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Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (DE:BMW)
XETRA:BMW
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Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:BMW

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

(XETRA:BMW)

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Neutral 65 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
€91.00
▲(1.93% Upside)
BMW's overall stock score reflects stable financial performance with solid profitability but challenges in revenue growth and cash flow. The technical analysis suggests potential bearish momentum, while the valuation is attractive with a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield. The absence of earnings call data and corporate events limits further insights.
Positive Factors
Profitability
BMW's solid profitability margins indicate effective cost management, which supports long-term financial stability and competitive positioning.
Product Diversification
BMW's diverse product line, including EVs, positions it well in the growing sustainable transportation market, enhancing long-term growth potential.
Strategic Partnerships
Strategic alliances with technology companies enhance BMW's innovation in connectivity and autonomous driving, strengthening its market competitiveness.
Negative Factors
Revenue Growth Challenges
The declining revenue growth rate suggests market challenges that could impact BMW's ability to expand its market share and sustain long-term growth.
Cash Flow Concerns
Negative free cash flow indicates potential liquidity issues, which could constrain BMW's ability to invest in growth opportunities and manage debt.
Leverage Risks
Moderate leverage with a high debt-to-equity ratio may limit BMW's financial flexibility and increase vulnerability to economic downturns.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) is a German multinational company known for its luxury vehicles, motorcycles, and high-performance engines. Founded in 1916, BMW operates primarily in the automotive sector, manufacturing a range of products under the BMW, Mini, and Rolls-Royce brands. The company focuses on premium vehicles that combine performance, innovation, and sustainability, catering to a global market of discerning customers.
How the Company Makes MoneyBMW generates revenue primarily through the sale of its vehicles, which includes passenger cars and motorcycles. The company has several key revenue streams: the sale of new cars, financing services, and aftersales services such as maintenance and repairs. Additionally, BMW has a strong focus on electric vehicles (EVs) and offers a range of models, tapping into the growing market for sustainable transportation. The company also benefits from significant partnerships with technology firms to enhance its connectivity and autonomous driving capabilities, further boosting its earnings. Furthermore, BMW's financial services segment, which includes leasing and financing options for customers, contributes to its revenue and enhances customer loyalty.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced view with strong performance in the U.S. and strategic investments in manufacturing, offset by financial challenges and market weaknesses in China. The company's focus on BEV growth and expansion in Europe are positive, but these are weighed down by ongoing financial and operational challenges.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Market Performance
BMW sold over 290,000 vehicles in the U.S. by October, marking a growth of nearly 7,000 units. In October alone, sales grew by over 20% year-over-year, with more than 36,750 cars sold.
Focus on BEV Growth in China
BMW achieved a 15% BEV share in the Chinese market and plans to increase local production with the launch of the fully electric MINI.
Strategic Investments in U.S. Manufacturing
BMW is investing EUR 1.7 billion to electrify its Spartanburg plant, strengthening its manufacturing footprint in the U.S.
Expansion in Europe
BMW sold 620,000 vehicles in Europe, a growth of more than 7%, and opened a new plant in Hungary with competitive conditions.
Negative Updates
Q3 Financial Challenges
BMW faced a decline in sales and revenue in Q3 due to IBS provisioning, impacting profitability. The financial results were also negatively affected by interest rate evaluations and standalone derivatives.
China Market Weakness
The automotive sector in China showed signs of weakness, with challenges in dealer profitability and liquidity. Some dealers in China reported financial issues, affecting BMW's distribution network.
Warranty Provision Impact
Significant warranty costs related to IBS, EGR, and airbags have kept warranty provisions at the same level as the previous year, affecting the company's financial stability.
Company Guidance
During the BMW Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating an expected auto margin between 5% and 7% for Q4, aiming for a year-to-date margin of 6% to 7%, aligning with their strategic target of 8% to 10% EBIT margin. The executives discussed the impact of a high 3-digit million euro warranty provision and the shortfall in sales due to reduced operations, which contributed to decreased revenue and profit in Q3. Furthermore, BMW reported on its robust U.S. market performance, selling over 290,000 vehicles year-to-date with a 20% growth in October sales alone. The company also detailed its manufacturing footprint in the U.S., producing 65% of its local sales at the Spartanburg plant, and highlighted investments to electrify the facility. In China, BMW emphasized its flexible powertrain strategy to navigate market dynamics, with a current 15% BEV share and plans to introduce the Neue Klasse architecture by 2030. The executives also addressed financial results impacted by interest rate fluctuations and derivative valuations, with expectations for potential reversals depending on future rate changes.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BMW's financial statements reflect solid profitability with effective cost management, as evidenced by a gross profit margin of 15.20% and a net profit margin of 4.20%. However, the company faces growth challenges with a revenue decline of -2.16% and cash flow issues, including a negative free cash flow of -2.95 billion. The balance sheet shows increased leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16, posing potential risks.
Income Statement
72
Positive
BMW's income statement shows a mixed performance. The TTM data indicates a decline in revenue growth rate at -2.16%, reflecting a challenging market environment. However, the company maintains a solid gross profit margin of 15.20% and a net profit margin of 4.20%, showcasing its ability to manage costs effectively. EBIT and EBITDA margins are also healthy at 6.58% and 14.03% respectively, although they have decreased compared to previous years. Overall, BMW demonstrates stable profitability but faces growth challenges.
Balance Sheet
68
Positive
BMW's balance sheet reveals a moderate level of leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.16 in the TTM period, indicating a reliance on debt financing. The return on equity stands at 6.22%, which is lower than previous years, suggesting reduced efficiency in generating returns from equity. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a balanced asset structure. While the company maintains financial stability, the increased debt levels pose potential risks.
Cash Flow
60
Neutral
The cash flow statement highlights some concerns for BMW. The TTM data shows a negative free cash flow of -2.95 billion, with a significant decline in free cash flow growth at -31.54%. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is 0.12, indicating limited cash generation relative to net income. The negative free cash flow to net income ratio of -0.31 further underscores cash flow challenges. While operating cash flow remains positive, the overall cash flow position requires attention.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue136.51B142.38B155.50B142.61B111.24B98.99B
Gross Profit20.75B30.54B29.69B24.57B21.99B13.58B
EBITDA19.16B20.16B26.73B32.39B21.25B10.67B
Net Income5.74B7.29B11.29B17.94B12.38B3.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets259.71B267.73B250.89B246.93B229.53B216.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.11B21.85B17.33B22.03B21.81B18.64B
Total Debt106.34B85.50B71.55B71.56B83.73B87.58B
Total Liabilities165.76B172.73B157.97B155.64B154.40B155.14B
Stockholders Equity91.79B92.31B89.60B87.13B74.37B60.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-2.95B-4.64B6.47B14.47B9.28B7.10B
Operating Cash Flow9.41B7.57B17.36B23.52B15.90B13.25B
Investing Cash Flow-11.43B-11.37B-9.55B-4.77B-6.39B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow2.55B5.77B-6.67B-17.98B-6.74B-8.25B

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price89.28
Price Trends
50DMA
86.67
Positive
100DMA
82.68
Positive
200DMA
78.32
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.18
Negative
RSI
65.17
Neutral
STOCH
92.25
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BMW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 89.28 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 84.69, above the 50-day MA of 86.67, and above the 200-day MA of 78.32, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.18 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 65.17 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.25 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:BMW.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
74
Outperform
$53.35B8.007.24%7.79%-7.14%-43.43%
70
Outperform
€47.03B5.665.01%6.68%-0.19%-44.09%
69
Neutral
€47.03B5.605.01%6.85%-0.19%-44.09%
69
Neutral
$11.82B7.8514.83%3.22%-26.66%82.24%
65
Neutral
$52.61B9.316.06%4.82%-11.92%-43.64%
61
Neutral
$18.38B12.79-2.54%3.03%1.52%-15.83%
55
Neutral
€10.50B2.055.58%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft
87.48
15.20
21.04%
DE:MBG
Mercedes-Benz Group
55.40
3.46
6.65%
DE:PAH3
Porsche Automobil Holding
34.42
-3.13
-8.35%
DE:VOW3
Volkswagen
93.04
6.28
7.24%
DE:VOW
Volkswagen
94.45
3.08
3.37%
DE:CON
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
57.92
16.96
41.41%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Sep 25, 2025