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Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD)
NYSE:DBD
US Market

Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) AI Stock Analysis

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DBD

Diebold Nixdorf Inc

(NYSE:DBD)

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Neutral 58 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:58Neutral
Price Target:
$66.00
▼(-1.23% Downside)
Diebold Nixdorf's overall stock score is driven by a positive earnings call and technical indicators, which are offset by weak financial performance and valuation metrics. The company's strategic initiatives and optimistic guidance provide some confidence, but financial challenges remain significant.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
The company's ability to achieve revenue growth indicates resilience and effective market strategies, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Consistent positive free cash flow enhances financial flexibility, enabling strategic investments and debt reduction, crucial for long-term stability.
Credit Rating Upgrade
An improved credit rating reflects enhanced financial health, reducing borrowing costs and increasing investor confidence in the company's future.
Negative Factors
High Debt Levels
Significant debt levels can constrain financial flexibility and increase risk, potentially impacting long-term operational and strategic initiatives.
Service Margin Challenges
Declining service margins indicate cost pressures and operational inefficiencies, which could affect profitability and require strategic adjustments.
Declining Revenue Trend
A persistent decline in revenue suggests challenges in market competitiveness and product demand, necessitating strategic interventions for growth.

Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDiebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) is a global leader in providing integrated technology solutions for the banking and retail sectors. The company specializes in ATMs, point-of-sale systems, and software services that enhance customer engagement and operational efficiency. With a strong focus on innovation, Diebold Nixdorf offers comprehensive services including hardware sales, software solutions, and maintenance, enabling financial institutions and retailers to streamline their operations and improve customer experiences.
How the Company Makes MoneyDiebold Nixdorf generates revenue through several key streams, primarily from the sale of automated teller machines (ATMs) and point-of-sale (POS) systems, alongside associated software solutions. The company also earns significant income from ongoing service contracts, which include maintenance, software updates, and technical support for their products. Additionally, Diebold Nixdorf engages in partnerships with financial institutions and retail companies, allowing them to expand their market reach and enhance product offerings. These partnerships often lead to recurring revenue through service agreements and upgrades, contributing to the company's overall financial performance.

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 05, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Feb 18, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a generally positive outlook with significant revenue and profit growth, especially in the retail segment, and strong financial management. However, challenges in service margins and regional performance in Latin America were noted.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Revenue and Profit Growth
Total revenue grew 2% year-over-year and was up 3% sequentially. Operating profit grew 4% year-over-year and 19% sequentially.
Strong Retail Segment Performance
Retail revenue was up 8% year-over-year, with order entry growing 40%. The segment showed strong results driven by demand and execution.
Share Repurchase Program
Diebold Nixdorf announced a new $200 million share repurchase program, reflecting confidence in the business's strength and cash generation.
Positive Free Cash Flow
Achieved positive free cash flow for the fourth consecutive quarter, setting a new record for Diebold Nixdorf.
Credit Rating Upgrade
Received a credit rating upgrade from Standard & Poor's, reinforcing the strength of the company's financial performance.
Progress in Working Capital Management
Year-over-year improvements in Days Sales Outstanding (DSO) by 9 days and Days Inventory Outstanding (DIO) by 11 days.
Negative Updates
Service Margin Challenges
Service gross margins declined by 80 basis points year-over-year due to accelerated investments in field services software and technicians.
Latin America Performance
Latin America didn't perform as strongly as expected, with political turmoil impacting market conditions.
Company Guidance
During Diebold Nixdorf's Q3 2025 earnings call, the company provided optimistic guidance, reflecting confidence in achieving the higher end of their full-year outlook for revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow. The company reported a 25% year-over-year growth in product orders, which contributed to a robust backlog of approximately $920 million. Total revenue increased by 2% year-over-year and 3% sequentially, with operating profit rising 4% year-over-year and 19% sequentially. Adjusted earnings per share reached $1.39, marking a significant increase both year-over-year and sequentially. Diebold Nixdorf achieved positive free cash flow for the fourth consecutive quarter and received a credit rating upgrade from Standard & Poor's. Additionally, the company announced a new $200 million share repurchase program, underscoring its commitment to returning capital to shareholders. Looking ahead, Diebold Nixdorf aims to generate $800 million in cumulative free cash flow by 2027, achieve 60%+ conversion, and maintain approximately 15% adjusted EBITDA margins.

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Diebold Nixdorf faces significant financial challenges with declining revenue and persistent net losses. Despite some improvements in financial leverage, the balance sheet is burdened by high debt, and cash flow management issues persist with negative operating and free cash flows.
Income Statement
45
Neutral
Diebold Nixdorf's income statement reveals significant challenges. The company's revenue has declined over the years, with a noticeable drop in the latest TTM data compared to the previous year. The gross profit margin for TTM is approximately 31.32%, showing a slight improvement, yet the net income remains negative, leading to a negative net profit margin. Historical EBIT and EBITDA margins have been inconsistent, and the current TTM EBIT margin is 7.57%, indicating slight operational efficiency improvements but still insufficient to achieve profitability. Overall, the income metrics reflect instability and a need for strategic improvement to reverse the declining revenue trend.
Balance Sheet
50
Neutral
The balance sheet presents a mixed view. While the company's debt-to-equity ratio has improved in TTM to around 1.00, indicating better financial leverage management compared to previous years, the total debt remains substantial. The equity ratio is approximately 26.22%, suggesting moderate stability, but the company still faces risk due to its high liabilities. Return on equity is not applicable due to negative equity in past years, highlighting financial distress. Overall, the balance sheet shows some improvement in leverage but remains under pressure from high debt levels.
Cash Flow
40
Negative
Cash flow analysis highlights ongoing cash management issues. Operating cash flow is negative in the TTM period, as is free cash flow, indicating challenges in generating cash from operations. The free cash flow to net income ratio is not favorable, reinforcing the difficulty in achieving cash profitability. Although there is a slight improvement in free cash flow from the previous year, the negative operating cash flow persists, suggesting the company continues to struggle with liquidity management.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue3.69B3.75B3.76B3.46B3.91B3.90B
Gross Profit920.70M920.00M876.20M757.30M1.04B1.03B
EBITDA355.40M334.90M275.00M-113.40M293.70M177.70M
Net Income50.60M-16.50M1.38B-581.40M-78.80M-269.10M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets3.72B3.54B4.16B3.06B3.51B3.66B
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments280.00M313.10M563.60M332.00M423.20M361.70M
Total Debt1.07B1.05B1.36B2.73B2.45B2.50B
Total Liabilities2.61B2.61B3.08B4.44B4.34B4.47B
Stockholders Equity1.11B929.80M1.06B-1.38B-845.10M-827.10M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow229.50M131.80M-281.90M-441.00M72.00M-26.70M
Operating Cash Flow279.40M149.20M-257.00M-387.90M123.30M18.00M
Investing Cash Flow-76.30M-45.50M-36.10M-23.80M-36.50M-82.60M
Financing Cash Flow-280.20M-366.50M559.50M349.80M-16.30M16.90M

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price66.82
Price Trends
50DMA
61.88
Positive
100DMA
60.57
Positive
200DMA
54.52
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
1.44
Positive
RSI
60.36
Neutral
STOCH
60.72
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DBD, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 66.82 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 65.09, above the 50-day MA of 61.88, and above the 200-day MA of 54.52, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 1.44 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 60.36 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 60.72 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DBD.

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Risk Analysis

Diebold Nixdorf Inc disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diebold Nixdorf Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
77
Outperform
$1.94B18.5821.35%6.48%168.94%
69
Neutral
$2.85B23.5841.41%-0.14%
69
Neutral
$1.15B-0.02%21.23%-101.40%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
61
Neutral
$653.08M-13.63-26.69%13.09%32.34%
58
Neutral
$2.40B48.984.66%-2.86%985.78%
48
Neutral
$360.72M-4.99-0.14%21.60%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DBD
Diebold Nixdorf Inc
66.82
23.31
53.57%
PDFS
PDF Solutions
27.52
-0.94
-3.30%
DOMO
Domo
8.58
1.43
20.00%
SPT
Sprout Social
11.03
-21.33
-65.91%
CXM
Sprinklr
7.86
-1.29
-14.10%
NATL
NCR Atleos, LLC
38.64
6.81
21.39%

Diebold Nixdorf Inc Corporate Events

Diebold Nixdorf Reports Strong Q3 Financial Results
Nov 6, 2025

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated is a global leader in automating and digitizing banking and retail experiences, providing integrated solutions to major financial institutions and retailers worldwide.

Diebold Nixdorf’s Earnings Call Highlights Growth and Challenges
Nov 6, 2025

Diebold Nixdorf Inc’s recent earnings call painted a generally positive picture, highlighting significant revenue and profit growth, particularly in the retail segment, alongside strong financial management. However, the company acknowledged challenges in service margins and regional performance in Latin America.

Diebold Nixdorf Reports Strong Q2 2025 Results
Aug 7, 2025

Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated is a global leader in automating and digitizing banking and retail processes, providing integrated solutions to connect digital and physical channels for consumers worldwide.

Diebold Nixdorf’s Earnings Call: Positive Outlook Amid Challenges
Aug 7, 2025

Diebold Nixdorf Inc. recently held its earnings call, revealing a generally positive sentiment driven by strong financial performance. The company reported positive free cash flow, increased product orders, and improved gross margins. While the Banking segment showed significant growth, challenges were noted in the Retail segment, tariff impacts, and high tax rates. Overall, the highlights outweighed the lowlights, indicating a positive outlook for the company.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 06, 2025