Mercedes-Benz Group (DE:MBG)
XETRA:MBG
Advertisement

Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
968 Followers

Top Page

DE:MBG

Mercedes-Benz Group

(XETRA:MBG)

Select Model
Select Model
Select Model
Outperform 74 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
€64.00
▲(7.45% Upside)
Mercedes-Benz Group's stock score is driven by strong technical indicators and attractive valuation metrics, including a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. However, financial performance concerns, such as declining revenue and margins, and mixed earnings call sentiment due to external challenges, moderate the overall score.
Positive Factors
Product and Technology Offensive
The launch of over 25 new models, including electric vehicles, strengthens Mercedes-Benz's market position and innovation leadership, catering to evolving consumer preferences and regulatory trends towards sustainability.
Strong Cash Flow
Robust cash flow generation supports Mercedes-Benz's ability to invest in new technologies and maintain financial stability, ensuring long-term operational flexibility and shareholder returns.
Electric Vans Growth
The large order from Amazon for electric vans underscores the demand for Mercedes-Benz's electric offerings, reinforcing its competitive edge in the growing electric vehicle market.
Negative Factors
Revenue Decline
The decline in revenue indicates potential challenges in maintaining market share and pricing power, which could impact long-term profitability if not addressed.
Challenging Market in China
The challenging market environment in China poses a risk to Mercedes-Benz's growth, given China's significance as a major automotive market, potentially affecting future sales and profitability.
Tariff Impacts
Significant tariff impacts on financials could strain margins and profitability, necessitating strategic adjustments to mitigate long-term financial risks associated with trade policies.

Mercedes-Benz Group (MBG) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Mercedes-Benz Group Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionMercedes-Benz Group (MBG) is a global automotive corporation headquartered in Stuttgart, Germany, specializing in the design, manufacture, and sale of premium automobiles, buses, and trucks. The company operates primarily in the automotive sector, with a strong emphasis on luxury vehicles, electric mobility, and innovative automotive technologies. Its core products include the Mercedes-Benz passenger cars, smart city vehicles, and a wide range of commercial vehicles under various brands. Additionally, MBG has made significant strides in sustainability and digital services, enhancing its portfolio with advanced driver-assistance systems and connectivity solutions.
How the Company Makes MoneyMercedes-Benz Group generates revenue through multiple key streams, primarily from the sale of vehicles, including luxury cars, SUVs, and commercial vehicles. The company's revenue model is bolstered by its extensive global distribution network, which includes both direct sales and partnerships with dealerships. Additionally, MBG earns income from financing and leasing services, providing customers with various options for vehicle acquisition. The company also benefits from aftersales services, including maintenance, parts sales, and warranties. Strategic partnerships, such as collaborations with technology firms for electric vehicle development and autonomous driving technology, further enhance its earnings potential, as does its commitment to expanding into the electric and hybrid vehicle market, capitalizing on the growing demand for sustainable transportation solutions.

Mercedes-Benz Group Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 30, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mixed outlook. Mercedes-Benz highlighted significant product and technology advancements, strong cash flow, and efficiency gains. However, these were tempered by the negative impacts of tariffs, challenges in the Chinese market, and a reduced sales outlook for 2025.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Product and Technology Offensive
Mercedes-Benz is launching over 25 new models in the next 3 years, including the CLA and the MB.EA (Mercedes-Benz electric architecture), marking a significant product and technology offensive.
Strong Cash Flow and Financial Position
Mercedes-Benz generated a solid cash flow of EUR 1.9 billion in the industrial segment, covering the dividend payout for the year with a strong net cash position of EUR 30 billion.
Electric Vans Growth and Large Amazon Order
Mercedes-Benz signed a significant order of 5,000 electric vans with Amazon, indicating strong demand and attractiveness of their electric van offerings.
Efficiency Program Success
The Next Level Performance program contributed EUR 800 million in cost improvements, equating to a 300 basis points improvement in return on sales.
Negative Updates
Tariff Impacts on Financials
Tariffs had a mid-3-digit million euro impact on Q2, affecting EBIT and leading to a 150 basis points reduction in full-year guidance.
Challenging Market Environment in China
Mercedes-Benz is experiencing lower contributions from China due to a subdued macro environment and competitive pressures.
Lower Sales Guidance
The company revised its sales guidance for fiscal year 2025 significantly below 2024, largely due to challenges in China.
Tariff Uncertainties
Uncertainty remains around the transition and effective date of the new EU-U.S. trade deal, potentially impacting financial performance.
Company Guidance
During the Mercedes-Benz conference call, significant guidance was provided regarding financial and strategic performance. The company produced a solid financial performance in Q2 2025, with a 5.1% adjusted return on sales for cars, impacted by tariffs estimated to have a mid-3-digit million euro effect. The company achieved a healthy 10.4% return on sales for vans, citing minor tariff impacts. Harald Wilhelm, CFO, emphasized a robust cash flow generation, achieving a EUR 1.9 billion industrial cash flow, covering the dividend payout. The guidance for the fiscal year 2025 anticipates car sales significantly below 2024 levels, primarily due to challenges in China. The expected return on sales adjusted for cars remains within a 4% to 6% range, including a 150 basis point tariff impact. The company is also executing a product and technology offensive, planning to launch over 25 models in the next three years, with the first vehicle of the Mercedes-Benz electric architecture (MB.EA) making its debut at the International Auto Show. They are focusing on advancing their electric and autonomous driving technologies while managing challenges in the current economic environment.

Mercedes-Benz Group Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Mercedes-Benz Group demonstrates solid financial health with strong profitability and cash flow generation. However, recent trends in revenue decline and reduced margins could pose challenges if not addressed. The balance sheet shows improved leverage, but declining ROE in the TTM period suggests potential areas for improvement.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Mercedes-Benz Group shows a strong gross profit margin and consistent profitability, although recent revenue growth has been negative. The TTM data indicates a slight decline in margins compared to previous years, which could be a concern if the trend continues.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved over the years, indicating better leverage management. However, the return on equity has decreased in the TTM period, suggesting a potential decline in shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow remains strong, but free cash flow growth has been negative in the TTM period. The free cash flow to net income ratio is healthy, indicating efficient cash generation relative to net income.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue136.97B145.59B152.39B150.02B133.89B121.78B
Gross Profit24.45B28.58B35.00B34.02B30.68B20.19B
EBITDA15.57B21.50B27.44B27.25B23.22B15.39B
Net Income6.25B10.21B14.26B14.50B23.01B3.63B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets255.84B265.01B263.02B258.89B258.62B284.18B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments22.50B21.60B18.99B20.06B24.32B25.51B
Total Debt102.34B112.80B87.21B84.41B93.85B114.76B
Total Liabilities163.23B171.38B170.21B173.47B186.66B223.49B
Stockholders Equity91.71B92.63B91.77B85.42B71.95B60.69B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow14.71B9.07B6.26B13.41B19.97B16.59B
Operating Cash Flow20.80B17.73B14.47B16.89B24.55B22.33B
Investing Cash Flow-11.09B-8.75B-7.32B-3.45B-6.23B-6.42B
Financing Cash Flow-9.97B-10.75B-8.39B-19.03B-19.06B-10.75B

Mercedes-Benz Group Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price59.56
Price Trends
50DMA
54.29
Positive
100DMA
53.27
Positive
200DMA
52.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.57
Negative
RSI
70.84
Negative
STOCH
89.07
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:MBG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 59.56 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 56.53, above the 50-day MA of 54.29, and above the 200-day MA of 52.48, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.57 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 70.84 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 89.07 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:MBG.

Mercedes-Benz Group Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$52.29B7.787.35%4.85%-8.40%-11.54%
74
Outperform
$57.35B9.196.56%7.22%-7.08%-38.11%
74
Outperform
€46.08B6.874.00%6.51%0.49%-45.70%
69
Neutral
$13.26B8.902.98%-38.10%-75.32%
62
Neutral
€12.92B29.7014.52%2.06%-1.77%-28.68%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
€10.62B-0.49-47.46%5.10%-54.23%-543.31%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:MBG
Mercedes-Benz Group
59.56
10.31
20.94%
DE:BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft
88.74
23.61
36.25%
DE:PAH3
Porsche Automobil Holding
37.42
4.04
12.09%
DE:VOW3
Volkswagen
97.66
18.91
24.01%
DE:KBX
Knorr-Bremse AG
85.00
13.81
19.40%
DE:CON
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
63.88
17.82
38.68%

Mercedes-Benz Group Corporate Events

Mercedes-Benz Group Faces Financial Challenges Amid Strategic Shifts
Oct 30, 2025

Mercedes-Benz Group AG, a leading global automobile manufacturer, specializes in luxury vehicles and commercial vans, with a strong focus on innovation in electric mobility and vehicle software. The company’s recent earnings report for the third quarter of 2025 highlights a challenging financial period, marked by a decline in revenue and profitability compared to the previous year. Key financial metrics show a 7% decrease in revenue to €32.1 billion and a significant 70% drop in EBIT to €750 million, reflecting the impact of exchange rate fluctuations, reduced sales in China, and increased tariff expenses. Despite these challenges, the company reported a 10% increase in sales of electrified vehicles, demonstrating its commitment to sustainable mobility. Looking forward, Mercedes-Benz Group remains focused on strategic initiatives to enhance efficiency and competitiveness, including a new product offensive and investments in research and development. The management anticipates navigating the uncertain macroeconomic environment while continuing to drive innovation and growth in the electric vehicle segment.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 04, 2025