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Dave (DAVE)
NASDAQ:DAVE
US Market
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Dave (DAVE) AI Stock Analysis

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DAVE

Dave

(NASDAQ:DAVE)

Rating:75Outperform
Price Target:
$224.00
▲(12.56% Upside)
Dave's overall stock score is driven by strong financial performance and a very positive earnings call, highlighting robust growth and strategic initiatives. However, high valuation metrics and technical indicators suggest caution, as the stock may be overvalued and experiencing bearish momentum.
Positive Factors
Earnings
Dave's Q2/25 financial results were much better than expectations, with revenue and adjusted EBITDA exceeding forecasts.
Financial Performance
The company's revenue increased by 64% year-over-year and exceeded estimates by almost 17%.
Negative Factors
Delinquency Rates
There was a 37bps increase in the 28-day delinquency rate compared to the prior year.
Market Reaction
Dave Inc.’s (DAVE) share price declined by almost 12% during Friday’s trading session after Bloomberg News reported that JPMorgan Chase intended to begin charging fintech firms for access to customer bank data.

Dave (DAVE) vs. SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY)

Dave Business Overview & Revenue Model

Company DescriptionDave (DAVE) is a financial technology company that provides a range of banking and personal financial management services. The company's core offerings include budgeting tools, cash advance services, and a spending account with a debit card. Dave aims to help its users avoid bank overdraft fees, improve their financial health, and manage their expenses more effectively.
How the Company Makes MoneyDave makes money primarily through its subscription service, which offers users access to premium features like budgeting tools and cash advance options for a monthly fee. Additionally, the company generates revenue from interchange fees when customers use their Dave debit cards for transactions. Dave also partners with various financial institutions and service providers to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach, contributing to its revenue streams.

Dave Earnings Call Summary

Earnings Call Date:Aug 06, 2025
(Q2-2025)
|
% Change Since: -16.68%|
Next Earnings Date:Nov 05, 2025
Earnings Call Sentiment Positive
The earnings call presented a very positive outlook with record-breaking revenue growth, adjusted EBITDA performance, and strategic developments in member acquisition and product offerings. Despite some challenges with credit losses and a third-party issue affecting receivables, the overall sentiment is buoyed by strong financial metrics and raised guidance.
Q2-2025 Updates
Positive Updates
Record Revenue Growth
Revenue accelerated 64% year-over-year to $131.7 million, marking the fastest growth rate in over 5 years.
Strong Adjusted EBITDA Performance
Adjusted EBITDA more than tripled year-over-year to $50.9 million, representing the largest absolute adjusted EBITDA gain in company history.
Significant Increase in Monthly Transacting Members
Monthly transacting members increased by 16% year-over-year, with a 42% increase in ARPU.
Positive Member Acquisition Metrics
722,000 new members were added in Q2, bringing total members to 12.9 million, with a modest increase in CAC to $19.
ExtraCash Origination Growth
ExtraCash originations reached $1.8 billion, up 51% year-over-year, marking a new high for the company.
Dave Card Usage Increase
Total card sum reached $493 million, up 27% year-over-year.
Successful Subscription Fee Increase
Rolled out a $3 monthly subscription fee for new members with minimal impact on conversion or retention.
Raised Full Year Guidance
Full year revenue guidance increased to $505 million to $515 million, and adjusted EBITDA guidance increased to $180 million to $190 million.
Negative Updates
Increase in 28-Day Delinquency Rate
28-day delinquency rate increased by approximately 37 basis points year-over-year due to a third-party issue.
Provision for Credit Losses
Provision for credit losses was $25.2 million, up approximately $10.8 million year-over-year.
Impact of Third-Party Issue on Receivables
A third-party issue resulted in a $3 million adverse impact on the provision for credit losses.
Company Guidance
During the recent conference call discussing Dave's financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2025, the company provided several key metrics and updates on its performance and future guidance. Revenue for Q2 2025 accelerated by 64% year-over-year to $131.7 million, marking the fastest growth rate in over five years, driven by a 16% increase in monthly transacting members (MTMs) and a significant 42% growth in average revenue per user (ARPU). Adjusted EBITDA more than tripled year-over-year to $50.9 million, highlighting strong operational leverage and effective expense management. The company raised its full-year revenue guidance to a range of $505 million to $515 million and adjusted EBITDA guidance to between $180 million and $190 million, reflecting confidence in ongoing momentum. Dave's strategic initiatives, including efficient member acquisition, enhanced member engagement through ExtraCash, and deepening relationships via the Dave Card, have contributed to a 14% increase in its member base to 12.9 million, with customer acquisition costs remaining modest at $19. Additionally, ExtraCash originations reached $1.8 billion, up 51% year-over-year, with an average origination size increase of 24% year-over-year to $206. The company's new monthly subscription fee for new members, increased from $1 to $3, is expected to positively impact lifetime value while the transition of ExtraCash receivables to Coastal Community Bank is anticipated to enhance capital efficiency. Overall, Dave's financial and strategic progress in Q2 2025 underscores its robust growth trajectory and commitment to delivering value to both members and shareholders.

Dave Financial Statement Overview

Summary
Dave exhibits strong financial performance with robust revenue growth and profitability, supported by excellent cash flow management. The significant reduction in leverage enhances financial stability, while high gross profit margins indicate effective cost control. However, maintaining net profit margins and ensuring consistent returns on equity remain areas for potential improvement.
Income Statement
85
Very Positive
Dave has shown impressive revenue growth with a 10.87% increase in the TTM period. The gross profit margin is exceptionally high at 92.20%, indicating strong cost management. However, the net profit margin has slightly decreased from the previous year, suggesting increased expenses or other financial pressures. Overall, the company demonstrates strong revenue growth and profitability, but there is room for improvement in net profit margins.
Balance Sheet
78
Positive
The debt-to-equity ratio has significantly improved to 0.002, indicating a strong reduction in leverage and a solid equity position. Return on equity remains robust at 29.19%, reflecting efficient use of equity to generate profits. The equity ratio is healthy, suggesting a stable financial structure. However, the company should continue to monitor its equity returns to maintain this positive trajectory.
Cash Flow
82
Very Positive
Dave's free cash flow growth rate is impressive at 27.96%, indicating strong cash generation capabilities. The operating cash flow to net income ratio is high, suggesting efficient cash conversion from profits. The free cash flow to net income ratio is nearly 1, showing that the company is effectively converting its net income into free cash flow. Overall, cash flow management appears strong, supporting the company's growth and operational needs.
BreakdownTTMDec 2024Dec 2023Dec 2022Dec 2021Dec 2020
Income Statement
Total Revenue433.06M347.08M259.09M204.80M153.00M121.80M
Gross Profit393.81M316.70M135.26M172.90M129.50M100.15M
EBITDA78.39M76.02M-31.08M-113.18M-14.27M-5.08M
Net Income55.12M57.87M-48.52M-128.90M-20.00M-6.96M
Balance Sheet
Total Assets363.56M299.33M294.02M321.49M147.19M76.41M
Cash, Cash Equivalents and Short-Term Investments102.85M90.29M155.94M191.96M32.00M22.45M
Total Debt75.38M75.55M181.29M178.15M73.64M6.11M
Total Liabilities146.49M116.23M206.96M214.93M108.45M26.56M
Stockholders Equity217.07M183.10M87.06M106.56M-33.40M49.84M
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow193.94M124.88M25.17M-54.20M-47.18M-13.37M
Operating Cash Flow192.23M125.14M33.75M-44.88M-40.70M-9.15M
Investing Cash Flow-159.29M-45.84M-14.38M-285.58M3.00M3.42M
Financing Cash Flow-19.55M-71.00M22.00K321.77M65.05M4.24M

Dave Technical Analysis

Technical Analysis Sentiment
Positive
Last Price199.00
Price Trends
50DMA
218.56
Negative
100DMA
179.89
Positive
200DMA
134.48
Positive
Market Momentum
MACD
-7.09
Positive
RSI
47.21
Neutral
STOCH
41.94
Neutral
Evaluating momentum and price trends is crucial in stock analysis to make informed investment decisions. For DAVE, the sentiment is Positive. The current price of 199 is below the 20-day moving average (MA) of 206.85, below the 50-day MA of 218.56, and above the 200-day MA of 134.48, indicating a neutral trend. The MACD of -7.09 indicates Positive momentum. The RSI at 47.21 is Neutral, neither overbought nor oversold. The STOCH value of 41.94 is Neutral, not indicating any strong overbought or oversold conditions. Overall, these indicators collectively point to a Positive sentiment for DAVE.

Dave Risk Analysis

Dave disclosed 78 risk factors in its most recent earnings report. Dave reported the most risks in the "Finance & Corporate" category.
Finance & Corporate - Financial and accounting risks. Risks related to the execution of corporate activity and strategy
Latest Risks Added 0 New Risks

Dave Peers Comparison

Overall Rating
UnderperformOutperform
Sector (50)
Financial Indicators
Name
Overall Rating
Market Cap
P/E Ratio
ROE
Dividend Yield
Revenue Growth
EPS Growth
75
Outperform
$2.56B49.7230.72%47.95%81.91%
71
Outperform
$1.73B593.71-0.13%21.92%95.91%
63
Neutral
$854.59M-32.50%14.79%27.52%
60
Neutral
$1.15B182.58-0.50%22.16%-107.92%
59
Neutral
$1.48B-33.99%9.93%-11.15%
50
Neutral
AU$1.63B-0.403.91%3.39%16.91%-3.75%
* Technology Sector Average
Performance Comparison
Ticker
Company Name
Price
Change
% Change
DAVE
Dave
199.00
159.56
404.56%
SPT
Sprout Social
15.19
-17.72
-53.84%
OLO
Olo
10.23
4.72
85.66%
SEMR
SEMrush Holdings
7.91
-5.97
-43.01%
AMPL
Amplitude
11.55
2.74
31.10%

Dave Corporate Events

Stock BuybackBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dave Inc. Announces New $125M Share Repurchase Program
Positive
Aug 13, 2025

On August 13, 2025, Dave Inc. announced that its Board of Directors has authorized a new share repurchase program to buy back up to $125 million of its outstanding Class A common stock, replacing the previous $50 million authorization. This move reflects the company’s confidence in its business model and aims to deliver attractive returns to shareholders while continuing to invest in long-term strategic priorities.

Business Operations and StrategyFinancial Disclosures
Dave Amends Agreement with Coastal Community Bank
Positive
Aug 6, 2025

On August 4, 2025, Dave Operating LLC, a subsidiary of Dave Inc., amended its agreement with Coastal Community Bank to manage up to $225 million in receivables, which will be sold to Dave after 60 days. This move is expected to impact the company’s financial operations and partnership dynamics. Additionally, Dave Inc. reported significant financial growth for the second quarter of 2025, with a 64% increase in revenue to $131.7 million and a 42% rise in net income to $9.1 million. The company also raised its 2025 revenue and adjusted EBITDA guidance, reflecting strong performance and confidence in future growth.

Executive/Board ChangesBusiness Operations and Strategy
Dave Inc. Promotes Kyle Beilman to CFO and COO
Positive
Jul 15, 2025

On July 14, 2025, Dave Inc. announced the promotion of Kyle Beilman to Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer, effective July 11, 2025, reflecting his significant contributions to the company’s financial success and operational efficiency. The promotion includes adjustments to his compensation package, including a salary increase, bonuses, and equity awards, underscoring his pivotal role in driving innovation and sustainable growth at Dave Inc.

Executive/Board ChangesShareholder Meetings
Dave Inc. Stockholders Approve Key Proposals at Annual Meeting
Neutral
Jun 3, 2025

At the 2025 annual meeting held on June 2, Dave Inc. stockholders voted on two key proposals. The first was the election of Michael Pope and Yadin Rozov as Class I directors for three-year terms ending in 2028. The second proposal ratified Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent registered public accounting firm for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. Approximately 90.84% of the voting power was represented at the meeting, indicating strong shareholder engagement.

Glossary
BuyA stock rated as a "Buy" is expected to perform better than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock is likely to deliver higher returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
HoldA stock rated as a "Hold" is expected to perform in line with the overall market or a specific benchmark. This rating indicates that the stock is neither particularly compelling nor unfavorable for investment. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
SellA stock rated as a "Sell" is expected to perform worse than the overall market or a specific benchmark over the near-to-medium term. This rating suggests the stock may deliver lower returns compared to other stocks in the same sector or market index. Note: This is not investment advice; please consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Disclaimer

This AI Analyst Stock Report is automatically generated by our AI systems using advanced algorithms and publicly available financial, technical, and market data. While the information provided aims to be accurate and insightful, it is intended for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Any content created by an AI (Artificial Intelligence) system may contain inaccuracies and/or contain errors. Investing in stocks carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. This report does not account for your personal financial circumstances, objectives, or risk tolerance. Always conduct your own research or consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The analysis and recommendations provided are based on historical and current data and may not fully reflect future market conditions or unexpected developments. Neither the creators of this report nor its affiliated entities guarantee the accuracy, completeness, or reliability of the information presented. Use this report at your own discretion and risk.Date of analysis: Aug 23, 2025