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TRATON SE (DE:8TRA)
XETRA:8TRA
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TRATON SE (8TRA) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:8TRA

TRATON SE

(XETRA:8TRA)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
€28.00
▲(4.48% Upside)
The overall stock score is primarily influenced by strong financial performance and attractive valuation, offset by bearish technical indicators and mixed earnings call sentiment. The company's strategic investments in electrification are positive, but market challenges and cash flow issues pose risks.

TRATON SE (8TRA) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

TRATON SE Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionTraton SE manufactures commercial vehicles worldwide. It operates in Industrial Business and Financial Services segments. The company offers light and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, such as trucks and bus chassis; vans; construction vehicles; city buses; and intercity and travel coaches, as well as spare parts and services. It also provides a cloud-based platform for freight transportation under the RIO brand name. The company offers its products and services under the MAN, Scania, Navistar, and Volkswagen Caminhões e Ônibus brands. In addition, it provides a range of financial solutions, including dealer and customer finance, leasing, and insurance products. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in Munich, Germany. Traton SE is a subsidiary of Volkswagen Finance Luxemburg S.A.
How the Company Makes MoneyTRATON SE generates revenue primarily through the sale of its commercial vehicles, including trucks and buses, which are sold to a wide range of customers, from logistics companies to municipalities. The company also earns money through aftermarket services, including parts sales, maintenance, and repair services for its vehicles. Additionally, TRATON benefits from financing services offered to customers purchasing its vehicles. Key partnerships with logistics firms and other companies in the transportation sector enhance its market reach and contribute to its earnings. The company's focus on sustainability, such as developing electric and alternative fuel vehicles, also positions it to capture emerging market trends, further supporting its revenue growth.

TRATON SE Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Oct 29, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 17, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The call presents a mixed sentiment. While there are significant strides in electrification and financial services expansion, the ongoing market challenges, particularly in North America and Brazil, have led to a lowered full year outlook and declining sales revenue. The positive aspects are somewhat overshadowed by the prevailing market uncertainties and the need to adjust production capacities.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Increased Deliveries
Deliveries increased by 9% over Q1, though year-over-year unit sales grew by only 1%.
Strong Order Intake in Europe
Incoming orders are up 11%, with a significant 27% increase in Europe.
Electrification Strategy Progress
Scania launched a high-capacity charging solution for heavy-duty e-trucks and MAN started series production of heavy-duty electric trucks.
TRATON Financial Services Expansion
Completed rollout of integrated financial services backbone in 14 strategic markets.
Positive Net Cash Flow
TRATON operations in Q2 resulted in a net inflow, slightly better than 2024.
Negative Updates
Decline in Sales Revenue
Sales revenues dropped by 2% year-over-year due to market challenges and unfavorable mix effects.
Reduced Full Year Outlook
Full year outlook lowered due to uncertainties in the market, particularly in North America and Brazil.
Adjusted Return on Sales Decline
Return on sales declined to 6.4% in Q2, primarily due to volume effects.
Challenges in North America
High customer hesitancy and tariff uncertainties affecting performance, with a significant 15% decline in order intake.
High Dealer Inventories in South America
Facing high dealer stocks, extreme interest rates, inflation, and increasing diesel prices, particularly in Brazil.
Lowered Market Outlook for North America
Outlook for North American truck market adjusted to a decline of 17.5% to 7.5%.
Company Guidance
In the Traton Q2 2025 Results Conference Call, the company provided several key metrics and updates. Deliveries increased by 9% over Q1 but only grew by 1% year-over-year, while sales revenues dropped by 2%. The adjusted return on sales declined to 6.4% in Q2, primarily due to volume effects, although a better group margin sequentially from Q1 to Q2 was observed. Incoming orders rose by 11%, with a notable 27% year-over-year increase in Europe, although this was down from a 56% growth in Q1. The book-to-bill ratio dropped below 1, at 0.91. The company revised its full-year outlook, citing ongoing market challenges in Europe, North America, and Brazil, with an expected decline in unit sales and revenue between -10% and 0%, and an adjusted return on sales anticipated at 6% to 7%. Net cash flow for Traton Operations is now projected to be between EUR 1 billion and EUR 1.5 billion. The call highlighted strategic investments in electrification and sustainable transportation, such as Scania's high-capacity charging solution and MAN's production of electric trucks.

TRATON SE Financial Statement Overview

Summary
TRATON SE shows strong revenue and profit growth, improved margins, and a healthier balance sheet with zero debt. However, challenges persist in cash flow management due to capital investments impacting free cash flow.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
TRATON SE has demonstrated strong revenue growth with a 13.3% increase from 2022 to 2023, and a further growth to 2024. The gross profit margin improved to 21.3% in 2024, reflecting effective cost management. The net profit margin also increased to 5.9% in 2024, indicating enhanced profitability. Consistently rising EBIT and EBITDA margins, reaching 8.9% and 15.6% respectively, further underline the company's robust operational performance.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The company has significantly reduced its total debt from 2023 to 2024, resulting in a debt-free balance sheet, which enhances financial stability. The equity ratio improved to 27.2% in 2024, showing stronger equity funding. However, the return on equity decreased slightly to 15.7% in 2024, suggesting potential for improving shareholder returns.
Cash Flow
70
Positive
TRATON SE's cash flow performance highlights some concerns with negative free cash flow in 2024, despite a positive operating cash flow. The free cash flow growth rate has been negative due to higher capital expenditures, impacting liquidity. However, the operating cash flow remains robust relative to net income, indicating strong operational cash generation.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue45.99B47.47B46.87B40.34B30.62B22.58B
Gross Profit9.45B10.10B9.24B6.85B5.54B3.46B
EBITDA6.47B7.42B6.68B4.81B3.14B2.52B
Net Income2.18B2.80B2.45B1.14B457.00M-123.00M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets66.45B65.55B61.70B58.26B55.12B42.77B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments3.27B3.41B1.78B2.21B2.81B4.27B
Total Debt0.009.43B21.70B21.13B18.20B12.30B
Total Liabilities49.13B47.70B45.21B43.88B41.67B29.60B
Stockholders Equity17.32B17.84B16.48B14.37B13.44B12.94B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow-430.00M-401.00M374.00M-2.57B-65.00M676.00M
Operating Cash Flow2.49B2.34B2.58B-660.00M1.53B1.99B
Investing Cash Flow-3.03B-2.81B-2.37B-1.81B-2.45B-215.00M
Financing Cash Flow1.05B1.39B-128.00M2.22B1.17B-1.87B

TRATON SE Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Negative
Last Price26.80
Price Trends
50DMA
29.00
Negative
100DMA
29.28
Negative
200DMA
29.48
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.71
Negative
RSI
43.33
Neutral
STOCH
75.48
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:8TRA, the sentiment is Negative. The current price of 26.8 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 26.73, below the 50-day MA of 29.00, and below the 200-day MA of 29.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.71 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 43.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 75.48 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Negative sentiment for DE:8TRA.

TRATON SE Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (63)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
€20.42B23.9624.74%0.58%45.24%
€21.71B9.1913.10%6.80%19.74%208.29%
€19.15B23.33108.18%2.03%25.95%17.64%
€13.24B6.0812.80%6.34%-2.98%-14.55%
€10.13B26.0017.92%1.81%1.93%2.27%
$10.79B15.437.44%2.01%2.89%-14.66%
€28.06B11.5311.21%5.42%-6.83%-32.20%
* Industrials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:8TRA
TRATON SE
26.90
-2.02
-6.98%
DE:G1A
GEA Group AG
63.50
18.58
41.36%
DE:HLAG
Hapag Lloyd
123.50
-31.40
-20.27%
DE:HOT
Hochtief
255.40
144.23
129.74%
DE:MTX
MTU Aero Engines
380.50
76.66
25.23%
DE:DTG
Daimler Truck Holding AG
34.87
-2.33
-6.26%

TRATON SE Corporate Events

TRATON GROUP Faces Decline in Q3 2025 Unit Sales Amid Market Challenges
Oct 10, 2025

TRATON GROUP reported a 16% decline in unit sales in the third quarter of 2025, selling 71,400 vehicles compared to 85,300 in the same period last year. The decline is attributed to weak market conditions, particularly in Brazil and the US, affecting brands like Scania and International Motors. However, there was a notable increase in all-electric vehicle sales, indicating a shift towards sustainable transportation solutions. MAN Truck & Bus saw a 24% increase in unit sales, driven by strong performance in buses and vans, while Volkswagen Truck & Bus experienced a slight decrease due to the Brazilian market slowdown.

Dr. Arno Antlitz Joins TRATON SE’s Supervisory Board
Sep 29, 2025

Dr. Arno Antlitz has been appointed as a member of the Supervisory Board of TRATON SE, enhancing the company’s leadership with his experience from Volkswagen AG. This appointment is expected to strengthen TRATON SE’s strategic direction and operational oversight, potentially impacting its market position and stakeholder interests positively.

TRATON SE’s Earnings Call: Mixed Results Amid Global Challenges
Jul 29, 2025

TRATON SE’s recent earnings call painted a mixed picture for the company, showcasing both promising advancements and significant challenges. While the company made strides in electrification and financial services, and saw increased deliveries and order intake in Europe, these positives were tempered by difficulties in North America and Brazil, a decline in sales revenue, and a lowered full-year outlook due to ongoing market uncertainties and unfavorable mix and currency effects.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Oct 23, 2025