Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD)
NYSE:DBD
Top Page
Diebold Nixdorf Inc
(NYSE:DBD)
Select Model
Select Model
Rating:65Neutral
Price Target:
$77.00
▼(-0.41% Downside)
Action:ReiteratedDate:02/14/26
The score is driven primarily by improving financial performance (profitability, stronger free cash flow, and deleveraging) and supportive technical momentum. These positives are moderated by a high P/E valuation and residual earnings/cash-flow volatility (including nonrecurring EPS benefits noted on the earnings call).
Positive Factors
Recurring services & installed base
Diebold Nixdorf's business mixes one-time product sales with recurring service contracts and managed services tied to a large installed base. Recurring services create sticky revenue, higher lifetime customer value, and predictable cash flow that supports reinvestment and cushions product-cycle volatility over the medium term.
Negative Factors
Multi-year earnings and cash volatility
A history of wide profit and cash swings reduces predictability of long-term returns. Past losses and negative cash flow mean management must continually prove that recent improvements are structural, increasing execution risk and requiring stronger cushions in planning and capital allocation.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Recurring services & installed base
Diebold Nixdorf's business mixes one-time product sales with recurring service contracts and managed services tied to a large installed base. Recurring services create sticky revenue, higher lifetime customer value, and predictable cash flow that supports reinvestment and cushions product-cycle volatility over the medium term.
Read all positive factors
Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.72B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)272.13K
Price to Earnings (P/E)26.4
Beta (1Y)1.17
Revenue Growth-2.86%
EPS Growth985.78%
CountryUS
Employees21,000
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)3.02
Shares Outstanding35,173,040
10 Day Avg. Volume253,244
30 Day Avg. Volume272,127
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.04
Price to Book (P/B)2.27
Price to Sales (P/S)0.66
P/FCF Ratio9.49
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.31
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.94
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.62
Enterprise Value/Ebitda9.34
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$100.00Price Target Upside29.33% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)5.02
Revenue Forecast (FY)$3.90B
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated engages in the automating, digitizing, and transforming the way people bank and shop worldwide. It operates through two segments, Banking and Retail. The company offers cash recyclers and dispensers, intelligent depos...
How the Company Makes Money
Diebold Nixdorf primarily makes money by selling technology solutions and by providing recurring services that support and operate those solutions over their life cycle. Key revenue streams include: (1) Product and solution sales: one-time or proj...
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Feb 12, 2026
(Q4-2025)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:May 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed a strong, improving financial and operational trajectory: record free cash flow, meaningful margin expansion, robust adjusted EBITDA, solid revenue and order growth, structural Lean-driven efficiencies, improved liquidity and credit ratings, and raised 2026 guidance. Noted challenges were localized (retail service disruptions, regional lumpiness, near-term service investment drag) and partially transitory, while management provided plans and guidance to drive further improvements. Overall, positive momentum and balance sheet strength significantly outweigh the cited headwinds.Positive Updates
Record Free Cash Flow and Conversion
Generated a record $239,000,000 of free cash flow in FY2025, more than doubling 2024's $109,000,000; Q4 FCF was $196,000,000 (up ~5% YoY). FCF conversion ~49%, approaching the 2026 target of >50%.
Negative Updates
Retail Service Disruptions Impacting Full-Year Margins
Certain large retail customers experienced external cyber-related disruptions that reduced service delivery; full-year retail gross margins declined ~20 bps and retail services revenue was roughly flat year-over-year as a result (service has since resumed).
Read all updates
Q4-2025 Updates
Positive
Negative
Record Free Cash Flow and Conversion
Generated a record $239,000,000 of free cash flow in FY2025, more than doubling 2024's $109,000,000; Q4 FCF was $196,000,000 (up ~5% YoY). FCF conversion ~49%, approaching the 2026 target of >50%.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue of $3.86–$3.94 billion, adjusted EBITDA of $510–$535 million (≈+8% at the midpoint), free cash flow of $255–$270 million (≈+10% at the midpoint) and adjusted EPS of $5.25–$5.75 assuming a 35–40% effective tax rate, with total gross margin expected to expand 25–50 basis points year‑over‑year. They cited a $733 million product backlog and strong January order entry, expect a revenue cadence similar to 2025 (~45% H1 / 55% H2 with Q1 ≈22% of revenue) and an adjusted EBITDA split of roughly 40% H1 / ~61% H2, plan to generate positive free cash flow every quarter, intend to realize up to half of $50 million of annualized OPEX savings in 2026 (reducing OPEX ~1–2%), and enter the year with ~1.1x net leverage and more than $700 million of liquidity.Diebold Nixdorf Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
62
Positive
Balance Sheet
58
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | |||||
| Total Revenue | 3.81B | 3.75B | 3.76B | 3.46B | 3.91B |
| Gross Profit | 961.20M | 920.00M | 876.20M | 757.30M | 1.04B |
| EBITDA | 369.50M | 334.90M | 275.00M | -113.40M | 293.70M |
| Net Income | 94.60M | -16.50M | 1.38B | -581.40M | -78.80M |
Balance Sheet | |||||
| Total Assets | 3.85B | 3.54B | 4.16B | 3.06B | 3.51B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 416.40M | 313.10M | 563.60M | 332.00M | 423.20M |
| Total Debt | 1.17B | 1.05B | 1.36B | 2.73B | 2.45B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.75B | 2.61B | 3.08B | 4.44B | 4.34B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.10B | 929.80M | 1.06B | -1.38B | -845.10M |
Cash Flow | |||||
| Free Cash Flow | 263.30M | 131.80M | -281.90M | -441.00M | 72.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 300.70M | 149.20M | -257.00M | -387.90M | 123.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -97.60M | -45.50M | -36.10M | -23.80M | -36.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -143.90M | -366.50M | 559.50M | 349.80M | -16.30M |
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Technical Analysis
Positive
77.32
Price Trends
75.16
Positive
70.75
Positive
64.57
Positive
Market Momentum
0.23
Negative
54.60
Neutral
62.52
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 77.32 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 74.91, above the 50-day MA of 75.16, and above the 200-day MA of 64.57, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 0.23 indicates Negative momentum. The RSI at 54.60 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 62.52 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DBD.
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Risk Analysis
Diebold Nixdorf Inc disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diebold Nixdorf Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
66 Neutral | $3.22B | 17.29 | 49.78% | ― | -0.14% | ― | |
65 Neutral | $2.72B | 26.41 | 8.82% | ― | -2.86% | 985.78% | |
64 Neutral | $1.51B | 69.87 | 3.93% | ― | 6.48% | 168.94% | |
62 Neutral | $1.38B | -1,752.68 | -0.25% | ― | 21.23% | -101.40% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
59 Neutral | $337.56M | -15.25 | -22.88% | ― | 13.09% | 32.34% | |
46 Neutral | $121.63M | -7.75 | 31.73% | ― | -0.14% | 21.60% |
* Technology Sector Average
DBD
Diebold Nixdorf Inc
77.32
39.94
106.85%
PDFS
PDF Solutions
34.71
17.57
102.51%
DOMO
Domo
2.91
-4.27
-59.47%
SPT
Sprout Social
5.66
-14.28
-71.61%
CXM
Sprinklr
6.06
-1.11
-15.48%
NATL
NCR Atleos, LLC
43.70
19.75
82.46%
Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.