Dave (DAVE)
NASDAQ:DAVE
US Market
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Dave (DAVE) AI Stock Analysis

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DAVE

Dave

(NASDAQ:DAVE)

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Outperform 81 (OpenAI - 4o)
Rating:81Outperform
Price Target:
$271.00
▲(12.35% Upside)
Dave Inc. shows strong financial performance and a positive earnings call, highlighting significant revenue and EBITDA growth. The technical analysis supports a stable outlook, while the valuation suggests moderate pricing. The absence of corporate events and dividend yield indicates a focus on growth and reinvestment.
Positive Factors
Revenue Growth
Sustained revenue growth indicates strong market demand and effective business strategies, enhancing long-term financial stability.
Cash Flow Management
Efficient cash flow management supports operational needs and growth initiatives, ensuring financial resilience and strategic flexibility.
Subscription Revenue Increase
Growth in subscription revenue enhances profitability and provides a stable, recurring income stream, supporting long-term business sustainability.
Negative Factors
Higher Loss Rates
Increased loss rates could pressure profitability and require careful management to maintain financial health and investor confidence.
Legal Settlement Charge
Legal charges can impact financial results and highlight potential operational risks, necessitating strategic oversight to mitigate future liabilities.
Net Profit Margin Pressure
Declining net profit margins may indicate rising costs or inefficiencies, which could affect long-term profitability if not addressed.

Dave (DAVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dave Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDave Inc. provides a suite of financial products and services through its financial service online platform. The company offers Insights, a personal financial management tool to manage income and expenses between paychecks for members; ExtraCash, a free overdraft and short-term credit alternative, which allows members to advance funds to their account and avoid a fee; and Side Hustle, a job application portal. It also provides Dave Banking, a digital checking and demand deposit account. The company was founded in 2015 and is based in West Hollywood, California.
How the Company Makes MoneyDave generates revenue through several key streams. Primarily, the company earns money by charging users a monthly subscription fee for access to premium features, including financial insights and budgeting tools. Additionally, Dave offers cash advances to users, which may involve fees for late repayments or interest charges, contributing to its earnings. The company also partners with various financial institutions to facilitate transactions and may receive referral fees or commissions for these partnerships. Furthermore, revenue is supplemented through interchange fees collected when users make purchases using their Dave debit card.

Dave Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Nov 04, 2025
(Q3-2025)
|
% Change Since: |
Next Earnings Date:Mar 09, 2026
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a positive outlook with significant revenue and EBITDA growth, improved credit economics, and successful strategic initiatives, despite some challenges with higher loss rates and a legal settlement charge.
Q3-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue grew 63% year-over-year to $150.8 million, marking another record quarter for the company.
Adjusted EBITDA Surge
Adjusted EBITDA reached $58.7 million, increasing 137% year-over-year, with a 40% EBITDA margin.
Growth in Monthly Transacting Members
Monthly transacting members grew 17% to 2.77 million, with an expansion in ARPU by nearly 40%.
Improved Credit Economics
The new pricing model led to better credit economics, with net monetization per transaction and member lifetime value improvements.
CashAI v5.5 Impact
The rollout of CashAI v5.5 improved credit outcomes and increased conversion rates.
ExtraCash Originations Growth
ExtraCash originations grew 49% year-over-year, surpassing $2 billion for the first time.
Subscription Revenue Increase
High-margin subscription revenue rose 57% year-over-year.
Coastal Community Bank Transition
The transition to Coastal Community Bank is expected to unlock liquidity and reduce funding obligations.
Negative Updates
Higher Loss Rates
The new pricing model resulted in controlled higher loss rates as approval limits were increased.
Legal Settlement Charge
A $4.5 million legal settlement charge was incurred this quarter, excluded from adjusted EBITDA.
Company Guidance
In the third quarter of 2025, Dave Inc. reported a 63% year-over-year revenue increase to $150.8 million, driven by a 17% growth in monthly transacting members to 2.77 million and a nearly 40% rise in ARPU. The company achieved $58.7 million in adjusted EBITDA and raised its 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance. Key metrics included a record net monetization rate per ExtraCash transaction and a 49% year-over-year growth in ExtraCash originations, surpassing $2 billion. The rollout of CashAI v5.5 improved credit performance, leading to higher approval amounts and improved credit outcomes, contributing to a 25% year-over-year increase in total card spend to $510 million. Dave Inc. also reported a 57% growth in subscription revenue, benefiting from a new $3 monthly subscription fee for new members. The company plans to transition its bank sponsorship to Coastal Community Bank and anticipates completing this transition in early 2026.

Dave Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dave demonstrates a strong financial performance with notable improvements in revenue growth, profitability, and cash flow generation. The company has effectively managed its leverage, resulting in a solid balance sheet. While historical volatility in margins and equity levels presents potential risks, the current trajectory suggests a positive outlook.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dave has shown impressive revenue growth with a 10.81% increase in TTM, supported by strong gross and net profit margins of 88.44% and 30.56%, respectively. The company has successfully turned around its profitability, with a significant improvement in EBIT and EBITDA margins compared to previous years. However, the historical volatility in margins and profitability should be monitored.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The balance sheet reflects a healthy financial position with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.00 in TTM, indicating minimal leverage. The return on equity is robust at 65.84%, showcasing efficient use of equity capital. However, the equity ratio is not explicitly provided, and historical fluctuations in equity levels suggest potential risks.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Cash flow analysis reveals strong free cash flow growth of 22.78% in TTM, with a free cash flow to net income ratio of 1.01, indicating efficient cash generation relative to earnings. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is not provided, but the overall cash flow position appears solid, with improvements over previous periods.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue491.30M347.08M259.09M204.84M153.01M121.80M
Gross Profit419.00M316.70M230.17M172.89M129.55M100.15M
EBITDA135.85M76.02M-31.08M-112.64M-14.30M-5.08M
Net Income146.73M57.87M-48.52M-128.91M-19.99M-6.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets433.25M299.33M294.02M321.49M147.19M76.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments91.73M90.29M155.94M191.96M40.23M22.45M
Total Debt75.30M75.55M181.29M178.15M73.64M6.11M
Total Liabilities141.94M116.23M206.96M214.93M108.45M26.56M
Stockholders Equity291.31M183.10M87.06M106.56M38.74M49.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow236.75M124.88M25.17M-54.20M-7.02M-13.37M
Operating Cash Flow238.44M125.14M33.75M-44.88M-541.00K-9.15M
Investing Cash Flow-178.73M-45.84M-14.38M-285.58M-37.20M3.42M
Financing Cash Flow-44.59M-71.00M22.00K321.77M65.05M4.24M

Dave Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price241.21
Price Trends
50DMA
221.07
Positive
100DMA
219.57
Positive
200DMA
172.56
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
6.31
Positive
RSI
54.61
Neutral
STOCH
45.10
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 241.21 is above the 20-day moving average (MA) of 233.41, above the 50-day MA of 221.07, and above the 200-day MA of 172.56, indicating a bullish trend. The MACD of 6.31 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 54.61 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 45.10 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DAVE.

Dave Risk Analysis

Dave disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dave reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dave Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (61)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
81
Outperform
$3.18B24.4765.63%53.82%227.54%
64
Neutral
$3.16B-2.98%18.18%70.94%
62
Neutral
$3.81B341.520.76%5.71%
61
Neutral
$37.18B12.37-10.20%1.83%8.50%-7.62%
53
Neutral
$2.80B-171.54%28.97%-4.18%
52
Neutral
$3.15B-80.55%9.74%22.36%
46
Neutral
$2.56B-122.08%21.17%-108.27%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAVE
Dave
241.21
150.78
166.74%
ASAN
Asana
13.29
-1.43
-9.71%
GBTG
Global Business Travel Group
7.87
-0.90
-10.26%
GRND
Grindr
15.10
0.92
6.49%
RUM
Rumble
6.14
-0.01
-0.16%
FRSH
Freshworks
11.64
-4.99
-30.01%

Dave Corporate Events

Dave Inc. Reports Record Q3 Revenue and Profit Growth
Nov 5, 2025

Dave Inc., a leading U.S. neobank, provides innovative banking services leveraging disruptive technologies to serve millions of Americans. In its latest earnings report, Dave Inc. announced a record third-quarter revenue of $150.8 million, marking a 63% year-over-year increase, driven by strong growth in Monthly Transacting Members and a record Average Revenue Per User. The company also reported a significant rise in net income to $92 million and adjusted EBITDA to $58.7 million, reflecting a 137% increase. Key performance metrics include a 49% increase in ExtraCash originations to over $2 billion and a 25% rise in Dave Debit Card spend. With a robust financial performance, Dave Inc. has raised its 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance to $544-$547 million and $215-$218 million, respectively. Looking ahead, Dave Inc. remains focused on scaling efficiently and driving profitable growth, supported by strong unit economics and strategic recalibrations in underwriting and acquisition strategies.

Dave Inc. Reports Record Growth in Earnings Call
Nov 5, 2025

Dave Inc.’s recent earnings call painted a positive picture of the company’s financial health and strategic direction. The management highlighted significant revenue and EBITDA growth, improved credit economics, and successful strategic initiatives. Despite facing challenges such as higher loss rates and a legal settlement charge, the overall sentiment was optimistic, reflecting the company’s robust performance and forward momentum.

Business Operations and StrategyStock Buyback
Dave Inc. Announces New $125M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Dave Inc. announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a new share repurchase program to buy back up to $125 million of its outstanding Class A common stock, replacing the previous $50 million authorization. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its business model and aims to deliver attractive returns to shareholders while continuing to invest in long-term strategic priorities.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAVE) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dave stock, see the DAVE Stock Forecast page.

Dave Inc. Reports Strong Q2 2025 Financial Growth
Aug 7, 2025

Dave Inc., a prominent neobank in the United States, leverages innovative technology to offer cost-effective banking services. The company recently released its second-quarter financial results for 2025, showcasing significant growth and strong financial performance.

Dave Inc. Reports Record Growth in Earnings Call
Aug 7, 2025

The recent earnings call for Dave Inc. was marked by a largely positive sentiment, reflecting significant strides in revenue and EBITDA growth. The company successfully implemented a new fee model, leading to increased member engagement and monetization. While challenges such as an increase in the delinquency rate and higher provision for credit losses were noted, these were attributed to a temporary third-party issue. Overall, the outlook remains robust with raised guidance for the full year.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dave Amends Agreement with Coastal Community Bank
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Dave Operating LLC, a subsidiary of Dave Inc., amended its agreement with Coastal Community Bank to manage up to $225 million in receivables, which will be sold to Dave after 60 days. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and partnership dynamics. Additionally, Dave Inc. reported significant financial growth for the second quarter of 2025, with a 64% increase in revenue to $131.7 million and a 42% rise in net income to $9.1 million. The company also raised its 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, reflecting strong performance and confidence in future growth.

The most recent analyst rating on (DAVE) stock is a Buy with a $65.00 price target. To see the full list of analyst forecasts on Dave stock, see the DAVE Stock Forecast page.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Nov 05, 2025