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DAIKIN
(OTC:DKILY)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$15.00
â–²(2.88% Upside)
Action:Downgraded
Date:08/06/26
DKILY’s score is primarily supported by solid underlying profitability, steady TTM revenue growth, and improving free cash flow, offset by mild margin compression and a recent uptick in leverage. The biggest near-term drag is technical weakness (price below key moving averages and negative MACD). Valuation is neither clearly cheap nor extreme, with a modest dividend yield.
Positive Factors
Diversified recurring revenue (equipment, parts, services, chemicals)
Daikin’s multi‑stream business—new HVAC and refrigeration equipment, aftermarket parts, contracted services, and a chemicals segment—creates recurring demand from a large installed base. This diversification smooths revenue cycles, supports aftermarket margin capture, and sustains long‑term cash flows independent of single product cycles.
Negative Factors
Net margin has drifted lower
The observed net margin decline suggests margin pressure from cost inflation, pricing dynamics, or product mix shifts. Persistent margin erosion would reduce retained earnings available for reinvestment and shareholder returns, and could signal weakening operational leverage if not reversed through cost actions or pricing.
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Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified recurring revenue (equipment, parts, services, chemicals)
Daikin’s multi‑stream business—new HVAC and refrigeration equipment, aftermarket parts, contracted services, and a chemicals segment—creates recurring demand from a large installed base. This diversification smooths revenue cycles, supports aftermarket margin capture, and sustains long‑term cash flows independent of single product cycles.
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DAIKIN (DKILY) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$43.55B
Dividend Yield1.33%
Average Volume (3M)45.07K
Price to Earnings (P/E)24.8
Beta (1Y)0.53
Revenue Growth6.74%
EPS Growth5.42%
CountryUS
Employees104,095
SectorIndustrials
Sector Strength72
IndustryConstruction
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)95.79
Shares Outstanding2,931,139,600
10 Day Avg. Volume98,005
30 Day Avg. Volume45,068
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio2.01
Price to Book (P/B)1.70
Price to Sales (P/S)1.05
P/FCF Ratio20.42
Enterprise Value/Market Cap<0.01
Enterprise Value/Revenue<0.01
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit<0.01
Enterprise Value/Ebitda<0.01
Forecast
1Y Price TargetN/A
Price Target UpsideN/A
Rating ConsensusN/A
Number of Analyst Covering0
EPS Forecast (FY)0.64
Revenue Forecast (FY)$33.62B
DAIKIN Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Daikin Industries, Ltd., a global enterprise headquartered in Osaka, Japan, and established in 1924, is primarily engaged in the development, manufacturing, and worldwide distribution of a diverse array of products. Its core business revolves arou...
How the Company Makes Money
Daikin primarily makes money by designing, manufacturing, and selling HVAC and refrigeration equipment and systems. Revenue is generated from (1) equipment sales to residential customers (e.g., room air conditioners and heat pumps) and to commerci...
DAIKIN Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Aug 04, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 10, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presented a mixed picture: Q1 delivered encouraging profit improvement (10% operating margin), successful absorption of the immediate tariff hit (JPY7.5 billion) through price and cost actions, DNA margin gains and targeted growth in high value-added products and specific chemical applications. However, demand headwinds persist—weak US housing market, elevated distribution inventories, notable declines in the chemicals business, ASEAN slowdown and weak heat pump recovery in Europe—which create uncertainty around volume recovery and the full-year outlook. Management is shifting to profit-oriented budget discipline, believes the full-year tariff impact will be less than previously guided (JPY47 billion), and is accelerating cost, price and operational measures. Overall, the positives on profitability and management action balance the significant demand and inventory challenges, leading to cautious optimism but remaining risks to volume-driven growth.Positive Updates
Record Operating Profit Margin and Tariff Absorption
Achieved an operating profit margin of 10% in Q1, exceeding the company's internal plan. The direct negative impact of US tariff measures in Q1 was approximately JPY7.5 billion on an operating profit basis and was fully absorbed by price increases (~JPY5.0 billion) and cost reductions (~JPY2.5 billion). Management is aiming for operating profit to further exceed the annual plan of JPY435 billion.
Negative Updates
Sluggish US Housing Market and Industry Weakness
Industry manufacturer shipments in the US are estimated at about 84%–85% in Q1, reflecting weak demand in the residential market. DNA experienced an 8-point negative impact from volume. Company and market distribution inventories of residential products in the US remain high, weighing on near-term demand recovery.
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Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Operating Profit Margin and Tariff Absorption
Achieved an operating profit margin of 10% in Q1, exceeding the company's internal plan. The direct negative impact of US tariff measures in Q1 was approximately JPY7.5 billion on an operating profit basis and was fully absorbed by price increases (~JPY5.0 billion) and cost reductions (~JPY2.5 billion). Management is aiming for operating profit to further exceed the annual plan of JPY435 billion.
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Company Guidance
Management guided that Q1 momentum and countermeasures should allow operating profit to further exceed the annual plan of JPY435.0 billion, noting Q1 operating profit margin was 10% (sales slightly below plan but profit slightly above), and that the direct Q1 tariff hit of ~JPY7.5 billion was fully absorbed by selling price increases (~JPY5.0 billion) and cost reductions (~JPY2.5 billion); the previously announced fiscal‑year tariff impact of JPY47.0 billion is now expected to be less than JPY47.0 billion and will be mitigated by further price increases, cost cuts and supply adjustments. Key metrics cited include air‑conditioning real YoY sales by region: Europe 102%, China 93%, Americas 104%, Asia 90%; chemicals real YoY sales: Americas 115%, China 95%, Europe 99%; DNA sales at 113% (local currency) with an 11% operating margin (up 2ppt YoY), DAA margin 9%, China residential multi‑split sales 99% YoY, European heat‑pump heating sales 110% YoY, Win‑Back progress ~45% at end‑June, industry shipments in the US at ~84–85% in Q1, inventories slightly up YoY but slightly below internal plan, and no changes to full‑year capex, depreciation or R&D plans.DAIKIN Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
74
Positive
Balance Sheet
71
Positive
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Mar 2026 | Mar 2026 | Mar 2025 | Mar 2024 | Mar 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 5.32T | 5.32T | 4.75T | 4.40T | 3.98T | 3.11T |
| Gross Profit | 1.77T | 1.78T | 1.63T | 1.51T | 1.33T | 1.06T |
| EBITDA | 736.81B | 732.88B | 665.14B | 645.76B | 559.26B | 464.41B |
| Net Income | 278.37B | 291.83B | 264.76B | 260.31B | 257.75B | 217.71B |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 5.91T | 5.83T | 5.13T | 4.88T | 4.30T | 3.82T |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 919.42B | 937.53B | 802.66B | 737.96B | 617.66B | 817.62B |
| Total Debt | 1.20T | 1.10T | 986.85B | 968.18B | 887.63B | 824.81B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.88T | 2.50T | 2.27T | 2.19T | 2.02T | 1.82T |
| Stockholders Equity | 2.97T | 3.27T | 2.81T | 2.64T | 2.24T | 1.97T |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 338.78B | 272.25B | 268.46B | 156.93B | -16.18B | 130.97B |
| Operating Cash Flow | 562.90B | 493.94B | 514.45B | 399.57B | 158.90B | 245.07B |
| Investing Cash Flow | -323.60B | -336.99B | -337.41B | -227.19B | -229.79B | -180.79B |
| Financing Cash Flow | -243.62B | -170.49B | -153.47B | -129.62B | -113.09B | -48.70B |
DAIKIN Technical Analysis
Negative
14.58
Price Trends
14.89
Negative
14.24
Negative
13.36
Positive
Market Momentum
-0.18
Positive
35.25
Neutral
33.53
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DKILY, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 14.58 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 14.88, below the 50-day MA of 14.89, and above the 200-day MA of 13.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.18 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 35.25 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 33.53 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DKILY.
DAIKIN Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
75 Outperform | $88.84B | 25.42 | 26.94% | 1.12% | 6.81% | 70.90% | |
69 Neutral | $100.10B | 34.31 | 34.49% | 0.83% | 7.04% | 4.58% | |
66 Neutral | $50.95B | 42.53 | 8.89% | 1.37% | -1.58% | -43.59% | |
65 Neutral | $14.29B | 20.54 | 41.06% | 1.31% | 1.90% | -2.79% | |
65 Neutral | $14.37B | 18.75 | 65.30% | 0.97% | -2.11% | -5.59% | |
63 Neutral | $10.79B | 15.43 | 7.44% | 2.01% | 2.89% | -14.66% | |
62 Neutral | $43.55B | 24.78 | 9.01% | 1.34% | 6.74% | 5.42% |
* Industrials Sector Average
DKILY
DAIKIN
14.06
0.50
3.69%
CSL
Carlisle Companies
387.49
25.45
7.03%
TT
Trane Technologies
482.31
56.19
13.19%
JCI
Johnson Controls
152.21
48.01
46.08%
LII
Lennox International
439.77
-136.36
-23.67%
CARR
Carrier Global
64.01
-1.02
-1.57%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.