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Covestro AG (DE:1COV)
XETRA:1COV

Covestro (1COV) AI Stock Analysis

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Covestro

(XETRA:1COV)

Rating:57Neutral
Price Target:
€62.00
▲(3.33%Upside)
Covestro's overall stock score is primarily impacted by financial performance and valuation challenges, with declining profitability and a negative P/E ratio. However, positive technical momentum offers some optimism, mitigating the downsides.

Covestro (1COV) vs. iShares MSCI Germany ETF (EWG)

Covestro Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionCovestro AG supplies high-tech polymer materials and related application solutions. It operates in two segments, Performance Materials, and Solutions & Specialties. The Performance Materials segment develops, produces, and supplies high-performance materials, such as polyurethanes and polycarbonates, and base chemicals, which include diphenylmethane diisocyanate (MDI), toluylene diisocyanate, long-chain polyols, and polycarbonate resins for use in furniture and wood processing, construction, automotive, and transportation industries, as well as roof structures, insulation for buildings and refrigerators, mattresses, car seats, and other applications. The Solutions & Specialties segment comprises a range of polymer products, including precursors for coatings and adhesives, polycarbonates, MDI specialties and polyols, specialty films, elastomers, and thermoplastic polyurethanes that are used in automotive and transportation, electrical, electronics and household appliances, construction, and healthcare industries, as well as composite resins for wind turbine, rotor blades, laptop cases, and floodlights. The company markets its products through trading houses and distributors. It operates in Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Latin America, the United States, Canada, and the People's Republic of China. The company was founded in 1863 and is headquartered in Leverkusen, Germany.
How the Company Makes MoneyCovestro generates revenue primarily through the sale of its high-performance polymer materials across its three business segments. In the Polyurethanes segment, the company produces raw materials for rigid and flexible foams used in insulation, automotive seating, and mattresses. The Polycarbonates segment focuses on producing thermoplastic polymers that are utilized in applications such as automotive components, electronic devices, and medical products. The Coatings, Adhesives, and Specialties (CAS) segment provides materials for coatings, adhesives, and sealants used in various industries. Covestro's earnings are augmented by its strong emphasis on research and development, which drives innovation and helps the company maintain a competitive edge in the market. Additionally, strategic partnerships and collaborations with other industry leaders enable Covestro to expand its market reach and enhance its product offerings, contributing further to its revenue streams.

Covestro Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Covestro faces profitability and revenue growth challenges in a competitive chemical industry. Despite maintaining a stable balance sheet and generating positive cash flows, the company struggles with net losses and declining operating margins. Attention to cost management and strategic growth initiatives will be essential to improving financial performance in the future.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The company's gross profit margin has decreased over the years, with current values reflecting a challenging market environment. Revenue has seen some decline, notably from a high in 2022, with a negative growth trend observed recently. The net profit margin remains negative due to ongoing net losses, indicating profitability concerns. EBIT and EBITDA margins have also declined, reflecting operational challenges.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The company's debt-to-equity ratio is moderate, indicating a balanced use of debt and equity, although recent increases in debt levels are noteworthy. Return on equity is negative in recent years due to net losses, impacting shareholder returns. The equity ratio shows a relatively stable financial position with a good proportion of assets financed by equity.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Free cash flow growth has been inconsistent, with recent declines. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is favorable due to strong cash flow generation relative to reported net income losses. Free cash flow to net income is positive, indicating the company generates cash even during periods of net losses, but sustainability is uncertain.
Breakdown
TTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
14.15B14.18B14.38B17.97B15.90B10.71B
Gross Profit
2.25B2.18B2.31B2.56B4.43B2.50B
EBIT
53.00M27.00M156.00M306.00M2.24B710.00M
EBITDA
1.06B1.12B1.14B1.11B3.06B1.44B
Net Income Common Stockholders
-261.00M-266.00M-198.00M-281.00M1.62B459.00M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
789.00M518.00M625.00M1.20B714.00M2.17B
Total Assets
14.05B13.63B13.64B14.59B15.57B12.92B
Total Debt
3.71B3.10B3.39B3.66B2.53B2.89B
Net Debt
2.96B2.59B2.77B2.46B1.88B1.49B
Total Liabilities
7.63B6.95B7.02B7.46B7.81B7.28B
Stockholders Equity
6.41B6.66B6.59B7.09B7.70B5.61B
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-169.00M89.00M232.00M138.00M1.43B530.00M
Operating Cash Flow
557.00M870.00M997.00M970.00M2.19B1.23B
Investing Cash Flow
-814.00M-423.00M-925.00M-477.00M-2.00B-1.77B
Financing Cash Flow
-262.00M-565.00M-639.00M64.00M-965.00M1.20B

Covestro Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price60.00
Price Trends
50DMA
59.21
Positive
100DMA
58.51
Positive
200DMA
57.69
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
0.23
Positive
RSI
55.44
Neutral
STOCH
67.61
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DE:1COV, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 60 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 59.91, above the 50-day MA of 59.21, and above the 200-day MA of 57.69, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 55.44 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 67.61 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DE:1COV.

Covestro Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (51)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
57
Neutral
€11.06B-6.00%0.01%-88.69%
51
Neutral
$2.02B-1.14-21.37%3.64%2.88%-30.57%
€8.81B16.5811.49%3.45%
€8.90B29.813.25%6.12%
€14.50B30.4112.56%1.16%
$2.54B-3.92%0.36%
$3.52B13.675.37%3.77%
* Basic Materials Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DE:1COV
Covestro
60.00
11.50
23.71%
GB:0MPT
Brenntag AG
60.77
-1.67
-2.67%
GB:0QDS
Evonik
19.13
1.76
10.13%
GB:0G6T
Symrise
104.06
-4.61
-4.24%
LNXSF
LANXESS
29.50
4.97
20.26%
WKCMF
Wacker Chemie AG
71.75
-33.09
-31.56%
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.