Volkswagen (VOW3) AI Stock Analysis

• Market Cap: €46.08B
• Dividend Yield: 5.96%
• Average Volume (3M): 1.07M
• Price to Earnings (P/E): 6.9
• Beta (1Y): 1.28
• Revenue Growth: 0.49%
• EPS Growth: -45.70%
• Country: DE
• Employees: 639,608
• Sector: Consumer Cyclical
• Sector Strength: 84
• Industry: Auto - Manufacturers
• EPS (TTM): -0.96
• Shares Outstanding: 206,205,440
• 10 Day Avg. Volume: 909,278
• 30 Day Avg. Volume: 1,074,958
• PEG Ratio: -0.12
• Price to Book (P/B): 0.24
• Price to Sales (P/S): 0.14
• P/FCF Ratio: -4.34
• Enterprise Value/Market Cap: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Revenue: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Gross Profit: N/A
• Enterprise Value/Ebitda: N/A
• 1Y Price Target: €114.60
• Price Target Upside: 7.40% Upside
• Rating Consensus: Moderate Buy
• Number of Analyst Covering: 11
• EPS Forecast (FY): N/A
• Revenue Forecast (FY): N/A

• Rating: 82 Outperform
• Price Target: €115.00 ▲(7.78% Upside)

Volkswagen's stock is rated highly due to its strong financial performance and attractive valuation. The technical analysis supports a bullish outlook, with positive momentum indicators. The company's low P/E ratio and high dividend yield make it an appealing investment, despite the need for careful cash flow management.

Positive Factors

Revenue Growth

Consistent revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, supporting long-term financial stability.

Digital Cockpit Solutions Partnership

The partnership with Ecarx enhances Volkswagen's digital offerings, aligning with industry trends towards connected vehicles and improving competitive positioning.

In-House Chip Development

Developing in-house chips can reduce dependency on external suppliers, enhance product differentiation, and improve competitive edge in the EV market.

Negative Factors

High Debt Levels

High debt levels can limit financial flexibility and increase risk, necessitating careful management to ensure long-term financial health.

Negative Free Cash Flow

Negative Free Cash Flow indicates challenges in funding operations and investments, potentially impacting growth and financial stability if not addressed.

Chip Shortages

Ongoing chip shortages can disrupt production and sales, impacting revenue and market share in the competitive automotive industry.

Volkswagen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description

Volkswagen AG (VOW3) is a leading global automotive manufacturer headquartered in Wolfsburg, Germany. The company operates in multiple sectors, including passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and financial services. Volkswagen's core products encompass a diverse range of vehicles under various brands, including Volkswagen, Audi, Porsche, Škoda, and SEAT. The company is committed to innovation and sustainability, focusing on electric mobility and digital transformation within the automotive industry.

How the Company Makes Money

Volkswagen generates revenue primarily through the sale of vehicles across its multiple brands, which includes both internal combustion engine (ICE) and electric vehicles (EVs). The company earns significant income from its financing operations, offering leasing and financing solutions to customers through Volkswagen Financial Services. Additionally, Volkswagen benefits from partnerships with technology firms to enhance its electric vehicle offerings and digital services. The company's revenue model is also supported by after-sales services, which include maintenance, repairs, and parts sales. Furthermore, Volkswagen is increasingly focused on software and mobility services, opening new avenues for growth and income.

Volkswagen Financial Statement Overview

Summary

Volkswagen demonstrates strong revenue growth and operational efficiency, with solid profitability margins. The balance sheet is stable, though high debt levels require continuous monitoring. Cash flow management is crucial, with a focus on converting operational success into positive Free Cash Flow. Overall, the company is on a positive trajectory but needs to manage capital expenditures effectively.

Income Statement

Volkswagen has shown consistent revenue growth over the years, with a notable increase from 2022 to 2023. The Gross Profit Margin is strong, hovering around 18-19%, indicating efficient cost management. However, the Net Profit Margin has slightly decreased due to rising costs, but it remains healthy. EBIT and EBITDA margins are robust, reflecting solid operational efficiency.

Balance Sheet

The company's Debt-to-Equity Ratio is maintained at a manageable level, although the total debt is relatively high. Return on Equity is moderate, indicating decent profitability for shareholders. The Equity Ratio suggests a stable financial structure, but there is room for improvement in reducing liabilities.

Cash Flow

Operating Cash Flow is positive, yet Free Cash Flow has been negative in the recent year due to significant capital expenditures. The Operating Cash Flow to Net Income Ratio is strong, indicating good cash generation relative to earnings. However, the negative Free Cash Flow highlights the need for careful management of capital investments.

Breakdown	TTM	Dec 2024	Dec 2023	Dec 2022	Dec 2021	Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue	324.22B	324.66B	322.28B	279.05B	250.20B	222.88B
Gross Profit	58.65B	61.03B	62.03B	52.57B	47.06B	39.13B
EBITDA	47.09B	48.22B	49.84B	50.01B	46.69B	36.35B
Net Income	8.97B	11.35B	16.53B	15.46B	15.38B	8.87B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets	637.68B	632.90B	600.34B	564.01B	528.61B	497.11B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments	62.91B	73.45B	74.91B	70.77B	66.88B	59.27B
Total Debt	188.15B	196.52B	193.97B	178.44B	183.37B	174.31B
Total Liabilities	439.67B	436.17B	410.43B	385.69B	382.45B	368.33B
Stockholders Equity	182.88B	182.29B	175.69B	165.38B	144.45B	127.05B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow	-11.10B	-10.29B	-6.44B	5.83B	20.14B	7.16B
Operating Cash Flow	15.98B	17.15B	19.36B	28.50B	38.63B	24.90B
Investing Cash Flow	-30.54B	-31.57B	-19.81B	-41.82B	-26.13B	-22.69B
Financing Cash Flow	74.00M	11.14B	16.01B	4.22B	-7.75B	7.64B

Volkswagen Technical Analysis

• Technical Analysis Sentiment: Positive
• Last Price: 106.70
• 50DMA: Positive
• 100DMA: Positive
• 200DMA: Positive
• MACD: Negative
• RSI: Negative
• STOCH: Negative

Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:VOW3, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 106.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 98.20, above the 50-day MA of 94.13, and above the 200-day MA of 94.02, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 2.72 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 79.35 is Negative, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 92.39 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:VOW3.

Volkswagen Peers Comparison

Name	Overall Rating	Market Cap	P/E Ratio	ROE	Dividend Yield	Revenue Growth	EPS Growth
VOW3	82 Outperform	€46.08B	6.87	4.00%	5.96%	0.49%	-45.70%
8TRA	78 Outperform	€13.60B	7.64	10.20%	5.76%	-7.11%	-30.83%
MBG	77 Outperform	€59.24B	9.50	6.56%	6.99%	-7.08%	-38.11%
BMW	75 Outperform	$56.79B	8.46	7.35%	4.46%	-8.40%	-11.54%
DTG	65 Neutral	€27.00B	11.10	10.04%	5.05%	-10.34%	-31.23%
Sector *	61 Neutral	$18.38B	12.79	-2.54%	3.03%	1.52%	-15.83%
PAH3	55 Neutral	€10.62B	-0.49	-45.93%	4.72%	-39.68%	-659.81%