tiprankstipranks
Trending News
More News >
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (DE:BMW)
XETRA:BMW
Advertisement

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) AI Stock Analysis

Compare
865 Followers

Top Page

DE

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

(XETRA:BMW)

Rating:78Outperform
Price Target:
€97.00
▲(13.34%Upside)
BMW's strong financial performance and attractive valuation are key strengths, making it a solid investment candidate. The technical analysis suggests caution due to overbought conditions, but the stock remains fundamentally strong.
Positive Factors
BEV Market Growth
BMW is well positioned as an emerging luxury BEV player with a goal to cover 90% of its segments with at least one BEV model.
Brand Status and Innovation
BMW's competitive advantage lies in its premium brand status, backed by innovative engineering and design, achieving the number one position in the global premium segment.
New Model Introductions
The introduction of 10 new models in China and the launch of the Neue Klasse platform are expected to positively influence the company's share price.
Negative Factors
Demand Risks in China
BMW faces demand risks related to sales in China amid concerns of macroeconomic slowdown and aggressive competition, with China being BMW's largest market.
Price Competition in China
BMW's financial results were negatively impacted by softer average selling prices and margins, mainly due to intense pricing competition in China.
Revenues and Margins
Revenues were a significant 13% miss due to a much more negative 'Eliminations' line.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft (BMW) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells automobiles and motorcycles, and spare parts and accessories worldwide. It operates through Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services segments. The Automotive segment is involved in the development, manufacture, assembling, and sale of automobiles, spare parts, accessories, and mobility services under the BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce brands. This segment sells its products through independent and authorized dealerships. The Motorcycles segment develops, manufactures, assembles, and sells motorcycles and scooters under the BMW Motorrad brand name, as well as spare parts and accessories. The Financial Services segment engages in automobile leasing, retail and dealership financing, multi-brand fleet, customer deposit, and insurance activities; and the provision of fleet management services under the Alphabet brand. The company was founded in 1916 and is based in Munich, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyBMW generates revenue primarily through the sale of its luxury vehicles and motorcycles, which form the bulk of its income. The company operates through different segments, including Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services. The Automotive segment, covering brands such as BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce, is the largest revenue contributor, driven by vehicle sales, aftersales services, and parts. The Motorcycles segment contributes to revenue through the sale of high-performance motorcycles and related accessories. Additionally, the Financial Services segment provides leasing, credit financing, and insurance services to customers and dealers, offering a steady stream of income. BMW's earnings are also supported by strategic partnerships and collaborations in fields like electric mobility, autonomous driving, and digital services, enhancing its market position and driving future growth.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 07, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 20.62%|
Next Earnings Date:Jul 31, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a balanced view with strong performance in the U.S. and strategic investments in manufacturing, offset by financial challenges and market weaknesses in China. The company's focus on BEV growth and expansion in Europe are positive, but these are weighed down by ongoing financial and operational challenges.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Strong U.S. Market Performance
BMW sold over 290,000 vehicles in the U.S. by October, marking a growth of nearly 7,000 units. In October alone, sales grew by over 20% year-over-year, with more than 36,750 cars sold.
Focus on BEV Growth in China
BMW achieved a 15% BEV share in the Chinese market and plans to increase local production with the launch of the fully electric MINI.
Strategic Investments in U.S. Manufacturing
BMW is investing EUR 1.7 billion to electrify its Spartanburg plant, strengthening its manufacturing footprint in the U.S.
Expansion in Europe
BMW sold 620,000 vehicles in Europe, a growth of more than 7%, and opened a new plant in Hungary with competitive conditions.
Negative Updates
Q3 Financial Challenges
BMW faced a decline in sales and revenue in Q3 due to IBS provisioning, impacting profitability. The financial results were also negatively affected by interest rate evaluations and standalone derivatives.
China Market Weakness
The automotive sector in China showed signs of weakness, with challenges in dealer profitability and liquidity. Some dealers in China reported financial issues, affecting BMW's distribution network.
Warranty Provision Impact
Significant warranty costs related to IBS, EGR, and airbags have kept warranty provisions at the same level as the previous year, affecting the company's financial stability.
Company Guidance
During the BMW Q3 2024 earnings call, the company provided guidance indicating an expected auto margin between 5% and 7% for Q4, aiming for a year-to-date margin of 6% to 7%, aligning with their strategic target of 8% to 10% EBIT margin. The executives discussed the impact of a high 3-digit million euro warranty provision and the shortfall in sales due to reduced operations, which contributed to decreased revenue and profit in Q3. Furthermore, BMW reported on its robust U.S. market performance, selling over 290,000 vehicles year-to-date with a 20% growth in October sales alone. The company also detailed its manufacturing footprint in the U.S., producing 65% of its local sales at the Spartanburg plant, and highlighted investments to electrify the facility. In China, BMW emphasized its flexible powertrain strategy to navigate market dynamics, with a current 15% BEV share and plans to introduce the Neue Klasse architecture by 2030. The executives also addressed financial results impacted by interest rate fluctuations and derivative valuations, with expectations for potential reversals depending on future rate changes.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
BMW showcases strong financial health with consistent revenue growth and profitability. The balance sheet is robust, with manageable leverage and solid equity backing. While the cash flow statement indicates some variability in Free Cash Flow due to investment activities, the company's cash generation capability remains strong.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
BMW has demonstrated strong revenue growth over the years with a notable increase in Total Revenue from 2020 to 2023. The company maintained solid Gross Profit and Net Profit margins, indicating efficient cost management and profitability. Revenue grew significantly between 2020 and 2021, and while it slightly declined in 2024, the overall revenue trajectory remains positive. EBIT and EBITDA margins have shown strength, reflecting BMW's operational efficiency.
Balance Sheet
80
Positive
BMW exhibits a solid balance sheet with a stable Debt-to-Equity ratio. The equity ratio suggests a healthy proportion of equity financing, enhancing financial stability. Return on Equity has been robust, demonstrating effective use of shareholder funds. Despite an increase in total debt, the growth in equity has kept the leverage within manageable limits. The company's balance sheet reflects a strong financial position to support future growth.
Cash Flow
75
Positive
The cash flow statement reveals fluctuations in Free Cash Flow, with a significant decline in 2024, reflecting higher capital expenditures. However, BMW has maintained positive Operating Cash Flow, indicating strong core business performance. The Free Cash Flow to Net Income ratio has varied, but the company's ability to generate cash from operations remains a positive sign.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue139.52B142.38B155.50B142.61B111.24B98.99B
Gross Profit21.83B22.89B29.69B24.57B21.99B13.58B
EBITDA20.39B20.16B26.73B32.39B21.25B10.67B
Net Income6.60B7.29B11.29B17.94B12.38B3.77B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets265.39B267.73B250.89B246.93B229.53B216.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments21.89B19.29B17.33B22.03B21.81B18.64B
Total Debt0.00111.26B71.55B71.56B83.73B87.58B
Total Liabilities168.90B172.73B157.97B155.64B154.40B155.14B
Stockholders Equity93.77B92.31B89.60B87.13B74.37B60.89B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-4.31B-4.64B6.47B14.47B9.28B7.10B
Operating Cash Flow8.35B7.57B17.36B23.52B15.90B13.25B
Investing Cash Flow-11.55B-11.37B-9.55B-4.77B-6.39B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow6.19B5.77B-6.67B-17.98B-6.74B-8.25B

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price85.58
Price Trends
50DMA
76.59
Positive
100DMA
75.04
Positive
200DMA
73.33
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
2.13
Negative
RSI
74.37
Negative
STOCH
93.54
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BMW, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 85.58 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.43, above the 50-day MA of 76.59, and above the 200-day MA of 73.33, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.13 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 74.37 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 93.54 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:BMW.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DEBMW
78
Outperform
$51.27B8.137.02%5.02%-10.13%-37.28%
63
Neutral
$16.85B11.25-7.01%2.93%1.72%-24.85%
$59.76B6.479.32%7.78%
€10.69B2.05
5.47%
€48.15B5.075.52%6.77%
€48.15B5.275.52%6.46%
$18.08B13.2010.07%2.72%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft
85.58
0.45
0.53%
MBGAF
Mercedes-Benz Group
62.01
-8.28
-11.78%
GB:0JHU
Porsche Automobil Holding
34.89
-6.20
-15.09%
GB:0P6O
Volkswagen
93.98
-7.67
-7.55%
GB:0P6N
Volkswagen
97.70
-10.01
-9.29%
CTTAF
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
91.89
31.59
52.39%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jul 11, 2025