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Volkswagen (DE:VOW3)
XETRA:VOW3
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Volkswagen (VOW3) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:VOW3

Volkswagen

(XETRA:VOW3)

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Neutral 52 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:52Neutral
Price Target:
€87.00
▼(-6.15% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:05/01/26
The score reflects pressured financial quality (margin compression, higher leverage, and persistently negative free cash flow) and weak technical positioning (below key moving averages with negative momentum), partly offset by an attractive valuation profile (low P/E and high dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Diversified revenue streams & captive finance
Volkswagen’s business spans new vehicle sales, parts/after‑sales, used-vehicle remarketing, software and captive financial services. This diversified mix creates recurring revenue pockets and internal demand capture, reducing cyclicality and supporting stable cash generation over the medium term.
Negative Factors
High leverage and large absolute debt
A very large absolute debt load (~€292B) and rising debt-to-equity (~1.6x) reduce financial flexibility. Elevated leverage increases interest and refinancing risk, constrains the ability to absorb shocks or fund costly EV/software transitions from the balance sheet without raising more capital or cutting investment.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Diversified revenue streams & captive finance
Volkswagen’s business spans new vehicle sales, parts/after‑sales, used-vehicle remarketing, software and captive financial services. This diversified mix creates recurring revenue pockets and internal demand capture, reducing cyclicality and supporting stable cash generation over the medium term.
Read all positive factors

Volkswagen (VOW3) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Volkswagen Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
Volkswagen AG manufactures and sells automobiles primarily in Europe, North America, South America, and the Asia-Pacific. The company operates in four segments: Passenger Cars and Light Commercial Vehicles, Commercial Vehicles, Power Engineering, ...
How the Company Makes Money
Volkswagen primarily makes money through (1) selling vehicles and (2) providing automotive financial services. 1) Vehicle sales and related automotive activities: - New vehicle sales: The largest revenue stream is the sale of passenger cars and c...

Volkswagen Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Overall fundamentals are pressured: profitability has weakened (TTM net margin ~2.2% vs ~5–6% in 2021–2023), leverage is high and rising (debt-to-equity ~1.6x), and cash conversion is a key risk with negative TTM free cash flow (~-€7B) despite positive operating cash flow.
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
46
Neutral
Cash Flow
34
Negative
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue320.01B321.91B324.66B322.28B279.05B250.20B
Gross Profit54.39B72.94B61.03B62.03B52.57B47.06B
EBITDA43.15B48.48B48.22B49.84B50.01B46.69B
Net Income6.62B7.32B11.35B16.53B15.46B15.38B
Balance Sheet
Total Assets666.08B665.79B632.90B600.34B564.01B528.61B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments79.43B68.32B73.45B74.91B70.77B66.88B
Total Debt291.56B278.98B196.52B193.97B178.44B183.37B
Total Liabilities475.07B477.01B436.17B410.43B385.69B382.45B
Stockholders Equity176.16B174.00B182.29B175.69B165.38B144.45B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-7.04B-9.34B-10.29B-6.44B5.83B20.14B
Operating Cash Flow17.24B15.01B17.15B19.36B28.50B38.63B
Investing Cash Flow-27.91B-27.13B-31.57B-19.81B-41.82B-26.13B
Financing Cash Flow22.22B11.57B11.14B16.01B4.22B-7.75B

Volkswagen Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price92.70
Price Trends
50DMA
93.61
Negative
100DMA
98.32
Negative
200DMA
96.58
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.50
Negative
RSI
56.70
Neutral
STOCH
83.10
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:VOW3, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 92.7 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 87.95, below the 50-day MA of 93.61, and below the 200-day MA of 96.58, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.50 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 56.70 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 83.10 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:VOW3.

Volkswagen Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
60
Neutral
€48.32B8.805.28%7.25%-8.64%-43.01%
60
Neutral
€9.67B1.087.44%4.81%-13.16%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
54
Neutral
€48.29B7.997.79%4.64%-6.27%3.34%
54
Neutral
€13.58B199.88-2.42%2.88%-50.46%-114.13%
53
Neutral
€4.11B112.3712.17%30.31%269.65%
52
Neutral
€44.76B7.503.77%6.13%-2.06%-33.95%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:VOW3
Volkswagen
88.06
-4.91
-5.28%
DE:MBG
Mercedes-Benz Group
50.18
2.65
5.57%
DE:BMW
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft
81.40
7.25
9.77%
DE:PAH3
Porsche Automobil Holding
31.59
-3.51
-10.00%
DE:CON
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
67.92
15.43
29.40%
DE:AG1
AUTO1 Group SE
18.55
-2.75
-12.91%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 01, 2026