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Designer Brands Inc (DBI)
NYSE:DBI

Designer Brands (DBI) AI Stock Analysis

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Designer Brands

(NYSE:DBI)

60Neutral
Designer Brands Inc. is facing a challenging environment with mixed financial performance. The company demonstrates operational efficiencies and strong cash flow generation but struggles with consistent profitability and high leverage. Technical indicators suggest a bearish trend, though the dividend yield remains a positive aspect for investors. The most recent earnings call provides optimistic guidance for 2025, highlighting potential growth opportunities. Overall, while there are positive elements, the stock's performance is constrained by profitability and leverage concerns.

Designer Brands (DBI) vs. S&P 500 (SPY)

Designer Brands Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDesigner Brands Inc., together with its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, and retails footwear and accessories for women, men, and kids primarily in North America. The company operates through three segments: U.S. Retail, Canada Retail, and Brand Portfolio. It provides dress, casual, and athletic footwear; and handbags. The company offers its products under the Vince Camuto, Louise et Cie, Jessica Simpson, Lucky, JLO Jenifer Lopez, and other brands. It also operates vincecamuto.com e-commerce site, as well as www.dsw.com, www.dsw.ca, and www.theshoecompany.ca websites; and a portfolio of banners, including DSW Designer Shoe Warehouse, The Shoe Company, and Shoe Warehouse. As of January 29, 2022, it operated 648 stores. Designer Brands Inc. was founded in 1991 and is based in Columbus, Ohio.
How the Company Makes MoneyDesigner Brands Inc. generates revenue primarily through the sale of footwear and accessories across its retail and digital channels. The company operates a multi-channel business model, combining brick-and-mortar stores and a robust e-commerce platform to reach a broad customer base. Key revenue streams include the sale of branded footwear, which encompasses a mix of third-party and exclusive private-label brands. Designer Brands benefits from strategic partnerships with various designers and brand collaborations, enhancing its product offerings and market appeal. Furthermore, the company engages in loyalty programs and marketing initiatives to drive customer retention and sales growth. Overall, Designer Brands' earnings are influenced by its ability to effectively manage inventory, respond to fashion trends, and optimize its retail footprint.

Designer Brands Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Designer Brands faces financial headwinds, with declining revenue and profitability challenges evident in the income statement. The balance sheet reflects high leverage, increasing financial risk, while cash flow issues further strain the company's financial health. Focus on improving profitability and reducing leverage is crucial for future stability.
Income Statement
55
Neutral
The income statement reveals declining revenue with a negative net income for TTM (Trailing-Twelve-Months), indicating profitability challenges. Gross profit margin remains stable, but the negative net profit margin is a concern. EBIT and EBITDA margins are low, reflecting operational inefficiencies.
Balance Sheet
60
Neutral
The balance sheet shows high leverage with a significant debt-to-equity ratio, posing financial risk. Stockholders' equity has decreased over time, impacting the equity ratio. Return on equity is negative for TTM, highlighting profitability issues.
Cash Flow
50
Neutral
Cash flow analysis indicates negative free cash flow growth and declining operating cash flow, suggesting cash management difficulties. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is negative, emphasizing cash flow challenges.
Breakdown
TTMMar 2024Mar 2023Mar 2022Mar 2021Mar 2020
Income StatementTotal Revenue
3.05B3.07B3.32B3.20B2.23B3.49B
Gross Profit
952.78M974.89M1.08B1.07B311.24M999.67M
EBIT
27.30M72.40M110.26M128.95M-442.04M46.04M
EBITDA
75.57M138.51M255.94M283.15M-496.59M215.34M
Net Income Common Stockholders
-2.08M29.06M162.68M154.48M-488.72M94.50M
Balance SheetCash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments
169.09M49.17M58.77M72.69M59.58M111.54M
Total Assets
1.62B2.08B2.01B2.01B1.98B2.47B
Total Debt
160.00M1.24B1.10B1.02B1.26B1.22B
Net Debt
60.63M1.19B1.04B948.50M1.20B1.14B
Total Liabilities
788.21M1.71B1.58B1.60B1.73B1.74B
Stockholders Equity
832.38M359.22M429.75M412.40M243.02M720.91M
Cash FlowFree Cash Flow
-35.55M107.40M146.45M138.40M-184.91M118.89M
Operating Cash Flow
-27.98M162.40M201.43M171.43M-153.79M196.71M
Investing Cash Flow
-63.37M-182.49M-88.12M-35.03M2.63M-27.44M
Financing Cash Flow
72.73M10.48M-128.48M-121.49M122.95M-183.35M

Designer Brands Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Neutral
Last Price4.24
Price Trends
50DMA
4.72
Negative
100DMA
5.03
Negative
200DMA
5.91
Negative
Market Momentum
MACD
-0.22
Negative
RSI
52.02
Neutral
STOCH
78.42
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DBI, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 4.24 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 3.89, below the 50-day MA of 4.72, and below the 200-day MA of 5.91, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -0.22 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 52.02 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 78.42 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DBI.

Designer Brands Risk Analysis

Designer Brands disclosed 21 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Designer Brands reported the most risks in the “Ability to Sell” category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Designer Brands Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (59)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
76
Outperform
$5.86B6.9457.76%3.53%24.55%
76
Outperform
$18.92B20.2439.80%19.40%32.70%
SKSKX
73
Outperform
$8.71B14.0515.42%12.11%19.16%
67
Neutral
$605.17M8.0311.97%2.51%2.30%0.88%
DBDBI
60
Neutral
$203.22M-3.31%4.95%-2.14%
59
Neutral
$12.50B11.241.20%3.72%1.27%-20.93%
FLFL
55
Neutral
$1.52B130.540.62%-2.20%
* Consumer Cyclical Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DBI
Designer Brands
4.24
-5.90
-58.19%
CROX
Crocs
110.92
-29.13
-20.80%
DECK
Deckers Outdoor
124.68
-31.56
-20.20%
FL
Foot Locker
16.03
-10.84
-40.34%
SCVL
Shoe Carnival
22.27
-12.14
-35.28%
SKX
Skechers USA
58.35
-1.66
-2.77%

Designer Brands Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date: Mar 20, 2025 | % Change Since: 11.58% | Next Earnings Date: Jun 4, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Neutral
The earnings call reflected a mix of positive developments such as a return to positive comps, strong performance in the Brand Portfolio segment, and successful brand growth, alongside challenges like year-over-year sales declines, increased operating expenses, and a soft start to 2025. Positive initiatives were evident, but macroeconomic uncertainties and category-specific struggles were also notable.
Highlights
Return to Positive Comps
For the first time in nine quarters, Designer Brands Inc. returned to positive comps in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024, with comps up 1% excluding the 53rd week.
Strong Performance in Brand Portfolio Segment
Sales in the Brand Portfolio segment were up approximately 12% for the fourth quarter and roughly 14% for the full year. The segment achieved operating profitability for the first time.
Expansion of Gross Margins
Gross margins expanded by 100 basis points in the Brand Portfolio segment, contributing to a significant improvement in operating margin.
Growth in Key Brands
Topo Athletic and Jessica Simpson brands outperformed expectations throughout the year, with Topo up nearly 80% and Jessica up over 20% in wholesale sales.
DSW Market Share Gain
DSW sales growth outpaced the footwear market, resulting in a 10 basis point gain in footwear market share versus last year.
Return of Cash to Shareholders
Designer Brands returned $79 million to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases in fiscal 2024.
Lowlights
Year-Over-Year Sales Decline
Total sales for the full year were down roughly 2%, with comps down 1.7%, in line with revised guidance.
Impact of 53rd Week
Sales for the quarter were down 7% primarily due to the impact of the 53rd week last year.
Challenges in Seasonal Categories
Weaknesses were noted in seasonal categories, with a 900 basis points decrease in the boot category.
Increased Operating Expenses
Adjusted operating expense increased by 40 basis points in the fourth quarter and 50 basis points for the full year.
Soft Start to 2025
The company experienced a slower-than-anticipated start to fiscal 2025, with expectations for first-quarter sales to be below the prior year.
Company Guidance
In the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2024, Designer Brands Inc. reported a 5% year-over-year decline in total sales due to the inclusion of a 53rd week in the previous year, but excluding that week, comparable sales rose by 1%. For the full year, the company saw a 2% decrease in total sales and a 1.7% decrease in comparable sales, aligning with revised guidance. The company achieved an adjusted EPS of $0.27, reaching the upper end of their revised guidance range of $0.10 to $0.30. Notably, U.S. Retail comps increased by 1% in the fourth quarter, marking a return to positive comps for the first time since Q3 2022, while Canada Retail saw a 5% increase in comps for the quarter. The Brand Portfolio segment experienced a sales growth of approximately 12% in Q4 and 14% for the full year, achieving operating profitability for the first time. The company expanded its gross margins by 100 basis points and reduced operating expenses by nearly 700 basis points in this segment. For fiscal 2025, Designer Brands projects low single-digit sales growth for U.S. Retail, mid to high single-digit growth for Canada Retail, and mid single-digit growth for the Brand Portfolio segment, with an expected EPS range of $0.30 to $0.50, representing a nearly 50% increase at the midpoint compared to 2024.
Glossary
OutperformA stock rated as "Outperform" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider this stock a good buying opportunity.
NeutralA stock rated as "Neutral" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly attractive nor unattractive for investment. Investors may consider holding onto the stock, as it is not expected to either significantly outperform or underperform the market.
UnderperformA stock rated as "Underperform" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests that the stock may deliver lower returns compared to the average returns of other stocks in the same sector or market index. Investors might consider selling the stock or avoiding it as an investment.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.