Diebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD)
NYSE:DBD
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Diebold Nixdorf Inc
(NYSE:DBD)
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Rating:62Neutral
Price Target:
$73.00
▼(-17.77% Downside)
Action:Reiterated
Date:05/01/26
The score is driven primarily by improving fundamentals and cash generation (profitability and strong TTM free cash flow) plus a supportive earnings outlook (EBITDA/FCF growth guidance and backlog visibility). These positives are tempered by sharp TTM revenue decline, meaningful leverage, and a weak technical setup with the stock trading below key moving averages.
Positive Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Diebold Nixdorf has transitioned to durable positive free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$266M) and guided for similar full‑year FCF with a 50%+ conversion target. Consistent FCF supports debt servicing, buybacks and reinvestment capacity, increasing financial flexibility over the coming 2–3 years.
Negative Factors
Significant TTM revenue decline
A ~22% TTM revenue decline materially reduces operating leverage and leaves less margin cushion. If end-market refresh cycles or large product deliveries remain lumpy, sustained top-line weakness could undermine profit momentum and make achieving guided margin and cash targets harder.
Read all positive and negative factors
Positive Factors
Negative Factors
Strong free cash flow generation
Diebold Nixdorf has transitioned to durable positive free cash flow (TTM FCF ~$266M) and guided for similar full‑year FCF with a 50%+ conversion target. Consistent FCF supports debt servicing, buybacks and reinvestment capacity, increasing financial flexibility over the coming 2–3 years.
Read all positive factors
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Key Performance Indicators (KPIs)
Any
Operating Income by Segment
Reports profit after operating costs for each segment, showing which businesses actually convert sales into earnings. Highlights where cost control, scale, or restructuring are improving margins and where losses or low returns may require strategic change. For investors, segment-level operating income points to the sustainability and quality of reported profits.
Reports profit after operating costs for each segment, showing which businesses actually convert sales into earnings. Highlights where cost control, scale, or restructuring are improving margins and where losses or low returns may require strategic change. For investors, segment-level operating income points to the sustainability and quality of reported profits.
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The Fly
The FlyDiebold Nixdorf Inc (DBD) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)
Market Cap
$2.47B
Dividend YieldN/A
Average Volume (3M)624.03K
Price to Earnings (P/E)132.4
Beta (1Y)1.14
Revenue Growth4.32%
EPS GrowthN/A
CountryUS
Employees21,000
SectorTechnology
Sector Strength88
IndustrySoftware - Application
Share Statistics
EPS (TTM)2.96
Shares Outstanding34,628,390
10 Day Avg. Volume279,639
30 Day Avg. Volume624,034
Financial Highlights & Ratios
PEG Ratio-0.04
Price to Book (P/B)2.27
Price to Sales (P/S)0.66
P/FCF Ratio9.49
Enterprise Value/Market Cap1.29
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.83
Enterprise Value/Gross Profit3.14
Enterprise Value/Ebitda7.00
Forecast
1Y Price Target
$100.00Price Target Upside12.65% Upside
Rating ConsensusModerate Buy
Number of Analyst Covering2
EPS Forecast (FY)5.5
Revenue Forecast (FY)$3.91B
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Business Overview & Revenue Model
Company Description
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated engages in the automating, digitizing, and transforming the way people bank and shop worldwide. It operates through two segments, Banking and Retail. The company offers cash recyclers and dispensers, intelligent depos...
How the Company Makes Money
Diebold Nixdorf primarily makes money by selling technology solutions and by providing recurring services that support and operate those solutions over their life cycle. Key revenue streams include: (1) Product and solution sales: one-time or proj...
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Earnings Call Summary
Earnings Call Date:Apr 30, 2026
(Q1-2026)
| % Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Aug 12, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The call conveyed broad operational and financial momentum: revenue growth, strong adjusted EBITDA expansion, substantial EPS improvement, improved working capital and continued free cash flow generation alongside strategic account wins across banking and retail. Management acknowledged short-term margin pressure in services from planned investments and retail product margin compression from mix and memory cost headwinds, but provided clear mitigation actions (repricing, supply coverage) and confident guidance for 2026 including FCF and EBITDA targets. Overall, positives (multiple growth and cash-generation metrics, strategic customer wins, balance sheet strength) materially outweigh the limited near-term challenges.Positive Updates
Revenue Growth
Total non-GAAP revenue grew 6% year-over-year to $888 million in Q1 2026, supported by strength in retail, currency and services, with sequential backlog up to ~$790 million.
Negative Updates
Service Margin Pressure from Investments
Non-GAAP service margin declined 30 basis points year-over-year to 24.8% in Q1, with banking service margin down 80 basis points to 23.7% due to planned investments in people, field technician software and consolidation of repair/service centers—though management expects sequential and full-year improvements.
Read all updates
Q1-2026 Updates
Positive
Negative
Revenue Growth
Total non-GAAP revenue grew 6% year-over-year to $888 million in Q1 2026, supported by strength in retail, currency and services, with sequential backlog up to ~$790 million.
Read all positive updates
Company Guidance
Management guided 2026 revenue of $3.86–$3.94 billion (supported by a ~$790 million product backlog), total gross margin improvement of 25–50 basis points year‑over‑year, service gross margin improvement up to 50 bps, and product margins expected to remain comparable to 2025 (after a +300 bps gain in 2025). Adjusted EBITDA is guided to $510–$535 million (≈+8% at the midpoint) with the first half expected to contribute just above 40% of annual EBITDA, Q2 revenue ~24% of the full year and Q2 EBITDA modestly above prior year (with Q2 margins near ~13%). Adjusted EPS is $5.25–$5.75 (assuming a 35–40% full‑year tax rate). Free cash flow is guided to $255–$270 million (~+10% at the midpoint) with free cash flow per share ≈ mid‑$7, a target of 50%+ FCF conversion, positive FCF each quarter, and a cumulative FCF target of $800 million for 2025–2027. Balance sheet liquidity was ~ $680 million (cash $374M + undrawn $310M RCF) with net debt leverage ~1.2x; Q1 buybacks were ~747k shares at $73.66 (≈$55M returned; $117M remaining on the $200M program).Diebold Nixdorf Inc Financial Statement Overview
Summary
Income Statement
58
Neutral
Balance Sheet
55
Neutral
Cash Flow
67
Positive
| Breakdown | TTM | Dec 2025 | Dec 2024 | Dec 2023 | Dec 2022 | Dec 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Income Statement | ||||||
| Total Revenue | 3.86B | 3.81B | 3.75B | 3.76B | 3.46B | 3.91B |
| Gross Profit | 1.02B | 1.00B | 920.00M | 876.20M | 757.30M | 1.04B |
| EBITDA | 456.10M | 462.10M | 334.90M | 275.00M | -113.40M | 293.70M |
| Net Income | 107.90M | 94.60M | -16.50M | 1.38B | -581.40M | -78.80M |
Balance Sheet | ||||||
| Total Assets | 3.83B | 3.85B | 3.54B | 4.16B | 3.06B | 3.51B |
| Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments | 373.60M | 416.40M | 313.10M | 563.60M | 332.00M | 423.20M |
| Total Debt | 1.09B | 1.17B | 1.05B | 1.36B | 2.73B | 2.45B |
| Total Liabilities | 2.80B | 2.75B | 2.61B | 3.08B | 4.44B | 4.34B |
| Stockholders Equity | 1.02B | 1.10B | 929.80M | 1.06B | -1.38B | -845.10M |
Cash Flow | ||||||
| Free Cash Flow | 266.00M | 263.30M | 131.80M | -281.90M | -441.00M | 72.00M |
| Operating Cash Flow | 316.70M | 300.70M | 149.20M | -257.00M | -387.90M | 123.30M |
| Investing Cash Flow | -77.40M | -97.60M | -45.50M | -36.10M | -23.80M | -36.50M |
| Financing Cash Flow | -193.30M | -143.90M | -366.50M | 559.50M | 349.80M | -16.30M |
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Technical Analysis
Neutral
88.77
Price Trends
78.02
Negative
75.49
Negative
68.34
Positive
Market Momentum
-2.85
Positive
36.90
Neutral
12.93
Positive
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DBD, the sentiment is Neutral. The current price of 88.77 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 76.93, above the 50-day MA of 78.02, and above the 200-day MA of 68.34, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -2.85 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 36.90 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 12.93 is Positive, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Neutral sentiment for DBD.
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Risk Analysis
Diebold Nixdorf Inc disclosed 40 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Diebold Nixdorf Inc reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks
Diebold Nixdorf Inc Peers Comparison
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Name | Overall Rating | Market Cap | P/E Ratio | ROE | Dividend Yield | Revenue Growth | EPS Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
71 Outperform | $1.79B | 68.03 | 2.68% | ― | 24.44% | 382.67% | |
68 Neutral | $408.99M | -13.43 | -19.29% | ― | 12.27% | 37.41% | |
64 Neutral | $1.23B | 44.10 | 3.93% | ― | 7.64% | -80.72% | |
62 Neutral | $2.47B | 132.40 | 9.97% | ― | 4.32% | ― | |
62 Neutral | $3.33B | 36.45 | 47.60% | ― | 4.37% | 64.80% | |
61 Neutral | $37.18B | 12.37 | -10.20% | 1.83% | 8.50% | -7.62% | |
46 Neutral | $161.62M | -7.75 | 31.73% | ― | 0.57% | 31.68% |
* Technology Sector Average
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Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Disclaimer
This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.