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Continental Aktiengesellschaft (DE:CON)
XETRA:CON

Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) AI Stock Analysis

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Continental Aktiengesellschaft

(XETRA:CON)

Rating:74Outperform
Price Target:
€85.00
▲(19.62%Upside)
Continental Aktiengesellschaft scores well due to strong technical momentum and reasonable valuation. The stable financial performance supports the stock's attractiveness, though some caution is warranted due to revenue and cash flow volatility. No significant earnings call or corporate events were factored in.
Positive Factors
Automotive and Tires outlook
CON hosted its public 1Q25 pre-close call with a constructive message on Automotive and Tires consistent with previous indications.
Tires revenue
CON sees higher replacement demand and positive price/mix in 2025, which implies that CON currently sees Tires revenue in the upper half of the range with downside protection if volumes turn out weaker than thought.
Negative Factors
Auto margin
The 4Q24 Auto margin came in weaker than expected on lower volumes and the FY24 Auto margin of 2.3% was below guidance of 2.5-3.5%.
ContiTech performance
ContiTech suffers from weak LV production and muted industrial demand.
Group EBIT guidance
CON's FY25 group adj. EBIT guidance implies c.8% downside vs current Visible Alpha consensus at the mid-point, with a soft revenue and margin outlook in Automotive.

Continental Aktiengesellschaft (CON) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Continental Aktiengesellschaft Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionContinental Aktiengesellschaft, a technology company, offers intelligent solutions for vehicles, machines, traffic, and transportation worldwide. It operates through four sectors: Automotive, Tires, ContiTech, and Contract Manufacturing. The company offers safety, brake, chassis, motion, and motion control systems; solutions for assisted and automated driving; and audio and camera solutions for the vehicle interior, as well as intelligent information and communication technology solutions. It also provides tires for cars, trucks, buses, two-wheel and specialist vehicles, bicycles, and motor vehicles, as well as digital tire monitoring and management systems. In addition, the company develops and manufactures cross-material, environmentally friendly, and intelligent products and systems for automotive, railway engineering, mining, agriculture, and other industries, as well as provides contract manufacturing services. It sells its products through 944 company owned tire outlets and approximately 5,200 franchise locations The company was formerly known as Continental-Caoutchouc- und Gutta-Percha Compagnie. Continental Aktiengesellschaft was founded in 1871 and is headquartered in Hanover, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyContinental makes money primarily through its diverse range of products and services across its major divisions. The Tire division generates revenue by manufacturing and selling a wide variety of tires for passenger cars, trucks, and industrial applications, serving both the original equipment and replacement markets. The Automotive Technologies division contributes to earnings by providing advanced safety features, powertrain technologies, and vehicle networking systems to automotive manufacturers. Additionally, the ContiTech division enhances revenue through its production of rubber and plastic products for a wide array of industries beyond automotive. The company's revenue streams are further bolstered by strategic partnerships and collaborations with other technology firms and automotive manufacturers, enabling innovation and market expansion.

Continental Aktiengesellschaft Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:May 06, 2025
(Q3-2024)
|
% Change Since: 1.37%|
Next Earnings Date:Aug 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
Continental AG's Q3 2024 earnings call highlights several positive developments such as improved EBIT margins, successful pricing negotiations, and strong performance in the tire segment. However, these are balanced by significant challenges including weak industrial markets impacting ContiTech, reduced order intake, and persistent challenges in the automotive segment, particularly in North America. The overall sentiment remains cautious but demonstrates resilience in the face of market difficulties.
Q3-2024 Updates
Positive Updates
Improvement in Adjusted EBIT Margin
Continental AG reported a significant improvement in its adjusted EBIT margin by 260 basis points year-over-year, driven by strategies including a €125 million cash inflow from Vitesco Technologies.
Successful Pricing Negotiations in Automotive
The automotive team concluded nearly all pricing negotiations, which contributed to a 140 basis point improvement in adjusted EBIT margin despite the challenging market.
Tire Segment Growth
The tire segment showed a strong performance with 3.5% organic sales growth and a 120 basis point increase in adjusted EBIT margin, driven by improvements in passenger vehicle replacement and truck tire business.
Cost Savings and Efficiency Gains
Continental achieved €100 million in cost savings year-to-date and raised the cost-cutting target to €200 million by year-end 2024, with further savings assured for 2025.
R&D Efficiency Improvements
A 30 basis point reduction in R&D to sales percentage was achieved, with AI being used to cut development time by up to 20%.
Negative Updates
Weak Industrial Markets Impacting ContiTech
ContiTech was heavily burdened by persistently weak industrial markets, resulting in a downgrade of its sales and EBIT margin guidance.
Automotive Market Challenges
Continental faced weak global production volumes, which impacted the automotive segment's sales and led to an expectation of landing in the lower half of the adjusted EBIT margin guidance.
Lower Free Cash Flow
Operating cash flow was down due to higher working capital and lower cash inflow from weak sales in July and August.
Weak Order Intake in Automotive
Automotive's order intake was below expectations at €3.7 billion, reflecting the challenging market environment with delayed sourcing decisions from customers.
Challenges in North America
The automotive segment in North America faced persistent challenges, including customer mix and technology change cycles, affecting performance.
Company Guidance
During the Q3 2024 call, Continental AG provided several key metrics and updates on their strategic and financial performance. The company reported a significant improvement in the adjusted EBIT margin, which increased by 260 basis points year-over-year, aided partially by a €125 million cash inflow from Vitesco Technologies. Group sector highlights included a notable organic sales growth of 3.5% in tires and a 140 basis points improvement in the automotive sector's adjusted EBIT margin. However, ContiTech faced challenges due to weak industrial markets, prompting a revised sales outlook to €6.2 billion to €6.6 billion and an adjusted EBIT margin of 5.8% to 6.3%. The company also highlighted a substantial reduction in headcount, contributing to a targeted €200 million cost savings for 2024, with plans to achieve an additional €200 million in 2025. Despite challenges, Continental reaffirmed its commitment to achieving its full-year guidance, adjusting the overall group sales outlook to €39.5 billion to €42 billion.

Continental Aktiengesellschaft Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Continental Aktiengesellschaft exhibits stable profitability with a strong capital structure. The company manages its debt levels well, with a balanced debt-to-equity ratio and a robust operating cash flow to net income ratio. However, volatility in revenue and free cash flow presents some challenges.
Income Statement
68
Positive
Continental Aktiengesellschaft shows a stable gross profit margin around 22-23% in recent years. Net profit margin has improved significantly since 2020, reaching 2.9% in 2024. However, revenue has fluctuated, with a decline from 2023 to 2024. EBIT and EBITDA margins have remained modest, reflecting some operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
74
Positive
The company maintains a balanced debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.48 in 2024, indicating prudent leverage management. The equity ratio stands at 38.8%, suggesting a stable capital structure. Return on equity remains moderate at 8.1%, signaling stable returns for shareholders.
Cash Flow
65
Positive
Operating cash flow has been relatively consistent, but free cash flow has seen fluctuations, with a significant drop in 2024. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is robust at 2.51 for 2024, indicating strong cash generation relative to net income. However, free cash flow growth has been inconsistent.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue34.84B39.72B41.42B39.41B33.77B37.72B
Gross Profit8.15B8.80B8.81B8.31B7.74B8.59B
EBITDA4.55B4.43B4.21B4.01B4.11B2.46B
Net Income1.29B1.17B1.16B112.20M1.44B-918.80M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets37.36B36.97B37.75B37.93B35.84B39.64B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments1.74B2.97B2.92B2.44B2.00B2.64B
Total Debt0.006.91B7.17B7.67B6.24B7.32B
Total Liabilities22.56B22.17B23.63B24.19B23.20B27.00B
Stockholders Equity14.37B14.35B13.68B13.26B12.19B12.26B
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow1.90B996.00M1.18B126.30M1.08B587.90M
Operating Cash Flow3.67B2.93B3.33B2.30B2.95B2.71B
Investing Cash Flow-1.78B-1.82B-2.17B-2.20B-1.58B-1.84B
Financing Cash Flow-1.33B-1.07B-1.13B653.50M-1.16B-1.14B

Continental Aktiengesellschaft Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price71.06
Price Trends
50DMA
72.79
Negative
100DMA
68.84
Positive
200DMA
64.02
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.23
Positive
RSI
33.33
Neutral
STOCH
7.78
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:CON, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 71.06 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 75.68, below the 50-day MA of 72.79, and above the 200-day MA of 64.02, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 33.33 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 7.78 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DE:CON.

Continental Aktiengesellschaft Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
DECON
74
Outperform
$14.20B11.1610.07%3.52%-14.83%78.73%
61
Neutral
AU$2.79B25.615.01%5.45%2.63%-29.95%
€273.08M-19.89%2.98%
€9.21B29.6410.12%1.15%
€719.95M11.1512.40%4.62%
€4.10B21.23-19.48%4.95%
DEKBX
67
Neutral
€13.68B32.0713.95%2.06%-1.57%-26.71%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:CON
Continental Aktiengesellschaft
71.06
20.05
39.31%
GB:0MG5
ElringKlinger
4.32
-0.54
-11.11%
GB:0R3U
Hella KGaA Hueck & Co
82.20
-2.16
-2.56%
GB:0O4N
SAF-HOLLAND SE
15.73
-1.83
-10.42%
GB:0RBK
Schaeffler
4.46
-0.56
-11.16%
DE:KBX
Knorr-Bremse AG
84.85
14.98
21.44%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Jun 05, 2025