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Daimler Truck Holding AG (DE:DTG)
XETRA:DTG
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Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTG) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:DTG

Daimler Truck Holding AG

(XETRA:DTG)

Rating:70Neutral
Price Target:
€45.00
▲(11.69% Upside)
Daimler Truck Holding AG's overall stock score reflects a balance of strengths and risks. Strong cash flow growth and reasonable valuation are offset by declining revenue growth and high leverage. The technical indicators suggest mild upward momentum, while the earnings call highlights both strategic achievements and significant challenges.
Positive Factors
Financial Performance
Daimler reported a large Q1 beat driven by a strong 14.4% margin in the North America business.
Order Performance
Mercedes-Benz posted orders that beat estimates and aligned with strong Q1 order intake in Europe.
Tariff Exemptions
The 25% tariff announcement seems to exclude heavy-duty trucks, which is a better than expected outcome for US trucks.
Negative Factors
Cost Disadvantage
Daimler could face a cost disadvantage compared to Volvo, with a potential 40 basis points impact due to assembly not being fully in the US.
Earnings Outlook
The FY outlook was cut by approximately 10% due to weakness in North America.
Market Sentiment
Trucks North America missed order estimates, highlighting weak trucker sentiment in the region.

Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTG) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Daimler Truck Holding AG Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDaimler Truck Holding AG manufactures and sells medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses in Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Mercedes-Benz, Trucks North America, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses, and Financial Services. The company offers light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks; city and intercity buses, touring coaches, and bus chassis; industrial engines; and special vehicles that are primarily used in municipal applications, as well as electric vehicles and used commercial vehicles. It also provides various financial services, such as leasing, hire purchase, and insurance products under the Daimler Truck Financial Services brand name. In addition, the company offers connectivity solutions under the Detroit Connect, Fuso Connect, Mercedes-Benz Uptime, and Fleetboard brands; and aftersales services, such as maintenance and repair, as well as sells spare parts. It provides trucks and buses under the Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, Western Star, FUSO, BharatBenz, Setra, and Thomas Built Buses brand names. The company was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Leinfelden-Echterdingen, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyDaimler Truck Holding AG generates revenue primarily through the sale of commercial vehicles, including trucks and buses, to customers around the world. The company also makes money by providing related services such as financing, leasing, and fleet management solutions. Additionally, DTG earns income from the sale of spare parts and aftermarket services, ensuring ongoing support and maintenance for their vehicles. Key revenue streams are diversified across various geographic markets, and strategic partnerships with suppliers and technology firms enhance their product offerings and market presence. The company’s focus on innovation and sustainable technologies also positions it to capitalize on the growing demand for eco-friendly transportation solutions.

Daimler Truck Holding AG Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Jul 31, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Nov 07, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call presented a mix of positive developments, such as strategic partnerships, market leadership in electric trucks, and strong performance in the buses segment. However, these were counterbalanced by significant challenges, including economic uncertainties affecting sales, especially in North America, and a decline in zero emission vehicle orders. The sentiment is tempered by lowered guidance and concerns over tariff impacts.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Integration of Mitsubishi Fuso and Hino
Daimler Truck finalized a definitive agreement to integrate Mitsubishi Fuso and Hino, forming a strong Japanese global company with a 25% equity stake.
Opening of Global Parts Center
Daimler Truck invested EUR 500 million in a new global parts center in Halberstadt, Germany, signaling a commitment to the region.
Growth in Defense Segment
Daimler Truck secured a significant contract with the German Armed Forces for the delivery of Mercedes-Benz Arocs logistics vehicles by May 2026.
New Software Joint Venture with Volvo
Launched Coretura, a software joint venture with Volvo Group, to develop software-defined vehicle platforms.
Leadership in Heavy-Duty Electric Truck Segment
Daimler Truck became the market share leader in the heavy-duty electric truck segment in Europe.
Strong Performance in Daimler Buses
Daimler Buses delivered a 10% adjusted return on sales, maintaining market leadership in core regions.
Improved Order Intake for Mercedes-Benz Trucks
Orders for Mercedes-Benz Trucks grew by more than 20%, with an increase of 30% in the EU30 regions.
Negative Updates
Economic Uncertainty Impacting Sales
The economic environment, particularly in North America, led to a 20% drop in unit sales for Trucks North America and an overall 5% decline in group level sales and orders.
Challenges in North America Market
Orders for Trucks North America in Q2 were down by more than 50% due to market uncertainty.
Decline in Zero Emission Vehicle Orders
Order intake for zero emission vehicles decreased from 3,200 in 2024 to around 2,100 in 2025.
Tariff and Regulatory Challenges
Ongoing tariff discussions and economic uncertainty in North America and Europe are affecting customer investment decisions.
Lowered Guidance for North America
Daimler Truck lowered its full-year unit sales expectations for North America due to continued uncertainty.
High Inventory Levels Impacting Cash Flow
Working capital effects, primarily from new product ramp-ups and prestocking at the new parts center, resulted in a negative impact of EUR 460 million.
Company Guidance
During the call, Daimler Truck provided guidance for the rest of 2025, highlighting several key metrics and expectations. The company anticipates adjusted EBIT for the group to be between EUR 3.6 billion and EUR 4.1 billion, with unit sales projected in the range of 410,000 to 440,000 units. Revenue guidance for the Industrial business has been revised to EUR 44 billion to EUR 47 billion, and adjusted Return on Sales (ROS) is expected to be between 7% and 9%. Free cash flow is projected to be between EUR 1.5 billion and EUR 2 billion, with stronger cash generation expected in the latter half of the year. Additionally, the guidance reflects adjustments due to market uncertainties, particularly in North America, where the heavy-duty market outlook has been revised to 250,000 to 280,000 units. Daimler Truck maintains a focus on long-term value creation, even amid dynamic and uncertain environments.

Daimler Truck Holding AG Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Daimler Truck Holding AG shows strong financial performance with robust profitability and operational efficiency, as reflected in the income statement. The balance sheet is stable, though there is room to improve the equity ratio. Cash flow generation is healthy, but the conversion of earnings into free cash flow needs attention.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
The company's income statement shows robust performance. Despite a slight decline in total revenue from the previous year, Daimler Truck Holding AG maintains a strong gross profit margin of 20.76% TTM and a healthy net profit margin of 5.39% TTM. The EBIT and EBITDA margins are solid at 7.32% and 10.22% TTM, respectively, indicating efficient operational management. However, the revenue growth rate has been negative in recent periods, which could be a concern for long-term growth prospects.
Balance Sheet
75
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a stable financial position with a moderate debt-to-equity ratio of 1.29 TTM, showing the company is not over-leveraged. The return on equity is impressive at 12.81% TTM, indicating strong profitability relative to shareholder equity. However, the equity ratio stands at 29.74% TTM, which could be improved to enhance financial stability. The company has been increasing its equity base, which is a positive sign of strengthening its capital structure.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
The cash flow statement indicates positive trends with a strong operating cash flow to net income ratio of 0.70 TTM, suggesting good cash generation from operations. Free cash flow has seen significant growth, with a high increase of 18.12% from the previous period, although the free cash flow to net income ratio of 0.06 TTM is relatively low. The company needs to focus on improving its free cash flow conversion to enhance financial flexibility.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue51.61B54.08B55.89B50.95B39.76B36.01B
Gross Profit10.34B11.44B11.92B9.61B7.31B5.48B
EBITDA4.58B5.39B6.83B5.70B2.85B1.31B
Net Income2.40B2.90B3.77B2.67B2.35B-143.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets71.43B73.85B71.21B63.97B54.80B49.99B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments9.89B8.76B8.84B7.09B7.35B7.50B
Total Debt26.84B26.38B22.71B18.83B15.09B19.41B
Total Liabilities50.34B51.00B48.99B43.36B38.38B41.28B
Stockholders Equity20.49B22.20B21.61B6.67B2.71B9.70B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.36B138.00M-920.00M-1.42B1.34B3.37B
Operating Cash Flow3.09B1.55B386.00M-523.00M2.10B4.17B
Investing Cash Flow-2.11B-2.55B-2.08B-4.17B4.26B-2.35B
Financing Cash Flow-1.42B403.00M2.93B3.33B-875.00M-1.14B

Daimler Truck Holding AG Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price40.29
Price Trends
50DMA
40.75
Positive
100DMA
38.11
Positive
200DMA
37.60
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.03
Positive
RSI
49.14
Neutral
STOCH
52.05
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:DTG, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 40.29 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 41.00, below the 50-day MA of 40.75, and above the 200-day MA of 37.60, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 0.03 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 49.14 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 52.05 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:DTG.

Daimler Truck Holding AG Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (64)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
70
Neutral
€32.40B13.3411.21%4.64%-6.83%-32.20%
64
Neutral
$10.95B16.108.81%1.99%2.59%-16.41%
€53.64B8.956.28%
€11.46B2.05
3.35%
€51.58B6.105.01%
€51.58B6.255.01%
79
Outperform
€16.21B7.5012.80%5.29%-2.98%-14.55%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:DTG
Daimler Truck Holding AG
40.92
8.03
24.41%
GB:0O0V
Bayerische Motoren Werke
82.95
8.45
11.34%
GB:0JHU
Porsche Automobil Holding
36.83
-1.85
-4.78%
GB:0P6O
Volkswagen
101.45
11.39
12.65%
GB:0P6N
Volkswagen
102.60
5.94
6.15%
DE:8TRA
TRATON SE
31.80
3.78
13.49%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 08, 2025