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Hochtief AG (DE:HOT)
XETRA:HOT
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Hochtief (HOT) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:HOT

Hochtief

(XETRA:HOT)

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Neutral 66 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:66Neutral
Price Target:
€507.00
▲(9.03% Upside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/14/26
The score is driven by strong technical momentum and solid operating/cash-flow performance, partially offset by high financial leverage risk and a relatively expensive valuation (high P/E with a modest dividend yield).
Positive Factors
Free cash flow generation
Hochtief's strong free cash flow conversion—FCF covering ~80%+ of net income and growing vs 2025—indicates durable cash-generation capacity. Reliable FCF supports reinvestment in concessions/O&M, funds working capital on long projects, and provides flexibility to pay down debt or fund strategic investments across cycles.
Negative Factors
High financial leverage
Debt-to-equity of ~5.5x indicates substantial leverage that reduces balance-sheet flexibility. In a project-driven, cyclical industry this amplifies downside risk from overruns or revenue shocks, increases interest and refinancing pressures, and constrains the ability to absorb prolonged earnings volatility without capital actions.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Free cash flow generation
Hochtief's strong free cash flow conversion—FCF covering ~80%+ of net income and growing vs 2025—indicates durable cash-generation capacity. Reliable FCF supports reinvestment in concessions/O&M, funds working capital on long projects, and provides flexibility to pay down debt or fund strategic investments across cycles.
Read all positive factors

Hochtief (HOT) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Hochtief Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft engages in the construction business worldwide. The company operates through HOCHTIEF Americas, HOCHTIEF Asia Pacific, HOCHTIEF Europe, and Abertis Investment divisions. The HOCHTIEF Americas division provides building ...
How the Company Makes Money
HOCHTIEF makes money primarily by delivering construction and infrastructure projects and related services for public- and private-sector customers. Its core revenue stream comes from contracts to plan, design, and build assets (e.g., civil works ...

Hochtief Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operating performance and cash generation are solid (Income Statement 72; Cash Flow 78), with strong revenue momentum, improving operating margins, and robust free cash flow. The main offset is elevated balance-sheet risk (Balance Sheet 43) driven by very high leverage, which raises downside sensitivity in a cyclical, project-driven business.
Income Statement
72
Positive
Balance Sheet
43
Neutral
Cash Flow
78
Positive
BreakdownTTMDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.71B38.24B33.30B27.76B26.22B21.38B
Gross Profit4.59B2.91B8.78B6.85B6.32B5.29B
EBITDA2.34B1.66B2.03B1.07B968.99M747.04M
Net Income804.57M902.33M775.63M522.75M481.77M293.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets25.20B24.94B24.65B19.01B18.30B16.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments6.64B7.07B6.25B5.78B4.94B4.57B
Total Debt8.52B8.65B8.20B5.50B5.67B4.83B
Total Liabilities23.60B23.55B23.46B17.74B17.07B15.15B
Stockholders Equity1.54B1.27B1.07B1.24B1.13B801.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.89B1.61B1.66B1.12B863.28M307.96M
Operating Cash Flow2.33B2.04B2.13B1.34B1.05B387.20M
Investing Cash Flow-516.84M-1.61B-1.49B-249.67M-484.59M-220.00M
Financing Cash Flow-984.12M-85.51M346.11M-583.61M-167.20M-1.08B

Hochtief Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price465.00
Price Trends
50DMA
454.66
Positive
100DMA
412.93
Positive
200DMA
338.36
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
5.27
Positive
RSI
52.38
Neutral
STOCH
51.12
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:HOT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 465 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 500.91, above the 50-day MA of 454.66, and above the 200-day MA of 338.36, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of 5.27 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 52.38 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 51.12 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:HOT.

Hochtief Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
66
Neutral
€36.62B45.5185.89%1.58%9.17%-15.37%
64
Neutral
€53.67M2.2610.80%5.42%81.69%-19.99%
63
Neutral
€3.26B17.9313.75%1.93%4.88%-1.67%
63
Neutral
€33.65B26.097.23%1.49%1.44%11.59%
62
Neutral
€1.36B25.448.48%1.46%18.03%-28.45%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
51
Neutral
€7.31B812.400.10%1.23%-6.47%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:HOT
Hochtief
486.60
326.69
204.29%
DE:GBF
Bilfinger
87.55
11.38
14.94%
DE:HEI
Heidelberg Materials
190.80
19.57
11.43%
DE:TKA
thyssenkrupp
11.75
5.44
86.19%
DE:VOS
Vossloh
70.30
-7.15
-9.24%
DE:AB9
ABO Wind AG
5.82
-31.28
-84.31%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: May 14, 2026