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Hochtief AG (DE:HOT)
XETRA:HOT

Hochtief (HOT) AI Stock Analysis

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DE:HOT

Hochtief

(XETRA:HOT)

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Neutral 62 (OpenAI - 5.2)
Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
€479.00
▲(5.93% Upside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/21/26
The score is driven by solid operating momentum and strong free cash flow, but materially held back by very high leverage and thin margins. Technicals are supportive, while valuation (high P/E with modest yield) is a notable headwind.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF of roughly €1.6B TTM provides durable internal funding for working capital, reinvestment into concessions and maintenance services, and gradual balance-sheet repair. Over 2–6 months this underpins operational flexibility and ability to fund multi-year projects without sole reliance on external capital.
Negative Factors
Very high financial leverage
An elevated debt-to-equity (~8.5x) leaves the company highly leveraged and sensitive to adverse cash flow swings. With a thin equity base, returns are volatile and the firm has limited margin for execution errors or project disputes. Long-term flexibility to invest or absorb shocks is materially constrained.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Sustained FCF of roughly €1.6B TTM provides durable internal funding for working capital, reinvestment into concessions and maintenance services, and gradual balance-sheet repair. Over 2–6 months this underpins operational flexibility and ability to fund multi-year projects without sole reliance on external capital.
Read all positive factors

Hochtief (HOT) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Hochtief Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company Description
HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft engages in the construction business worldwide. The company operates through HOCHTIEF Americas, HOCHTIEF Asia Pacific, HOCHTIEF Europe, and Abertis Investment divisions. The HOCHTIEF Americas division provides building ...
How the Company Makes Money
HOCHTIEF makes money primarily by delivering construction and infrastructure projects and related services for public- and private-sector customers. Its core revenue stream comes from contracts to plan, design, and build assets (e.g., civil works ...

Hochtief Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Operations and cash generation are solid (revenue up ~6% TTM, improving earnings, ~€1.6B TTM free cash flow), but the balance sheet is a major constraint with very high leverage (debt-to-equity ~8.5x) in a thin-margin business (TTM net margin ~2.3%).
Income Statement
67
Positive
Balance Sheet
38
Negative
Cash Flow
72
Positive
BreakdownDec 2025Dec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021
Income Statement
Total Revenue38.24B33.30B27.76B26.22B21.38B
Gross Profit2.91B8.78B6.85B6.32B5.29B
EBITDA1.66B2.03B1.07B968.99M747.04M
Net Income902.33M775.63M522.75M481.77M293.40M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets24.94B24.65B19.01B18.30B16.24B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments7.07B6.25B5.78B4.94B4.57B
Total Debt8.65B8.20B5.50B5.67B4.83B
Total Liabilities23.55B23.46B17.74B17.07B15.15B
Stockholders Equity1.27B1.07B1.24B1.13B801.00M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.61B1.66B1.12B863.28M307.96M
Operating Cash Flow2.04B2.13B1.34B1.05B387.20M
Investing Cash Flow-1.61B-1.49B-249.67M-484.59M-220.00M
Financing Cash Flow-85.51M346.11M-583.61M-167.20M-1.08B

Hochtief Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price452.20
Price Trends
50DMA
390.46
Positive
100DMA
361.06
Positive
200DMA
292.06
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
12.93
Negative
RSI
68.77
Neutral
STOCH
96.59
Negative
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:HOT, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 452.2 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 402.11, above the 50-day MA of 390.46, and above the 200-day MA of 292.06, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 12.93 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 68.77 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 96.59 is Negative, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:HOT.

Hochtief Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (55)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
64
Neutral
€53.39M9.3110.80%5.42%81.69%-19.99%
63
Neutral
€4.13B22.6813.51%1.93%10.17%-20.99%
63
Neutral
€33.46B10.52%1.49%4.16%7.78%
62
Neutral
€34.03B28.1085.89%1.58%22.16%18.23%
62
Neutral
€1.45B21.4910.59%1.46%9.63%-7.69%
55
Neutral
$6.65B3.83-15.92%6.20%10.91%7.18%
47
Neutral
€5.32B-4.091.72%1.23%-6.29%
* General Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:HOT
Hochtief
452.20
303.52
204.15%
DE:GBF
Bilfinger
110.70
47.67
75.64%
DE:HEI
Heidelberg Materials
189.70
33.46
21.42%
DE:TKA
thyssenkrupp
8.54
1.65
23.93%
DE:VOS
Vossloh
75.15
10.88
16.92%
DE:AB9
ABO Wind AG
5.79
-32.25
-84.78%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Feb 21, 2026