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Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (DE:BMW3)
XETRA:BMW3

Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW3) AI Stock Analysis

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Bayerische Motoren Werke

(XETRA:BMW3)

Rating:76Outperform
Price Target:
€81.00
▲(12.03%Upside)
BMW's overall score reflects a balanced view of its financial performance, technical analysis, and valuation. The company's strong valuation due to a low P/E ratio and high dividend yield positively impacts the score. However, recent financial pressures, such as declining margins and negative free cash flow, present challenges. The technical indicators suggest moderate upward momentum, although caution is advised due to potential overbought conditions.

Bayerische Motoren Werke (BMW3) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Bayerische Motoren Werke Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionBayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft, together with its subsidiaries, develops, manufactures, and sells automobiles and motorcycles, and spare parts and accessories worldwide. It operates through Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services segments. The Automotive segment is involved in the development, manufacture, assembling, and sale of automobiles, spare parts, accessories, and mobility services under the BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce brands. This segment sells its products through independent and authorized dealerships. The Motorcycles segment develops, manufactures, assembles, and sells motorcycles and scooters under the BMW Motorrad brand name, as well as spare parts and accessories. The Financial Services segment engages in automobile leasing, retail and dealership financing, multi-brand fleet, customer deposit, and insurance activities; and the provision of fleet management services under the Alphabet brand. The company was founded in 1916 and is based in Munich, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyBMW generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company makes money from the sale of automobiles and motorcycles under its three main brands: BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce. These sales include new vehicles as well as certified pre-owned models. Additionally, BMW offers a range of financial services, including leasing, financing, and insurance products, which provide another significant source of income. The company also earns from aftersales services such as maintenance, repairs, and the sale of spare parts and accessories. Strategic partnerships and collaborations with technology firms and other automotive companies further enhance BMW's revenue, allowing it to integrate cutting-edge technology into its vehicles and expand its market reach.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Bayerische Motoren Werke exhibits strong revenue and profit margins. However, recent declines in margins and negative free cash flow in 2024 indicate potential challenges. The moderate debt-to-equity ratio suggests manageable leverage, but rising debt levels and declining return on equity may pose risks. Overall, it remains a solid player but needs to address recent financial pressures.
Income Statement
75
Positive
Bayerische Motoren Werke showed a fluctuating revenue trend, with a recent decline in 2024 after a peak in 2023. Despite this, the gross and net profit margins have remained relatively strong, indicating good cost management. However, the net profit margin has decreased from previous years, suggesting potential pressure on profitability. The EBIT and EBITDA margins have also seen a decline, which could indicate reduced operating efficiency.
Balance Sheet
70
Positive
The company's balance sheet reveals a moderate debt-to-equity ratio, which suggests manageable leverage. However, the increase in total debt over recent years could pose a risk if not managed carefully. The return on equity has been decreasing, which may indicate challenges in generating profits from shareholders' equity. The equity ratio is stable, reflecting a solid equity base relative to total assets, which contributes to financial stability.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
The cash flow statement shows a concerning trend with negative free cash flow in 2024, following positive free cash flow in previous years. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is positive, indicating the company can generate cash from operations relative to its net income. However, the decline in free cash flow suggests potential issues in managing capital expenditures and investments effectively.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
139.52B142.38B155.50B142.61B111.24B98.99B
Gross Profit
21.83B22.89B29.69B24.57B21.99B13.58B
EBIT
10.38B11.60B18.48B23.96B16.38B5.65B
EBITDA
20.39B20.16B26.73B32.39B21.25B10.67B
Net Income Common Stockholders
6.60B7.29B11.29B17.94B12.38B3.77B
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
21.89B19.29B17.33B22.03B21.81B18.64B
Total Assets
265.39B267.73B250.89B246.93B229.53B216.66B
Total Debt
0.00111.26B71.55B71.56B83.73B87.58B
Net Debt
-19.68B91.97B54.22B54.69B67.72B74.05B
Total Liabilities
168.90B172.73B157.97B155.64B154.40B155.14B
Stockholders Equity
93.77B92.31B89.60B87.13B74.37B60.89B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-4.31B-4.64B6.47B14.47B9.28B7.10B
Operating Cash Flow
8.35B7.57B17.36B23.52B15.90B13.25B
Investing Cash Flow
-11.55B-11.37B-9.55B-4.77B-6.39B-3.64B
Financing Cash Flow
6.19B5.77B-6.67B-17.98B-6.74B-8.25B

Bayerische Motoren Werke Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price72.30
Price Trends
50DMA
68.26
Positive
100DMA
69.89
Positive
200DMA
68.28
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.01
Positive
RSI
52.19
Neutral
STOCH
28.25
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:BMW3, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 72.3 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 73.34, above the 50-day MA of 68.26, and above the 200-day MA of 68.28, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 1.01 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.19 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 28.25 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:BMW3.

Bayerische Motoren Werke Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (66)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
€47.64B6.877.09%5.99%-10.13%-37.26%
66
Neutral
$4.48B12.265.32%248.53%4.10%-12.36%
$56.62B6.129.32%7.83%
€10.51B2.07
5.57%
€47.17B5.035.52%6.83%
€47.31B5.115.52%6.66%
DEDTG
73
Outperform
€29.65B10.2612.77%5.09%-4.81%-22.95%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:BMW3
Bayerische Motoren Werke
72.30
-9.40
-11.51%
MBGAF
Mercedes-Benz Group
58.71
-11.76
-16.69%
GB:0JHU
Porsche Automobil Holding
34.06
-10.25
-23.13%
GB:0P6O
Volkswagen
91.64
-13.76
-13.06%
GB:0P6N
Volkswagen
93.20
-22.24
-19.27%
DE:DTG
Daimler Truck Holding AG
37.63
1.39
3.84%

Bayerische Motoren Werke Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
BMW AG Advances Share Buy-Back Programme with Latest Acquisitions
Positive
Feb 3, 2025

BMW AG announced an interim report on its Share Buy-Back Programme for 2023/2025, revealing the acquisition of 306,676 ordinary shares and 67,488 preferred shares from January 27 to February 2, 2025. This strategic move is part of BMW’s ongoing efforts to enhance shareholder value and optimize capital structure, reflecting its strong market positioning and commitment to its stakeholders.

Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.