and shareholders elected eight directors to one-year terms while ratifying PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the independe...
Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Domino’s Pizza Announces Retirement of Long-Serving Board Director
Neutral
Feb 20, 2026
On February 18, 2026, Domino’s Pizza announced that long-serving director James A. Goldman will retire from its Board of Directors and will not stand for reelection at the company’s 2026 Annual Meeting of Shareholders in April. After m...
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.